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Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance

4,573 episodes — Page 59 of 92

Surveillance: Banks Are Underpriced, Leon Says

Ken Leon, CFRA Director Equity Research, says banks are underpriced relative to the market. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managing Partner & Head of Economic Policy, says investors sense that President Trump cares specifically about the stock market. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy Senior Fellow, says there is plenty of evidence for low growth and inflation for years to come. Jim Paulsen, Leuthold Weeden Capital Management Chief Investment Strategist, expects small cap stocks to have a year of outperformance. Stephen Schork, Schork Group President, says we are concerned about the ongoing industrial recession in the U.S.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 15, 202031 min

Surveillance: Bank Earnings With Tom Michaud

Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Head of FX Macro Trading Strategy, says there are no macro risks affecting monetary policy. Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, breaks down results from JPMorgan and discusses the future of big U.S. banks. Geoffrey Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of U.K. Investment Office, says central banks are going to stay lower for a very long time to come. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Investment Management Chief Strategist, says cyclical sectors are beginning to show signs of life, even as data remains soft.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 14, 202025 min

Surveillance: Stimulus in the market through repo , Misra says

Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, believes the U.S. and Iran must agree to a reasonable deal in order to ease protester tensions. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says the Fed has put a lot of stimulus in the system through the repo market. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Banks & Diversified Finance Research says as banks report earnings we expect to see net interest margin under pressure in 4Q. Doug Holtz-Eakin, American Action Forum President & Former Director of the Congressional Budget Office says raising taxes and dodging the spending budget is bad news.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 13, 202030 min

Surveillance: Everything In Place On China Deal, Kudlow Says

Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow for Middle East And Africa Studies, says the U.S. is engaging in psychological warfare with Iran and not deescalating tensions with the region. Ellen Zenter, Morgan Stanley's Chief US Economist, says there is no indication businesses are broadly laying off workers. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Professor and Former Fed Governor, says the fed is more likely to stay on hold. Lawrence Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says everything is completely in place for the Phase One U.S.-China trade deal.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 10, 202035 min

Surveillance: Slower Jobs Growth in 2020, Glassman Says

Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Senior Economist, says 2020 will be the year we see slower job growth. Jeffrey Rosenberg, Senior Portfolio Manager on BlackRock's Systematic Fixed Income Team, says the economy has moved in tiny increments. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander says Soleimani was a dangerous enemy of the U.S. and taking his skills away from the Iranian regime is a tactical plus. Brooke Sutherland, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, discusses the next steps for Boeing.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 9, 202028 min

Surveillance: Iran Risk Has Gone Down, Eurasia's Rome Says

Henry Rome, Eurasia Group Global Macro Analyst, says the risk of a major military confrontation between the U.S. and Iran has gone down. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice Chairman, says the U.S. must now help stabilize the situation in Iraq. Greg Farrell, Bloomberg Legal Reporter, discusses next steps for Carlos Ghosn after press conference from Lebanon. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Executive Chairman, discusses his interview with Dangote Group Founder Aliko Dangote.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 8, 202025 min

Surveillance: Growth Composition Is Improving, Dutta Says

Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says there are very fundamental causes of low rates. Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow For Middle East And Africa Studies, says the U.S. can continue to fight terrorism without as large of a footprint in the Middle East. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says volatility stays low as prices advance. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Head of Economic Research, says the composition of growth is improving.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 7, 202032 min

Surveillance: 2020 Is A Tipping Point, Eurasia's Bremmer Says

Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President & Founder, says 2020 is a tipping point for the big global trends out there. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy & Operations, says a trade conflict was expected between the U.S. and China year ago, but it was expected to be resolved. Henry Rome, Eurasia Group Iran Analyst, believes the killing of Qasem Soleimani will come to be seen as a miscalculation from the U.S. Mujtaba Rahman, Eurasia Group Managing Director for Europe, says the EU doesn't have a great strategic answer for the U.K.'s exit. And Amy Myers Jaffe, CFR David M. Rubenstein Senior Fellow for Energy and the Environment & Director of the Program on Energy Security and Climate Change, offers her insight on recent events in the Middle East and energy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 6, 202043 min

Surveillance: Iran Has Capable Cruise Missiles, Stavridis Says

Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg State Department Reporter, brings us an update on President Trump's strategy in the Middle East. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says there will be a lot of pressure on Iraq to push out pro-U.S. forces. Marc Champion, Bloomberg News Senior Reporter for International Affairs, discusses Iran's sphere of influence. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Former NATO Alliance Supreme Allied Commander, says the U.S. military is prepared for Iran's response. Mark Kimmitt, Former Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs, says President Trump is taking a risk with this latest foreign policy move. And Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, says the silence from the U.S. State Department was "deafening" last night.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 3, 202039 min

