Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Wei Li & David Westin. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist at Morgan Stanley- Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman at Evercore ISI- Kelsey Berro, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management- Venu Krishna, Head: US Equity Strategy at BarclaysAndrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist at Morgan Stanley, discusses his outlook for the US economy and investment opportunities across equities, fixed income, and commodities. Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman at Evercore ISI, talks rate cuts, Fed independence, and the direction of the US economy. Kelsey Berro, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, talks about fixed income investment strategies. Venu Krishna, Head: US Equity Strategy at Barclays, talks about the sustainability of the equity rally.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 22nd, 2025Featuring:1) Wei Lei, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, joins for an extended discussion on staying risk on and sticking with the AI theme. US stocks are set to pull back from all-time highs, with traders dialing back risk at the start of a relatively quiet week on the events calendar.2) Jens Nordvig, founder at Exante Data, joins for an extended discussion on dollar hedging, gold, Fed independence, and Powell's last word. Gold hit a fresh record, powering past $3,700 an ounce as ETF inflows hit a three-year high, with market bets for almost two more cuts this year fueling a rally.3) Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist and Head: Economics Institute at Mastercard, brings us into the market open and talks about the health of the economy, US consumer, and Mastercard's holiday guide. Investors are increasingly bullish on the six-month outlook for US stock markets as the Fed has restarted its cuts, but some strategists think this is a case of collective overconfidence.4) Gautum Mukunda, Bloomberg Opinion contributor and lecturer at Yale School of Management, talks about tariffs, H-1B visas, and the latest on FCC-Kimmel. President Trump signed a proclamation to overhaul the H-1B visa program, requiring a $100,000 fee for applications to curb overuse.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- James Bullard, former St. Louis Fed President and Dean of Purdue Business School- Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors- Marissa Adams, Head: Global Trade Solutions at HSBC- Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities James Bullard, former St. Louis Fed President and Dean of Purdue Business School, discusses this week's Fed decision and the outlook for rates and labor in the US. Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities, discusses Federal spending priorities and recent political headlines. Marissa Adams, Head: Global Trade Solutions at HSBC, discusses the latest developments on US tariffs and trade. Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, reacts to this week's eco data and Fed decision.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 19th, 2025Featuring:1) Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior Economist at the Conference Board, joins for a discussion on the Fed's rate cut and the US economic outlook. US stocks are set for a quieter finish to a busy week after the Federal Reserve’s first step in a likely series of rapid interest rate cuts propelled markets to fresh records.2) Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods, on what comes next for markets after the Fed's long-anticipated rate cut. Looser policy is giving equity bulls a tailwind just as lofty valuations run up against bearish seasonal trends, with investors seeing plenty to keep equities climbing after a stellar rally.3) Hessam Nadji, CEO at Marcus & Millichap, joins to discuss how lowered interest rates could reshape real estate, Commercial Real Estate, and whether the concerns over CRE continue to be overblown.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a NYT story on a new study showing men seek weight loss treatment far less than women and WSJ's report on more homeowners spending big on outdoor cat patios, dubbed "Catios."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Frances Donald & Robert Kaplan. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock- Esther George, Former President at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City- Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, discusses the outlook for the equity rally as well as market risks after yesterday's Fed rate cut. Esther George, Former President at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, talks about how the Fed is managing its dual mandate. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP, reacts to Thursday jobless claims and discusses the health of the labor market. Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, discusses the Nvidia-Intel investment.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 18th, 2025Featuring:1) Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, joins for an extended discussion on the US labor market, inflation, and the Fed balancing its dual mandate. Fed Chair Jay Powell rallied a deeply divided committee of policymakers behind an interest rate-cut, the first cut of the year, after a significant slowdown in job growth.2) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates Strategy at BMO Capital Markets, joins to talk about the 10-year yield's path below 4% and outlook for Treasury gains. Jay Powell conceded the Fed's job would get more difficult, as policymakers face difficult trade-offs in considering whether to keep cutting rates, with some officials concerned about inflation and others about the labor market.3) Robert Kaplan, Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, talks about the Fed's decision to cut interest rates and whether the US economy is in, or could enter, a recession.