All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:36 Big tech starts making cuts, plus what this means for the broader economy and startups 31:09 Global debt numbers, Fed incompetency 54:06 RIP Coolio 1:00:30 Russia / Ukraine update Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/meta-announces-hiring-freeze-warns-employees-of-restructuring https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/28/stanley-druckenmiller-sees-hard-landing-in-2023-with-a-possible-deeper-recession-than-many-expect.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/if-youre-going-to-build-something-from-scratch-this-might-be-as-good-a-time-as-in-a-decade https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2021/05/11/billionaire-investor-druckenmiller-blasts-feds-radical-stimulus-policy-warns-it-risks-stock-bubble-blowing-up https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/28/cnbc-transcript-duquesne-family-office-chairman-ceo-stanley-druckenmiller-speaks-with-cnbcs-joe-kernen-live-during-the-cnbc-delivering-alpha-conference-today.html https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=USD&view=1M https://www.bls.gov/charts/job-openings-and-labor-turnover/unemp-per-job-opening.htm https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-nation-of-quitters-great-enabling-exodus-working-age-men-parents-stimulus-covid-quit-retirement-bohemian-videogame-11664112795 https://goop.com/subscribe https://www.reuters.com/world/putin-host-kremlin-ceremony-annexing-parts-ukraine-2022-09-29 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/zelenskiy-says-ukraine-applying-nato-membership-2022-09-30 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/qa-nord-stream-gas-sabotage-whos-being-blamed-why-2022-09-30 https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/former-polish-foreign-minister-thanks-us-for-damaging-nord-stream-pipeline/2696530 https://www.theamericanconservative.com/should-america-go-all-in-on-ukraine

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:03 SPAC updates, state of the public/private markets 20:26 US VCs have $290B in dry powder and raised a record amount in H1 2022, is the market nearing a bottom? 31:14 Risks of backing Putin into a corner, Russia's end game, conditions for conflict 50:45 Government-heavy climate plans, Dilbert/ESG backlash 1:01:20 Poker plans, chess cheating scandal Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://youtu.be/AODfsBMGzGQ https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1461453308623659010 https://marketbrief.edweek.org/marketplace-k-12/byjus-releases-delayed-audit-report-showing-large-losses-2021 https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2022-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-retreat-putin.html https://warfarehistorynetwork.com/douglas-macarthur-atomic-bombs-will-win-the-korean-war/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-retreat-putin.html https://sites.tufts.edu/css/mip-research/#:~:text=According%20to%20our%20data%2C%20the,these%20missions%20occurred%20after%201999 https://www.brown.edu/news/2021-09-01/costsofwar https://www.wsj.com/articles/gavin-newsoms-2024-climate-platform-california-40-climate-bills-energy-electricity-blackouts-11663702766 https://twitter.com/UncommonYield/status/1572743593508638722 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1572399621389062145

0:00 Bestie intro! 0:59 Adobe agrees to acquire Figma for $20B 19:21 How Adobe might bundle Figma, regulatory implications 38:59 Analyzing Google's "one off" acquisition of YouTube 49:33 Friedberg breaks down the latest TPB SPAC news 1:00:37 Pfizer sued for Title VI violation, substantial legislation change in 2022 1:05:07 FedEx drops after CEO says we're in a global recession, Russia/Ukraine update, UN chimes in on global famine Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADBE:NASDAQ https://www.figma.com/blog/a-new-collaboration-with-adobe https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/15/fedex-ceo-says-he-expects-the-economy-to-enter-a-worldwide-recession.html https://justthenews.com/government/courts-law/pfizer-sued-racial-bias-over-minorities-only-fellowship https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders/status/1570711614277419009 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/13/us/politics/ukraine-russia-pentagon.html https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/ https://www.axios.com/2022/09/16/un-345-million-starvation-risk-ukraine-war-worsens-crisis

0:00 Bestie intros: Luxury brand influencers, Birthday Party stories and more! 3:34 Jason reflects on the final Kara Swisher-hosted Code Conference, All-In media and hit piece requests 12:53 Passing of Queen Elizabeth II 15:39 Winter is Coming: Europe's energy crisis, potential fracturing of the Western Alliance, how we got here, endgame, and more 53:03 Kim Kardashian's new PE firm, content as the dominant distribution channel, what will mega-influencers do to legacy brands 1:03:46 Overprescribing of amphetamines to children Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/theallinpod/status/1568294657632907268 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfJv9QYrlwg https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/pages/europe-energy-crisis-is-at-a-tipping-point.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/truss-ukraine-ally-tory-leadership-race-b2151390.html https://www.voanews.com/a/scholz-g-7-will-support-ukraine-for-as-long-as-necessary-/6623196.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/macron-vows-to-prevent-russia-from-winning-war-in-ukraine/2022/09/01/ba57cb7a-29f3-11ed-a90a-fce4015dfc8f_story.html https://twitter.com/aaronjmate/status/1566484400224993280

(0:00) Bestie intros + Burning Man debate (4:16) NFT trading volume plummets (10:20) California's new fast food wages bill, government creating bad incentives, how the free market response will further the labor issue (40:15) Zuckerberg on Rogan, FBI interference with the Hunter Biden laptop story (52:00) Balancing fighting climate change without harming the economy or national security, EU energy policy failure (1:06:04) Besties reflect on Mikhail Gorbachev's passing Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://cointelegraph.com/news/looks-bare-opensea-turns-into-nft-ghost-town-after-volume-plunges-99-in-90-days https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlXSGqvP-A8 https://thefederalist.com/2022/08/30/zuckerbergs-admission-of-fbi-meddling-in-2020-election-is-even-bigger-than-it-seems/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/23/us/california-nuclear-power-diablo.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/california-fast-food-wages-would-be-set-by-government-under-bill-passed-by-state-senate-11661811509

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:25 Twitter's former head of security makes allegations against the company 22:08 Foreign countries placing government agents in US tech companies, cloud security vulnerabilities 33:54 Student loan forgiveness 1:03:25 Red wave or red ripple? 1:07:57 Science corner: Gut microbiome, fecal transplants Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/interactive/2022/twitter-whistleblower-sec-spam https://www.npr.org/2022/08/23/1119071586/twitter-whistleblower-complaint-elon-musk-security-bots-fake-users https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/23/tech/twitter-whistleblower-peiter-zatko-security/index.html https://time.com/6207996/twitter-whistleblower-allegations/ https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1562179576800763904 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1562179705322684416 https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-forced-twitter-put-agent-payroll-whistleblower-says-2022-08-23 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1562105413977493504 https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2022-08-24-musk-gets-a-potential-boost-with-twitter-whistle-blowers-claims-2 https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/23/tech/twitter-whistleblower-peiter-zatko-security/index.html https://www.zuckermanlaw.com/sp_faq/largest-sec-whistleblower-awards https://blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-issues/2021/06/30/the-need-for-legislative-reform-on-secrecy-orders https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrats-shifting-coalition https://fortune.com/2022/08/24/biden-changing-income-driven-repayment-plan-student-debt-borrowers https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1562040653432999936 https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/2022-primaries/red-wave-looks-more-ripple https://www.cell.com/cell/pdf/S0092-8674(22)00919-9.pdf https://grow.google

