WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

Simon Shares Metrofile* (JSE code: MFL) results were modest but the dividend was up 18% at 13c and core operations also increased 18%. You can now buy shares in the South African Reserve Bank! But should you? Sea Harvest (JSE code: SHG) will be listing later this month. I will apply for allocation. Tongaat* (JSE code: TON) is coming under some selling pressure down to around R123.50. Upcoming events JSE Power Hour: Finding that perfect share JSE Power Hour: Anthony Clark 2017 small cap picks * I hold ungeared positions. Is Buffett a value investor? @JustOneLap @SimonPB Please also make mention of Buffett's 180 degree flip and new love affair with 'cheap' airlines — Wes Hellyar (@WesHellyar) March 7, 2017 " src= "" alt="" width="20" height="20" data-wp-preserve= "%3Cscript%20async%20src%3D%22%2F%2Fplatform.twitter.com%2Fwidgets.js%22%20charset%3D%22utf-8%22%3E%3C%2Fscript%3E" data-mce-placeholder="1" /> It is well known that Warren Buffett learnt investing from the father of value investing - Benjamin Graham and many still consider Buffett to be the worlds greatest value investor. But while he may be the worlds greatest investor he is not a value investor having abandoned that strategy way back. If anything he is 'growth at reasonable price' investor. The book Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits by Phil Fisher really explains his current investing methodology. We Get Mail Glen I am wondering which one of these 2 would be best: ABSA Newfunds TRACI 3-M or SBK tax free call account? LH But what do you do when your ETF of choice halves in value?! Boitumelo Basically I want to know if switching is worth the tax free incentive. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares New tax year and I have already loaded another R33k into my tax-free account and will be buying as per our high risk model portfolio. The annual Buffett letter was published last weekend. Always good reading, I especially like his comments on buying assets with shares (and hence paying a fortune). He also updates on his bet on the VOO vs. hedge funds (spoiler, VOO wining by a mile). The AGM will be webcast here on 6 May. We update the momentum portfolio stocks for 2017/8. Last years return was -5.2% after all costs and behind the benchmark so disappointing. I am NOT re-entering the portfolio this year for two reasons. Too much stuff and the ABSA NFEMOM ETF now uses my methodology and is more tax efficient. Upcoming events JSE Power Hour: Finding that perfect share JSE Power Hour: Anthony Clark 2017 small cap picks Becoming a trader The most frequent question Simon gets is about becoming a trader and his first answer is always the same, it will take time. Lots of time. In this weeks podcast he goes into details about the skills needed, capital, tools and more. Some resource; I hate my life, teach me to trade Boot Camp on trading skills Master Class on trading systems JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

The budget and your investments Simon Shares Murray & Roberts (JSE code: MUR) mystery buyer is out, ATM Holding, Munich with now almost 25% stake in MUR. So now what, surely they don't want just 25%? Shoprite* (JSE code: SHP) merger is off and their results were excellent. I am a double happy shareholder. Adcock Ingram (JSE code: AIP) results show turn around happening but share price seems to be pricing this in already on PE of over 20x. Mediclinic (JSE code: MEI), Al Noor a less than rosy acquisition for the company. Why do these big deals always seem to go wrong? Upcoming events Momentum portfolio stock picks for 2017/8 JSE Power Hour: Finding that perfect share JSE Power Hour: Anthony Clark 2017 small cap picks * I hold ungeared positions. Budget 2017 and your investments Key highlights and how they'll impact various investments; Tax-free - annual limit increased to R33,000 a year. Effective 1 March 2017, NOT this tax year. Dividend Withholding Tax (DWT) up from 15% to 20%. Capital gains tax (CGT), company tax & VAT - no change. New top tax bracket at 45% for those earning over R1.5million. Sugar - still on the cards. Petrol - +39c. Relief will be provided in the threshold above which transfer duty is paid from R750 000 to R900 000. Social grants; The old age grant will increase R1600 for pensioners over the age of 60, and R1620 for those over 75. The disability and care grants increase to R1600. Foster care grants increase to R920.The child support grant increases R380. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares ZAR X and 4AX exchanges are coming. But do they have any listings we care about and are we able to trade them with our current brokers. Kumba Iron Ore (JSE code: KIO) very impressive and cost per tonne is well down from over $40 to $29, but no dividend. Brait* (JSE code: BAT) shows what a mess New Look as they slice R10billion of the NAV to R8.7billion, and the UK just released best unemployment rate in 11 years but wages under pressure. Rand heading for R13/US$, no surprises as it one of my predictions for 2017. Question is how much stronger and as important any strengthening will not be in a straight line. Full list of ETFs that can be used in a tax-free account. Upcoming events Momentum portfolio stock picks for 2017/8 JSE Power Hour: Finding that perfect share JSE Power Hour: Anthony Clark 2017 small cap picks * Simon holds ungeared positions. Trading tax-free accounts In last weeks JSE Power Hour on tax-free investing Simon mentioned trading a tax-free account. This got many excited thinking about derivatives and shares, but no. The restrictions for tax-free accounts remain but Simon has ways we can still trade without gearing and enhance returns (or losses). We Get Mail Eric Honestly, it's never been easier or this cheap to bulletproof your Rand wealth through diversified products covering the globe. Janus I'm heavily invested in STXIND. Obviously not happy with the performance at the moment. I would like to stay with Satrix but was thinking of selling all STXIND and buy STXRES. Good or bad plan? Perhaps go 50/50? Many people I want to buy an unlisted share, is it a good idea? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Now Sea Harvest coming to market mid March hot on the heels of Premier Fishing. Spar (JSE code: SPP) another weak retailer trading update, BuildIt very weak, local weak, Ireland alright but hurt but currency and Switzerland also poor. MTN (JSE code: MTN) reports they will have a headline loss for FY2016 after a 1204c HEPS in FY2015. Lots of reasons, mostly Nigeria. Two new Satrix ETFs coming. One property (capped at 10% per stock) and a government inflation-linked bond ETF. Understanding the DCCUSD ETF that tracks US Treasury Bonds. Upcoming events JSE Power Hour: Tax-free investing Momentum portfolio stock picks for 2017/8 JSE Power Hour: Finding that perfect share JSE Power Hour: Anthony Clark 2017 small cap picks Jean Pierre Verster Portfolio Manager - Fairtree Capital Chatting market fears and opportunities specifically; Hudaco (JSE code: HDC), Naspers (JSE code: NPN), MTN and Invicta (JSE code: IVT). We Get Mail Anton Do you know why I am paying double the share price to purchase a share at my broker? Is it brokerage fee? Hendrik At which point do we have to outsource the investment club to protect the alliance. Each member's share is now quite substantial. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares African Phoenix (JSE code: AXL) is back and trading around 55c after a trading update suggesting around 3c HEPS for the first half. With a potential for maybe 8c-10c HEPS for the FY17 that's a PE of around 5x. Local markets gained 4.8% in January, this time last year after a horrid January everybody was saying 'as goes January so goes the year". Well they was wrong and what January does is only what January does, not the rest of the year. Upcoming events JSE Power Hour: Tax-free investing Momentum portfolio stock picks for 2017/8 JSE Power Hour: Finding that perfect share JSE Power Hour: Anthony Clark 2017 small cap picks Investment clubs A few requests on investment clubs; how to set them up, manage them, regulations etc. So here's my views, ideas and suggestion for getting your own investment club off the ground. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Abils back Simon Shares African Bank (Abil) returns to the JSE on Wednesday as African Phoenix Investments (JSE code: AXL). I never expected that, a busted bank survives, albeit this is not the banking assets, just insurance. Top40 index at highs for the year, ya I know it early days and as Stuart reminded me on Twitter the Springboks are also unbeaten for the year. Huge trading update from Kumba Iron Ore (JSE code: KIO) as iron prices were markedly higher. Too much stuff, sell everything. Wow a huge response and all positive except for two people who said I would miss the garden and everybody wants my books. Also a lot of requests that I keep people in the loop as to process etc. No comments on my potential portfolio restructuring. Up coming events; Four events loaded, find them here. We Get Mail Lucky Hi Simon, want to start TFSA acc ,is there a way to add RSA Retail bonds into the TFSA? Michael Would you recommend setting up a tax-free savings account through FNB? Charmaine Tax saving in ABSA momentum ETF (NFEMOM) what does this mean. Hoosain I just want to get your take on buying shares that are already in your unit trusts or ETFs. Do you think its advisable to buy the same shares that are in those products? Franz What is the procedure for opening an offshore account? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Too much stuff, sell it all Simon Shares Local retail sales updates thus far are poor. Standouts; Mr Price (JSE code: MRP) still getting their lunch handed to them, Shoprite* (JSE code: SHP) is a retail monster with rest of Africa booming. * I hold ungeared positions. Too much stuff I'm calling it life style creep when you wake up one morning and my large house is no longer big enough. We're surely doing it wrong? So my lovely wife an I are pushing back, down scaling into a small apartment and getting rid of 95% of our stuff. Pretty much everything except essential furniture, share portfolio (some portfolios are potentially under the hammer) and art. We simple have too much stuff and a simpler life with less stuff is in order. Bigger picture is to become a digital nomad living in AirBNB apartments; watching whales from Stillbaai in August / September and so on. But it starts with less stuff.

The 2017 predictions show Every year the first JSE Direct of the year is our annual predictions show. Marc Ashton, GM at Moneyweb, Keith McLachlan, Small/Midcap fund manager at Alpha Wealth and Just One Lap founder Simon Brown review their predictions from the previous year and make their top three predictions for 2017. They then also make a call on the Top40 and ZAR/US$ for the year. You can find the 2016 edition here. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Position your portfolio for 2017 with Simon Brown Every year we conclude the JSE Power Hour series with a presentation by Just One Lap founder, Simon Brown. He gives his insights for the year ahead and how to position your portfolio accordingly. Last year the presentation was just days before then Minister Nene was fired and this year's event will be just days after the Standard and Poor's announcement regarding South Africa's credit status. Simon will review his predictions from last year and look at what the year ahead holds and how we can best position our investment portfolio. Issues that to be covered will include; Junk status The Rand Interest rates Offshore investments Impact of the looming Brexit Our local economy and its growth potential A selection of preferred stocks for the year ahead including for your ETF portfolio The PDF of the presentation is here.

Reviewing my portfolio for 2016 Simon Shares Standard & Poor's left offshore debt as is (one notch above junk) and dropped the ZAR debt to two notches above junk and on a negative outlook. Standard & Poor's have to decide on junk or not by end 2017 or change the negative outlook to stable, so another anxious 2017 awaits us. Reviewing Simon's portfolio for 2016 Some great returns, some middling and one very nasty. Portfolio is published here and returns (ex dividends for the 12 months to close 3 December 2016) as below. Simon's portfolio returns for 2016 We Get Mail @luckysibiya74 Hi Simon, do you think it's a good idea to borrow money to buy shares and is there a type of loan that's purely for buying shares? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Metrofile* (JSE code: MFL) seller in market, use it to pick up some at great price / yield. Sygnia (JSE code: SYG) results see diluted HEPS at 54.16c (vs. 60.40 previous year) and dividend at 52c. I like the business but it is very expensive for a low margin operation without performance fees. Moody's not so moody. Fitch full of surprises and Standard and Poor's lurking. * I hold ungeared positions. We got Marc Ashton, MD at Moneyweb, giving us his preferred ETF list. Up coming events; Trading Master Class: Tuesday 6th at 6.00pm - Lazy trading indices and FX. JSE Power Hour: Thursday 8th at 5.30pm - Position your portfolio for 2017. We Get Mail Charles Would you pay for a guaranteed stop loss? Hermanus Trade In your video "A complete CFD share trading system" you stated that the system is based on the top 40 stocks, for the liquidity behind it. I was wondering, to what point would you consider a stock to be liquid enough to trade on a 15 or 30min chart (average daily volume)? Franz What is the procedure for opening an offshore account? Anon I bought Anglogold Ashanti 300 shares at R241.03 each now the shares price dropped with more than 35%. Should I sell them or hold on? Anon Current situation I find myself over a total of R176 438.67 in debt. Dominic What I don't understand is what drives the price on that index and how does it change 24/7? What am i buying and who buys what I sell. Also what indicators drive this price, type of events. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Are we Brazilian? Are we Brazilian? Simon Shares Metrofile* (JSE code: MFL) 1million shares on offer at 500c. Subtle? Dis-Chem (JSE code: DCP), like everybody else I did not get in the private placement and I am not looking to buy in the open market. Santova* (JSE code: SNV) getting hit. I hold and continue to hold, not buying any more as I have plenty. Twelve month low is 320c on 25 November 2015, looks like we could get back to that level soon enough. Woolies* (JSE code: WHL) saw massive volume on Tuesday, R1.3billion which is 2x - 3x normal value traded. Tongaat* (JSE code: TON) up at R130, nice but I hadn't finished buy below R120. Not buying up at R130 at the moment, albeit target is likely R150-R180 over next 6-12 months. Let's see if we get some weakness. I been digging into Stor-Age Property (JSE code: SSS) as a possible investment. Thus far not excited by what I see. * I hold ungeared positions. Up coming events; Trading Master Class: Tuesday 6th at 6.00pm - Lazy trading indices and FX. JSE Power Hour: Thursday 8th at 5.30pm - Position your portfolio for 2017 Are we the next Brazil? Since their first junk downgrade in September 2015 the Brasil Sao Paulo Stock Exchange Index (IBOV) is up some 50% while the Brazilian Real has strengthened about 20% against the USD. Could we follow the same after a downgrade to junk? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Trump wins, now what? Trump wins, now what? (Image from Business Insider) Simon Shares Astoria (JSE code: ARA) backs down from its incentive scheme that could have seen up to 25% of new shares issued to directors. Shoprite (JSE code: SHP) = very good. Spar (JSE code: SPP) update = good. Massmart (JSE code: MSM) = poor. Truworths (JSE code: TRU) = horrid. Food doing alright, clothing really struggling. The downgrade and your ETF portfolio. Up coming events; JSE Power Hour: Thursday 10th at 5.30pm - TraderPetri on becoming a better trader. Now what? Brexit, Trump. What's next? Trump wins, pollsters and social media are amazed. But is it our fault? I tweeted The problem with SM is that we follow our own echo chamber .. all sides are here in equal measure, yet we only follow the side we agree with — Simon Brown (@SimonPB) November 9, 2016 " src= "" alt="" width="20" height="20" data-wp-preserve= "%3Cscript%20async%20src%3D%22%2F%2Fplatform.twitter.com%2Fwidgets.js%22%20charset%3D%22utf-8%22%3E%3C%2Fscript%3E" data-mce-placeholder="1" /> We believe our own BS. I said way back in February that Trump could win, I wasn't predicting anything but rather understanding that our ability to see into the future is zero and as always we need resilient portfolios that withstand the surprises. If your portfolio is all gold because of the end of the world you're having a good day but a really bad decade. iI your portfolio is all US stocks because SA is toast you have a good run post the crisis, but now? We need a broad, robust thoughtful portfolio that can withstand downgrades, Brexits and Trump victories. Uncertainty is the only certainty. Recession in the US within a year? No idea. USD weaker, who really knows? Republicans are good for stock markets say the pundits, what of Clinton 1994-2001 and Obama 2008-present? Don't fall into the stereo types. Bottom line. Don't panic. Predictions about the immediate future are like predicting election results. Are we seeing a swing globally to the right, what you think politically about that doesn't matter, what matters is how this impacts the global economy and it will be about barriers. Barriers to free trade, barriers to immigration, barriers to the flow of money, ideas and ultimately capitalism. No capitalism is not dead but we may need to rethink our broad investment ideas. There's no rush, if this is a swing to the right it's playing out over the next couple of decades. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

I hate my life, teach me to trade I hate my life, teach me to tarde Simon Shares Dis-Chem, I will likely apply and stag them on listing. Whitey Basson quitting as Shoprite (JSE code: SHP) CEO at end of year. Buying Tongaat (JSE code: TON). Finance minister Gordhan charges dropped, good for junk threat? Trading Master Class - Trend lines video is online. Up coming events; JSE Power Hour: Thursday 3rd at 5.30pm - offshore investing. The how. JSE Power Hour: Thursday 10th at 5.30pm - TraderPetri on becoming a better trader We Get Mail All I have xxx of debt. I hate my job. I hate my life. Please teach me how to trade? All How many years experience one must acquire to be profitable in trading? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

A letter for when you're dead Simon Shares Still on holiday. Up coming events; IG Trading Master Class: Tuesday at 6pm - Trend lines, break outs and Turtle trading. JSE Power Hour: Thursday at 5.30pm - Offshore investing. The how. A letter for when you're dead When we die hopefully we have a will that'll deal with our estate. But if we've been the one managing investments what happens to them? Sure they go to your heirs, but do they know what to do with them, the strategy and plans? We ned to write a letter to those surviving us explaining it all. Does you partner / family have a full understanding of how you've put together your investments and finances? What do you own and with who? What's the strategy? Keep each strategy in a separate account. Who can manage your investment portfolio now that you're dead? What to watch out for. How to change / adapt the strategy. Who to appoint to manage this. Where is the emergency fund and how is it accessed? Your speculative / derivative positions need to be closed ASAP as your estate could take ages to finalise. What policies do you have in your name and in other names? Where did you hide the Kruger millions? Not money related but; passwords, subscriptions, social media etc.? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Pick n Pay (JSE code: PIK) results. Everybody loves them but I am not wowed. Operating margin of 1.5% up from 1.3% is tiny. By comparison Shoprite (JSE code: SHP) is 5.6% and Spar (JSE code: SPP) is 2.8%. Like for like constant currency turnover grew 3.8% against selling price inflation of 5.5%, so still losing market share? New offshore ETFs from CoreShares. A S&P500 tracker and a Global Property fund. I have applied for the later. Up coming events; JSE Power Hour: 20th at 5.30pm - New offshore ETFs from CoreShares. Keith McLachlan fund manager at Alpha Wealth Chatting Calgro M3 results, memorial parks, new CEO and their residential Reit. We also touch on the Dischem listing and Cell C results that we got a first look at due to the Blue Label 45% stake in the business. 123 Download the audio file here or subscribe to our feed here or sign up for email alerts as a new show goes live or subscribe in iTunes. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Hello junk Simon Shares Fees feedback. Seems some active managers are getting serious about fees. But still not 100% in favour of client who pays the fees and some have done odd things. But nobody came back and said my ideas of last week were truly horrid, nor eve slightly horrid. Just last week I was commenting that my odds of a downgrade to junk were retreating. Still above 50%, but only just. Then Gordhan arrest and odds increase again, I think chance of a downgrade to junk is now around 61%. Important dates; 26 October - Mid Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) 2 November - Gordhan to appear in court on fraud charges 24 November MPC rate decision 2 December - SP announce SA credit rating 6 December - GDP for Q3 2016 Calgro M3 (JSE code: CGR) disappointed, I am not selling but waiting for results to see details. Taste Holdings (JSE code: TAS) results have lots of moving parts, but they're burning cash at a rapid rate and need to get profitable otherwise they run out. Potentially a good business, but first we need to see the profits kicking I and food (even at core level) needs to start turning real profits wit the new brands. Up coming events; JSE Power Hour: 13th at 5,30 - Investing in listed property JSE Power Hour: 20th at 5.30pm - New offshore ETFs from CoreShares Trading Master Class, mastering binary options with a follow up webcast on Tuesday at 4pm. Brexit Time line, late 2018 / early 2019 Sterling? Weaker for longer? Trade, surely they will get good tarde deals with major partners? Movement of people, this is going to be a problem? City of London, does it move elsewhere? But where? Europe has language barriers so New York? Economy? Surely weak for a while? Longer term = probably do fine, no shooting the lights out. Bottom line is that free movement of people and goods is good for capitalism. The UK is moving away from free movement, that's not good. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Still hating active fees Simon Shares With SABMiller exiting the JSE new weightings in the indices with Naspers (JSE code: NPN) now 19% in the Top40 and 31% in the Indi25. Rating downgrade to junk, still on the cards? Deutsche Bank and the deal on their ETFs and ETNs. Live followup reversal patterns video is online. Two events next week; Trading Master Class on Tuesday covering binary options. JSE Power Hour on Thursday on listed property. Still hating active fees Is the benchmark being used a total return index (TRI) that includes dividends? If not the active manager wins because they get dividends that immediately put them ahead of the benchmark by a few percent. Are performance fees paid back when the fund manager under performs? If not the manager and clients are not aligned as performance is paid when they do well but not returned when they do poorly. We Get Mail George I have a CFD acc on the JSE, it has buy and sell options, but I want to short shares when they go down, must I buy it and then sell or do I sell something and later buy it back. Myron Difference between book and intrinsic value? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Thursday 29 September is the last day for SABMiller (JSE code: SAB). Shareholders approved the take over and it will be suspended and delisted from close on 29th. It has been listed on the JSE since 1897 Index changes; IMP into Top40, AVI into Indi25 & FFA/B into Findi. There is a chart floating around of Lehman Brothers just before they hit the wall and one of Deutsche Bank over laid on each other. Nice to look at but in no way telling us anything worth being told. Deutsche Bank is the largest German bank, fourth largest European bank, and 11th largest bank in the world with assets of over $1.9 trillion – equal to half the size of the German economy. (source Sparkfin.com) Remgro (JSE code: REM) is doing another rights issue at R192.50, a decent discount to the current price of some R240. That said the book value of Remgro in the most recent results was R153.17 (intrinsic value was R306.44). MTN, more woes in Nigerian. I remain a happy ex-shareholder. What happens to bonds and bond ETFs if we get downgraded? Can we trust Capitec? Capitec (JSE code: CPI) results were decent enough albeit Keith McLachlan pointed out on Twitter "Quick calc: If Capitec had kept Arrears Coverage Ratio flat at 239% (not dropping it to 229%), Basic Earnings would've been R1504m =only +2%" Capitec defines Arrears Coverage Ratio as "The provision/arrears coverage ratio expresses the provision for doubtful debts as a percentage of the loans in arrears. The ratio is therefore affected by the arrears performance of the month in which it is measured, while the impairment model is used to determine the provision for doubtful debts over the loan period. The ratio should therefore not be considered in isolation." We Get Mail Samuel If you own CSEW40 do you get invited to the different companies AGM? Who makes decisions for all the investors shares? Alec Points out the very marked difference between saving and investing. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Reviewing small cap results with Keith McLachlan Reviewing small cap results with Keith McLachlan Simon Shares Wells Fargo is the sort of stock that if I owned it, I would sell it as management totally failed and refuse to accept any blame. There is a theory that equal weight ETFs have higher costs because they have to rebalance every stock every quarter. But checking the STXIND over the last four quarters. Twice every stock changed weight and twice only two stocks did not change weightings. Harmony (JSE code: HAR) buys the half of the Hidden Valley mine in Papua New Guinea for US$1! PPC (JSE code: PPC) rights offer was 92% taken up but with excess allocation requests of another 509%. Some serious big hitters thinking this a great deal. Sasfin (JSE code: SFN) nonperforming loans more than doubled. They operate in the small-and medium-sized enterprises so it is a telling number. The economy is seriously struggling and while I have seen some economists upgrading GDP expectations for 2016, none have us at above 1% for the year. So better but not close enough to good. Moody's says a one third chance of a downgrade but what really matters is Fitch and Standard and Poors as they have us just above junk status. Things are looking a bit better but I still think we're on track for a downgrade to junk. Proptrax SAPY ETF from CoreShares. Trading Master Class, reversal patterns video is online. Follow up webcast (live on the IG platform) is 5th October 1pm (book here). Keith McLachlan small / mid cap fund manager at Alpha Wealth Tough conditions for SA inc. but we've seen some great results from small and mid cap listed companies. Simon chats to Keith about recent results from; Afrocentric (JSE code: ACT) Rolfes (JSE code: RLF) Acendis Health (JSE code: ACS) Master Drilling (JSE code: MDI) We Get Mail Sarel SAB Options. Any strong opinions regarding these two options? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Reviewing results Simon Shares Feedback on making sense of SENS AVI (JSE code: AVI) results show good numbers in a tough market. People tend to look to Pioneer (JSE code: PFG) or TigerBrands (JSE code: TBS) but this is the real gem in the space with a dividend yield of 4%. Holdsport (JSE code: HSP) trading update shows increased comparable sales growth, but after inflation they're going backwards. I never been a fan of this business albeit the share is up some 100% in the last five years, around 15% a year which is nice, but average? But then add a chunky dividend that currently yields 5%, can they hold the dividend or even increase it? I suspect they can but I still not interested. Clover (JSE code: CLR) were good considering the tough times with drought yet they had an over supply of milk? I used to own this stock but they weren't growing and expanding as I had expected so I exited. Sasol (JSE code: SOL) results came in as expected albeit with help from translations gains (FX moving in their favour) and a tax issue in Nigeria together adding almost R2.7billion. Point is they make a profit even at the low point of the cycle, that's impressive. Lake Charles remains their massive deal. I continue to hold Sasol and below R400 it is cheap but I am not buying more until Lake Charles is completed and we see if starting to make money rather than cost money. Richemont (JSE code: CFR) update is ugly, sales down across the board with operating profit for the six months ending September expected to be down 45%! Some of this is restructuring but sales are weak. I hold the stock and continue to hold but it not fun right now. Adding to this is the SENS on the AGM voting, no real disclosure just "all other matters on the agenda were also approved by the shareholders by an overwhelming majority.". Not good enough. Burger King, owned by Grand Parade (JSE code: GPL) saw average monthly sales per store decline 20% to R800k / month. That is a massive drop. They also have the brand rights to Dunkin' Donuts and Baskin-Robbins, neither of which excites me. The leader in this space remains Famous brands and that's the one I own. Last week Wealth Creation 101 video is online. Go watch it. Next Tuesday, 20th, we have our third Trading Master Class with IG focusing on reversal patterns. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Local GDP came in better then expected and importantly positive, so no technical recession. Manufacturing and mining were the strong sectors but we need a lot more very strong quarters to get out of the bad spot we find ourselves in and a down grade is still very much on the cards in December. Discovery (JSE code: DSY) has so many moving parts but for me the key is Vitality is now in 14 markets around the world. I remain a happy shareholder albeit they've done very little over the last year or so. We have a lot of shopping malls in South Africa, b some reports more per capita than any other country. Hyprop (JSE code: HYP) is by far the best of the bunch with regard local malls as they own high traffic top end malls. Mr Price (JSE code: MRP) seems to have lost the mantle. They have now had three reporting seasons over the last year and all disappointed. Is it just bad buying and the weather? I suspect they're seriously struggling under the weight on new competition from the likes of H&M and Cotton On. This is a biggie and if I was a shareholder I would be looking to exit. Capitec (JSE code: CPI) trading update sees HEPS 17%-20% higher. Wth a historic PE of almost 22x a little light but well ahead of consensus that was looking for single digit growth. Does volatility give you indigestion? Kristia reviews the CoreShares LowVoltrax ETF with expert commentary from Warren Ingram. Tonight, going back to basics with wealth creation 101 at the JSE. The Fat Wallet Show did the follow up about buying a house vs. renting. Stock Exchange News Service (SENS) Some listed companies seem to use it as marketing (witness the Sibanye proudly announcing their inclusion into the Top40 later this month and CarTrack announcing 550k subscribers) while other publish the bare bones (Comiar and Master Drilling just giving numbers in previous years). Others like Steinhoff seem to have moved onto Europe forgotten about us and just push links through SENS. I would also like to see a standard applied by the JSE. For example all results have to have the top four points (HEPS, Dividend, revenue & debt) right up front so you can't hide. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Questions, questions, questions Simon Shares Metrofile (JSE code: MFL) results saw HEPS +4.6% (very modest) and the full year dividend 42.9% putting it on a dividend yield of some 6%. Wowness and why I own the stock, for the dividend. PPC nil paid letters (NPLs) started trading yesterday as PPCN. People are asking me what to do with them and I am sticking to my story. Shorter term after they convert we may get a bounce, longer term PPC has real risks and I would not want to be a holder. So short answer is sell. Bidvest (JSE code: BVT) results were weak with single digit HEPS growth of 2.5% while Bidcorp (JSE code: BID) had great HEPS growth. We know the story and why they split, one local one offshore. Nigerian GDP stays negative and country is now in a technical recession. More tough times for local companies operating in that market. I am being asked if I am selling the gold stocks in the momentum portfolio? The answer is no, it is a rules based system and we follow the rules. GIVRES has done an amazing 99.5% in the last year, Kristia reviews the ETF and get expert commentary from Petri Redelinghuys. Next Thursday we have a JSE Power Hour, online or at the JSE in Sandton and we're going back to basics - always a good place to revisit. The topic is wealth creation 101 and is presented by Simon Brown. The second part of the Trading Master Class with IG is online, dealing with an index trading system. We Get Mail George I am 25 years old. I own DBX trackers for EUR, US and JAPAN as well as Ashburton Midcap (thanx to your lazy system). I now have an additional R10k to invest in my TFSA. I know what you would do: DBXWorld and a Top40 ETF. But my thinking is that I already have enough exposure to the world and instead of doing an SA top 40, maybe I should invest in an ETF that generates me dividends/interest for the long haul. This seems like a smart idea to a youngster like me. But being a youngster, my ideas are often not the smartest. I am currently thinking of investing in the Coreshares Preftrax ETF and/or the Proptrax Ten. Is this idea smart? If you were me, what would you do with the 10k? Ernst South Africa's economy is not looking great at the moment, Gordhan, the rand, junk status. I would like to know if one should invest now in Top 40 ETFs or wait it out till these things happen and everything might be cheap (the value of shares ). Not sure how to use my X amount of money in this time. Jing I have had a look at your portfolio and frequently watch your shows. A lot of it seems to be geared towards having offshore exposure and selecting shares with offshore operations. I am currently contemplating investing in developing/emerging economies namely India and China as I feel there is a lot of upside given the size of their economies and high growth rates relative to the rest of the world. I was wondering whether you had any insights on whether this would be a good move at present. Furthermore, are there any funds in South Africa that could give me such exposure to the Indian or Chinese stock exchanges? I know that there are a few shares on the JSE that have interests in China such as Naspers in Tencent holdings, but I am looking at having a broader and more direct exposure to these markets. John Hi again Simon, the Stop Losses I have difficulty with are not in Trading but in Investing which are not the same as far as I'm concerned. Trading is far more hands-on. Have lost heavily with CCO & BAT post Brexit & realise I must be far more ruthless but am still unsure as to where I should have placed my SL's. Marcia I am worried about the Rand and it weakening a whole lot suddenly. How can I protect against this? Sylvester I don't have time to do trading but I want to invest, do I buy and hold ETFs or I look for someone to trade for me. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Role of a Stock Broker in your investment journey Simon Shares More finance minister concerns and more rand weakness. The bigger picture is you have to have a bigger picture investment view otherwise events like this will hurt. In the last of this three part series if you had R300, which ETF would you buy? We ask Warren Ingram and Craig Gradidge for their view. Trading Master Class, an index trading system is online and follow up in on Monday at 1pm. Tonight in Durban we have a JSE Power Hour - 9.97562 Possible Pitfalls in Investment Planning Our home ownership is the new broke podcast is still generating lots of buzz. Kristia has been on leave so we reward a bunch of Fat Wallet Shows, we will revisit the topic Monday week (5 September). Role of a Stock Broker in your investment journey Simon Brown - Founder of JustOneLap.com Ridwaan Moolla - ABSA, Head of Digital Enablement in Wealth and Investments Charles Savage – Purple Group, Group CEO Kevin Algeo – IG, Head of IG Greg Kangleas - Vunani Private Clients, Head of Copy Trade and Portfolio Manager Grant Meintjes - PSG Wealth, Head of PSG Securities JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Where to for the Rand? Simon Shares The Dow Jones, S&P500 and Nasdaq all closed at all time highs for the first time since December 1999. Dog stocks, don't mix price and fundamentals. I been buying PTXTEN after exiting my STXDIV and not being blown away by DIVTRX. If you had R300, which ETF would you buy? We ask Nerina Visser & Keith McLachlan for their view. Trading Master Class, an index trading system is online. Garth MacKenzie TradersCorner.co.za Where too for the rand? We've seen it stronger this year after a blow out late last year and into January. Garth offers a technical view and below is the long term monthly chart of USD/ZAR. Long term monthly USD/ZAR chart We Get Mail Fouche Would there be any merit in the argument that Japan is 20 years ahead of "us" (USA Europe world markets that are applying QE) and we could be looking at similar years of sideways movement? Aaron I have an aunt who wants to start saving R10k p/m for the next 12 months. What can you advise as the most suitable investment option. She asked for my advise but am not sure what to suggest to her as I think 1 year is a short period. Ryno Thanks for the in-depth response to my question. With regulation stopping the building of a Berkshire lookalike wont it be a viable option for a DIY investor to buy say 5 or 6 REITs and use the income out of that as money to buy listed companies? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares US mattresses with Steinhoff (JSE code: SNH)? Paying more than double the last traded price? MTN looks all ugly. Forget the fine, forget over a billion Rands in associated costs. Nigerian and South African markets look weak and I still say they need to transition into being a data utility. That said there's a nice trade from around R122 - R140. SABMiller (JSE code: SAB) leaving the JSE on 11 October (most likely) after listing on the JSE in 1897 (just two years after being founded and a decade after the JSE was founded). SAB has been one of the key drivers of the Indi25 index over the last decade (SAB +472%, All Share +154%). They're going to leave a gapping hole. If you had R300, which ETF would you buy? We ask the Just One Lap team for their picks. The Fat Wallet Show goes where few are brave enough to trend. Renting vs. buying, what does the maths say? Keith McLachlan from Alpha Wealth Finding a local Berkshire Hathaway? Simon answered a listener questions suggesting that maybe Conduit Capital (JSE code: CND) was an option. The trick however is the regulatory environment and Keith McLachlan helps us understand what those Solvency Assessment and Management (SAM) regulations are and how difficult it makes for a company to model themselves on Berkshire Hathaway. We Get Mail Caroline Richemont (JSE code: CFR) has been falling steadily for nearly a year and is down 26.59%. Is it now regarded as a "Dog"???? Or because it is in your Death Do Us Part portfolio has it become a "Puppy"? Question – have you sold or not? My problem is Astoria (JSE code: ARA). I bought for long, long, term and that has fallen about the same. Do I bale and lose a large dollop of my portfolio which I am no longer in a position to recoup, or let it turn around with the Rand exchange rate. Problem is that might not happen in my lifetime!!! Decisions …. decisions Tax feedback Just a point on not being able to offset trading losses against other income, believe you can as long as SARS didn't ring fence the loss and your chances are better if you are not at marginal tax rate,activity not deemed to be a hobby and not more than 3 losses out of last 5 tax years. I can feel for Johan. I used the "Other income" to declare 'trading income' from various sources. I keep these income's to the bare minimum. HOWEVER.... No easy place to claim expenses as a separate entry. Unless You open the can of worms called "Business" income. Jacques Any ideas on how to benefit from current strong rand i.e. which ETFs are good options to take some cash offshore? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Short zombie stocks Simon Shares Did you sell your dogs? Keith McLachlan commented on Conduit Capital and it's not all wannabe Berkshire Hathaway. Second session in the first Trading Master Class with IG was on Tuesday. We're looking at a CFD trading plan and this session went live on the IG platform looking for stocks and three buys popped up; Barclays Africa Group (JSE code: BGA), PSG & Woolies (JSE code: WHL). The Fat Wallet Show goes back to bonds because last time we started complicated which is not what Fat Wallets are about. Small is the new big says Trader Petri and we agree 100%. Short the zombie stocks We Get Mail Johan I would appreciate it very much if you could tell me where one would declare CFD trading outcomes on the SARS form. Have just spent 45 minutes on the phone to SARS help without making any progress. Sarah What about Bitcoin as an investment? Pipcoin is a scam. 123 Download the audio file here or subscriber to our feed here or sign up for email alerts as a new show goes live or subscribe in iTunes. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Sell the dogs (sorry dogs) Simon Shares Ellies (JSE code: ELI) results were as ugly as expected and the company is being kept alive by their bankers at Standard Bank. Megatron is worthless after buying it for R180million in 2008 and spending some half billion keeping it afloat. A few weeks ago in FinWeek I said sell ELI at around 60c and I would not be a buyer now. Kumba (JSE code: KIO) results were not bad. They have got their cost down to $34/tonne from closer to $55 previously. It does mean less production to get the lower costs and the market is still in massive over supply but they at least now positioned to (likely) survive. SABMiller (JSE code: SAB) got an extra pound with the offering being revised to GBP45 but some minority shareholders are still not happy as the pound has weakened. One can hardly blame SAB or AB Inbev for that but the minority shareholders need 25% to block the deal and that's very unlikely. Kristia looks at ETF costs in her blog this week. The Fat Wallet Show takes Magnus Heystek to task for suggesting all ETFs are evil and have been mis-sold over the years. Anchoring - sell the dog Simon talks about getting rid of those zombie stock in your portfolio; when, why and how. Most importantly they are causing pain and the price you paid for them does not matter. We Get Mail Ryno Why hasn't anybody (in SA) tried to replicate the Berkshire model of buying insurance companies and using money of premiums to make investments in big companies ? Lindiwe What happens if Deutsche Bank goes under and I hold their ETFs? Anon Any hope for Taste (JSE code: TAS)? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Private equity coming to the JSE Simon Shares So Trump is real and is now officially the Republican nomination for the US presidency. The point is he can win it and then the question is what will markets do? Likely pretty much like what happened after Brexit, initial panic and then they will move on. The first IG Master Class kicked off on Tuesday with a complete CFD share trading system. Nice simple and practical with a follow up webcast on 2 August at 1pm. I have added a live link to prices I am prepared to pay for my 'till death do us part portfolio', the link is here. Thursday evening we're at the JSE for a Power Hour, Investors are normal, not rational. Kristia reviews another Top40 ETF, the Ashburton Top40 (JSE code: ASHT40). Stuart MacKenzie (CEO Ethos Pvt Equity) and Peter Hayward-Butt (CEO Ethos Capital) Ethos Capital (JSE code: EPE) will be listing on the JSE in August via a private placement. Ethos is a Private Equity investment vehicle that offers a different investment asset class for patient investors. We Get Mail Michele When trading(lazy) indi, resi, etc, what charting do you use for your ema's and entries? Melissa Why is it that you can buy Satrix ETFs such as STX40, STXDIV & STXRAFI from your stock broker in their online trading platform... And from Satrix directly? What is the difference between where you buy into these? Are you getting less if you don't buy directly from Satrix? Thabang I have a million and need another million. How do I double it?

