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Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance

4,491 episodes — Page 40 of 90

Surveillance: Markets with Wu Silverman

Amy Wu Silverman of RBC Capital Markets says the market consensus is bearish and the tale of optimism doesn't exist. Libby Cantrill of PIMCO believes a deal on the debt ceiling is "imminent," and could come together by this weekend. Mike Schumacher of Wells Fargo Securities says global inflation remains stubborn. Michael Gapen of BofA Securities says a Fed rate hike in June can't be ruled out. Chris Marinac of Janney Montgomery Scott says banks are in a goog spot and getting better each quarter. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 17, 202337 min

Surveillance: Recession Forecast Loh

Marvin Loh, State Street Senior Global Macro Strategist, says a recession is unavoidable. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Economist says the consumer is hanging in there following retail sales data. Lindsay Rosner, Portfolio Manager at PGIM Fixed Income says the inflation battle is not over, and says a move into fixed income makes sense. Chuck Grom of Gordon Haskett warns of a "discretionary recession" in retail. Isaac Boltansky, BTIG Director for Policy Research says hearings rarely change policy ahead of the Senate hearing on the failures of SVB and Signature Bank. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 16, 202330 min

Surveillance: Painful Range with Kaiser

Stuart Kaiser, Citi Head of US Equity Trading Strategy, says we're "bouncing into a ceiling and a floor" between 3,800 and 4,200 on the S&P 500. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says 2Q GDP could actually surprise to the upside. Oscar Munoz, Former United Airlines CEO, discusses the state of the airline industry. Janno Lieber, MTA Chair & CEO, discusses safety and affordability of New York City public transit. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, discusses Biden, McCarthy's upcoming debt-limit meeting. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 15, 202336 min

NEW PODCAST: Bloomberg Daybreak

Get today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes. Subscribe to the Bloomberg Daybreak podcast: 1) On Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bloomberg-daybreak-us-edition/id1663860720 2) On Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0DPsJjKQajOKKw35Hme5af 3) Anywhere: https://omny.fm/shows/bloomberg-daybreakSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 14, 20231 min

BONUS EPISODE: Jamie Dimon Speaks To Bloomberg

Jamie Dimon joins Bloomberg News to discuss the debt ceiling, the regional banking crisis and the US economy. The CEO of JPMorgan Chase speaks with Bloomberg's Francine Lacqua from the bank's Global Markets Conference in Paris. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 13, 202318 min

Surveillance: Fed Outlook with Hatzius

Jan Hatzius, Chief Economist at Goldman Sachs, says the market is being overly aggressive in pricing in Fed rate cuts. Cameron Dawson, NewEdge Wealth CIO, says the risk of recession is high but we're not seeing the 'whites of the eyes' in the hard data. Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, says people in Washington DC have lost focus, and there's plenty of other things we should be focusing on rather than the debt ceiling. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says that when the Fed does cut rates, they'll be cutting aggressively. Bloomberg's Annmarie Hordern talks the debt ceiling after her exclusive interview with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at the G7 meeting in Japan. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 12, 202339 min

BONUS EPISODE: Janet Yellen Speaks To Bloomberg

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sat down for an exclusive interview with Bloomberg News. She speaks with Bloomberg's Annmarie Hordern on the sidelines of a Group of Seven gathering of finance officials in Niigata, Japan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 12, 202312 min

Surveillance: Debt Ceiling with Dimon

Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Chairman & CEO, says the debt ceiling issue is potentially catastrophic, and says "you will have panic" the closer the US gets to a default. After PPI data and initial jobless claims, as well as the BOE's rate hike, John Ryding, Chief Economic Advisor at Brean Capital, says a recession in the US and UK is inevitable. Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, explains exactly where he would put money to work amid all the market uncertainties. Megan Horneman, CIO at Verdence Capital Advisors, says there will be more bank crises to come. Tom Tzitzouris, Head of Fixed Income at Strategas, believes this is a good time for the Fed to pause, but to keep the door open to another hike. Brian Wieser, Madison & Wall Principal, joins to discuss Disney's earnings, and the outlook for streaming. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 11, 202344 min