0:00 Bestie intro plus a new moderator! 7:19 Adam Neumann raises $350M from a16z for his new residential real estate startup Flow 25:32 Housing policy: Bay Area, Houston, Miami differences 45:41 China, Saudi Arabia, Russia increase relations: should the US be worried? 1:01:09 Inflation Reduction Act signed into law: climate change impact, CBO scorecard, IRS beefed up, carbon tax, big pharma pricing, and more 1:29:47 Chamath ends his spat with Phil Hellmuth, FBI raid follow-up Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/15/business/dealbook/adam-neumann-flow-new-company-wework-real-estate.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PLD:NYSE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WE:NYSE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BX:NYSE https://a16z.com/2020/04/18/its-time-to-build https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-05/vc-marc-andreessen-opposes-plan-for-multi-family-atherton-housing https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/16/xi-jinping-saudi-arabia-trip-middle-east-influence-00052023 https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541 https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-to-join-russia-military-exercises-as-u-s-rivals-deepen-ties-11660755790 https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/saudi-pif-buys-shares-alphabet-zoom-microsoft-us-shopping-spree-2022-08-16 https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/playing-fire-ukraine https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2022-08/hr5376_IR_Act_8-3-22.pdf https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/what-a-carbon-tax-can-do-and-why-it-cannot-do-it-all https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2022/08/18/fbi_unit_leading_mar-a-lago_probe_previously_led_russiagate_hoax_848582.html

0:00 Bestie intros 3:02 Where Masa and SoftBank went wrong, why VC isn't scaleable, Vision Fund impact 27:59 Metrics that signify a bubble or the top of a market 36:46 US macroeconomic picture 50:45 FBI raids Mar-a-Lago, Trump back in news Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://group.softbank/system/files/pdf/ir/presentations/2022/earnings-presentation_q1fy2022_01_en.pdf https://www.wsj.com/articles/softbank-reports-23-billion-quarterly-loss-as-tech-downturn-hits-11659940047 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-81222 https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-housing-affordability-in-june-was-the-worst-since-1989-11660312801 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FIXHAI https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1556987104219090945 https://twitter.com/andrewcuomo/status/1556990308424028163 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1546669610509799424 https://twitter.com/michaeljburry/status/1557934401505308672

0:00 Bestie intros 2:07 Twitter subpoenas the besties! 16:03 Markets overview: dead cat bounce or have we hit the bottom? 34:10 De-globalization trends, Pelosi's Taiwan visit Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1554963395660566533 https://davidsacks.medium.com https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_gas_price https://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-chart https://www.newcomer.co/p/folk-songs-and-stock-charts-coatue https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1554485039710310401 https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a1/Geographic_Boundaries_of_the_First_and_Second_Island_Chains.png https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/01/opinion/nancy-pelosi-taiwan-china.html

0:00 Bestie intros! 2:19 GDP growth is negative for a second consecutive quarter, but is the US actually in a recession? How has the White House controlled the narrative? 22:45 Looking at COVID trends with a post-COVID view: e-commerce, remote work, and how they correlate 36:33 "Inflation Reduction Act", how government subsidies can stifle innovation 59:50 Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen for $300M 1:17:36 Democrats backing MAGA candidates in primaries vs. more moderate republicans: savvy and cynical or too risky? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.bea.gov/news/2022/gross-domestic-product-second-quarter-2022-advance-estimate#:~:text=Real%20gross%20domestic%20product%20 https://news.shopify.com/changes-to-shopifys-team https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDOC:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/articles/whats-in-joe-manchin-and-chuck-schumers-reconciliation-deal-on-climate-health-and-tax-policy-11658973323 https://twitter.com/jamiedupree/status/1552406981637545993 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/24/world/africa/congo-oil-gas-auction.html https://www.science.org/content/article/potential-fabrication-research-images-threatens-key-theory-alzheimers-disease https://www.nature.com/articles/s41380-022-01661-0 https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/ginkgo-acquire-zymergen/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/26/us/politics/democrats-john-gibbs-peter-meijer.html https://twitter.com/ConanOBrien/status/1552358211986006019 https://twitter.com/maga_cy/status/1552360064693915648

0:00 Bestie intros 1:45 First principle politics, analyzing each party's cynicism 48:07 Chaos in China: bank protests, housing protests, slowing economic and population growth, future outlook 1:09:21 Automation and the impact of the information economy 1:16:31 BlackRock loses $1.7T of investor money during H1 2021, state of private and public markets 1:36:36 Amazon acquires One Medical Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/pelositracker_/status/1549535561718714368 https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/20/biden-pelosi-trip-taiwan-china-military-00047031 https://www.wsj.com/articles/nancy-pelosis-taiwan-education-china-taipei-military-defense-11658265311 https://www.reuters.com/world/us/china-warns-forceful-measures-if-us-house-speaker-pelosi-visits-taiwan-2022-07-19/ https://www.tesla.com/blog/tesla-repays-department-energy-loan-nine-years-early https://housestockwatcher.com/summary_by_rep/Hon.%20Nancy%20Pelosi https://www.thedailybeast.com/democrats-quietly-try-to-jam-nancy-pelosi-on-stock-trading-ban https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3852 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/19/opinion/democrats-far-right-midterms.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/07/19/trailer-desantis-beats-trump-democrats-bet-maga-more-lessons-latest-fundraising-quarter/ https://www.reuters.com/article/obama-abortion/obama-says-abortion-rights-law-not-a-top-priority-idUKN2946642020090430 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1549868945640914951 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/18/spanish-language-media-disinformation/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/19/world/asia/china-bank-scandal-protest.html https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1549790086656581640 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/01/17/world/asia/china-population-crisis.html https://www.ft.com/content/91441aca-1665-4660-843f-9cf7222becff https://datacommons.org/place/country/CHN https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-22/china-housing-market-slowdown-drags-economy https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-economic-distress-deepens-as-lockdowns-drag-on-11652703162 https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220531-why-chinas-population-is-shrinking https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/sp.dyn.tfrt.in?locations=cn https://www.wsj.com/articles/xi-jinping-aims-to-rein-in-chinese-capitalism-hew-to-maos-socialist-vision-11632150725 https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2022/07/20/how-blackrock-lost-1-7t-of-clients-money/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/21/business/amazon-one-medical-deal.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-21/ex-coinbase-manager-arrested-in-us-crypto-insider-trading-case

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:41 Emerging markets, Sri Lanka break down 36:01 9.1% CPI print 48:15 Current market sentiments from retail and institutional investors 1:05:00 NASA's Webb telescope images 1:15:57 Beagle rescue, Biden admin's lack of private sector experience, Russia's new energy play BEAGLE RESCUE INFO: https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/12/us/beagles-virginia-facility-rescue/index.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/12/us/envigo-beagles-breeder-adoption.html https://www.humanesociety.org/beaglerescue Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2021&locations=VN-US-CN&start=1984&view=chart https://www.wsj.com/articles/rising-inflation-and-interest-rates-heap-pressure-on-emerging-markets-11655544600 https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/sri-lanka-protests-07-13-22-intl/index.html https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/emerging-markets-drive-global-debt-record-303-trillion-iif-2022-02-23/ https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/countries-by-gdp https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/fertiliser-ban-decimates-sri-lankan-crops-government-popularity-ebbs-2022-03-03 https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/02/what-next-for-sri-lanka/ https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/07/world/asia/sri-lanka-organic-farming-fertilizer.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-05/sri-lanka-aims-to-stop-money-printing-as-inflation-nears-60 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/561467714485514240 https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2022-sri-lanka https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/green-dogma-behind-fall-of-sri-lanka https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3134224/why-china-building-gleaming-new-government-facilities-africa https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/2186970/how-presidential-palace-burundi-fits-chinas-plans-africa https://www.forbes.com/sites/rufaskamau/2022/07/11/inflation-protests-span-sri-lanka-albania-argentina-panama-kenya-ghanahow-long-before-they-hit-the-united-states/ https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/ https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2014/04/the-taylor-rule/ https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/compare-photos-nasas-james-webb-space-telescope-hubble-space-telescope-rcna37875 https://www.wsj.com/articles/nasa-james-webb-space-telescope-greg-robinson-images-11657137487 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOTV:NASDAQ https://www.wsj.com/articles/no-business-experience-needed-joe-biden-white-house-officials-committee-to-unleash-prosperity-report-11657661328