Surveillance: 2020 To Be Year Of Reckoning, Albertson Says

Robert Albertson, Sandler O'Neill Chief Investment Strategist, says 2020 will be a year of reckoning. Chris Bryant, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, provides an update on former Renault-Nissan Head Carlos Ghosn's escape from Japan to Lebanon. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managing Partner & Head of Economic Policy, is not optimistic about Phase Two negotiations taking place in the near future. And Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Professor, says the U.S. political system is broken. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jan 2, 202028 min

Surveillance: No Recession in 2020, Emanuel Says

John Ryding, Chief Economic Advisor to Brean Capital, says we are entering 2020 with no fear of a recession. Dana Khraiche, Bloomberg News, reports that Lebanese officials will help and support Carlos Ghosn, who is viewed as a national hero. Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says more public interest in stocks will drive bond yields higher in 2020. Alexandra Harris, Bloomberg Gov't Bonds & FX Reporter, analyzes how the Fed succeeded in thwarting major year-end turmoil in funding markets.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 31, 201931 min

Surveillance: China's PMIs Showing Resilience, Haque Says

Kona Haque, ED&F Man Head of Research, says China's government has to continue to apply stimulus to keep growth momentum ticking. Mike Gallagher, Continuum Economics Managing Director of Macro and Strategy, doesn't expect China to get a major lift from a trade truce. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Rates Strategist, details what to watch for in the next Fed minutes. Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst: U.S. Media, predicts that Netflix might become a victim of its own success.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 30, 201926 min

Surveillance: Citi's Hollenhorst Weighs 2020 Risks

Bloomberg's Paul Sweeney and Sonali Basak host today's show. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, discusses the transition to automation by urging the creation of new opportunities and engines of growth. Karen Leigh, Bloomberg News Greater China Government Editor, gives an update on the protests in Hong Kong as the region braces for more demonstrations in the new year. Kevin Book, Clearview Energy Partners Head of Research, says the trade war between the U.S. and China is far from over. And David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Media CEO & Founder, provides a forecast for tech and government regulation in 2020.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 27, 201933 min

Surveillance: Negative Rates with Mohamed El-Erian

Michael Holland, Holland & Co. Chairman and Founder, thinks the Fed is far more important for markets than a U.S.-China trade deal. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, believes retailers will follow in Amazon's footsteps with one-day shipping. Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Chief Economic Adviser and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says it is not up to central banks to get out of the negative rates experiment. Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says investors should be tactically cautious going into 2020. David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors Co-Founder & CIO, says negative interest rates are at a peak.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 24, 201939 min

Surveillance: Boeing's Rough Year

Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says the U.S.-China Phase 1 agreement looks similar to the deal proposed earlier this year in May. Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Chief FX Strategist, thinks the Chinese Yuan is as important as the Euro or the U.S. dollar now. George Ferguson, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Aerospace and Airline Analyst discusses the implications of Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg stepping down. Brooke Sutherland, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Boeing is at serious risk of losing its competitive edge. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief U.S. Policy Strategist thinks that President Trump's 2017 tax cuts continue to fuel the market rally today.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 23, 201936 min

Surveillance: The Future of Capitalism With Gideon Rose

Dr. Randall Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, says the Fed is going to gradually increase its balance sheet to provide liquidity. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, discusses the future of capitalism. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Chief Washington Correspondent, gives a briefing on the latest Democratic debate from Los Angeles. John Butler, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst of Telecoms, says he's surprised to see Apple is exploring satellites. And Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says China's growth is clearly slowing down. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 20, 201928 min

Surveillance: Trump Has United Republicans, Valliere Says

Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Head of FX and Macro Trading Strategy, observes rising interest rates across the Eurozone area. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief U.S. Policy Strategist, was surprised to see House Speaker Nancy Pelosi may delay next steps in the impeachment process. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Author, discusses his decision to retire his famous morning note. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President & Founder, calls in to ask a question to Gartman. And Margaret Franklin, CFA Institute CEO & President, says she still sees high demand for chartered holders.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 19, 201937 min