Chief Future Officer: Kathy Milthorpe, LPGA

Chief Financial Officers now play a critical role in shaping business strategy and positioning organizations to meet future challenges. This episode focuses on LPGA CFO Kathy Milthorpe, whose career at the leading U.S. women's golf association began over 30 years ago. Milthorpe and LPGA Commissioner Mollie Marcoux Samaan speak with Scarlet Fu about the opportunities ahead for the LPGA -- with record numbers of women participating in golf, and growing sponsor interest in women's sports.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 11, 202322 min

Surveillance: US Inflation with Dudley

Bill Dudley, Former NY Fed President, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Bloomberg Economics Senior Adviser, says its hard to see 2% inflation with the labor market this tight and wages this high. Mario Gabelli, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, explains exactly where he would put money to work amid all the market uncertainties. Rep French Hill, (R) Arkansas, says Treasury Secretary Yellen could "step in right now" and help develop a debt ceiling deal that would "pass overwhelmingly" and be signed into law before deadline. Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs Chief Global Equity Strategist, sees the market environment ripe for nuanced and diversified investors. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director, discusses debt-limit talks between Biden, McCarthy. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 10, 202338 min

Surveillance: Debt Limit with Crebo-Rediker

Heidi Crebo-Rediker, CFR Senior Fellow, International Capital Strategies Partner & Former US State Department Chief Economist, says "there must be market pressure" in order for politicians to act on the debt ceiling. Robert Tipp, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Investment Strategist & Head of Global Bonds, says we can see a drop in yields and a widening of credit spreads if there is an "accidental default." Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer, says no company is immune from recession. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says recession is not imminent. Helane Becker, Cowen Senior Research Analyst, says travel demand is exceeding supply. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 9, 202342 min

Surveillance: Risk Management with McWilliams

Jelena McWilliams, Former FDIC Chair & Cravath Swaine & Moore Partner, says regional banks must manage risk. Daleep Singh, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Global Economist, says congress is as polarized as its ever been. David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says the recent growth data and US jobs report don't suggest a recession. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, sees yields remaining range-bound. Adam Tooze, Columbia University Professor of History, sees a bifurcation of the US economy. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 8, 202337 min

Surveillance: US Payrolls Crush Estimates

Economics & Fmr. Fed Governor, says the Fed is not going to quit until the labor market quits. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says "the tightening is yet to show up" as the US unemployment rate falls to 3.4% in April. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Chief US Economist, discusses the payrolls report beating estimates. Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, says most regional banks "have much more stable deposit flows than anyone realizes." Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 5, 202327 min

Surveillance: ECB Signals More Hikes to Come

Katrina Dudley, Franklin Mutual Series Portfolio Manager, says the ECB is signaling "that the core inflation number is still too high," following a 25 basis point hike by the central bank. Steven Ricchiuto, Mizuho Chief US Economist, says the Fed should end quantitative tightening. Matthew Monks, Bloomberg News, discusses PacWest weighing strategic options. Wei Li, BlackRock Global Chief Investment Strategist, says "we don't think this is a banking-specific systemic type of crisis. Tom Forte, DA Davidson Sr. Research Analyst, previews Apple earnings. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 4, 202329 min

Surveillance Analysis: The Fed Decision

Bill Dudley, former Federal Reserve Bank of New York President and Jeffrey Rosenberg, BlackRock Financial Managing Director, discuss the latest rate decision and Chair Powell's news conference. They speak with Tom Keene, Jon Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 3, 202326 min

Surveillance Instant Reaction: The Fed Decides

Richard Clarida, PIMCO Global Economic Advisor and former Fed Vice Chair, breaks down the most recent Federal Reserve rate decision. He speaks with Tom Keene, Jon Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz on a special edition on Bloomberg Surveillance. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 3, 202312 min