0:00 Bestie open: Sacks' shopping spree 2:15 Macro outlook: jobs, consumer sentiment, housing, inflation, finding a bottom 39:21 Turkish government finds ~694 million mt of rare earth reserves & EU reclassifies nuclear & natural gas as "green" 48:58 Dutch farmers protests: root causes, how to move forward with smarter legislation 1:09:39 Biden's decline, Bezos responds to Biden's tweet on bringing gas prices down Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/06/jolts-job-openings-may-2022-.html https://www.bls.gov/charts/job-openings-and-labor-turnover/hire-seps-rates.htm https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-job-openings-dip-to-11-3-million-but-labor-market-still-historically-strong-11657122659 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-06/fed-sees-more-restrictive-rates-possible-if-inflation-persists https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/12/net-international-migration-at-lowest-levels-in-decades.html https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/cb-consumer-confidence-48 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-confidence-conference-board-june-2022-143536146.html https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/existing-home-sales#chart-existing-home-sales-vs-30yr-rate https://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-drops-to-record-low-as-inflation-worries-grip-u-s-11656079725 https://www.forbes.com/sites/darreonnadavis/2022/07/05/88-of-americans-say-us-is-on-wrong-track/ https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/ https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1544057786065092609 https://news.metal.com/newscontent/101881567/Turkey-Discovers-694-million-mt-of-Rare-Earth-Element-Reserves-with-Infrastructure-Construction-Starting-This-Year/ https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/eu-parliament-vote-green-gas-nuclear-rules-2022-07-06/ https://twitter.com/GretaThunberg/status/1544380486654590983 https://mobile.twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1544573867804348416 https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/eu-parliament-vote-green-gas-nuclear-rules-2022-07-06/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-01/jpmorgan-sees-stratospheric-380-oil-on-worst-case-russian-cut https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/explainer-dutch-farmers-protesting-emissions-85848026 https://www.amazon.com/The-Alchemy-of-Air-Thomas-Hager-audiobook/dp/B0046Y0BP0/ref=sr_1_1 https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_070522/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-22/eurizon-fund-holds-unloved-assets-to-beat-peers-in-esg-market https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/07/07/uk-boris-johnson-resignation/ https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1543263229006254080 https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1543409762867494912 https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1544370315379109888

0:00 Bestie intros 4:09 Assessing SBF bailing out major crypto players & the state of the market 18:24 Classifying crypto assets, high-yield crypto lending 34:17 Zendesk sells for $10B, accounting for stock-based comp, evergreen standard in tech 1:01:24 Buyout targets, public market "regime change" 1:08:21 Russia/Ukraine impact on markets, could US diplomacy have prevented the war? 1:28:35 Science Corner: Friedberg breaks down the newest breakthrough AlphaFold application Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-fund-three-arrows-ordered-to-liquidate-by-court-11656506404 https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/22/sam-bankman-fried-rescues-crypto-lenders-blockfi-voyager.html https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/25/morgan-creek-is-trying-to-counter-ftxs-blockfi-bailout-leaked-call-shows/ https://twitter.com/ForbesCrypto/status/1541893168152690690 https://californiahealthline.org/news/article/tech-titans-want-the-richest-californians-to-pay-for-pandemic-preparedness/ https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1540732780501381121 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gensler-labels-bitcoin-a-commodity-as-crypto-prices-stabilize-11656340239 https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/altcoin-season-index/ https://techcrunch.com/2022/06/24/zendesk-drama-concludes-with-102-billion-private-equity-acquisition https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/11/zendesk-spurns-17b-private-equity-takeover-offer/ https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2021-Results/default.aspx https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-First-Quarter-2022-Results/default.aspx https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-62422 https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/25/zendesk-terminates-4-1b-surveymonkey-acquisition-after-its-own-investors-reject-deal/ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WDAY:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOW:NYSE https://www.issgovernance.com/library/resurgence-of-evergreen-features-in-ipo-equity-plans-restrict-investor-say/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-25/jana-partners-pulls-zendesk-proxy-fight-after-9-5-billion-deal https://cdn.manscaped.io/assets/investor-relations/manscaped-investor-presentation-slides-2022.pdf https://investor.onepeloton.com/node/9271/html https://investors.buzzfeed.com/node/7426/html https://kalshi.com/events/CPI-22JUN/markets/CPI-22JUN-T0.9 https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/06/17/long-war-ukraine/ https://twitter.com/missy_ryan/status/1537944064703619074 https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-says-nato-expansion-ukraine-crosses-red-line-putin-2021-09-27/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/stocks/putin-warns-russia-will-act-if-nato-crosses-its-red-lines-ukraine-2021-11-30/ https://theconversation.com/ukraine-war-follows-decades-of-warnings-that-nato-expansion-into-eastern-europe-could-provoke-russia-177999 https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/16/world/europe/biden-putin-geneva-meeting.html https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/wireStory/us-officials-land-solomons-discuss-china-pact-concerns-84238211 https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/ https://apnews.com/article/moscow-russia-europe-ukraine-belarus-6d9818ff922a2650de107734a7c3faf5 https://news.yahoo.com/blinken-says-no-change-nato-193615967.html https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3182517/does-chinas-demotion-its-deputy-foreign-minister-signal https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abm9326 All-In E79 on RvW leaked draft: https://youtu.be/qH696z3ml1Q

0:00 Besties discuss the one-month hiatus 7:03 Markets update: Fed decisions, goals, macro factors, root causes 32:19 Earnings estimate skepticism, labor force, job openings 47:17 How startups should think about the next 18-36 months 56:20 Crypto collapse, next shoe(s) to drop 1:08:41 Russia/Ukraine endgame, escalation, scrutinizing US alliances, sanctions failing 1:33:12 Will 2024 be Biden vs. Trump? Could it be DeSantis vs. Newsom? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/10/consumer-price-index-may-2022.html https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/tc-energy-terminates-keystone-xl-pipeline-project.html https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-talks-with-allies-russian-oil-price-cap-says-yellen-2022-06-20/ https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=RUB&to=USD&view=1Y https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-bls-price-checkers-who-determine-cpi-11652132333 https://www.chicagofed.org/research/dual-mandate/dual-mandate https://data.oecd.org/leadind/consumer-confidence-index-cci.htm https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/top_stories/right_direction_wrong_track_jun20 https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/ https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reducing-inflation-come-great-cost-stagflation-ray-dalio https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-offers https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/17/three-arrows-capitalconfirms-heavy-losses-from-lunas-collapse-exploring-potential-options-report https://www.ft.com/content/19c27ae1-ae72-4668-b3a9-162adc27dffc https://decrypt.co/103489/solend-whale-108m-loan-nearly-crashed-solana https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/former-employee-nft-marketplace-charged-first-ever-digital-asset-insider-trading-scheme https://www.ft.com/content/4e211784-83eb-49a2-ba39-8976345a88d5 https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/10/ukraine-ammunition-donbas-russia/ https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/why-ukraine-will-win/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-02/london-listed-russian-stocks-erase-570-billion-in-two-weeks https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-20/ruble-soars-to-seven-year-high-in-challenge-to-bank-of-russia https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/23/russias-ruble-is-at-strongest-level-in-7-years-despite-sanctions.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-push-for-exceptions-in-europes-sanctions-on-russian-oil-gains-traction-11655913796 https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/correction-germany-nuclear-shutdown-story-82051054 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-23/catl-unveils-ev-battery-with-one-charge-range-of-1-000-kms https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/06/why-ron-desantis-can-beat-trump-in-2024.html

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Jason intros today's episode 2:31 Palmer Luckey on Anduril, national defense & the current thing 25:24 Bestie Q&A with Palmer 53:13 Jason gives closing thoughts Follow Palmer: https://twitter.com/PalmerLuckey Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Links referenced in the show: https://www.thedailybeast.com/palmer-luckey-the-facebook-near-billionaire-secretly-funding-trumps-meme-machine