Surveillance: Secular Forces Keeping Inflation Low, Mai Says

Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Securities Global Head of Economic Research, sees inflation remaining below 2% over the next year. Nicola Mai, PIMCO Portfolio Manager & Sovereign Credit Analyst, does not foresee significant increases in inflation next year. Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says the idea of a recession is funny. And Emily Wilkins, Bloomberg Government Reporter, provides an update on where impeachment motions stand.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 18, 201923 min

Surveillance: What Is China's Worst Nightmare With LSE's Jin

Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short-Term Portfolio Management and Manager of the $14 Billion Cash Management Fund, PIMCO Mint, says we should expect volatility in repo rates. Keyu Jin, LSE Economics Professor, says there has been a divergence in business and consumer sentiment. Kallum Pickering, Berenberg Senior Economist, says the ECB does not have the firepower to start a recovery in Europe. And Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says it remains to be seen whether there is an appetite among Fed officials for a change in policy strategy.------See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 17, 201922 min

Surveillance: Expect Easing Mid-2020, Misra Says

Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, says global growth is the most important variable for the dollar. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, says rising trade tensions hurt the rest of the world more than the U.S. Priya Misra, TD Securities Managing Director & Global Head of Rates Strategy, expects the Fed to restart easing by mid-2020. And Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says she could see further delays in trade talks between the U.S. and China.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 16, 201928 min

Surveillance Special from Westminster Green

Tom Keene and Jon Ferro broadcast a Surveillance Special on TV and Radio from the Westminster Green. Alan Wager, U.K. In a Changing Europe Researcher, says Boris Johnson now has to focus on uniting the U.K. after a landslide victory. Trevor Greetham, Royal London Asset Management Head of Multi-Asset, provides an outlook for sterling and gilts. Rosalind Mathieson, Bloomberg International Government Editor, predicts what Boris Johnson's new cabinet may look like. Ben Ritchie, Aberdeen Asset Management Senior Investment Manager, thinks U.K. bond yields have remained surprisingly low during the uncertainty of Brexit. And Maria Demertzis, Bruegel Deputy Director, thinks that the U.K. and the EU could reach a trade agreement in less than a year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 13, 201920 min

Surveillance: Lagarde's Optimistic Note For The Economy

Steven Major, HSBC Global Head of Fixed Income Research, is taking any increase in yield as a buying opportunity. Frederik Ducrozet, Pictet Wealth Management Strategist, says the first action the ECB has to take next year is to ease. Ted Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, says he expects the U.S.-China trade deal to be delayed this week. Christine Lagarde, ECB President, says she sees signs of stabilization in euro zone. Stephanie Flanders, Bloomberg News Head of Economics, reacts to the ECB press conference and President Trump's tweets on a nearing trade deal.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 12, 201938 min

Surveillance: U.K.'s Tories Vs. Labour With Cavendish

Roger Bootle, Capital Economics Founder & Chairman, says the U.K.'s Conservative Party has been inching toward the center of the political spectrum. Camilla Cavendish, Former Head of Policy for U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron, says the Tories are aspiring to be the voice of the working class. Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM Senior Fund Manager, says Chairman Powell has been very clear he does not see us at QE. Wendy J. Schiller, Brown University Chair of Political Science, discusses the history of impeachment in the House and Senate. And David Blanchflower, Author & Dartmouth Professor of Economics, says employment rates are still below where they were a decade ago.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 11, 201932 min

Surveillance: Trichet On Negative Interest Rates

Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, expects equities to rise next year, giving "vertigo" discomfort to investors. Jonathan Fenby, TS Lombard European Politics Managing Director & China Chairman, says the silence between the U.S. and China shows negotiations are very serious. Jean-Claude Trichet, Former President of the European Central Bank, says the positive effects of negative interest rates outweigh the negative. David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says economic activity in the United States is still strong. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg Editor-In-Chief Emeritus, discusses his latest Bloomberg Opinion piece. And Emily Wilkins, Bloomberg Government Congressional Reporter, wraps the impeachment news of day.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 10, 201935 min

Surveillance: Phase One Chances Are Slim, Says NABE's Hunter

Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies, says many global positive-yielding bonds could be zombies. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, sees an uptick in inflation expectations for 2020. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs International Global Head of Commodities Research, says the U.S.-China trade war is exacerbating structural issues in the oil market, not causing them. And Constance Hunter, KPMG Chief Economist and NABE President, thinks the chances for a phase one trade deal are slim.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 9, 201927 min