Surveillance: Fed Signal with Betsy Duke

Betsy Duke, Former Wells Fargo Chair & Former Fed Governor, says the Fed has to be careful not to signal any movement toward this rate cut that this market is expecting. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Head of Global Economic Research, says the case for the Fed to ease "is not that strong." David Chiaverini, Wedbush Securities Equity Research Director, says he could see the Fed pivoting away from their inflation focus and cutting rates if a "domino effect" occurs in the banking crisis. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Co-Founder & Head of Research, says we're seeing fear of uncertainty reflected in oil prices. John Lawler, Ford CFO, says EV demand is strong but sees more competition and pricing pressure with its electric crossover models. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 3, 202330 min

Surveillance: Earnings Contraction with Han

Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says earnings contraction is already occurring. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy & Large Cap Bank Analyst, discusses JPMorgan's acquisition of First Republic. Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Global Interest Rates and Currencies Strategist, says the debt ceiling might "come down to the wire." Mike Krack, Aston Martin F1 Team Principal, discusses the team's strong start to the 2023 season and the Miami Grand Prix coming up this weekend. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director, discusses Biden's debt limit meeting. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 2, 202337 min

Surveillance: JPMorgan To Acquire First Republic

Chris Marinac of Janney Montgomery Scott says First Republic Bank was caught in the 'friendly fire' from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab says "it's hard to divorce the Fed's actions from what's happening in the banking sector". Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, Managing Principal at MRV Associates, does not agree with JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's assessment that we're 'getting near the end of it' on bank failures. Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, says "it's remarkable the resilience we've seen" in the banking sector. Joe LaVorgna, Chief Economist at SMBC Group, says "it was Fed policy itself that caused this crisis." Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

May 1, 202335 min

Surveillance: Stagflation with Shah

Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management says "stagflation by far is the worst case scenario." Phil Orlando, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated Hermes says they're "expecting negative GDP prints in the third and fourth quarter of this year." Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President reveals why, just this week, he moved back into a net short position, drawing witty parallels between the market and the New York Yankees. Bob Sulentic, President & CEO of CBRE says there will be some antiquated office buildings that can't be converted to residential. Jurrien Timmer, Global Macro Director at Fidelity Investments discusses next week's Fed rate decision and the ongoing battle with inflation. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 28, 202334 min

Surveillance: Slowing US Growth

Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says the US is losing momentum, but is still resilient following the latest GDP print. Michael Nathanson, SVB MoffettNathanson Senior Research Analyst, says Meta is a $300 stock. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, expects the market will end the year higher than 4,200. Bob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, says a slowdown is still upon us. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy & Large Cap Bank Analyst, says the "monetary policy to stimulate the economy right now obviously is not there because [the Fed] has to fight inflation." Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 27, 202332 min

Surveillance: Flashing Red with Donald

Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says "basically every traditional leading indicator of recession is flashing red." Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says we're in a slow bleed into recession. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, says First Republic needs "a solution and they need one very quickly." Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, discusses McCarthy's debt limit bill. Timothy Horan, Oppenheimer Senior Analyst, discusses Microsoft earnings and says the company is taking the lead on AI. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 26, 202334 min

Surveillance: Biden's Reelection Bid

Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Economic Policy Research Director, discusses President Joe Biden's 2024 reelection bid. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund and Large Cap Growth Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, says Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta are all well positioned to win when it comes to AI. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, discusses First Republic earnings. Rishi Jaluria, RBC Capital Markets Software Equity Analyst, previews Microsoft earnings. Paul Jacobson, General Motors CFO, says GM won't resort to layoffs to cut costs. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 25, 202333 min

Surveillance: Central Bank Policy with Nordvig

Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO and MarketReader Founder & CEO says the combination of "too high inflation and growth that's actually getting better means it's very, very hard for the ECB to relax." Margie Patel, Allspring Global Investments Sr. Portfolio Manager, still likes the tech sector. Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, expects between 1.5-2% growth on the month in the US. Richard Greenfield, Lightshed Partners Media and Technology Analyst and Partner, discusses upcoming tech earnings. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 24, 202327 min

Surveillance: Fed's Pain Threshold with Misra

Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says we don't know the Fed's pain threshold and the market is going to grapple with that for the rest of the year. Daniel Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, discusses Tesla and upcoming big tech earnings. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says a "cliff dive moment" in the second quarter is not happening. Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, MRV Associates Managing Principal, says the regional banks are preparing "at worst, for the beginning of a recession or at best, for a softening of the economy." Daniel Tannebaum, Oliver Wyman Global Anti-Financial Crime Practice Leader & Atlantic Council Senior Fellow, discuss Biden's plans to limit investment in China. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 21, 202335 min