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Antonio Gracias joins to talk: Tesla's early days, investing in Elon, macroeconomic outlook, ROIC, importance of energy independence, future of manufacturing, financial-ization of the P&L & more 22:35 Q: How has the poker game influenced your decision making in business and life? 29:33 Q: What was the scariest step of becoming a first-time fund manager? 32:34 Q: Crypto market unwinding & how it relates to the money supply 35:57 Q: Current pre-seed / seed valuations & metrics 38:58 Q: When investing in early-stage SaaS companies, how to find outliers? 42:11 Q: What would you do if dropped in the middle of Kansas at age 25 with no resources? 44:46 Q: Where will the next disruptions in industrial automation come from & how will the US hit economies of scale in semiconductor manufacturing 47:02 Q: Any plans for All-In Media? 50:02 Q: US strategy in the Russia/Ukraine War 54:19 Q: How have your first impressions changed as you've matured in your career, and whose first impressions have stood out to you the most? 58:29 Q: Are you interested in crypto micropayments? 1:00:55 Q: Biggest mistakes of your career that you've learned the most from? 1:09:54 Q: What impact could tech have on political discourse? What does a viable path forward look like? 1:15:36 Q: Are remote / distributed startup systems viable coming out of the pandemic? 1:19:41 Q: Advice for non-technical people trying to get into the startup world? 1:24:44 Q: Thoughts on the potential consumer credit crisis? 1:26:17 Lightning round: What problem do you most want to solve right now? All-In consortium? Can SMBs democratize their own labor supply? How to get more investors interested in hardware? Will this be a relatively short recession? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Yung Spielburg intros the Besties + Besties give reactions to the All-In Summit 5:56 Miami Mayor Francis Suarez joins the Besties on stage to chat: Miami's emergence as a tech hub, his governing principles, crypto, what the future holds & more Follow Mayor Suarez: https://twitter.com/FrancisSuarez Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Joe Lonsdale speaks about the problem with higher education and the importance of debate/truth-seeking 10:13 Bestie Q&A with Joe: Why Americans feel victimized, what happened in 1971, getting off the gold standard, school choice, starting UATX Follow Joe: https://twitter.com/JTLonsdale Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 The Lanby's Tandice Urban breaks down why healthcare has a customer service problem, and how to fix it 12:28 Bestie Q&A: changing American's perspective on healthcare, opportunity for DTC health brands, why is medical spend at all-time highs while avg lifespan has flatlined/slightly decreased? Follow The Lanby: https://twitter.com/thelanby Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Chamath intros MP Materials CEO James Litinsky 1:13 James gives a talk on supply chain, energy independence, acquiring the Mountain Pass mine and starting MP Materials 12:48 Bestie Q&A with James: US falling behind in rare earth mining, risk compliance, energy independence breeding geopolitical leverage, mining lithium in the ocean vs Earth's crust, and more Follow MP Materials: https://mobile.twitter.com/MPMaterials Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Pear VC Founding Managing Partner Mar Hershenson gives a talk on making successful entrepreneurs: can great founders be created, or is it something they are born with? 17:04 Bestie Q&A with Mar: Catalyzing great founders, why the PayPal Mafia created more unicorns than early Google employees, creating more opportunity for underrepresented founders, inducing failure & more Follow Pear VC: https://twitter.com/pearvc Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Nate Silver gives a presentation on how gamblers think 19:25 Bestie Q&A with Nate Silver: building probabilistic models, getting blamed for Trump winning in 2016, polarization reality, 2022 midterms Follow Nate: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market in 2022 16:56 Bestie Q&A with Adena: differences between 2008 and 2022, housing market reaction time, chances of a collapse, and more 30:08 Adena does a Bestie Intro for herself! Follow Adena: https://twitter.com/adenahefets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 0:00 David Sacks explains the origin of this panel on political discourse in America 2:56 Understanding the new political divide, how Trump's victory impacted discourse 12:37 Can mainstream media ever get back to relative neutrality? 29:15 Audience Q&A Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/ggreenwald https://twitter.com/mtaibbi Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner joins the show 1:00 All-In Summit recap and best moments 16:45 State of the markets, $ZM/$SNOW earnings, how much more uncertainty? 29:53 $SNAP drops after miscalculating earnings targets, understanding signs of a true bottom, the end of entitlement 51:10 Down market end game, investor decisions, reasons for optimism, quick reset potential 1:05:17 Sacks explains his concept for "default investable," Besties share thoughts on proactive layoffs and course correction 1:12:27 Addressing Uvalde, legislative disappointment, potential preventative solutions Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://investors.zoom.us/news-releases/news-release-details/zoom-video-communications-reports-financial-results-first https://investors.snowflake.com/news/news-details/2022/Snowflake-Reports-Financial-Results-for-the-First-Quarter-of-Fiscal-2023/default.aspx https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1529100065331200005 https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1529133144540078083 https://layoffs.fyi https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/24/snaps-down-32percent-and-its-dragging-other-stocks-down-with-it.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://nypost.com/2022/05/13/netflix-tells-woke-workers-to-quit-if-they-are-offended-culture-memo https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1529119829080150016 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1528102541723979776 https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200 https://elections.bradyunited.org/take-action/nra-donations-116th-congress-senators https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_shootings_in_the_United_States#/media/File:Total_Deaths_in_US_Mass_Shootings_1982-2021.jpg https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529843255176663040 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/01/business/coronavirus-gun-sales.html https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529504198974263296

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Tim Urban gives a talk on political discourse in America and explains high-rung vs. low-rung thinking 26:20 The Besties and Keith Rabois join Tim Urban on stage for a roundtable discussion on cancel culture 51:23 Keith Rabois talks about taking a pause on new investments in 2022 and gives his take on other major VC players Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/waitbutwhy https://twitter.com/rabois Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 David Sacks tees up the show: Debating the US intervention in Ukraine This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami! 1:49 Opening statements from Glenn & Antonio 15:29 Debating US involvement, regime change motives, & more 32:01 Final word & wrap Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/ggreenwald https://twitter.com/antoniogm Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Claire Cormier Thielke's AIS talk: "Tomorrowland: China Placemaking and the Future of Innovation" 17:40 Claire takes Q&A with the Besties + Ryan Petersen: Understanding the China/US rivalry 24:08 How the Evergrande debt situation impacts the greater Chinese real estate industry, China's still-nascent middle class, How China is subsidizing its negative birth rate 34:30 Ryan Petersen breaks down Flexport's business, the tumultuous past few years, and how DTC might be in major trouble 46:34 Asset-heavy play as a hedge against the popular trend of asset-light, velocity vs. speed, Flexport.org's humanitarian relief shipping, China's influence Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/clairethielke https://twitter.com/typesfast Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn 12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality 24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions 33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses 47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

0:00 Bestie Guestie Elon Musk joins via Zoom at the All-In Summit! 0:43 Benchmarking Twitter's bot problem, thoughts on slights from the Biden Administration 13:26 Breaking down Tesla's 6+ businesses, comparing them to a traditional car company 21:42 Concerns around the Twitter deal, crypto payments on Twitter 30:19 Building vs. acquiring, early Tesla stories 39:52 SpaceX's grand vision and business model, nuclear fusion vs. solar 56:37 Moving from CA to TX, fixing California, macroeconomic takes 1:10:20 American exceptionalism, a new immigration strategy Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/elonmusk Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffec

0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros! 4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons 31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds 41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn 58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at 1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses 1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976 https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672 https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624 https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064 https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/ https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568 https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025 https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/ https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674