Surveillance Special: Paul Volcker's Legacy

In this Surveillance Special, Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney remember the life and legacy of Paul Volcker, Former Chair of the Federal Reserve. We hear from Bloomberg's Bob Moon, Former SEC Chair Arthur Levitt, Bloomberg's Michael McKee, Grant Thornton's Diane Swonk and RDQ Economics' John Ryding.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 9, 201925 min

Surveillance: America Is Working, NEC's Kudlow Says

Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President and Founder, says Europe does not have an engine of growth. Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, and Michael Collins, PGIM Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager, react to the massive jobs report surprise. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO U.S. Economist, says the United States economy and job creation is accelerating. And Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says the U.S. cannot permit unfair trading practices from our allies or non-allies.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 6, 201949 min

Surveillance: The Unilateral Trade Road With CFR's Alden

Roger Diwan, IHS Markit Vice President of Financial Services, says it is not clear how much ability other OPEC countries will have to follow Saudi Arabia's oil supply cuts. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School Finance Professor, discusses the fundamental difference between climate change and climate risk for banking. Anat Admati, Stanford Finance Professor, says problems plaguing democracy and capitalism are rooted between corporations and governments. And Ted Alden, CFR Senior Fellow, says we have gone "far down" a unilateral trade road with this administration.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 5, 201927 min

Surveillance: NATO Summit With Adm. Stavridis & Vinjamuri

Savita Subramanian, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of U.S. Equity & Quantitative Strategy, thinks cyclicals could see a strong rally on a skinny trade deal. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. & Americas Programme, says the vast majority of Americans still want to be in NATO. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, thinks U.K.-EU trade talks could bring back a no-deal Brexit risk next year. James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says he is concerned about Turkey’s direction and their willingness to partner so closely with Russia in Syria. And Brian Wieser, Group M Global President of Business Intelligence, discusses the changing nature of ad breaks.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 4, 201945 min

Surveillance: Anti-Tariff Pressure Strongest Ever, says Treyz

Troy Gayeski, SkyBridge Capital Co-Chief Investment Officer, thinks the U.S. dollar has finally topped out. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, believes the pressure on the administration not to impose tariffs is stronger than it has ever been. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Editor and Publisher, shares memories of his iconic newsletter ahead of its planned last edition on Dec. 31. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, thinks mid-single digit returns may be the best-case scenario for 2020.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 3, 201927 min

Surveillance: The Retail Transformation with Cowen's Chen

Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder & Chief Economist, doesn't see an end to the industrial recession as long as inventories are rising. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, details research which suggests a niche area of apparel is growing double digits, despite weakness in the broad sector. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says consumers are showing signs of weakness just as businesses are finally showing signs of life. Bill Smead, Smead Capital Chief Investment Officer & Founder, expects millennials to double their use of gasoline in the next 10 years. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Finance Reporter, previews what's in store in the next decade for Goldman Sachs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 2, 201931 min

Surveillance: Macy's Needs To Amaze Again, Telsey Says

John Authers, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says populist politicians have played their hands poorly in 2019. Joseph Abboud, Clothing Designer & Tailored Brands Creative Director, says Black Friday matters more for accessories and sportswear than custom suits. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, teases the item poised to become the “fashion must-have” of the 2019 holiday season! And Elaine Sciolino, Former NYT Correspondent & Author of “The Seine," details the famous river.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 29, 201930 min

Surveillance: Negative Interest Rates With Kotok

Greg Boutle, BNP Paribas U.S. Head of Equity and Derivative Strategy, expects U.S. manufacturing weakness to start broadening out to the rest of the economy. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, says the stock market gains are not experienced widely across the economy. David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors Chairman & CIO, says ECB's Christine Lagarde has a difficult task right now. And Karen Ubelhart, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst for Machinery, provides an industrial outlook for 2020. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 27, 201925 min

Surveillance: LVMH's Tiffany & Co. Buy Is Win-Win, Sadove Says

Brian Levitt, Invesco Global Market Strategist, says we are returning to an environment of more stable growth. Stephen Sadove, Senior Adviser for Mastercard and former Saks CEO, thinks LVMH buying Tiffany & Co. is a win-win. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, foresees one more rate cut in their forecast. Adm. James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, discusses President Trump's recent decisions regarding the Navy SEALs. And Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Media Analyst, says Disney's performance this year has been phenomenal. ------See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 26, 201934 min