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on AI agents and a Bloomberg report on Gen Z and FICO scores.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. Federal Reserve officials lowered their benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point and penciled in two more reductions this year following months of intense pressure from the White House to slash borrowing costs. Chair Jerome Powell pointed to growing signs of weakness in the labor market to explain why officials decided it was time to cut rates after holding them steady since December amid concerns over tariff-driven inflation. “Labor demand has softened, and the recent pace of job creation appears to be running below the break-even rate needed to hold the unemployment rate constant,” Powell told reporters in his post-meeting press conference. He added, “I can no longer say” the labor market is “very solid.” See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz break down the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision on a special edition of Bloomberg SurveillanceSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Andrew Hollenhorst & Matthew Hornbach. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Brian Moynihan, CEO at Bank of America- Jim DeMare, Co-President at Bank of America- Savita Subramanian, Head of US Equity and Quantitative Strategy at Bank of America- Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America A special edition of the Surveillance from Bank of America’s trading floor in NYC, featuring conversations with Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, Co-President Jim DeMare, Head of US Equity and Quantitative Strategy Savita Subramanian, and Senior US Economist Aditya Bhave.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 17th, 2025Featuring:1) Matt Hornbach, Global Head of Macro Strategy at Morgan Stanley, on Treasury steepening and what it indicates about rate easing over the next 12 months. Stocks treaded water as markets saw muted moves across most asset classes, with traders taking bets off the table ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve interest-rate decision. The risk is that policymakers sound less dovish to keep inflation in check, with a quarter-point cut at this meeting and three more by April already priced in.2) Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, brings us into the market open and talks about how a rate cut affects markets and the economy. The Fed is likely to balance this against still-elevated services inflation, maintaining a degree of flexibility in its messaging, with today’s meeting set to mark the official start of the easing cycle.3) Randy Schwimmer, Vice Chair at Churchill Asset Management, talks about continued inflows into private credit. Meanwhile, traditional investment firms are under pressure to expand into private markets and alternative investments, with some attempting takeovers and partnerships that have yet to pay off.4) Andrew Hollenhorst, Chief US Economist at Citi, joins to talk about yesterday's retail sales and recent eco data and what it means for the Fed today.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Alicia Levine & David Seif. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Steven Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist at Mizuho- Ian Lyngen, Head: US Rates Strategy at BMO Capital Markets- Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP- Elyas Galou, Senior Investment Strategist at Bank of America Steven Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist at Mizuho, discusses the outlook for the US economy as the Fed appears to begin its next easing cycle. Ian Lyngen, Head: US Rates Strategy at BMO Capital Markets, talks about the outlook for the 10-year yield and rate cuts in 2025. Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP, on President Trump's latest trade and economic priorities. Elyas Galou, Senior Investment Strategist at Bank of America, discusses the findings in the bank's recent Fund Managers Survey.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 16th, 2025Featuring:1) Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equity Advisory Solutions at BNY, on her S&P target and the sustainability of the equity rally. Stock bulls are riding high ahead of the Fed’s widely expected 25-basis-point cut on Wednesday, the first move in a policy easing round projected to run into 2026. Rate-sensitive tech shares have led the charge in the post-Liberation Day rebound, fueled by enthusiasm over the vast earnings potential tied to artificial intelligence.2) Dana Telsey, CEO and Chief Research Officer at Telsey Advisory Group, brings us into retail sales and talks about consumer health and the luxury sector. With the jobs market softening and prices rising, questions remain over how long consumers will keep spending freely.3) Liza Crawford, Co-Head of Globalized Securitized at TCW, brings us into the market open and talks asset backed finance and digital infrastructure.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an FT story on Prime Vision Football and the Washington Post's coverage of DC's first phone free bar.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Henrietta Treyz & Anastasia Amoroso. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Christian Nolting, Global CIO at Deutsche Bank- Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President- Greg Peters, Co-CIO at PGIM Fixed Income- Abigal Watt, Economist at UBS Christian Nolting, Global CIO at Deutsche Bank, offers his equity outlook in the US and across global economies. Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President, discusses his latest commentary and previews the upcoming Fed meeting. Greg Peters, Co-CIO at PGIM Fixed Income, talks about opportunities across fixed income and warnings from the bond market. Abigail Watt, Economist at UBS, joins for a discussion on markets, the US economy, and business investment. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 15th, 2025Featuring:1) Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, joins for a discussion on the equity rally and the headwinds US and global markets face through 2025. A quarter-point reduction in interest rates is seen as likely when the Fed announces its policy decision, with a small potential for a half-point move amid signs US job growth is slowing rapidly.2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, discusses Congressional priorities and potential for a September shutdown. Republicans are moving forward with a plan to fund the government past an Oct. 1 deadline without making concessions to Democrats demanding health-care policy changes. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer has demanded any funding measure address Democratic priorities like the Obamacare premiums, which Senate Majority Leader John Thune disparaged as “odd."3) Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at Partners Group, joins for a discussion on opportunities in private markets as well as the momentum carrying the equity rally. Markets have priced in reductions continuing into 2026 to ward off a recession, driving Treasury yields to the lowest in months and propelling US stocks to record highs. The risk to those wagers is that Fed officials signal that investors have gotten ahead of themselves with inflation stubbornly above the central bank’s target and the impact of tariffs still playing out on prices.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insider story on why AI's economic boost isn't showing up in GDP and WSJ's story on empty nesters.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Claudia Sahm and Tina Fordham Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Featuring:  - John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer & Co. Chief Investment Strategist - Robert Fishman, Moffettnathanson Senior Associate - Andrew Hollenhorst, Citigroup Global Markets Chief US EconomistSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 12th, 2025Featuring:1) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, previews President Trump's visit to England.2) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, looks ahead to the Fed meeting and interest rate decision. 3) Robert Teeter, Chief Investment Strategist at Silvercrest Asset Management, talks about what's moving markets and why. 4) Lisa Mateo on Newspapers, looking at why teens are dropping hundreds on back-to-school Hauls, and how it's E-Bike maybe in London.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Gershon Distenfeld & Anna Wong. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management- Tiffany Wilding, Economist at PIMCO- Waldemar Szlezak, Partner and Global Head: Digital Infrastructure at KKR- Tom Michaud, CEO at KBW David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management and Tiffany Wilding, Economist at PIMCO, react to CPI and discuss inflation, the labor market, and the outlook for interest rates. Waldemar Szlezak, Partner and Global Head: Digital Infrastructure at KKR, joins to talk about AI and data center investing. Tom Michaud, CEO at KBW, joins to talk about his business operations, the economic environment, and remembering 9/11.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 11th, 2025Featuring:1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, Erin McLaughlin, Economist at The Conference Board, and Mike McKee, International Economics & Policy correspondent with Bloomberg News, react to CPI. Expectations that the Fed will resume monetary easing this month have soared in recent weeks, as data increasingly point to a US labor market under strain.2) Anna Wong, Chief Economist at Bloomberg Economics, brings us into the market open and talks about why the US may be and have been in a recession already. Recently, Anna Wong wrote that downward job revisions highlighted the American economy could currently be experiencing a recession.3) Sheila Kahyaoglu, Aerospace and Defense Equity Research Analyst at Jeffries, discusses defense and aerospace sectors and opportunities for investment.4) Heath Terry, Citi Head of Tech and Research, discusses data center and AI investing and becoming the first AI analyst on Wall Street.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature a conversation with Michael Chui. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Jim Zelter, President at Apollo Global Management- French Hill, Chairman: House Financial Services Committee and Republican Rep: Arkansas- Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities- Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley Jim Zelter, President at Apollo Global Management, discusses the US economic outlook as well as inflation and the labor market. French Hill, Chairman: House Financial Services Committee and Republican Rep: Arkansas, discusses Fed Governor Lisa Cook and Republican economic and political priorities. Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, joins to discuss big tech and Apple's product reveal where he was on site in Cupertino. Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley, reacts to PPI and discusses the outlook for the US economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 10th, 2025Featuring:1) Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, brings us into PPI and discusses the outlook for inflation and whether she thinks the Fed should hike. It comes as US stocks are set to notch fresh highs after Oracle surged on a blowout outlook and traders bet that inflation reports won’t derail the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates.2) Nick Akerman, former assistant special Watergate prosecutor, joins to discuss the ruling on Fed governor Lisa Cook. A judge temporarily blocked President Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, allowing her to remain on the job as she challenges the president’s efforts to oust her over allegations of mortgage fraud.3) Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, talks about Apple's product reveal and other big tech news. Apple introduced four new phone models: the iPhone 17, the iPhone Air, the iPhone 17 Pro and the iPhone 17 Pro Max, all including Apple's latest in-house silicon, more advanced cameras and tougher outer glass.4) Leslie Palti-Guzman, founder at Energy Vista, discusses the energy impact of Israel's surprise attack in Qatar, and the outlook for war and how it will impact oil.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Nancy Tengler & Craig Brandon. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research- Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners- Oksana Aronov, Head: Market Strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management- Walter Piecyk, Partner at Lightshed Partners Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, joins to discuss his S&P target and his outlook for equities and US growth. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, discusses recent headlines in Washington and the prospects of a government shutdown. Oksana Aronov, Head: Market Strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, talks about fixed income opportunities and warnings from the bond market about the economy. Walter Piecyk, Partner at Lightshed Partners, joins to preview today's Apple product launch in Cupertino.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 9th, 2025Featuring:1) Ann Miletti, Head of Active Equity at Allspring Global Investments, joins to discuss staying active in the equity market amid policy uncertainty and concentration risk in markets. Investors in the Treasuries market face a test of bullish sentiment this week from inflation reports and a benchmark revisions for jobs data.2) Nancy Tengler, CEO at CIO at Laffer Tengler Investments, offers her stock picks and talks about how she's allocating amid labor and policy uncertainty. The market's ability to extend this month's rally will depend on the tone of producer and consumer inflation due Wednesday and Thursday. Traders will follow how the market absorbs the auctions of 3-, 10-, and 30-year Treasuries.3) Colin Hunt, CEO of Allied Irish Bank (AIB), talks about multinational customer activity, staying competitive in Europe and in Ireland amid US tariffs, and Irish infrastructure deficits.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Washington Post's report on test scores sliding and the Boston Globe story on the "RushTok" sorority crazeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US job growth was far less robust in the year through March than previously reported, adding to mounting pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.The number of workers on payrolls will likely be revised down by a record 911,000, or 0.6%, according to the government’s preliminary benchmark revision out Tuesday. The final figures are due early next year.Before the report, the government’s payrolls data indicated employers added nearly 1.8 million total jobs in the year through March on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, or an average of 149,000 per month. The revision showed average monthly job growth was roughly half that. For instant reaction and analysis, Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Scarlet Fu spoke with: Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief US Interest Rate Strategist Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent Stephanie Roth, Wolfe Research chief Economist   See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature a conversation with Steven Englander. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Ellen Zentner, Global Head: Macro Investing Wealth Management at Morgan Stanley- Jim Bianco, founder at Bianco Research- Eric Resnick, CEO at KSL Capital Partners- Tobin Marcus, Head: Policy & Politics at Wolfe Research Ellen Zentner, Global Head: Macro Investing Wealth Management at Morgan Stanley, joins to discuss her outlook for the labor market and a September rate cut. Jim Bianco, founder at Bianco Research, discusses whether the Fed is behind the curve as the labor market shows continued weakening. Eric Resnick, CEO at KSL Capital Partners, discusses consumer health and the outlook for travel. Tobin Marcus, Head: Policy & Politics at Wolfe Research, talks about the prospects of a government shutdown and President Trump's economic and political priorities.