Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Rebecca Patterson & Claudia Sahm. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 5th, 2025Featuring:1) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, Amy Wu Silverman, Head of Derivatives Strategy at RBC, and Kristina Campmany, Senior Portfolio Manager at Invesco, react to the August jobs report and discuss the outlook for a rate cut. Money markets are fully pricing in a Fed quarter-point cut this month and see at least two by year-end.2) Ken Rogoff, professor at Harvard University, former IMF Chief economist, and author of "Our Dollar, Your Problem," joins to discuss the US economy and jobs market, as well as his book on the dollar and recent Foreign Affairs article on Washington's spending crisis.3) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater, joins for an extended discussion on jobs, economic data, and Fed independence. It comes as Stephen Miran, President Trump's pick for the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors, pushed back against Democratic concerns that he would do Trump's bidding at the central bank. His nomination has raised questions over Fed independence.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insider story on NFL fans streaming without cable, and Bloomberg's story on pizza-flavored vodka.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Howard Lutnick, US Commerce Secretary- Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock- Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research- Michael Nathanson, Senior Analyst at Moffettnathanson Howard Lutnick, US Commerce Secretary, joins to discuss President Trump's economic priorities. Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock, and Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, react to the August jobs report and discuss the outlook for a rate cut. Michael Nathanson, Senior Analyst at Moffettnathanson, breaks down the White House tech meeting Thursday night.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Anna Wong & Constance Hunter. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Omar Aguilar, CEO and CIO at Charles Schwab Investment Management- Subadra Rajappa, Head: US Rates Strategy at Societe Generale- Monica Guerra, Head: US Policy at Morgan Stanley- Brooke Roach, Analyst at Goldman Sachs Omar Aguilar, CEO and CIO at Charles Schwab Investment Management, joins to discuss his outlook for equities amid a weakening labor market and uncertain policy. Subadra Rajappa, Head: US Rates Strategy at Societe Generale, talks about the path for rate cuts should the jobs report for August show further labor weakness. Monica Guerra, Head: US Policy at Morgan Stanley, talks about President Trump's tariff regime and the latest on his economic and political priorities. Brooke Roach, Analyst at Goldman Sachs, talks about consumer and retail health.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 4th, 2025Featuring:1) Stuart Kaiser, Head: US Equity Trading Strategy at Citi, joins to discuss his S&P target, the broadening of the equity rally, and opportunities in small caps. Wall Street strategists see signs that investors are becoming more concerned about Federal Reserve independence as President Donald Trump seeks to impose his will on the central bank and pushes for interest-rate cuts.2) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, discusses recent eco data and what it portends about the path of rate cuts in 2025, not just September. Positioning in stock, bond and gold markets suggests that investors are preparing for a potential rise in inflation, according to the team at JPMorgan Chase.3) Monica Guerra, Head of US Policy at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, joins to discuss President Trump's economic and political priorities. President Trump asked the US Supreme Court to uphold his global tariffs, seeking review in a case that could affect trade and give him broad new leverage over the world economy.4) Ben McMillan, CIO at IDX Advisors, talks about the record rise in gold and the return of the bond vigilantes. Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group say that growing concerns regarding US institutional credibility are creating significant tail risks that could lead to commodity price spikes, including in gold.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Wei Li & Mark Gurman. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler- Mark Cabana, Head: US Rates Strategy at Bank of America- Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO- Kate McShane, Analyst at Goldman Sachs Nancy Lazar, Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler, discusses recent eco data, US labor health, and growth of jobs in the private sector. Mark Cabana, Head: US Rates Strategy at Bank of America, talks about the outlook for interest rates in the US. Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO, joins to discuss the latest political headlines in Washington. Kate McShane, Analyst at Goldman Sachs, talks retail and consumer health.