Simon Shares A lot of people worried abut DBXWD post Brexit, but the issue is it is global so the UK makes up only about 8% while EU is about 13%. I hold the ETF and continue to buy every month. The Just One La team has a monster busy week next week. Join us at; Trading Master Class: Designing a trading system from scratch (Tue 19th) Classic FM making wealth simple (Wed 20th) JSE Power Hour: Investors are normal, not rational (Thu 21st) Kristia asks which ETF? Drikus Combrink - Capicraft Investment Partners Locally earnings season has come to an end and markets are at or near all time highs. Are these valuations justified by the earnings we've seen? Good, bad, ugly and any stand outs. Drikus touches on some concerns (SABMiller & Richemont) and suggests really focusing on the core numbers rather than top line numbers that could be skewed by currency moves, mergers or new stores. His major concern remains QE and how that unravels. We Get Mail Ronnie What is the recommended amount to start with investing on any share? Pierre Donna wants short term savings and is using bank account. Why not the pref shares ETF - PREFTXF? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Stock Broker vs. FSP Stock Broker vs. FSP Simon Shares So Brexit is now a thing, or is it? Mostly it is confusion. Money Expo this Friday and Saturday. My 'till death do us part' portfolio webcast in next week Thursday at 8pm. Satrix Indi has been a star ETF with the best returns over 10 years at over 400%. Lazy System is long Indi25 and MidCap. Charles Savage, CEO Purple Capital / Easy Equities What's the difference between a traditional stock broker and a Financial Services provider (FSP)? Is a FSP risky and do I really own the shares? These are popular concerns so we got Charles on the line to address the issues. We also briefly touched on their new baskets they launched last month. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon's till death us part portfolio Simon Shares In last weeks show I covered Porter's Five Forces for selecting awesome shares worthy of investing in. This week I delve into my personal 'til death do us part' portfolio explaining why I hold each share. In two weeks (13 July, book here) we'll have a webcast where you can interrogate my selection and also propose shares of your own for inclusion into a 'til death do us part' portfolio. At the time of recording my portfolio is as below (Find my consistently updated portfolio here) BHPBilliton (JSE code: BIL) Capitec (JSE code: CPI) Citylodge (JSE code: CLH) Discovery (JSE code: DSY) Famous Brands (JSE code: FBR) Metrofile (JSE code: MFL) Richemont (JSE code: CFR) Sasol (JSE code: SOL) Shoprite (JSE code: SHP) Woolies (JSE code: WHL) === JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Porter's Five Forces Finding awesome stocks to invest in Simon Shares I am traveling and then on leave, so this week I look at Porter's Five Forces and in next weeks podcast I follow this up by running my 'death do us part' portfolio of stocks through the process. Then two weeks after that (13 July 8pm) we'll do a live webcast whereby you can ask questions about my portfolio and any stocks you may consider worthy of a 'death do us part' portfolio (my portfolio is always published live here). Book for the webcast here. Porter's Five Forces Competitive rivalry within an industry Threat of substitute products Threat of new entrants Bargaining power of customers Bargaining power of suppliers I add; Buy winning stocks in winning sectors Legislative risk You'll find a review of Porter's Five Forces here and I also include it in the Boot Camp video on Fundamentals and Technicals in which I include examples from local stocks. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Hedge funds for everybody Hedge funds for everybody Simon Shares MTN have concluded the Nigerian fine at around a third of the initially proposed fine. A good deal for the company but they should never have found themsleves in the position in the first place an I still do not like management and am not a buyer. Pick n Pay (JSE code: PIK) are finally getting rid of their 35-year pyramid structure that key control of the company in the Ackerman hands even though they only held c26% of the shares. But they are retaining control via special unlisted B shares, so nothing changes and the company remains under the control of a family who frankly have conceded the title of retail to Shoprite (JSE code: SHP). Brexit fears are running wild, ignore it. It's just short term noise. Big picture it matters not one way or the other, it just hysteria right now that will reach deafening levels by the time they vote next Thursday. Jean Pierre Verster portfolio manager Fairtree Capital The hedge fund industry in South Africa is leading the global trend and changing to make itself open to private investors with regulation for the funds themselves. Jean Pierre explains what the attraction of a hedge fund is and what the new regulations are all about. He also warn that like any other fund some may blow up. We Get Mail Robert When I buy ETFs, how do i find out whether it pays out quarterly dividends or re invests them? Jonathan Shares not in your name, rather on Easyequities books? Thoughts?

Simon Shares New logo for JSE Direct to bring it inline with the new Just One Lap branding. S&P is negative but not junk, Fitch says we stable, GDP says we half way to a recession. GIVISA, the cheapest ETF on the JSE. But is it any good? Kristia goes on a nerdy bender digging into the details. Keith McLachlan on building a small cap portfolio. The Just One Lap team is starting to do more Periscope videos; follow us all at; DeeOnMoneyZA TraderPetri KristiaVH SimonPB Zack Bezuidenhout S&P Dow Jones Indices We chat indices, costs, new developments and smart beta. Zack also has a great analogy about the financial services fee structure and the medical industry that really highlights the wrongs in the financial services industry. We Get Mail Lauren What about the Swix index for investing? Rudolph A question, are you still happy with your decision to sell all your BATS shares, after a 40% return the past year? Philip Regarding the debate of investing in the US or worldwide, why not invest in these 2 ETFs – namely, IXUS and ITO? I do not think you are going to find ETFs with lower fees, 0.03 and 0.14. The IXUS seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of large-, mid- and small- cap non-U.S. equities. The ITOT seeks to track the investment results of a broad-based index composed of U.S. equities.