Surveillance: Fed in Focus with Carpenter

Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Global Chief Economist, doesn't expect the Fed to cut to zero "even if we did get a mild recession." Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, sees banking pressures lingering for longer as they undergo an "unwind" process from fiscal and monetary expansion. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, discusses regional bank earnings. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says some investors see the political risk of investing in China increasing. Jonathan Gray, Blackstone President & COO, discusses the firm's first-quarter performance. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 20, 202338 min

Surveillance: Aggressive Cuts with Luzzetti

Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief US Economist, expects the Fed to be cutting rates more aggressively. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy & Large Cap Bank Analyst, discusses Morgan Stanley earnings. Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, sees a return to a trading environment of higher inflation volatility. Michael O'Leary, Ryanair CEO, expects double-digit price increases for airfares this year. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillanceSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 19, 202326 min

Surveillance: Transition Period with Zelter

Jim Zelter, Apollo Asset Management Co-President, says we're in a "transition period" as markets face a higher cost of capital in debt financing. Dan Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management Chief Strategist, doesn't think we're close to a recession. Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide Chief Economist, says consumers are still feeling the weight of high inflation. David Konrad, KBW Large Cap US Bank Equity Research Analyst, discusses US bank earnings. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist and Managing Director, says China's 1Q GDP print is an "abysmal result." Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 18, 202339 min

Surveillance: Yield Forecast with HSBC's Major

Steven Major, HSBC Global Head of Fixed Income Research, says it's very difficult to imagine us getting back to 4% on the 10-year. Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank Chief Global Strategist & Head of Asset Allocation, says the equity market is not pricing in that much in terms of a credit downturn. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, says there's two big risks to a long EUR-USD view: a rebound in banking data and a rebound in oil prices. David Bailin, Citi Global Wealth CIO & Global Head of Investments, expects earnings to go down - probably between 7-10%. Julie Norman, UCL Centre on US Politics Co-Director, says different interests are at play in regards to China. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 17, 202336 min

Surveillance: Banking Tremor with El-Erian

Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Queens' Cambridge College President, says this was not a banking crisis, rather a "banking tremor." Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, calls the banking system "resilient" as the financial sector reports results. Valdis Dombrovskis, European Commission Executive Vice President, says the EU is constructively engaged with the US on the Inflation Reduction Act. Lupin Rahman, Head of EM Sovereign Credit & Portfolio Manager, says the Fed cycle is extremely important for major emerging markets. Erik Nielsen, UniCredit Group Chief Economics Advisor, says economic policy is not in the drivers seat anymore. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 14, 202336 min

Surveillance: Debt Pressure with Malpass

David Malpass, World Bank President, says the developing world is under "giant pressure" from debt. Gita Gopinath, IMF First Deputy Managing Director, says the balance of risks facing the world economy remain tilted to the downside. Paolo Gentiloni, EU Commissioner for Economy, says Europe is on track to rebalance China trade. Tobias Adrian, IMF Director of Monetary and Capital Markets, says there's certainly evidence in the data of some contraction in lending. Raghuram Rajan, Chicago Booth Professor of Finance, Former IMF Chief Economist & Former Reserve Bank of India Governor, says longer-term growth "doesn't look good." See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 13, 202341 min

Surveillance: March CPI Sets Stage for Fed

Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, still sees the Fed hiking by 25 basis points in May following the March CPI print. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund Portfolio Manager, says the direction of the banking crisis is "clear" but "the magnitude is not." Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President & former BOE Monetary Policy Committee member, discusses the problems with subsidies in global trade. Tim Adams, Institute of International Finance President and CEO & former Under Secretary of Treasury for International Affairs, says this isn't a banking crisis. Mark Kimmitt, former US Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs & Retired Brigadier General, discusses the leak of classified documents. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 12, 202338 min