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney                                          September 3rd, 2025Featuring:1) Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity and Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, joins for a discussion on his note "Twice in a Lifetime" and his 2026 S&P target as he remains bullish on equities. Stocks in the premarket rebounded modestly as traders tracked the selloff in long-dated bonds, fueled by anxiety over inflation and mounting government debt.2) Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, talks about the global bond selloff and upward pressure on yields. Treasuries this morning fell, lifting US 30-year borrowing costs to within a whisker of touching 5% for the first time since July, as a global selloff of government bonds deepened. The yield climbed as much as four basis points to 4.999%, mirroring similar moves in the UK and Japan.3) Johanna Chua, Head of Emerging Market Economics, and Chief Asia Economist at Citi, discusses the global bond selloff and yields rising in Japan, as well as the outlook for Chinese growth. Meanwhile, Chinese President Xi Jinping showcased the nation's growing firepower and diplomatic influence at a military parade alongside international allies, including Russia's Vladimir Putin and North Korea's Kim Jong Un.4) Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO, discusses the possible government shutdown, Stephen Miran Fed nomination and Lisa Cook latest, as well as President Trump's tariff court battle.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Ernie Tedeschi & Henrietta Treyz. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Phil Orlando, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated Hermes- Leland Miller, CEO at China Beige Book- Ken Hoexter, Senior Analyst at Bank of America- Erin McLaughlin, Senior Economist at The Conference Board Phil Orlando, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated Hermes, joins to discuss his outlook for the S&P and US equities amid US growth concerns. Leland Miller, CEO at China Beige Book, talks about the meeting of various world leaders in Beijing and the outlook for the Chinese economy amid US tariffs. Ken Hoexter, Senior Analyst at Bank of America, talks about the impact of the removal of the de minimus tax on shippers. Erin McLaughlin, Senior Economist at The Conference Board, discusses eco data and the outlook for rates and the Fed.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneySeptember 2nd, 2025Featuring:1) Lori Calvasina, Head: US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discusses her S&P target and whether she remains bullish as summer wraps. Stocks fell alongside bonds in the premarket, driven by concerns over government finances and lingering inflation risks. Gold briefly topped $3,500 an ounce, fueled by mounting bets on rate cuts and unease about the Federal Reserve’s independence.2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the court tariff ruling and the latest DC headlines. Afederal appeals court ruled that President Donald Trump exceeded his authority by imposing global tariffs through an emergency law, but let the levies stay in place while the case proceeds.3) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Yale Budget Lab, joins for a discussion President Trump's tariff regime, how it could make its way to SCOTUS, and the latest on the impact of broad based tariffs. 4) Fatima Boolani, Co-Head of the US Software Equity Research Team at Citi, joins to talk the most important debates across tech and communications through the rest of 2025.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Win Thin & Frances Donald. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman at Evercore ISI- Heath Terry, Global Head: Tech and Communications Research at Citi- Dana Telsey, CEO at Telsey Advisory Group- Ryan Wang, US Economist at HSBC Krishna Guha, Vice Chairman at Evercore ISI, joins to talk about Fed independence and the US economic outlook. Heath Terry, Global Head: Tech and Communications Research at Citi, discusses covering equities tied to AI and his outlook for the sector and hyper scaler CapEx. Dana Telsey, CEO at Telsey Advisory Group, talks about consumer health and retail ahead of the school season. Ryan Wang, US Economist at HSBC, reacts to PCE.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 29th, 2025Featuring:1) Sarah Wolfe, Senior Economist with Morgan Stanley, Yelena Shulyateva, Senior Economist at The Conference Board, and Michael McKee, International Economics & Policy correspondent for Bloomberg News, react to PCE and discuss the outlook for inflation, labor, and rate cuts in the US. Stocks retreated as traders cut risk before the release of the US inflation data that is testing expectations on how quickly the Federal Reserve can reduce interest rates.2) Meera Chandan, Co-Head: FX Strategy Team at JPMorgan, joins for an extended discussion on Fed independence, dollar weakness ahead of key economic data points this week and next, and turmoil in France this week.3) Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, brings us into the market open and talks about labor weakness and inflation and how the US labor market could rapidly deteriorate. It comes as Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller called for lower interest rates, saying he would support a reduction in September and anticipates additional cuts over the next three to six months, with the pace driven by incoming data.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ piece on higher prices coming to household staples and a Business Insider piece on Naomi Osaka's big Labubu bling.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Gita Gopinath, Deputy Managing Director at the IMF- Stuart Kaiser, Head: US Equity Trading at Citi- Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP Gita Gopinath, Deputy Managing Director at the IMF, joins to discuss leaving the IMF, her role at the IMF and her outlook for global economies, and ahead of her new role as John Zwaanstra Professor of International Studies and of Economics at Harvard University. Stuart Kaiser, Head: US Equity Trading at Citi, discusses his S&P outlook and talks about how markets are pricing in Nvidia earnings and headline risk. Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, breaks down Nvidia earnings and talks about the bull case for tech, AI, and Nvidia. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP, discusses jobless claims and the outlook for the US labor market and US economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 28th, 2025Featuring:1) Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, breaks down Nvidia earnings and offers his outlook for AI. Analysts are staying bullish on Nvidia, boosting price targets after its results, citing the chip giant's longer-term prospects. At least 10 firms hiked their 12-month price targets, raising the average by 3% to $202.60, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on the stock, with 72 buy-equivalent ratings, and only seven analysts have a hold rating and the stock has a sole sell rating.2) Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist, Private Wealth at Partners Group, joins for an extended discussion on private markets. Stocks shook off an initial drag from Nvidia’s sales outlook missing lofty expectations, indicating that momentum behind the record-breaking rally remains intact.3) John Mowrey, CIO at NFJ, joins for a discussion finding value in markets beyond Nvidia and the big tech names, and discusses concerns about inflation and the US labor market. Investors will turn their focus to next month’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision and data releases, including initial jobless claims data and revised second-quarter gross domestic product figures due later Thursday.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on AI-skilled 20-something's making hundreds of thousands a year and an NYT story on chicken nuggets possibly being wiped from cafeteria menus in NYC public schools.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Featuring: Eswar Prasad, Cornell University professor on Fed independence Kate Kalutkiewicz, Trade Practice Lead, McLarty Associates on TariffsMarc Short, Former Chief of Staff to Vice President Mike Pence on the White HouseSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Tony Crescenzi and Adam Posen Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 27th, 2025Featuring:1) Adam Posen, President at the Petersen Institute for International Economics 2) Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst 3) Amanda Agati, CIO: Asset Management at PNC Bank 4) Tony Crescenzi, Executive Vice President at PIMCOSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Libby Cantrill & Jeff deGraaf. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Lael Brainard, former Fed Vice Chair- Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo- Scott Lincicome, VP: General Economics at Cato Institute- Bill Dudley, former NY Fed President and Bloomberg Opinion columnist Lael Brainard, former Fed Vice Chair, joins to discuss the possible ouster of Fed governor Lisa Cook. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, breaks down recent economic data and risks to the US economy, as well as Fed independence in the wake of President Trump moving to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook. Scott Lincicome, VP: General Economics at Cato Institute, discusses the legal fight between Fed governor Lisa Cook and the Trump administration. Bill Dudley, former NY Fed President and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, talks about Fed independence and how possibly losing it could impact markets.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 26th, 2025Featuring:1) Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO, joins to talk about Lisa Cook and Fed independence as well as her note on the Trump admin aberration. President Trump moved to oust Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook following allegations that she falsified mortgage documents, citing "sufficient cause" to fire her. Forcing out Cook would give Trump an opportunity to secure a four-person majority on the Fed's seven-member Board of Governors, with her term not set to expire until 2038.2) Cam Harvey, professor at Duke University, joins for an extended discussion on tariffs, rate cuts, and Fed independence. Fed governor Lisa Cook, in challenging President Trump’s removal order, could immediately seek an injunction reinstating her while litigation moves forward. No charges have been filed against her, though a Justice Department official last week signaled possible plans to investigate her.3) Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, talks about labor market health, rate cut uncertainty, and inflation. European stocks and US equity futures fell due to political turmoil in France and President Trump’s bid to oust Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook.4) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Strategy at Mizuho, joins to talk turmoil in France and dollar moves amid President Trump's attempt to fire Lisa Cook. Stocks and bonds were already under pressure after optimism that followed Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s address at Jackson Hole faded on Monday. Doubts about the pace of easing are lingering ahead of an inflation report later this week, expected to highlight sticky price pressures.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature a conversation with Ed Yardeni. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Liz Thomas, Head: Investment Strategy at SoFi- Steve Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist at Mizuho- Robert Tipp, Chief Investment Strategist t PGIM Fixed Income- Veronica Clark, Director: Citi Research Liz Thomas, Head: Investment Strategy at SoFi, talks about the outlook for the equity rally with the Fed appearing ready to ease monetary policy. Steve Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist at Mizuho, breaks down Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech and the path for rate cuts in the US. Robert Tipp, Chief Investment Strategist t PGIM Fixed Income, talks about how the 10-year yield and the bond market could react to Fed easing to end the year, even with concerns about inflation looming. Veronica Clark, Director: Citi Research, talks about her outlook for the US economy and a weakening labor market.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 22nd, 2025Featuring:1) Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, joins for an extended discussion the equity rally, his S&P target, and Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Policymakers are grappling with inflation above their 2% goal and a labor market showing signs of weakness, with a high degree of uncertainty about how these factors will evolve, according to Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee.2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins for an extended discussion about Congressional priorities as leaders soon return to Congress and the outlook for tariff policy heading into the fall. Making matters harder for policymakers is this week's PCE inflation gauge, which is forecast to show the personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.9% in July from a year ago, the fastest annual pace in five months.3) Gennadiy Goldberg, Head of US Rates Strategy at TD Securities, joins to discuss the interest rate path post-Jackson Hole. The Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium was a tense affair, with Chair Jerome Powell signaling an interest-rate cut as soon as the next policy meeting in September, despite clear divisions among policymakers.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insider story on a Harvard professor's concern about AI and a WSJ story on saving to support children financially when they reach their 30s.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Bruce Kasman, Chief Economist at JPMorgan- Jean Boivin, Head: Investment Institute at BlackRock- Alex Nowrasteh, VP: Economic & Social Policy Studies at the Cato Institute- Betsey Stevenson, Professor: Public Policy & Economics at the University of Michigan Bruce Kasman, Chief Economist at JPMorgan, discusses the outlook for the US economy and inflation. Jean Boivin, Head: Investment Institute at BlackRock, discusses US market and economic risks in 2025 and the outlook for economic growth in the US and abroad. Betsey Stevenson, Professor: Public Policy & Economics at the University of Michigan, previews Jackson Hole and Jay Powell's final Jackson Hole speech as Fed Chair. Alex Nowrasteh, VP: Economic & Social Policy Studies at the Cato Institute, talks about the Trump administration's economic and political priorities.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Lisa Abramowicz and Michael McKee discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following his speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance.They speak with: Jim Bullard, Former St. Louis Fed President Kate Moore, Citi Wealth CIO Rich Clarida, Former Fed Vice ChairFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell carefully opened the door to an interest-rate cut in September, pointing to rising risks for the labor market even as worries over inflation remain.“The stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance,” Powell said in remarks prepared for the Fed’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming on Friday. “Nonetheless, with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” Following Powell’s remarks investors boosted bets that the Federal Open Market Committee would cut rates at their Sept. 16-17 meeting. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 21st, 2025Featuring:1) Bloomberg Surveillance host Tom Keene joins from Jackson Hole to preview Jay Powell's speech. The Federal Reserve's annual conference began Thursday evening with a dinner for central bankers, economists, and journalists. Chair Jerome Powell will speak Friday at 10 a.m. New York time, and investors will be listening for any hint of what policymakers may do at their September meeting.2) Kristina Hooper, Chief Market Strategist at Man Group, joins to talk about markets walking on eggshells ahead of Jackson Hole and discusses the long-term outlook for the 10-year yield. US stock futures paused this week’s run of losses ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole address, with markets scaling back bets on imminent rate cuts.3) Karen Manna, Investment Director at Federated Hermes, talks about ongoing pressure on the Fed and Fed independence as all eyes remain on Jackson Hole. Fed watchers and investors will be listening for any hint of what policymakers may do at their September meeting. The US central bank may be on the cusp of again lowering interest rates, after keeping them on hold this year to gauge how tariffs would impact the economy. Powell could indicate this week if his colleagues are leaning one way or the other. With inflation above the Fed’s 2% target at the same time that hiring is cooling, officials have so far been divided on how soon cuts can come.4) RaeAnne Mitrione, Partner at Callan Family Office, discusses the market pricing in Fed easing as consumers remain resilient and inflation remains uncertain. Market pricing shows investors expect a rate cut in September, followed by at least one more later this year. President Donald Trump, a frequent critic of the Fed, has demanded that Powell and his colleagues lower rates significantly, with some in the administration calling for an outsize half percentage point cut next month.