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 8th, 2025Featuring:1) Steve Englander, Global Head of G10 FX Research and of North America Strategy at Standard Chartered, brings us into the market open and talks about a weak dollar, tomorrow's labor revisions, and his call for a 50bps cut in September. Meanwhile, strategists including David Kostin of Goldman Sachs and Mike Wilson at Morgan Stanley expect further gains in US equities, with Kostin reiterating a year-end target for the S&P 500 of 6,600 points.2) Mark Geller, Global Head of Bank Debt Capital Markets at Barclays, talks issuance trends for banks, global corporate debt, and the intersection of global corporate debt and ballooning government spending.3) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to talk about tariffs and the prospects of a government shutdown in September.4) Stephen Carroll, host of Bloomberg's "Daybreak Europe" in London, joins from Paris to discuss the possible collapse of the French government today. Political uncertainty in Japan and France adds to a torrent of US data this week that will help determine the Federal Reserve's policy path, with a September interest-rate cut fully priced in.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Rebecca Patterson & Claudia Sahm. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 5th, 2025Featuring:1) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, Amy Wu Silverman, Head of Derivatives Strategy at RBC, and Kristina Campmany, Senior Portfolio Manager at Invesco, react to the August jobs report and discuss the outlook for a rate cut. Money markets are fully pricing in a Fed quarter-point cut this month and see at least two by year-end.2) Ken Rogoff, professor at Harvard University, former IMF Chief economist, and author of "Our Dollar, Your Problem," joins to discuss the US economy and jobs market, as well as his book on the dollar and recent Foreign Affairs article on Washington's spending crisis.3) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater, joins for an extended discussion on jobs, economic data, and Fed independence. It comes as Stephen Miran, President Trump's pick for the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors, pushed back against Democratic concerns that he would do Trump's bidding at the central bank. His nomination has raised questions over Fed independence.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insider story on NFL fans streaming without cable, and Bloomberg's story on pizza-flavored vodka.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Howard Lutnick, US Commerce Secretary- Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock- Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research- Michael Nathanson, Senior Analyst at Moffettnathanson Howard Lutnick, US Commerce Secretary, joins to discuss President Trump's economic priorities. Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock, and Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, react to the August jobs report and discuss the outlook for a rate cut. Michael Nathanson, Senior Analyst at Moffettnathanson, breaks down the White House tech meeting Thursday night.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Anna Wong & Constance Hunter. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Omar Aguilar, CEO and CIO at Charles Schwab Investment Management- Subadra Rajappa, Head: US Rates Strategy at Societe Generale- Monica Guerra, Head: US Policy at Morgan Stanley- Brooke Roach, Analyst at Goldman Sachs Omar Aguilar, CEO and CIO at Charles Schwab Investment Management, joins to discuss his outlook for equities amid a weakening labor market and uncertain policy. Subadra Rajappa, Head: US Rates Strategy at Societe Generale, talks about the path for rate cuts should the jobs report for August show further labor weakness. Monica Guerra, Head: US Policy at Morgan Stanley, talks about President Trump's tariff regime and the latest on his economic and political priorities. Brooke Roach, Analyst at Goldman Sachs, talks about consumer and retail health.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 4th, 2025Featuring:1) Stuart Kaiser, Head: US Equity Trading Strategy at Citi, joins to discuss his S&P target, the broadening of the equity rally, and opportunities in small caps. Wall Street strategists see signs that investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve independence as President Donald Trump seeks to impose his will on the central bank and pushes for interest-rate cuts.2) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, discusses recent eco data and what it portends about the path of rate cuts in 2025, not just September. Positioning in stock, bond and gold markets suggests that investors are preparing for a potential rise in inflation, according to the team at JPMorgan Chase.3) Monica Guerra, Head of US Policy at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, joins to discuss President Trump's economic and political priorities. President Trump asked the US Supreme Court to uphold his global tariffs, seeking review in a case that could affect trade and give him broad new leverage over the world economy.4) Ben McMillan, CIO at IDX Advisors, talks about the record rise in gold and the return of the bond vigilantes. Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group say that growing concerns regarding US institutional credibility are creating significant tail risks that could lead to commodity price spikes, including in gold.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Wei Li & Mark Gurman. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler- Mark Cabana, Head: US Rates Strategy at Bank of America- Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO- Kate McShane, Analyst at Goldman Sachs Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler, discusses recent eco data, US labor health, and growth of jobs in the private sector. Mark Cabana, Head: US Rates Strategy at Bank of America, talks about the outlook for interest rates in the US. Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO, joins to discuss the latest political headlines in Washington. Kate McShane, Analyst at Goldman Sachs, talks retail and consumer health.