Surveillance: Raising Rates with Citi's Clark

Veronica Clark, Citi Economist, sees the Fed terminal rate at 5.5 to 5.75%, anticipating another rate hike in May, June and July. Douglas Rediker, International Capital Strategies Managing Partner & Former IMF Executive Board Member, says there's a "group think" at the IMF and World Bank that contributes to the gloom forecasts. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Global Head of Macro Strategy, says "something broke" but the Fed would need another "big debacle" in the markets before easing. John Bolton, Former National Security Adviser & Former US Ambassador to the United Nations, discusses the leak of classified Pentagon documents. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 11, 202331 min

Surveillance: Peak Yields with Rajappa

Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, says yields seem to have peaked. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says investors are being "a little too complacent" to geopolitical risks. Steven Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities USA Chief Economist, says there is a substantial amount of firepower left in the consumer. Daniel Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, says an EV arms race is playing out. Adam Tooze, Columbia University Professor, says a zero-rate world is off the table. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 10, 202342 min

Surveillance: Job's Day Moderation

Mohamed El-Erian of Bloomberg Opinion says we are likely to see the Fed go 25 basis points in May. Former Fed Governor Randy Kroszner says the Fed won't quite until the labor market quits. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Economist says the growth deceleration will continue. US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo says President Biden is obsessed with bringing manufacturing back to America. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 7, 202323 min

Surveillance: Banks In 4% Rate World

Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor of Finance says the banking system can't operate with interest rates at 4%. Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Global Interest Rates and Currencies Strategist says it's the "speedy, aggressive and abrupt increase" to 4% rates that is the problem. Julie Norman, UCL Centre on US Politics Co-Director says Europe's more open-handed approach to China could be an advantage for the US. Carl Riccadonna, BNP Paribas Chief US Economist, Markets 360 says there's some progress on the inflation fight. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 6, 202333 min

Surveillance: Fed's Path with Mester

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester says Fed officials will need to raise interest rates "a little bit higher" and then hold them there for some time to bring inflation back toward their goal. Claudia Sahm, Former Federal Reserve Economist & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the Fed's tools could cause a lot of pain. Gargi Chaudhuri, BlackRock Head of iShares Investment Strategy Americas calls this a "generational opportunity" for high quality income from fixed income. Michael Zeldin, Former Federal Prosecutor, discusses Donald Trump's legal troubles.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 5, 202331 min

Surveillance: Inflation Fighters with Peters

Gregory Peters, PGIM Fixed Income Co-CIO, says central banks have to be viewed as inflation fighters in order to get rates lower over time. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says the US economy is not collapsing. Barbara Reinhard, Voya Investment Management Head of Asset Allocation, says the Fed is likely first to pause and cut. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President & "The Bill of Obligations: The Ten Habits of Good Citizens" Author, discusses Finland joining NATO and the indictment of former US President Donald Trump. Stephen Pagliuca, Bain Capital Senior Advisor, discusses Bloomberg's 'Brackets for a Cause' as well as the private credit market following SVB's collapse. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 4, 202334 min

Surveillance: Fed Policy with Bullard

James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, says OPEC's decision to cut output came as a "surprise," but it's not clear what higher oil prices will mean for US monetary policy. John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, says the response to the bank turmoil has been swift and strong. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, still expects 4,100 on the S&P 500 by year-end. Ed Morse, Citi Research Global Head of Commodities, sees a "scenario" for $100 oil but says we're not "anywhere near there yet." See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 3, 202341 min

Surveillance: Fed Course with Susan Collins

Susan Collins, Boston Fed President, says history shows the Fed must stay the course on inflation. Michael Zeldin, Former Federal Prosecutor & American University Washington College of Law Adjunct Professor, discusses former President Donald Trump's indictment. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research Founder & President, says the Fed "is not thinking pause right now" unless there is a significant slowdown in credit. Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank Chief US Economist, says inflation is still too high for the Fed's liking. Daniel Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, says there is another 10-15% upside in tech.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 31, 202339 min

