Bloomberg Surveillance

Troy Gayeski, SkyBridge Capital Co-Chief Investment Officer, thinks the U.S. dollar has finally topped out. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, believes the pressure on the administration not to impose tariffs is stronger than it has ever been. Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter Editor and Publisher, shares memories of his iconic newsletter ahead of its planned last edition on Dec. 31. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, thinks mid-single digit returns may be the best-case scenario for 2020.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder & Chief Economist, doesn't see an end to the industrial recession as long as inventories are rising. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, details research which suggests a niche area of apparel is growing double digits, despite weakness in the broad sector. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says consumers are showing signs of weakness just as businesses are finally showing signs of life. Bill Smead, Smead Capital Chief Investment Officer & Founder, expects millennials to double their use of gasoline in the next 10 years. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Finance Reporter, previews what's in store in the next decade for Goldman Sachs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

John Authers, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says populist politicians have played their hands poorly in 2019. Joseph Abboud, Clothing Designer & Tailored Brands Creative Director, says Black Friday matters more for accessories and sportswear than custom suits. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, teases the item poised to become the “fashion must-have” of the 2019 holiday season! And Elaine Sciolino, Former NYT Correspondent & Author of “The Seine," details the famous river.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Greg Boutle, BNP Paribas U.S. Head of Equity and Derivative Strategy, expects U.S. manufacturing weakness to start broadening out to the rest of the economy. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, says the stock market gains are not experienced widely across the economy. David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors Chairman & CIO, says ECB's Christine Lagarde has a difficult task right now. And Karen Ubelhart, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst for Machinery, provides an industrial outlook for 2020. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Brian Levitt, Invesco Global Market Strategist, says we are returning to an environment of more stable growth. Stephen Sadove, Senior Adviser for Mastercard and former Saks CEO, thinks LVMH buying Tiffany & Co. is a win-win. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, foresees one more rate cut in their forecast. Adm. James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, discusses President Trump's recent decisions regarding the Navy SEALs. And Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Media Analyst, says Disney's performance this year has been phenomenal. ------See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, says the market is pivoting towards value from momentum. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs International Global Head of Commodities Research, recommends getting long commodities today. Geoffrey Yu, UBS Private Banking CIO, says the dollar has topped out but it doesn't mean we're starting a dollar bear trend. Deborah Aitken, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst of Luxury Goods, sees the LVMH Tiffany tie-up as mutually beneficial for both companies, particularly when it comes to expanded market share in the luxury jewelry sector. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg TV & Radio Finance Reporter, says Charles Schwab aims to diversify their business in buying TD Ameritrade.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Luke Tilley, Wilmington Trust Chief Economist, is optimistic equities will see a positive impact from a looming Phase One deal. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates Vice-Chair, says after visiting China, he thinks the Chinese are committed to a tariff deal but adds Beijing will not yield to White House demands simply because its economy is slowing. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Managing Director of Equity Research, says Tesla's 'Cybertruck' may be dead on arrival when it hits the market in 2022. Margaret Brennan, Face the Nation Host, says many conversations surrounding President Trump's hearings don't seem to have been moved forward by this week's testimonies. Priya Misra, TD Securities Managing Director & Global Head of Rates Strategy, is worried that cracks in the consumer are beginning to appear.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, expects growth to remain stuck for the next two years due to trade uncertainty. Joe Quinlan, Head of CIO Market Strategy for Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, says Europe is looking "less bad" as global markets continue to bottom out. Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM (USA) Inc. Senior Fund Manager, believes there is no such thing as cash on the sidelines. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says yields are not that attractive to take on duration risks. And Max Baucus, Former U.S. Ambassador to China, says President Xi is clearly nationalistic.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says there is value in international stocks. Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President, says contrary to the recent Fed report, he thinks there are two significant economic risks on the horizon. Todd Mariano, Eurasia Group U.S. Director, believes there is a veto-proof majority in support of the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy bill. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy School Senior Fellow, says global growth will look better next year because emerging markets will be less squeezed. Dan Alpert, Westwood Capital Founding Managing Partner, says jobs numbers have been dented by the lack of government spending on infrastructure.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jim Caron, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Fixed-Income Portfolio Manager, explains why interest rates are just one piece of the dollar puzzle. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managing Partner & Director of Economic Policy Research, says she doesn't think the phase one trade deal will come. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, discusses his outlook on the U.S. economy, as well as his expectations for the S&P sectors. Gregory Zuckerman, author of "The Man Who Solved the Market: How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution," outlines the advantages of quantitative thought. And Craig Moffett, Moffettnathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, explains his early morning bear call on AT&T. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dan Ahn, BNP Paribas Chief U.S. Economist & Head of Markets 360 North America and Former U.S. Department of State Chief Economist, expects another round of insurance cuts from the Fed. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, says Saudi Aramco's $25 billion IPO is not just about capital for the company. Bloomberg's Anna Edwards sat down with Labour Party Leader Jeremy Corbyn and he says his party have a 'good relationship' with BOE Governor Mark Carney. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, says the issues that divide the U.S. and China are not easily resolved. And Georgette Boele, ABN Amro Senior FX & Previous Metals Strategist, says right now, investors are very long gold.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, thinks it's time for the White House to "stop manipulating the market" when it comes to trade deal progress. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says uncertainty and tensions with China are not going away any time soon. Molly Smith, Bloomberg Corporate Finance Reporter, says this week's strong demand for Abbvie's bonds show there's a lot of confidence in the tie-up between Abbvie & Allergan. John Authers, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, details the deep economic links between China and emerging markets. And Lord Adair Turner, House of Lords & G-30 Member, says in terms of pensions, Sweden has made some sensible policies.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Steven Wieting, Citi Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, expects a new all-time high in profits next year. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Non-Resident Senior Fellow, says it will be wise for President Trump to make a deal with China. Nicola Mai, PIMCO Sovereign Credit Analyst, says it's very difficult for the ECB to raise inflation without help from the fiscal authorities. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says what we really need for U.S. eco growth is infrastructure investment. And Sarah Halzack, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Walmart's grocery division, which accounts for 56% of its U.S. sales, has an advantage over Amazon due to its infrastructure nationwide.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman, Portfolio Manager & CEO, thinks the deep market pessimism of the summer is returning to normal. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Strategist, says cyclical sectors are beginning to show signs of life even as data remains somewhat soft. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy Advisory Founder, says the U.S. is ultimately pursuing for an "enforceable" deal with China. Karen Leigh, Bloomberg Greater China Government Editor, reports retail and travel have taken a hit in recent months in Hong Kong. And Chris Rupkey, Chief Financial Economist at MUFG Union Bank, says it sounds like President Trump is still taking a hard line on trade with China.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says a lot of the concerns about global growth that were weighing on sentiment have been priced out of the market. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, says we are in a new era of structurally weaker growth in emerging and developed markets. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says America's energy boom has boosted U.S. immunity to the trade war with China. And Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S. Media Analyst, says Disney+ is the linchpin for Disney's direct-to-consumer strategy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Fixed Income Research, says the current, positively-sloped U.S. yield curve is a good indicator for future economic growth. Yvonne Man, Bloomberg Daybreak Asia Anchor, says riot police are still in the streets in Hong Kong. Saira Malik, Nuveen Global Equities CIO, says China's economy will rebound if trade talks continue to make progress. Stephen Schork, Schork Group President, sees global oil demand peaking well before 2035. And Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI Co-Founder, says disruptive tech innovations can change the contour of the business cycle.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Securities Chief Economist, says that the bulk of the damage done to the U.S. economy is due to uncertainty from trade rather than tariffs themselves. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Senior Macro Strategist, says the trade war is hurting, but not destroying China’s economy. Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence Media Analyst, says Disney is firing on all cylinders with a 'streaming first' mentality. Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Federal Reserve President & CEO, says the Fed is 'slightly accommodative.'See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Guy Johnson, Bloomberg Markets European Close Anchor, recaps the Bank of England's decision to leave rates unchanged. Max Kettner, HSBC Multi Asset Strategist, says if yields continue to spike, financial conditions will tighten. Bipan Rai, CIBC Capital Markets Senior Macro Strategist, says the trade risk between the U.S. & the EU is currently underappreciated by markets. Shira Ovide, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Uber would benefit if it disclosed cash-in and cash-out figures. And Max Chafkin, Bloomberg Businessweek Columnist, discusses Sheryl Sandberg's comments on Facebook's anti-trust issues.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, thinks it would take significant deterioration for the Fed to make additional cuts next year. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, thinks that SoftBank's Masayoshi Son has positively contributed to the idea that digital technology can transform global economies. Geoff Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of U.K. Investment Office, says the U.K. still has a long way to go before establishing its long-term relationship with the EU. And Esther Law, Amundi Asset Management Emerging Markets Debt Senior Investment Manager, says monetary policy on a global level has made EM look very attractive.