0:00 Amy Howe (@AHoweBlogger) & Tom Goldstein (@SCOTUSblog) join the show to break down the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade 28:07 Potential downstream impacts from the precedent of overturning Roe v. Wade 43:03 How will the leaked draft impact the Supreme Court going forward? Should there be age limits for SC justices? 1:05:09 Analyzing the path forward Follow Amy and Tom: https://twitter.com/AHoweBlogger https://twitter.com/SCOTUSblog Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21835435-scotus-initial-draft https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep410/usrep410113/usrep410113.pdf https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/505/833/case.pdf https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/05/04/abortion-supreme-court-confirmation-hearings https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_Supreme_Court_candidates https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/17-1618_hfci.pdf https://www.wsj.com/articles/abortion-and-the-supreme-court-dobbs-v-jackson-mississippi-john-roberts-11651009292 https://beyer.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=5330 https://www.law.nyu.edu/sites/default/files/ECM_PRO_059254.pdf https://news.gallup.com/poll/350486/record-high-support-same-sex-marriage.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx

0:00 Bestie intros 4:32 Understanding VC fund metrics that matter, state of private markets 29:37 Recession possibilities, Q1 negative growth 44:56 Student loan forgiveness, fixing the underlying system, solutions 1:09:52 Archegos founder Bill Hwang arrested and charged with fraud and racketeering 1:19:08 New Disinformation Governance Board 1:30:23 Predictions for Elon's Twitter vision, policing speech on social media using existing case law Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://twitter.com/jasongoepfert/status/1520040516955643905 https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-economy-gdp-growth-q1-11651108351 https://twitter.com/lizannsonders/status/1520021943621140483 https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1489128016508719104 https://educationdata.org/wp-content/uploads/78/historical-cost-of-tuition-and-fees-room-and-board.webp https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/04/should-biden-forgive-student-loan-debt/629700/ https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2022-70 https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-immigration-media-europe-misinformation-4e873389889bb1d9e2ad8659d9975e9d https://www.dhs.gov/ntas/advisory/national-terrorism-advisory-system-bulletin-february-07-2022 https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/01/us/politics/russia-2016-election-facebook.html https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1519073003933515776

0:00 Bestie Intros + a new Bestie Guestie! 4:37 Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong reflects on his "mission-focused company" blog post, work culture in tech/Silicon Valley, realigning culture at Coinbase 26:25 Crypto regulation and adoption 46:37 Brian's takes on different types of stablecoins 51:14 Netflix's major headwinds Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-is-a-mission-focused-company-af882df8804 https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/12/22433437/apple-hire-antonio-garcia-martinez-out-petition-investigation https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/20/22446059/apple-employees-palestinians-support-internal-letter-tim-cook https://www.theverge.com/2021/6/4/22491629/apple-employees-push-back-return-office-internal-letter-tim-cook https://www.wsj.com/articles/revolt-in-disneys-florida-kingdom-ron-desantis-bob-chapek-11650578648 https://variety.com/2021/film/news/dave-chappelle-netflix-ted-sarandos-i-screwed-up-1235093098/ https://sacks.substack.com/p/your-startup-is-a-movement?s=r https://twitter.com/brian_armstrong/status/1435439291715358721 https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/03/09/fact-sheet-president-biden-to-sign-executive-order-on-ensuring-responsible-innovation-in-digital-assets/ https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/howey-test.asp https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-thieves-get-bolder-by-the-heist-stealing-record-amounts-11650582598 https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/06/axie-infinity-creator-raises-150m-round-to-compensate-victims-of-625m-ronin-hack/ https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1402030233319088139 https://nypost.com/2022/04/21/ex-mcdonalds-ceo-rensi-companies-have-no-business-in-politics/ https://www.pbs.org/newshour/arts/netflix-loses-200000-subscribers-projects-even-deeper-losses-this-spring https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ https://ycharts.com/companies/NFLX/market_cap https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-20/ackman-loses-more-than-430-million-on-three-month-netflix-bet https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1516600269899026432 https://summit.allinpodcast.co/

*** PRODUCER'S NOTE: This is part two of E76. If you want to hear the besties break down Elon vs. Twitter, check out the previous episode. 0:00 Surprise part two! 1:03 Friedberg breaks down the global food crisis and predicts China's grand plan 9:27 Inflation: 8.5% CPI in March, potential causes, what the rest of 2022 might look like 18:22 Understanding French election results so far 23:08 All-In Summit update and preview Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://thediplomat.com/2022/02/what-does-chinas-horn-of-africa-envoy-mean-for-its-non-intervention-principle/ https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3169076/china-unites-somalia-against-growing-taiwanese-somaliland-ties https://allafrica.com/stories/202203190144.html https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3170851/ukraine-invasion-china-braces-effects-global-fertiliser https://www.economist.com/china/2022/04/09/when-china-worries-about-food-the-world-pays https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3173619/china-didnt-hoard-grains-stockpiling-ensure-domestic-food https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-inflation-consumer-price-index-march-2022-11649725215 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1485696010290491393 https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/13/world/europe/le-pen-nato-russia-germany.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/visa-mastercard-fees-will-hurt-consumers-sen-dick-durbin-says-11650046879 https://summit.allinpodcast.co/

0:00 Jason's new skincare routine, Sacks' Good Friday portfolio update, Bestie intros 3:12 Breaking down Elon's offer to buy Twitter and take it private: poison pills, board responsibility and more 30:50 Core issues of Elon vs. Twitter, analyzing reactions, breaking down Twitter's revenue per employee 43:10 Free speech and Twitter, predictions for how this saga ends, business film recommendations Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1514564966564651008 https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/twitter-adopts-limited-duration-shareholder-rights-plan-enabling-all-shareholders-to-realize-full-value-of-company-301526627.html https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revlon,_Inc._v._MacAndrews_%26_Forbes_Holdings,_Inc. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001418091/000110465922045641/tm2212748d1_sc13da.htm https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477 https://twitter.com/jeffjarvis/status/1514578609754812419 https://twitter.com/maxboot/status/1514570168730636290 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477 https://twitter.com/auronmacintyre/status/1514653963408318474 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ATVI:NASDAQ

0:00 Jason's big night out, bestie intros, All-In Summit update and more 8:01 Layoffs and shutdowns: Fast, Better.com, GoPuff; Chamath gives a macro- and micro- overview for startups 14:09 Preventing layoffs, culpability in Fast's shutdown, VC diligence strategy, VC/founder model 41:51 Elon buys a 9% stake in Twitter and joins the board: what does this mean for Twitter, free speech online, evolution of deplatforming 1:03:24 Food shortage update, ideal US objectives going forward Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/live-fast-die-young-behind-the-fall-of-a-one-click-wonder https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/08/better-com-cto-steps-down-agrees-to-voluntary-separation-in-wake-of-mass-layoffs https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/06/better-com-offering-employees-60-days-severance-losing-tens-of-millions-per-month-per-sources https://www.theinformation.com/articles/gopuff-plans-hundreds-of-layoffs-to-cut-40-million-in-costs https://articles.sequoiacap.com/rip-good-times https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-saas-board-meeting https://medium.com/craft-ventures/blitzfail-how-not-to-go-off-the-rails-24ccaf92c410 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-04/musk-takes-9-2-stake-in-twitter-after-questioning-platform https://twitter.com/paraga/status/1511320953598357505 https://twitter.com/jack/status/1511329369473564677 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1507259709224632344 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511360061670662149 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511674851202945024 https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/06/tech/pinterest-climate-change-misinformation-policy/index.html https://gro-intelligence.com/insights/gro-predicts-us-corn-stocks-will-drop-sharply-in-2022-23 https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/the-state-department-failed-to-prevent-the-war-will-it-now-prevent-the-peace