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Jeffrey Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City- Betsy Duke, former Federal Reserve Governor- Claudio Irigoyen, Head: Global Economics Research at Bank of America- John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer & Co. Jeffrey Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, sits down with Bloomberg's Michael McKee for an extended discussion, covering topics that include Fed independence, the labor market, and the Fed's position on inflation. Betsy Duke, former Federal Reserve Governor, discusses Fed independence and the Trump administration's pressure to oust Fed governor Lisa Cook. Claudio Irigoyen, Head: Global Economics Research at Bank of America, discusses the US economic and market outlook amid uncertainty surrounding labor and inflation. John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer & Co., discusses his outlook for the S&P and 2025 and the bull case for equities.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 20th, 2025Featuring:1) Michael McKee, International Economics & Policy correspondent from Bloomberg News, joins from Jackson Hole. Traders are staying cautious ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday for guidance on the path for interest rates. Overshadowing Powell's speech is an attempt by the Trump administration to oust Fed governor Lisa Cook as it looks to reshape the FOMC.2) Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, on the latest DC headlines and how President Trump's next priority appears to be reshaping the Fed. President Trump's campaign to oust Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook would give him the opportunity to exert more influence over the US central bank by securing a majority on its seven-member board of governors. If Cook were to depart, it would pave the way for four of the seven slots on the Fed's Board of Governors to be filled by Trump appointees.3) Kara Murphy, CIO at Kestra Investment Management, brings us into the market open and discusses the "Rip van Winkle" Q2 and the outlook for markets and earnings growth. US stock futures pointed to more weakness for tech shares on Thursday after days of selling as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s gathering at Jackson Hole.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insiders story on older Americans looking for work and a WSJ story on a 9-9-9 rule in baseball.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with David Rosenberg & Michael McKee Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Featuring: -Howard Marks, Co-Chairman of Oaktree Capital Management-Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James Chief Economist-Eric Freedman, US Bank CIOSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 20th, 2025Featuring:1) David Rosenberg, Founder and President Rosenberg Research & Associates, on how the bloom may be off the rose for markets. 2) Monica Guerra, Head: US Policy at Morgan Stanley, looks ahead to Jackson Hole and what we can expect to hear from Fed Chair Jay Powell. 3) Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY, on how Trump's tariffs have quieted concerns about the deficit. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US...including how makeup is the answer for Louis Vuitton and Chipotle wants to turn dorm rooms into burrito bowls.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Terry Haines & Lori Calvasina. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods- Retired Lt. Gen. Robert Walsh, Geopolitical Intelligence Group Member at Academy Securities- Kit Juckes, Chief FX Strategist at Societe Generale- Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Investment Management Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods, joins to discuss her outlook for US equities and the S&P. Retired Lt. Gen. Robert Walsh, Geopolitical Intelligence Group Member at Academy Securities, breaks down the latest talks between President Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, and European leaders as a Putin-Zelenskiy summit could take place. Kit Juckes, Chief FX Strategist at Societe Generale, offers his outlook for the dollar and markets. Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Investment Management, talks about signals from the bond market.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 19th, 2025Featuring:1) Monica DiCenso, Head of Global Investment Opportunities at JPMorgan, joins to talk about the US equity outlook, geopolitical and tariff risks, and US exceptionalism. Investors are turning their attention to earnings from US consumer giants for clues on the impact of tariffs, according to the text.2) Jim Caron, CIO of Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, joins to talk markets blowing past tariffs post-Liberation Day and whether there's too much focus on risk rather than staying invested. Meanwhile, options traders are grabbing insurance to protect themselves from a potential plunge in technology stocks in the coming weeks, according to Bloomberg.3) Doug Kass, president and founder at Seabreeze Partners, offers his macro, tech, and AI outlooks. Money markets are currently betting the Fed will deliver its first rate cut for the year in September, as labor-market weakness outweighs inflation risks, with another move expected before year-end.4) Kristen Bitterly, Head: Wealth At Work at Citi Global Markets, talks asset allocation for long term investors and concern from clients amid a variety of market risks.