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Charles Evans, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President & CEO, sits down with Tom Keene at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York. They discuss inflation expectations, negative rates, and where the Fed is headed.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Brian Weinstein, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Head of Global Fixed Income, says that the promise of lower yields is driving people into equity markets. Phoenix Kalen, Societe Generale Director of EM Strategy, says China's slowdown has intricately impacted regions like Germany, exposing manufacturing troubles. Joseph Ricketts, TD Ameritrade Founder and Author of "The Harder You Work the Luckier You Get," says if the U.S. does not retain a free enterprise system, the country will be negatively impacted. And Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM USA Senior Fund Manager, says there are sectors of the credit market that are greatly mispriced.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, thinks the U.S. economic outlook has reached a "soft landing" point, as the consumer continues to carry the economy. Seema Shah, Principal Global Advisors Chief Strategist, says emerging markets are starting to look very attractive. Sara Senatore, Sanford Bernstein Senior Research Analyst, says McDonald's is still in a pretty good place despite firing their CEO. And Bloomberg's David Westin shares a clip of his interview with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, expects to see business investment improve before the consumer cracks. Jeffrey Rosenberg, BlackRock Financial Senior Portfolio Manager, says a stronger than expected jobs report eases concerns of manufacturing uncertainty. Richard Clarida, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, says the economy is in the trend of range growth. And Lawrence Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says phase one trade talks are not complete but are going well.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Head of Macroeconomic Strategy, says we have not experienced a period of such heightened trade tensions since the 1930s. Barry Eichengreen, University of California Berkeley Economics Professor, says if there is to be progress on trade with China, it will have to be incremental. Shannon Cross, Cross Research Co-Founder, says the entire tech-hardware industry is moving toward service models, centered around recurring payments from consumers. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says U.S. voters are still concerned about the economy but less so than during the recession. And Demian Flowers, Commerzbank Automotive Analyst, says in order to profit from autos, overall manufacturing costs must go down.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist and Portfolio Manager, says a hawkish cut is a mistake in this environment. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, says Apple is an astonishingly resilient company. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Rates Strategist, says the Fed can sound more dovish than the market expects. And Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says at the moment, this is Boris Johnson's election to lose. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says as long as the consumer continues to grow at its current pace, we can be "reasonably confident" we're not on the cusp of a recession. Peter Dixon, Commerzbank Global Equities Economist, says the European economy looks very sluggish compared to the United States. Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist, explains why Jerome Powell will orchestrate a hawkish cut tomorrow. Cheryl Miller, AutoNation CEO, says the majority of vehicles are purchased on credit and she feels good about the consumer. And Jennifer Bartashus, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, says Beyond Meat is more like a technology company than a food one.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Michael Purves, Tallbacken Capital Advisors CEO, thinks that earnings season so far has been an important affirmation of what the bulls would like to see. Axel Christensen, BlackRock Chief Investment Strategist For Latin America, says Chile's President-elect Alberto Fernandez will have to negotiate deep structural changes in Argentina. Stephanie Kelly, Aberdeen Standard Senior Political Economist, says U.K. growth has been very weak relative to its potential. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says that heading into third quarter earnings, investors were very bearish. And Sameer Samana, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Senior Global Market Strategist, says macro events like trade uncertainty and Brexit affect levels of volatility, but the market is primarily driven by the Fed.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Brian Levitt, Invesco Global Market Strategist, thinks the market is looking for the next catalyst to push higher. James Athey, Aberdeen Standard Investments Senior Investment Manager, says the Brexit "purgatory" is suiting no one. Brett Bruen, Global Situation Room Director and Former Global Engagement Director in the Obama White House, says President Trump's decision to pull out of the Iran Nuclear Deal makes a deal with North Korea much less likely. Nela Richardson, Edward Jones Investment Strategist, says earnings growth will continue to slow but still sees "bright lights" when it comes to the consumer.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kate Moore, BlackRock Global Allocation Investment Team Head of Thematic Strategy, explains why we haven't seen the worst of it, despite some signs of life in third-quarter earnings. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, discusses Mario Draghi's legacy at the European Central Bank and the impact of a Lagarde presidency on the euro. Francesco Papadia, Former ECB Director General of Market Operations, explains why he thinks bank loans are the new asset the ECB is most likely to buy. Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell, Former ECB Executive Board Member, says that the negative effects of low interest rates are visible in the economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Editor, says Trump would like to unwind U.S. commitments in the Middle East. Catherine Barnard, The U.K. in a Changing Europe Senior Fellow, says, "the ball is currently in the EU's court" after Boris Johnson begrudgingly has asked for an extension on Brexit. Wei Li, BlackRock Head of iShares EMEA Investment Strategy, says the low rate environment is contagious. Scott Galloway, NYU Stern Professor, thinks that Softbank's $9.5B WeWork rescue will go down as the costliest exercise in saving face in the history of the private markets. And Michael Nathanson, Moffettnathanson Senior Research Analyst, says we are heading towards a "race to the bottom" in a pivotal time for the media industry.