Surveillance: Citi's Fed Funds Forecast

Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist, says we could see a Fed funds rate as high as 5.75%. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says the Nasdaq rally has been overdone. Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, MRV Associates Managing Principal, discusses the US bank hearings. Stephen Pagliuca, Bain Capital Senior Advisor & Boston Celtics Co-Owner, says there's still plenty of opportunities in tech. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, details his view on the banking crisis and also why he moved into a market neutral position, this morning. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 30, 202339 min

Surveillance: Bank Turmoil with KBW's Michaud

Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, says the banking crisis is behind us, "barring any other major shocks." Ed Al-Hussainy, Columbia Threadneedle Investments Senior Interest Rates Strategist, says the Fed will prioritize inflation. Geoffrey Yu, BNY Mellon Senior Market Strategist, says central banks will keep rates higher for longer. Wendy Schiller, Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy Director at Brown University, discusses the hearings on the collapse of SVB and Signature Bank. David Rubenstein, "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations" Host and Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, says the banking system is in "reasonably good shape." See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 29, 202332 min

Surveillance: Barclays' Rogoff on Fed Cuts

Brad Rogoff, Barclays Head of FICC Research, says Fed rate cuts can come in 2024, but expects one more hike this summer. Katrina Dudley, Franklin Mutual Series Portfolio Manager, is not in the camp of Fed rate cuts this year. Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Director of Research, says we are "on the road to recovery" from the banking turmoil. Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark Global Chief Market Strategist, doesn't expect rates to continue to fall. Stephen Engle, Bloomberg News, discusses Alibaba's plans to split its $220 billion empire into six units. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 28, 202333 min

Surveillance: Elevated Risks with Wilson

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist & CIO, says risk for the equity market is elevated now more than it's been for the last six or twelve months. Lisa Hornby, Schroders Head of US Multi-Sector Fixed Income, doesn't think banks are out of the woods yet. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Bank Equity Strategy and Large Cap Bank Analyst, says banks are moving in the right direction. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says this banking crisis is not like a normal banking crisis. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says we need a new trade policy in the US. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 27, 202335 min

Surveillance: Rate Cuts with Peterson

Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, doesn't anticipate the Fed cutting rates this year, even if there is a mild recession. Patrick Armstrong, Plurimi Wealth Chief Investment Officer, says the US is set to fall into a technical recession. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Research, discusses a potential TikTok ban. Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-Chief Investment Officer, says the market isn't "sleepwalking" through the recent banking turmoil. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 24, 202325 min

Surveillance: Market Pricing with Donald

Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says the markets may need to price in more cuts from the Fed. Alessio de Longis, Invesco Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of GTAA Solutions, says the Fed is looking at "marginal increases" going forward, whereas the ECB, BOE "have more to go." John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says the Fed's credibility is still on the line. Sen. Mark Warner, (D) Virginia, previews the TikTok hearing by the House of Representatives' Energy and Commerce Committee. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 23, 202320 min

Surveillance: Fed Special

Bloomberg Surveillance hosts Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz wrap up Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference with insight from top market names.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 22, 202332 min

Richard Clarida on the Fed Decision

Former Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve, Richard Clarida and TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, Priya Misra discuss the latest on the Fed decision with Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 22, 202317 min

Surveillance: Maximum Pressure with Michele

Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Management Head of Fixed income, says the Fed achieved the "maximum pressure" they need to bring down inflation. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Equities and Capital Markets Advisory, says Powell's credibility is still intact. Jonathan Pingle, UBS Chief Economist, expects the Fed to hike by 25 basis points at Wednesday's meeting. Betsy Duke, Former Wells Fargo Chair & Former Fed Governor, says Powell's credibility is his most important asset. David Malpass, World Bank President, says a global recession is not off the table. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 22, 202342 min

Surveillance: Fed Pause with PGIM's Rosner

Lindsay Rosner, PGIM Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says she'd like to see the Fed pause. Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Goldman Sachs Managing Director for Portfolio Strategy, says the Fed and ECB are not done yet with their hiking cycles. Dean Maki, Point 72 Chief US Economist, says recent data doesn't show much slowing in the US. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow & Author "Saudi Inc.", says she is concerned with oil demand. Dan Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management Chief Strategist, says the Fed shouldn't raise rates Wednesday. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 21, 202334 min