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature a conversation with Angela Stent. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro- Gennadiy Goldberg, Head: US Rates Strategy at TD Securities- Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson CenterClaudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, joins to discuss the outlook for markets and the labor market ahead of Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, talks about the chances of a September rate cut as mixed data on inflation and the consumer come in. Gennadiy Goldberg, Head: US Rates Strategy at TD Securities, discusses the Fed's rate easing cycle and when it could begin. Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center, breaks down the Trump-Putin summit and what's next for the war in Ukraine.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 18th, 2025Featuring:1) Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital Partners, joins to discuss the Fed's case for a rate cut and what he expects from Jackson Hole this week. Traders are staying cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s annual retreat at Jackson Hole later this week, with Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech keenly watched for guidance on a September interest-rate cut.2) Blake Gwinn, Head of US Rates Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, joins to discuss his rate cut call as traders prep for Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Investor expectations for monetary easing next month fluctuated in recent days, pricing in more than a quarter-point cut at one point, amid mixed signals on inflation and the strength of US consumers.3) Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, offers her analysis of the Trump-Putin summit and what Russian President Vladimir Putin gained from the meeting. President Trump and Vladimir Putin agreed that the US could offer security guarantees to Ukraine, according to Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy. The details of the security guarantees and any potential territorial concessions remain unclear, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio offering less certainty on the topic than Witkoff.4) Kona Haque, Head of Commodities Research at ED&F Man, discusses her note on the major moves in coffee prices and how tariffs will affect it, and offers her macro and oil outlook. Coffee remains highly volatile due to geopolitical and weather instability.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US President Donald Trump called his meeting with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin “extremely productive” but indicated that a deal to end the war had still not been finalized, adding that he would speak to NATO allies and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.“There’s no deal until there’s a deal,” Trump said Friday in Anchorage, Alaska as he stood alongside Putin for a joint event. Putin spoke first at the event, casting the conversations as useful and said they were held “in a constructive atmosphere.” He talked of unspecified agreements with Trump, and suggested that Ukraine was only one of multiple issues discussed, pointing to the potential for increased trade and business cooperation as well as work in the Arctic and in space exploration. The event followed the longest ever face-to-face meeting between the two leaders. On this special edition of Bloomberg Balance of Power, we hear instant reaction to and analysis of the summit and the press conference. Host Joe Mathieu speaks with: Bloomberg Politics Contributors Rick Davis and Jeanne Sheehan Zaino. Bloomberg Managing Editor Kevin Whitelaw.  Bloomberg Chief Political Correspondent Annmarie Hordern. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Peter Tchir & Jennifer Lee. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity & Global Strategist at Deutsche Bank- Eddie Fishman, Professor at Columbia University- Marc Sumerlin, Managing Partner and founder at Evenflow Macro- Veronica Clark, Director: Research at Citi Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity & Global Strategist at Deutsche Bank, joins to discuss his S&P target and outlook for equities amid policy and global uncertainty. Eddie Fishman, Professor at Columbia University, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. Marc Sumerlin, Managing Partner and founder at Evenflow Macro, discusses the latest on the Fed and chair candidates. Veronica Clark, Director: Research at Citi, offers her outlook on markets, the economy, and inflation.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 15th, 2025Featuring:1) Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth, brings us into retail sales and discusses the outlook for equities and rate cuts amid concern over an inflation resurgence. S&P 500 futures edged higher 0.1% after a flat session Thursday, following back-to-back record closes earlier in the week, after a surprising PPI report that showed higher services costs in the US as tariffs take effect.2) Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, talks about how markets might play or shrug off the Trump-Putin summit and inflation fears reigniting in the US. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 advanced 0.2% toward the highest level since March amid guarded hopes that Friday’s US-Russia summit could be an initial step toward brokering a peace deal in Ukraine and thawing relations.3) Heidi Crebo-Rediker, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, talks about the Trump-Putin summit and why she believes there's "no chance" that Russia negotiates a ceasefire on acceptable terms for Europe and Ukraine. President Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin will measure success at their summit in Alaska very differently, with Trump seeking a ceasefire in Ukraine and Putin seeing the meeting as a win without making concessions.4) Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, reacts to retail sales and discusses the paradigm shifts across global economies.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jim Bianco & Scott Ladner. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research- Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies- David Malpass, former President at The World Bank- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, discusses the equity bull case amid clarity on tariff policy and the potential for rate cuts. Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. David Malpass, former President at The World Bank, discusses political and economic priorities for the second Trump administration with just over a year to go until the 2026 Midterms. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP, reacts to jobless claims and PPI and talks about the health of the US labor market.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 14th, 2025Featuring:1) Jim Bianco, founder at Bianco Research, joins for an extended discussion on the Fed and rate cuts, as he calls for the Fed to hold and believes an easing cycle would mark a serious policy error. US short-dated bonds yields are near their lowest level in more than three months, reflecting conviction among traders that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month.2) Dean Curnutt, CEO and founder at Macro Risk Advisors, joins to talk about the "GOAT Portfolio" and the volatility outlook as the Fed looks like it could soon ease monetary policy. Henry Allen, macro strategist for Deutsche Bank AG, said that "suddenly a 25 basis point rate cut seems fairly modest and achievable" in contrast to the large moves called for by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and President Donald Trump.3) Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, talks the resilience in equities and the pain trade as we get jobless claims and PPI.4) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, joins for an extended look at geopolitical risks ahead of the Trump-Putin summit and how it will ripple through markets. President Trump warned he would impose "very severe consequences" if Vladimir Putin didn't agree to a ceasefire agreement. Trump said he hoped to use his meeting with Putin to set up a "quick second meeting" with Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy, and that he would "rate" the call with European leaders "a 10." Trump assured leaders that he wouldn't negotiate territories with Putin and would push the Russian leader to meet with Zelenskiy, according to multiple people briefed on the discussions.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on Walmart's newest employee benefit and the Financial Times' sotry on Italy expanding in the pet service industry.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with David Seif & Jens Nordvig. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary- Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab- Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities- Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary, joins to discuss tariffs, US economic data, the Fed, and the economic priorities of the second Trump administration. Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, talks about the sustainability of the equity rally as tariffs take hold. Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities, talks about the latest developments in President Trump's economic and political priorities. Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income, talks about recent eco data and the outlook for the US economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 13th, 2025Featuring:1) Jens Nordvig, founder & CEO at Exante Data, joins for an extended discussion about FX opportunities and President Trump's strategy to weaken the dollar. 2) David Seif, Chief Economist for Developed Markets at Nomura, joins to discuss recent eco data and why September may mark the beginning of a Fed easing cycle. Equity markets are swept up in a risk-on rally as a modest rise in US goods prices has tempered fears over the impact of tariffs, bolstering bets that the Fed will resume rate cuts.3) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss his S&P target and why he remains extra bullish in the second half of 2025. A rally in global stocks persisted as expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts stoked risk-on sentiment and drove bond yields lower.4) Stephanie Baker, Senior Writer with Bloomberg News, previews the Trump-Putin Summit. Vladimir Putin is heading to a summit with President Trump confident that Russia is in a dominant position on the battlefield as his military advances in Ukraine. Putin has repeatedly rejected calls for a ceasefire and is likely to seek major territorial concessions in return for one, according to the article.5) Brent Schutte, Chief Investment Officer at Northwestern Mutual, brings us into the market open and talks about a potential equity boon from rate cuts.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.