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says about 80% of companies are beating expectations this Q3. Daniel Katzive, BNP Head of FX Strategy North America, says the immediate risk of a no-deal Brexit has been removed. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg News, says WeWork is gravitating towards SoftBank with the hopes it will be "more patient." Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says the trade war has taken a toll on manufacturing activity. And Sara Senatore, Sanford C Bernstein Consumer Analyst, says McDonald's is doing well in developed economies.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Edward Evans, Bloomberg Opinion Managing Editor, thinks that we are in for intense Parliamentary warfare over the next few days. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, thinks that Boris Johnson is within touching distance of getting the majority that he needs. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, says there's no lack of worries in the global stock market. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says the manufacturing sector is weak. And Frank Bennack, Hearst Executive Vice Chairman & “Leave Something on the Table” Author, says distribution is "King Kong."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says anybody who is betting on the breakup of the euro is making a bad bet. Jacob Frenkel, JPMorgan Chase International Chairman, says monetary policy has been the only game in town and we are paying the price for it now. Mij Rahman, Eurasia Group Managing Director of Europe, says a hard Brexit remains a risk. Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank Securities Chief Economist, says the trade war between the U.S. and China appears to be escalating rather than diminishing. And John Hudak, Brookings Senior Fellow in Governance Studies, underlines the parallels between the current impeachment inquiry and Richard Nixon's in 1974.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Rosalind Mathieson, Bloomberg Executive Editor for International Government, says U.K. PM Boris Johnson still needs to win the backing of U.K. lawmakers for a Brexit deal. Huw Van Steenis, UBS Senior Adviser to CEO and Former Senior Adviser to BOE's Mark Carney, says it's "striking" Johnson was able to get the EU to back him. Jason Furman, Former White House Economic Adviser to Pres. Obama and current Harvard Kennedy School Professor, reflects on the accomplishments of the winners of the 2019 Nobel Prize in Economics. Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors U.S. Investment Strategist, says trade uncertainty has a negative impact on businesses. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy & Senior Analyst, thinks there will be some rebels within the Labour party who will vote for a deal.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ian Bremmer Eurasia Group Founder & President and Thomas Buberl, AXA CEO, launch a co-authored report looking at the key emerging risks facing the world in the next 5-10 years. Alison Williams, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, dissects Bank of America's third-quarter results. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former Supreme Allied Commander at NATO, sees bipartisan agreement that the current crisis in Syria is considered a failure of American foreign policy. Leo Tilman, "Agility" Author and Financier, explains why strategic and tactile agility should be practiced at any organization to thrive. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg TV & Radio Finance Reporter, says revenue at investment banks is not "winning."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Tom Orlik, Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist, updates us on trade talks between the U.S. and China. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, says the slowdown in Chinese manufacturing began before we had an escalation of trade tensions. Jeremy Stretch, CIBC Head of G10 FX Strategy, discusses why scheduled tariffs will be pushed "further into the distance" if progress is made. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Head of Banks and Diversified Finance Research, discusses what to watch as U.S. banks report third-quarter earnings this week. And David Sowerby, Ancora Managing Director & Portfolio Manager, says what we know for certain is that CEOs don't like uncertainty. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Anthony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist, says uncertainty is driving the bond market. Rupert Harrison, Multi-Asset Strategies Portfolio Manager at BlackRock, discusses Brexit and says the European Union and Ireland have an incentive to wait things out to see what an election delivers. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow, explains why the Chinese are very wary of making a deal with President Trump right now. Brooke Sutherland, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says General Electric is trying to put a cap on viability spending in order to acclimate for new interest rates. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research Head, says as banks report earnings, investors should pay attention to how banks are using technology to stay efficient.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Orlik, Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist, says the fact that the Chinese delegation are in the U.S. suggests they want a trade deal. Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategies, foresees slower economic growth. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, discusses why it's critical to get the next rounds of tariff hikes suspended. Lionel Laurent, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, thinks the worst-case scenario for Brexit just improved. And Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Co-Founder, says Apple's wearable products will likely drive the company's stock higher in the future. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Global Head of FX Analysis, explains why the currency issue between the U.S. and China will be easy to resolve. Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow for Middle East & Africa Studies, discusses how the Turkish incursion has the potential to affect politics in Europe and the U.S. David Pearl, Epoch Investment Partners Co-Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager, says Saudi Aramco's upcoming IPO is less about growth and more about increasing ownership value. Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President, says any future rate adjustments should be restrained and modest. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Stephen Schwarzman, Blackstone CEO and Chairman, discusses his new book, "What it Takes: Lessons on the Pursuit of Excellence." He also weighs in on U.S.-China trade negotiations and notes their permanence after President Trump. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Drew Matus, Metlife Investment Management Chief Market Strategist, says that if the U.S.-China trade war ends with a partial truce then the whole conflict has been a waste. Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, thinks that negative rates in the U.S. would potentially break the financial system. Lale Topcuoglu, JOHCM Fund Head of Credit & Senior Fund Manager, discusses why a top-down approach can be misleading for investors. And Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Senior Fellow, says the Kurds have been the U.S.A.'s best allies in the Middle East region. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist says, the trade dispute has spilled over into a capital market dispute. Tobias Adrian, IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department Director, says rising debt around the world is creating certain vulnerabilities. Jihad Azour, IMF Middle East and Central Asia Department, says only the private sector can help build the economic state of Middle Eastern countries, prioritizing"inclusive growth." Sarah House, Wells Fargo Senior Economist, explains why she expects to see a dip to a run rate economy below 2% over the next couple of quarters. Tom Petrie, Petrie Partners Chairman, says major oil companies in North America are behind the curve on the shale revolution. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says average hourly earnings is the most important number to pay attention to from the U.S. Employment Report because it provides insight about consumers' ability to drive consumption. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed's dot plot can be confusing at times but is here to stay. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Systematic Fixed Income Team Senior Portfolio Manager, says we are heading in the direction of slow employment growth. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO U.S. Economist, says Friday's mixed jobs data coupled with disappointing ISM data suggests that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in October and could lead to more easing in December. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says the real economic trouble for the United States is the collapse of the European economy, not the ongoing trade war with China.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Krishna Memani, Invesco Vice Chairman of Investments, says the U.S. economy will be able to grow at a reduced rate, despite trade tensions and manufacturing weakness, because of the momentum in the consumer and service sectors. Margaret Patel, Wells Capital Management Senior Portfolio Manager, thinks that the treasury curve is pretty much immune to short-term fluctuations in stocks. Shuli Ren, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says U.S. investors see China as a big country with "a lot" of demand, but no supply. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, discusses the implications of a global economic slowdown on the VIX index. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School Finance Professor, says the global slowdown is going to continue until Germany delivers a major fiscal package, which is unlikely to happen any time soon. Rosalind Mathieson, Bloomberg International Government Executive Editor, says Prime Minister Johnson will crash out if he gets a no-deal Brexit. John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer & Co. Chief Investment Strategist, thinks that the demand for equities is likely to increase. Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Global Markets Chief U.S. Economist, details the current growth scare saying, “it’s harder to attribute this growth scare to something transitory.” David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Host of Bloomberg's Peer to Peer Conversations, reflects on his conversation with Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg who reiterated her belief in incremental justice. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

David Page, AXA Investment Managers Senior Economist U.S. & U.K., says that we are close to a tipping point in the labor market. Timothy Graf, State Street Bank Head of EMEA Macro Strategy, says the Fed is more dovish than what markets anticipate. Alessio de Longis, Invesco Investment Solutions Senior Portfolio Manager, says emerging market growth is what will lead us into a rotation trade. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, says China is working to ease current tensions but is not interested in pursuing the kind of structural reforms that Trump and Washington say are necessary. And Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says we don't have the tools we once had to stimulate the economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says China has given up on President Trump. Elizabeth Economy, CFR Senior Fellow and Director for Asia Studies, says the Chinese government will continue to use all the mechanisms they have at their disposal to keep the economy stable. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, discusses developments in the potential trading restrictions between U.S. and Chinese companies. And Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the consumer remains resilient because the labor market is strong. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says inflation is low. Sonali Basak, Bloomberg TV & Radio Finance Reporter, discusses what's ahead for new Wells Fargo CEO Charles Scharf. Lindsay Newman, Chatham House U.S. and the Americas Programme Senior Research Fellow, says the partisan divide is key in impeachment proceedings. And Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, discusses Brexit's impact on how the BOE will operate as October 31st nears. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ken Burns, Documentary Filmmaker, joins Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for a discussion on his latest film, "Country Music." Burns discusses iconic Martin guitars, the modernization of the genre, and country music's role in U.S. history. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.