When the "Math Ain't Mathing": A Texas GOP Warning Shot
Around 51% of the turnout was Republican, while some 35% was Democrat. Yet Senator-Elect Taylor Rehmet won state Senate District 9 with 57% of the vote. That’s math that doesn’t math. And ever since that shock victory in Tarrant County, everyone has tried to find meaning in the numbers. In this episode of Y’all-itics, a leading GOP data guru and pollster who runs one of the largest political consulting firms in Texas explains why the GOP lost this race not because of low turnout but because they lost independents and even some Republicans. And Senator-Elect Rehmet tells you how he went from the shop floor to the Senate floor. GUESTS Ross Hunt, Hunt Research State Senator-Elect Taylor Rehmet, D-District 9
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Show Notes
00:00 – Why SD-9 Shocked Texas Politics
1:49 - Interview Guest: Ross Hunt, Hunt Research
03:45 – The Independent Voter Breakaway
07:10 – Candidate Quality vs. Turnout
10:20 – Why Democrats Shouldn’t Celebrate Turnout
13:05 – GOP Warning Signs for November
16:40 – How Redistricting Comes Back to Bite
19:55 – Suburban Shifts in Tarrant County
23:30 – What Republicans Misread About SD-9
25:35 - One on One with State Senator-Elect Taylor Rehmet
27:05 – Could Democrats Replicate This Statewide?
31:50 – Looking Ahead to November & Key Battlegrounds