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney                                          September 3rd, 2025Featuring:1) Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity and Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, joins for a discussion on his note "Twice in a Lifetime" and his 2026 S&P target as he remains bullish on equities. Stocks in the premarket rebounded modestly as traders tracked the selloff in long-dated bonds, fueled by anxiety over inflation and mounting government debt.2) Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, talks about the global bond selloff and upward pressure on yields. Treasuries this morning fell, lifting US 30-year borrowing costs to within a whisker of touching 5% for the first time since July, as a global selloff of government bonds deepened. The yield climbed as much as four basis points to 4.999%, mirroring similar moves in the UK and Japan.3) Johanna Chua, Head of Emerging Market Economics, and Chief Asia Economist at Citi, discusses the global bond selloff and yields rising in Japan, as well as the outlook for Chinese growth. Meanwhile, Chinese President Xi Jinping showcased the nation's growing firepower and diplomatic influence at a military parade alongside international allies, including Russia's Vladimir Putin and North Korea's Kim Jong Un.4) Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO, discusses the possible government shutdown, Stephen Miran Fed nomination and Lisa Cook latest, as well as President Trump's tariff court battle.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Ernie Tedeschi & Henrietta Treyz. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Phil Orlando, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated Hermes- Leland Miller, CEO at China Beige Book- Ken Hoexter, Senior Analyst at Bank of America- Erin McLaughlin, Senior Economist at The Conference Board Phil Orlando, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated Hermes, joins to discuss his outlook for the S&P and US equities amid US growth concerns. Leland Miller, CEO at China Beige Book, talks about the meeting of various world leaders in Beijing and the outlook for the Chinese economy amid US tariffs. Ken Hoexter, Senior Analyst at Bank of America, talks about the impact of the removal of the de minimus tax on shippers. Erin McLaughlin, Senior Economist at The Conference Board, discusses eco data and the outlook for rates and the Fed.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 2nd, 2025Featuring:1) Lori Calvasina, Head: US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discusses her S&P target and whether she remains bullish as summer wraps. Stocks fell alongside bonds in the premarket, driven by concerns over government finances and lingering inflation risks. Gold briefly topped $3,500 an ounce, fueled by mounting bets on rate cuts and unease about the Federal Reserve’s independence.2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the court tariff ruling and the latest DC headlines. Afederal appeals court ruled that President Donald Trump exceeded his authority by imposing global tariffs through an emergency law, but let the levies stay in place while the case proceeds.3) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Yale Budget Lab, joins for a discussion President Trump's tariff regime, how it could make its way to SCOTUS, and the latest on the impact of broad based tariffs. 4) Fatima Boolani, Co-Head of the US Software Equity Research Team at Citi, joins to talk the most important debates across tech and communications through the rest of 2025.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Win Thin & Frances Donald. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman at Evercore ISI- Heath Terry, Global Head: Tech and Communications Research at Citi- Dana Telsey, CEO at Telsey Advisory Group- Ryan Wang, US Economist at HSBC Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman at Evercore ISI, joins to talk about Fed independence and the US economic outlook. Heath Terry, Global Head: Tech and Communications Research at Citi, discusses covering equities tied to AI and his outlook for the sector and hyper scaler CapEx. Dana Telsey, CEO at Telsey Advisory Group, talks about consumer health and retail ahead of the school season. Ryan Wang, US Economist at HSBC, reacts to PCE.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 29th, 2025Featuring:1) Sarah Wolfe, Senior Economist with Morgan Stanley, Yelena Shulyateva, Senior Economist at The Conference Board, and Michael McKee, International Economics & Policy correspondent for Bloomberg News, react to PCE and discuss the outlook for inflation, labor, and rate cuts in the US. Stocks retreated as traders cut risk before the release of the US inflation data that is testing expectations on how quickly the Federal Reserve can reduce interest rates.2) Meera Chandan, Co-Head: FX Strategy Team at JPMorgan, joins for an extended discussion on Fed independence, dollar weakness ahead of key economic data points this week and next, and turmoil in France this week.3) Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, brings us into the market open and talks about labor weakness and inflation and how the US labor market could rapidly deteriorate. It comes as Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller called for lower interest rates, saying he would support a reduction in September and anticipates additional cuts over the next three to six months, with the pace driven by incoming data.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ piece on higher prices coming to household staples and a Business Insider piece on Naomi Osaka's big Labubu bling.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.