0:00 Sacks' DC trip and foreign policy speaking gig 5:50 Yield curve inversion, breaking down the current state of the markets, understanding the labor market through birth rate and immigration 26:16 How the US can fix its current economic issues, reframing high-skilled immigration 48:54 SEC's new proposed rules around SPACs and climate disclosures for public companies: how will both markets be impacted? 1:10:29 Meta used a GOP firm to run a smear campaign against TikTok in the US: dirty, necessary, or both? 1:19:03 Food shortage update 1:24:33 Sacks and Jason reflect on Biden's inflammatory comments on Putin Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525 https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/part-us-yield-curve-just-inverted-does-that-mean-recession-is-coming-2022-03-28 https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/dont-fear-the-yield-curve-reprise-20220325.htm https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/restoration-hardware-stock-price-ceo-warns-big-short-economy-inflation-2022-3 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PATH:NYSE https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/03/american-population-growth-rate-slow/629392 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/31/2-year-treasury-yield-tops-10-year-rate-a-yield-curve-inversion-that-could-signal-a-recession.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-bidens-big-new-wealth-tax-white-house-budget-fy-2023-11648504962 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-28/manchin-pans-biden-s-proposed-tax-on-unrealized-gains-of-wealthy https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/democrats-go-directly-to-the-center https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-29/spacs-face-fresh-sec-legal-threat-for-overly-bullish-forecasts https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-27/spacs-can-take-away-the-insiders-advantage-in-ipos-and-markets https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/the-sec-will-regulate-climate https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/30/sec-targets-spacs-with-new-rules-about-forecasts-mergers.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/03/30/facebook-tiktok-targeted-victory/ https://www.agweek.com/news/ukraine-ag-production-could-drop-80-fertilizer-prices-to-cut-food-supply-long-term-uk-expert-says https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/03/wheat-in-2023.html https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2021/09/information-on-2021-cash-rents-with-implications-for-2022.html https://www.agweek.com/news/usda-nass-to-livestream-prospective-planting-report https://www.npr.org/2022/03/28/1089300515/biden-putin-remarks-regime-change https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-s-approval-ratings-soar-amid-russia-s-war-in-ukraine/ar-AAVI29R

0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner is filling in for Friedberg 1:34 Understanding public SaaS and Internet multiples, Instacart's cuts its valuation by 40%, understanding reality of overvalued late-stage companies 21:52 Capital allocators at fault, how crossover funds are reacting, late-stage price discovery, investor and founder behavioral psychology 40:37 Sacks' burn multiple, managing growth spend, new VC qualifications, lessons from the COVID bubble 53:58 Russia/Ukraine: US potential non-ceasefire strategy, Zelenskyy's revelations in CNN interview, rhetoric getting more aggressive 1:08:58 How will Putin withdraw without redacting the sanctions? What is the offramp? Zelenskyy's posture on global war 1:24:18 Understanding China's recently announced tax cuts, All-In Summit talk Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burnmultiple-51a7e43cb200 https://substack.com/profile/11803623-jamin-ball https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/1506243619384037378 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/niall-ferguson-putin-and-biden-misunderstand-history-in-ukraine-war https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB10014.html https://twitter.com/samramani2/status/1507378113893871617 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-first-phase-ukraine-operation-mostly-complete-focus-now-donbass-2022-03-25/ https://www.wptv.com/news/national/russia-ukraine-conflict/zelenskyy-warns-of-world-war-iii-if-russia-ukraine-peace-talks-fail https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/03/20/zelensky_ukraine_failed_putin_talks_would_mean_a_third_world_war.html https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/20/zelenskyy-ukraine-zakaria-interview-00018716 https://fortune.com/2022/03/25/russia-g20-summit-putin-biden-indonesia-bali-china-ukraine/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html https://fortune.com/2022/03/24/putin-russia-natural-gas-europe-imports-pay-in-rubles-sanctions/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/24/biden-says-us-would-respond-to-russia-if-putin-uses-chemical-or-biological-weapons.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2014/03/09/blinken-u-s-would-not-recognize-crimea-secession/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-sticks-with-longstanding-u-s-policy-on-use-of-nuclear-weapons-amid-pressure-from-allies-11648176849 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-21/china-embraces-supply-side-economics-with-tax-cuts

0:00 Jason's new "family office" and Sacks' new strategy 2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in 15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping 34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization 49:26 US economy big picture outlook: inflation, rising rates, decreasing uncertainty potentially a bullish sign in public markets; how that flows to private markets 1:02:06 Rewriting foreign policy playbooks Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html https://www.axios.com/zelensky-russian-invasion-ukraine-ea623eb5-4a14-4458-9640-af981081e4a4.html https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/russia-ukraine-invasion-francis-fukuyama-b2035413.html https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1504601558184517637 https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-russia-ukraine-war-china-choice/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/16/ukraine-zelensky-information-war/ https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1504824837964926981 https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1504618754784735232 https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1 https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/first-drought-now-war-global-wheat-supplies-peril-rcna19298 https://www.agweb.com/news/policy/politics/if-you-think-fertilizer-prices-are-bad-now-heres-why-china-could-make https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/Fig4.png https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/skyrocketing-fertilizer-prices-gouge-farmer-profits-groups-blame-consolidation https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cu22 https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1504214235114577926 https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/10/there-are-more-than-11-million-open-jobs-in-america-right-now.html https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/16/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1503989745939980292 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957 https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2021-06-16/the-latest-kremlin-official-says-summit-will-not-be-easy https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/biden-says-ukraine-has-work-to-do-on-corruption-to-get-into-nato https://theintercept.com/2022/03/15/ukraine-russia-war-sovereignty-negotiations/ https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/09/01/joint-statement-on-the-u-s-ukraine-strategic-partnership/ https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/ https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276/ https://www.salon.com/2021/01/19/who-is-victoria-nuland-a-really-bad-idea-as-a-key-player-in-bidens-foreign-policy-team/

0:00 David Sacks: Man for the people 0:50 Escalating tensions over Russia/Ukraine; nuclear scare; evolving forms of warfare 16:27 Assessing impact of economic sanctions: first, second and third-order effects; exit ramps for Putin and Russia 34:23 Reflecting on if taking NATO expansion off the table would have prevented war; Putin's risk of ruin; lessons learned so far 46:12 New version of economic warfare; possibility of a regime change; comparisons to the Cuban Missile Crisis; realist vs. idealist; lessons for Taiwan 1:05:22 Market impact, increased volatility, thinking in decades, managing risk 1:19:22 Car T-cell therapy breakthroughs and approvals; CRISPR patent controversy; Sacks makes a final point Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/phildstewart/status/1499535843207389186 https://www.onmanorama.com/news/world/2022/03/04/garry-kasparov-former-world-chess-champion-attacks-russian-president-vladimir-putin-ukraine-invasion-twitter.html https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1574056/world-war-3-russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-fiona-hill-us-national-security-council https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/nato-meets-ukraine-calls-no-fly-zone-hinder-russia-2022-03-04 https://twitter.com/TimothyDSnyder/status/1499587642115117059 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/02/opinion/ukraine-russia-war-zelensky.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/LUKOY:OTCMKTS https://oec.world/en/profile/hs92/wheat https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1498873063378612227 https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/1499574209567199235 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/04/world/europe/lindsey-graham-putin-russia.html https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1499385705591709698 https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-war-russia-germany-still-blocking-arms-supplies/ https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/germany-hike-defense-spending-scholz-says-further-policy-shift-2022-02-27/ https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/germany-aims-get-100-energy-renewable-sources-by-2035-2022-02-28/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/world/europe/switzerland-russian-assets-freeze.html https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/02/28/sweden-arms-ukraine/ https://www.nato.int/docu/update/2008/04-april/e0403h.html https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/biography-george-h-w-bush-slams-iron-ass-cheney-rumsfeld-n457911 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4 https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=RU https://twitter.com/shellenbergermd/status/1499386637066727424 https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/the-wests-green-delusions-empowered?s=r https://www.npr.org/2022/03/04/1084580235/russia-blocks-facebook-twitter https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/03/technology/ukraine-war-misinfo.html https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1497834538843660291 https://www.indiatoday.in/fact-check/story/fact-check-russia-ukraine-war-old-woman-not-giving-invading-russian-soldiers-the-finger-1920479-2022-03-04 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1496998762496946203 https://twitter.com/morganhousel/status/1499484089082007552 https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/euro-pinned-war-stokes-stagflation-fears-2022-03-03/ https://twitter.com/zekejmiller/status/1499739582115553281 https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/national-international/wheat-corn-prices-surge-amid-russias-invasion-of-ukraine/2774260/ https://www.myelomacrowd.org/janssen-s-cilta-cel-car-t-receives-fda-approval-for-relapsed-multiple-myeloma/ https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/fda-approves-jjs-cell-based-multiple-myeloma-therapy-blood-cancer-treatment-wsj-2022-03-01/ https://www.fiercebiotech.com/research/a2-bios-activator-blocker-car-t-cell-therapies-show-early-promise-solid-cancers https://www.wsj.com/articles/crispr-patent-gene-editing-dispute-11646187911 https://twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1499588624664657926