Surveillance: Goldman's Currie Says Get Long Commodities

Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, says the market is pivoting towards value from momentum. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs International Global Head of Commodities Research, recommends getting long commodities today. Geoffrey Yu, UBS Private Banking CIO, says the dollar has topped out but it doesn't mean we're starting a dollar bear trend. Deborah Aitken, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst of Luxury Goods, sees the LVMH Tiffany tie-up as mutually beneficial for both companies, particularly when it comes to expanded market share in the luxury jewelry sector. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg TV & Radio Finance Reporter, says Charles Schwab aims to diversify their business in buying TD Ameritrade.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 25, 201931 min

Surveillance: Beijing Will not Simply Yield to WH, says Hormats

Luke Tilley, Wilmington Trust Chief Economist, is optimistic equities will see a positive impact from a looming Phase One deal. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice-Chair, says after visiting China, he thinks the Chinese are committed to a tariff deal but adds Beijing will not yield to White House demands simply because its economy is slowing. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Managing Director of Equity Research, says Tesla's 'Cybertruck' may be dead on arrival when it hits the market in 2022. Margaret Brennan, Face the Nation Host, says many conversations surrounding President Trump's hearings don't seem to have been moved forward by this week's testimonies. Priya Misra, TD Securities Managing Director & Global Head of Rates Strategy, is worried that cracks in the consumer are beginning to appear.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 22, 201927 min

Surveillance: The Foothills Of A Cold War With Baucus

Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, expects growth to remain stuck for the next two years due to trade uncertainty. Joe Quinlan, Head of CIO Market Strategy for Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, says Europe is looking "less bad" as global markets continue to bottom out. Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM (USA) Inc. Senior Fund Manager, believes there is no such thing as cash on the sidelines. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says yields are not that attractive to take on duration risks. And Max Baucus, Former U.S. Ambassador to China, says President Xi is clearly nationalistic.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 21, 201933 min

Surveillance: Value In International Stocks, Santos Says

Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says there is value in international stocks. Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President, says contrary to the recent Fed report, he thinks there are two significant economic risks on the horizon. Todd Mariano, Eurasia Group U.S. Director, believes there is a veto-proof majority in support of the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy bill. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy School Senior Fellow, says global growth will look better next year because emerging markets will be less squeezed. Dan Alpert, Westwood Capital Founding Managing Partner, says jobs numbers have been dented by the lack of government spending on infrastructure.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 20, 201931 min

Surveillance: AT&T Downgraded To Sell With Moffett

Jim Caron, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Fixed-Income Portfolio Manager, explains why interest rates are just one piece of the dollar puzzle. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managing Partner & Director of Economic Policy Research, says she doesn't think the phase one trade deal will come. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, discusses his outlook on the U.S. economy, as well as his expectations for the S&P sectors. Gregory Zuckerman, author of "The Man Who Solved the Market: How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution," outlines the advantages of quantitative thought. And Craig Moffett, Moffettnathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, explains his early morning bear call on AT&T. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 19, 201936 min

Surveillance: Phase One Deal Will Be Cosmetic, Coronado Says

Dan Ahn, BNP Paribas Chief U.S. Economist & Head of Markets 360 North America and Former U.S. Department of State Chief Economist, expects another round of insurance cuts from the Fed. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, says Saudi Aramco's $25 billion IPO is not just about capital for the company. Bloomberg's Anna Edwards sat down with Labour Party Leader Jeremy Corbyn and he says his party have a 'good relationship' with BOE Governor Mark Carney. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, says the issues that divide the U.S. and China are not easily resolved. And Georgette Boele, ABN Amro Senior FX & Previous Metals Strategist, says right now, investors are very long gold.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 18, 201932 min

Surveillance: Global Growth Is Bottoming, Cantrill Says

Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, thinks it's time for the White House to "stop manipulating the market" when it comes to trade deal progress. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says uncertainty and tensions with China are not going away any time soon. Molly Smith, Bloomberg Corporate Finance Reporter, says this week's strong demand for Abbvie's bonds show there's a lot of confidence in the tie-up between Abbvie & Allergan. John Authers, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, details the deep economic links between China and emerging markets. And Lord Adair Turner, House of Lords & G-30 Member, says in terms of pensions, Sweden has made some sensible policies.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 15, 201934 min

Surveillance: Infrastructure Investment Needed, Swonk Says

Steven Wieting, Citi Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, expects a new all-time high in profits next year. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Non-Resident Senior Fellow, says it will be wise for President Trump to make a deal with China. Nicola Mai, PIMCO Sovereign Credit Analyst, says it's very difficult for the ECB to raise inflation without help from the fiscal authorities. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says what we really need for U.S. eco growth is infrastructure investment. And Sarah Halzack, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Walmart's grocery division, which accounts for 56% of its U.S. sales, has an advantage over Amazon due to its infrastructure nationwide.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 14, 201929 min