0:00 Ukraine invasion: how should the US respond? 17:03 Importance of energy independence when dealing with Russia; solutions: Solar, Natural Gas, Nuclear, etc 32:51 Reflecting on the media coverage so far, Putin's ambitions 42:20 Biden's new sanctions, Chamath's Russia story, doing the math on how the US can leverage energy independence 53:19 Markets signaling a potential turnaround, great businesses are available to buy at compressed prices, is Putin mad Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525/#3 https://nypost.com/2022/01/27/us-nato-must-never-give-in-to-russias-absurd-demands https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1496837835743133699 https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1496716168920547331 https://www.wsj.com/articles/jony-ive-steve-jobs-memories-10th-anniversary-11633354769?mod=e2tw https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-green-energy-price-independence-gas-lng-fracking-russia-ukraine-invasion-europe-germany-nord-stream-11645650131 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_Germany https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/21/highlights-of-russian-president-putins-speech https://peterbeinart.substack.com/p/bidens-cia-director-doesnt-believe?utm_source=url https://www.nationalreview.com/2003/03/unpatriotic-conservatives-david-frum/

0:00 Sacks needs the ball 1:43 Trudeau invokes emergency powers to try and stop the truckers protest 13:45 Bitcoin's role in decentralizing currency away from potentially hostile governments 25:37 San Francisco Board of Education recall: what this means for the boundaries of progressivism 42:02 Assessing Tiger Global's new strategy: less late-stage private companies, more Series A and B rounds, more compressed public tech stocks 1:11:24 HIV stem cell breakthrough, Sacks gives some hot takes on Fauci 1:24:59 Sacks' vendetta corner: Sacks vs. Paul Graham Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-17/police-begin-financial-squeeze-trudeau-defends-emergency-edict https://www.thecountersignal.com/news/rcmp-ban-34-crypto-wallets-from-working-in-canada https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/get-ready-for-the-no-buy-list?utm_source=url https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1494534850090442752 https://twitter.com/juliettekayyem/status/1491757167308902405 https://twitter.com/juliettekayyem/status/1491789181428715521 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/16/us/san-francisco-school-board-recall.html https://twitter.com/garrytan/status/1493876167085944834 https://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2021/05/24/covid-funding-loophole-san-francisco-school-reopening https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-02-18/wokeism-has-peaked-in-america-but-is-still-globally-influential https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1493860336713097218 https://twitter.com/MikeBloomberg/status/1494009394257870848 https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrats-coming-asian-voter https://www.theinformation.com/articles/tiger-global-d1-capital-signal-pullback-from-big-private-tech-deals-amid-market-rout https://www.wsj.com/articles/woman-appears-cured-of-hiv-after-umbilical-cord-blood-transplant-11644945720 https://twitter.com/phil_hellmuth/status/1494144604555206656 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1493296369796202496

0:00 Bestie Intro: Phil Hellmuth found a new billionaire 1:30 Chamath's new camera positioning 3:58 Revisiting the Joe Rogan/Spotify situation, racism claims, and the video controversy 30:04 Canadian truckers' "Freedom Convoy": root causes, impact, what is this turning into? 45:00 Nuclear fusion breakthrough: Friedberg shares thoughts and theories on what this could mean for the future of energy and life on Earth 54:15 Contrarian energy trade, Chamath's Big Tech play morphing into a long-term investment 1:01:01 Microsoft's savvy "burn it down" app store strategy, US income not keeping up with inflation, consumer sentiment getting worse, opening up and getting back to normal 1:15:57 CIA allegedly used an executive order from 1981 to execute warrantless surveillance on American citizens, DHS domestic terrorism infrastructure Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://variety.com/2022/digital/news/spotify-removes-joe-rogan-episodes-n-word-1235172972 https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/music/news/joe-rogan-podcast-episodes-removed-b2009035.html https://www.theverge.com/2022/2/3/22915456/spotify-ceo-joe-rogan-daniel-ek-town-hall-speech-platform-podcast https://people.com/tv/howard-stern-addresses-past-use-of-blackface-n-word https://twitter.com/aodespair/status/1489565575894478849 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1490803436639588352 https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/02/11/world/canada-trucker-protest https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/02/10/truckers-convoys-may-target-super-bowl-bidens-state-union/6738641001 https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/what-the-truckers-want https://globalnews.ca/news/8539610/trucker-convoy-covid-vaccine-mandates-ottawa https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1245179774097477633 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/08/us/politics/new-york-mask-mandate.html https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-left-is-blowing-its-big-opportunity https://www.google.com/finance/quote/XLE:NYSEARCA?window=6M https://seekingalpha.com/news/3799278-oil-and-gas-stocks-top-todays-leaderboard-as-oil-resumes-upward-climb https://www.wsj.com/articles/microsoft-promises-openness-on-new-app-store-as-it-seeks-approval-for-activision-acquisition-11644424237 https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1491771262544318464 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-consumer-sentiment-falls-fresh-151419313.html https://www.mercurynews.com/2012/12/13/thomas-sowell-inflation-can-tax-the-poor-as-well-as-the-rich/ https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/716486/biden-is-blowing-his-covid-moment/ https://twitter.com/hollandcourtney/status/1491996868829614081 https://www.wyden.senate.gov/news/press-releases/wyden-and-heinrich-newly-declassified-documents-reveal-previously-secret-cia-bulk-collection-problems-with-cia-handling-of-americans-information https://www.wyden.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/HainesBurns_WydenHeinrich_13APR21%20-FINAL.pdf https://www.dhs.gov/ntas/advisory/national-terrorism-advisory-system-bulletin-february-07-2022

0:00 Sacks' shining moment 2:34 Bestie Guestie Ryan Petersen joins to break down the supply chain situation: core issues, solutions, things to look out for 45:49 $FB's major pullback: causes, headwinds, and why going all-in on the Metaverse might have been a "frothy market mistake" 55:28 Breaking down the competition in the "XR Wars": Meta, Apple, Microsoft and Google; why a phone might have been a better $10B/year bet for Facebook, Google's strategic brilliance 1:09:14 Spotify's Joe Rogan situation: positions, speech rights, division amongst free speech 1:23:08 Reflection on Baby Boomers' transition from radically free speech and anti-government to authoritarian, misinformation changing over time, using science to discredit science 1:30:10 Xi Jinping and Putin are deepening their relationship: what does this mean for the world, and how should the US strategically respond? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/INGR:NYSE https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevebanker/2021/04/23/walmarts-massive-investment-in-a-supply-chain-transformation/?sh=41a6b18340ed https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/20/peloton-to-pause-production-of-its-bikes-treadmills-as-demand-wanes.html https://twitter.com/typesfast/status/1451543776992845834 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/02/meta-reality-labs-reports-10-billion-loss.html https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/02/facebook-says-apple-ios-privacy-change-will-cost-10-billion-this-year.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PYPL:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/03/facebook-and-google-stocks-have-diverged-and-the-reason-is-apple.html https://twitter.com/GavinSBaker/status/1462831115572596744 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AMZN:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1489321225520238592 https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/get-ready-for-the-no-buy-list https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/26/arts/music/spotify-neil-young-joe-rogan.html https://www.theverge.com/2022/2/3/22915456/spotify-ceo-joe-rogan-daniel-ek-town-hall-speech-platform-podcast https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10475473/Barack-Michelle-Obama-preparing-shop-new-podcast-partner-amid-outcry-Joe-Rogan.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/arts-entertainment/2022/02/02/spotify-rogan-white-house-covid-misinformation https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/1488252747489202181 https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/1489258034865971205 https://www.thewrap.com/tucker-carlson-liberal-viewership-fox-news https://twitter.com/echeloninsights/status/1487118055582965762 https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1488180589505167372 https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-vladimir-putin-meets-with-chinese-leader-xi-jinping-in-beijing-11643966743 https://www.voltairenet.org/article215540.html

0:00 Chamath's preferred cosplay 1:35 Reflecting on bad investment decisions and markup dynamics 15:20 Rising tensions between US and Russia over Ukraine, Putin's demands, NATO negotiations as the underreported key piece, Obama's savvy Russia dealings 39:16 Bill Ackman buys the Netflix dip, Tesla and Microsoft crush earnings, the Fed signals rate hikes 55:18 Altos Labs raises $3B in the largest Seed round ever, incredible Yamanaka factors breakthrough, dynamics of a richly capitalized bio-moonshot 1:04:08 The Stripe Mafia, Bolt CEO punches up, reflecting on old emails Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2013-05-30/bitcoin-the-perfect-schmuck-insurance https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1480716684038049796 https://medium.com/@jason/do-the-work-skip-the-party-8f2864560195#724a--share-10-78 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/16/world/europe/russia-ukraine-invasion.html https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/2910061/pentagon-press-secretary-john-kirby-holds-a-press-briefing https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525 https://www.history.com/news/nato-article-5-meaning-history-world-war-2 https://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-shifrinson-russia-us-nato-deal--20160530-snap-story.html https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp-by-country https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/natosource/obama-does-not-believe-invading-ukraine-or-saving-assad-makes-putin-a-player https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/germany-agrees-to-axe-nord-stream-2-if-russia-invades-ukraine https://www.wsj.com/articles/william-ackman-takes-stake-in-netflix-11643236690 https://tesla-cdn.thron.com/static/WIIG2L_TSLA_Q4_2021_Update_O7MYNE.pdf?xseo=&response-content-disposition=inline%3Bfilename%3D%22tsla-q4-and-fy-2021-update.pdf%22 https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/Investor/earnings/FY-2022-Q2/press-release-webcast https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/26/fed-decision-january-2022-.html https://www.tcv.com/tcv-insights/netflix-case-study https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/16/peloton-files-to-sell-1-billion-in-stock-offering-shares-drop.html https://www.drugdiscoverytrends.com/biotech-altos-labs-emerges-with-3b-in-funding-to-focus-on-cellular-rejuvenation-programming https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.01.20.477063v1.full.pdf https://twitter.com/theryanking/status/1485784823641755648 https://twitter.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1486082835974811650 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1486113945790214146 https://twitter.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1486114773209006080 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1486121975311339520 https://my.pitchbook.com/profile/107633-08/company/profile#deal-history/102358-00T

00:00 Cold Open 00:25 Besties react to last week's All-In E63 21:50 Implications of FTC Chair Lina Khan's approach to enforcing antitrust 42:21 "Superbubble," Multiple compression, Fed interest rates, Peloton & Netflix valuations 1:11:04 Sacks explains the NIH's coordinated effort to downplay the lab leak hypothesis 1:32:01 Friedberg's new company Cana 1:33:47 Learning loss from COVID school closures Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the Episode: Lina Khan interview with Kara Swisher and Andrew Ross Sorkin on CNBC https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1iYGE3PVYA WSJ article: Sen. Dianne Feinstein & Sen. Alex Padilla advanced the antitrust bill https://www.wsj.com/articles/senate-panel-approves-antitrust-bill-restricting-big-tech-platforms-11642701487 Chamath's Social Capital 2019 Annual Letter https://www.socialcapital.com/annual-letters/2019 Bill Ackman suggests the Fed should raise rate by 50 basis points https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1482449525595943045?s=20 Gavin Baker's Twitter on Generals getting shot last https://twitter.com/GavinSBaker/status/1479454332567310342?s=20 Jonathan Chait in NY Mag on School Closures https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/progressives-must-reckon-with-the-school-closing-catastrophe.html Unicef estimate that COVID-19 learning loss could cost students close to $17 trillion https://www.unicef.org/press-releases/learning-losses-covid-19-could-cost-generation-students-close-17-trillion-lifetime Friedberg's interview on This Week in Startups https://youtu.be/dajzLwGAntI?t=1998 https://apple.co/33Xrbq3

0:00 Bestie Intro: Friedberg prepares for the insurrection discussion 0:39 Breaking down the Oath Keeper indictments and the riots at the capitol, Biden's plummeting approval rating 14:45 Human rights perspectives and challenges: domestic and international 57:36 Considering the rise of authoritarianism in the US, positive stimulus impacts 1:04:09 Groundbreaking study on a possible root cause of multiple sclerosis, pig heart successfully transplanted into living person, SEC considering tightening accreditation laws 1:19:44 Rehashing the roast of Phil Hellmuth Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/13/us/politics/oath-keepers-stewart-rhodes.html https://january6th.house.gov/news/press-releases/select-committee-subpoenas-social-media-companies-records-related-january-6th https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/leader-oath-keepers-and-10-other-individuals-indicted-federal-court-seditious-conspiracy-and https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/06/opinion/democrats-fail-defending-democracy.html https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1481345993320939525 https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-walensky-study-idUSL1N2TS0S2 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1481386527485693953 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/12/nyregion/rikers-jail-videos.html https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-22278037 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/14/us/politics/russia-ukraine-us-intelligence.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/americans-finances-got-stronger-in-the-pandemicconfounding-early-fears-11641736069 https://www.npr.org/2022/01/13/1072529477/more-than-1-million-fewer-students-are-in-college-the-lowest-enrollment-numbers- https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abj8222 https://www.umassmed.edu/news/news-archives/2022/01/phase-i-clinical-trial-of-moderna-mrna-vaccine-for-epstein-barr-virus-starting-at-umass-chan/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/pig-heart-transplant-donor-organs-11641948330 https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-pushes-for-more-transparency-from-private-companies-11641752489

0:00 Bestie intro and poker recap 3:14 Elizabeth Holmes verdict, origins of the fraud, breakdown of the Theranos promise 17:51 Lessons for founders and investors from the Theranos debacle, bad behavior a sign of the top 26:09 Implications of "The Great Markdown" on public and private markets, confusing FED decisions 45:56 Advice for founders on navigating a downturn 1:00:01 a16z's new mega funds; should they go public? How does that change partner dynamics? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-elizabeth-holmes-verdict-theranos-founder-is-guilty-on-four-of-11-charges-in-fraud-trial-11641255705 https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-58469882 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/04/technology/elizabeth-holmes-verdict.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-theranos-fraud-elizabeth-holmes-convicted-trial-blood-testing-start-up-11641330471 https://www.businessinsider.com/bill-maris-explains-why-gv-didnt-invest-in-theranos-2015-10 https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2021/06/insights-the-delaware-edition/delaware-courts-expand-plaintiffs-rights https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/05/fed-minutes-december-2021.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE http://www.paulgraham.com/aord.html https://www.socialcapital.com/annual-letters/2019 https://medium.com/craft-ventures/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200 https://www.statista.com/statistics/266206/googles-annual-global-revenue https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/07/andreessen-horowitz-raises-9b-in-new-capital-for-venture-growth-bio-funds