Surveillance: Pessimism Of Summer Reversed, Shaoul Says

Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman, Portfolio Manager & CEO, thinks the deep market pessimism of the summer is returning to normal. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Strategist, says cyclical sectors are beginning to show signs of life even as data remains somewhat soft. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Advisory Founder, says the U.S. is ultimately pursuing for an "enforceable" deal with China. Karen Leigh, Bloomberg Greater China Government Editor, reports retail and travel have taken a hit in recent months in Hong Kong. And Chris Rupkey, Chief Financial Economist at MUFG Union Bank, says it sounds like President Trump is still taking a hard line on trade with China.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 13, 201930 min

Surveillance: Outlook For Manufacturing Isn't Great, Amoa Says

Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says a lot of the concerns about global growth that were weighing on sentiment have been priced out of the market. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, says we are in a new era of structurally weaker growth in emerging and developed markets. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says America's energy boom has boosted U.S. immunity to the trade war with China. And Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Media Analyst, says Disney+ is the linchpin for Disney's direct-to-consumer strategy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 12, 201921 min

Surveillance: Forward-Looking Data Is Up, Achuthan Says

George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Fixed Income Research, says the current, positively-sloped U.S. yield curve is a good indicator for future economic growth. Yvonne Man, Bloomberg Daybreak Asia Anchor, says riot police are still in the streets in Hong Kong. Saira Malik, Nuveen Global Equities CIO, says China's economy will rebound if trade talks continue to make progress. Stephen Schork, Schork Group President, sees global oil demand peaking well before 2035. And Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI Co-Founder, says disruptive tech innovations can change the contour of the business cycle.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 11, 201931 min

Surveillance: Risks Still Out There, Atlanta Fed's Bostic Says

Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Securities Chief Economist, says that the bulk of the damage done to the U.S. economy is due to uncertainty from trade rather than tariffs themselves. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Senior Macro Strategist, says the trade war is hurting, but not destroying China’s economy. Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence Media Analyst, says Disney is firing on all cylinders with a 'streaming first' mentality. Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Federal Reserve President & CEO, says the Fed is 'slightly accommodative.'See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 8, 201935 min

Surveillance: Only So Much ECB Can Do, Rai Says

Guy Johnson, Bloomberg Markets European Close Anchor, recaps the Bank of England's decision to leave rates unchanged. Max Kettner, HSBC Multi Asset Strategist, says if yields continue to spike, financial conditions will tighten. Bipan Rai, CIBC Capital Markets Senior Macro Strategist, says the trade risk between the U.S. & the EU is currently underappreciated by markets. Shira Ovide, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Uber would benefit if it disclosed cash-in and cash-out figures. And Max Chafkin, Bloomberg Businessweek Columnist, discusses Sheryl Sandberg's comments on Facebook's anti-trust issues.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 7, 201932 min

Surveillance: Tech Disruption Wasn't All Bad, Kirkpatrick Says

Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, thinks it would take significant deterioration for the Fed to make additional cuts next year. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, thinks that SoftBank's Masayoshi Son has positively contributed to the idea that digital technology can transform global economies. Geoff Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of U.K. Investment Office, says the U.K. still has a long way to go before establishing its long-term relationship with the EU. And Esther Law, Amundi Asset Management Emerging Markets Debt Senior Investment Manager, says monetary policy on a global level has made EM look very attractive.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 6, 201927 min

Surveillance Special: A Conversation With Chicago Fed's Evans

Charles Evans, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President & CEO, sits down with Tom Keene at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York. They discuss inflation expectations, negative rates, and where the Fed is headed.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 6, 201949 min

Surveillance: We're De-Risking, Topcuoglu Says

Brian Weinstein, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Head of Global Fixed Income, says that the promise of lower yields is driving people into equity markets. Phoenix Kalen, Societe Generale Director of EM Strategy, says China's slowdown has intricately impacted regions like Germany, exposing manufacturing troubles. Joseph Ricketts, TD Ameritrade Founder and Author of "The Harder You Work the Luckier You Get," says if the U.S. does not retain a free enterprise system, the country will be negatively impacted. And Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM USA Senior Fund Manager, says there are sectors of the credit market that are greatly mispriced.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 5, 201929 min