Can DIY investing beat the market? Simon Shares PPC in real trouble. Management have let the company down by not spending up capex locally, not hedging their USD debt and now they need a massive rights issue. Will they survive? Are local markets pricing in a downgrade? Nobody knows either what Standard & Poors will say or what the market is or is not pricing in. We have a new podcast going live every week, The Fat Wallet Show. In it Just One Lap CEO Kristia van Heerden, picks a topic and asks questions until she gets an answer. She kicked off with structured products. Momentum portfolio update for the quarter ending May 2016 is here, life time returns below. Momentum portfolio life time returns We Get Mail Daniel Now if research shows that the percentage of fund managers that outperform the index over a 1, 3, 5+ year period get smaller and smaller then, what chance do we as retail investors have of: A) outperforming a fund manager (with CFA's, CA's, research teams) when stock picking; and B) outperforming the index? Esther Please give details on tax and the trader. Kenny I have a discretionary share portfolio in which I occasionally sell a share after keeping it for less than 3 years. I never withdraw money out of my account, but will keep it in cash and wait for a buying opportunity. Will I be held liable for income tax or does income tax only apply when an investor withdraw money out of his share account? Higgo (via twitter) Would you rather sell Discovery (JSE code: DSY) and buy British American Tobacco (JSE code: BTI) or Investec (JSE code: INP/INL)? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

A simple diverse ETF portfolio Simon Shares Balwin (JSE code: BWN) knocked their results out of the park, but my bigger picture concerns remain. Standard & Poors down grade or not is next Friday. I did a Twitter poll that came in split by 1 vote. So nobody knows. Twitter poll on SP downgrade Complexity of costs. Come industry make it simple. Mining: Returning to the mean? Peter Major did an excellent JSE Power Hour for us, the video is here. On the ETF blog this week we look at the Pref shares ETF (JSE code: PREFTX). 2 June at 5.30pm,Keith McLachlan on building a small and mid cap portfolio the right way. Book here. Nerina Visser, director at ETFsa.co.za Which ETF if you buying for; R300 / month (CTOP50) R1000 / month (CTOP50, DBXWD & ASHINF) Large lump sum into a TFSA (CTOP50, DBXWD, ASHINF & PTXTEN) We also chatted about costs, are we missing any ETFs as an industry and how to respond to the potential downgrade from Standard and Poors. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Doing risk right A very long show this week (over an hour), but totally worth every second of listening. Last week I reflected on the Sanlam i3 Summit I attend and his week I speak with Roland Rousseau (Head of Barclays Risk Strategy Group) on his presentation at the conference. Roland is looking at this whole idea of asset or fund manager being outdated and suggesting we rather need risk managers. He has great insights and ideas and this wide ranging conversation on risk has got me thinking a lot more about a lot of things. Real learning, I love it. Simon JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

How do we get smarter? Simon Shares Calgro M3 (JSE code: CGR) results were great. We're seeing operational leverage coming through and a lot of projects seem to have only added a modest amount in this year with more coming in the new financial year and the memorial parks look interesting. They did have some issues with Namibia, having to relaunch the retirement development and others. Back in December / January I exited some of my position but am happy to hold the balance. Pipcoin = pyramid scam What's happened to the PIIGS? So Moody's was all nice to us, sure but are we really avoiding the ultimate downgrade to junk? Standard & Poors still the one to watch with June their next update and likely the first to make us junk. On the ETF blog this week we look at the Momentum ETF (JSE code: NFEMOM) as well as find out about total return which involves dividends being automatically reinvested into the ETF. We're doing a webcast of the lazy trading system on the 12th at 8pm and an IG Boot Camp on Tuesday at 6pm. Book here. Sanlam i3 2016 Summit I attended this event last week and have a number of thought from the speakers, in particular Dr Amlan Roy who spoke on demographics (here's a short video interview with him). My three key learnings; Differences more important than similarities (Eusebius McKaiser) Demographics most important thing we ignore (Dr Amlan Roy) Most of what we think is skill is actually well spent (Roland Rousseau) We Get Mail Samuel Is there a way to position my portfolio to minimize risk when a downgrade of the country`s credit rating is on its way? I believe that the downgrade will happen in this year. Is there a way to gain on this? Everybody Where do I find an offshore broker? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Master class in investing Simon Shares This week we look at a bond ETF, ASHINF. We're doing a webcast of the lazy trading system on the 12th at 8pm. Hlelo Giyose – First Avenue Investment Management Hlelo talks stocks but the conversation goes into much more than just some of his current preferred stocks. He delves into what makes great companies, how to spot them and when to buy them. A master class in investing. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Where to invest offshore? Simon Shares Pick n Pay (JSE code: PIK) results show the turn around is very much working albeit the stock remains very expensive. But the margins are still way to slim at 2% and less than half that of Shoprite (JSE code: SHP). This has to be the focus going forward if they have any hope of justifying the stretched valuation. MTN is getting money out of Iran, reportedly USD1billion and this certainly helps with the Nigerian fine, but once again this comes from third party sources not from the company via SENS. Steinhoff (JSE code: SNH) said it won't raise its offer for French retailer Darty and this is a good thing because in a bidding war the only winner is the seller. Berkshire Hathaway is webcasting their AGM this weekend, this Saturday 30th April 2016 at 4pm. you can view it here. Kristia van Heerden looks back at a year of erratic ETF buying in our weekly ETF blog. We're doing a webcast of the lazy trading system on the 12th at 8pm. Wehmeyer Ferreira from DB X-Trackers Where to invest offshore? US, EU, UK or Japan? What of China or maybe just the world? We've recently covered two of the more popular ETFs from Deutsche Bank; DBXWD and DBXUS. We Get Mail Samuel Should a home loan be considered as debt? Tshepo What is best index to use for a benchmark? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

An investment check list Simon Shares Everybody is freaking out on the Capital&Counties (JSE code: CCO) sell off, some 50% off the highs of January. Really driven by three things; it had been flying, stronger ZAR against Sterling and concerns about Brexit. Long term not an issue, so if you love the stock nows your chance to get more cheaper. Kristia van Heerden (Just One Lap CEO) tweeted some thoughts from last weeks podcast where I spoke about expectations. Her comment was that managing expectations doesn't start with investing. It's also about debt, hating on your job. These need fixing long before investing and certainly no investment will make your job better or the debt suddenly disappear. If you expect your investments to save you from your shitty job or debt or pay for things you can't afford, you're in for disappointment. — Kristia van Heerden (@kristiavh) April 18, 2016 Our ETF this week is DBXUS and it has staggering returns of 223% over five years. New videos galore; Managing volatility with Gary Booysen IG Boot Camp: Trading psychology Added a bunch of new events, find them here. Gary Booysen Portfolio Manager Rand Swiss Gary did a great presentation for the JSE Power Hour last week (find it here). In it he looked at current market conditions, volatility and how to manage a share portfolio in these conditions. In this chat Simon also focuses one of his stock picks (AdaptIT, JSE code: ADI) and his check list. The check list (below) is a simple first filter to find quality stocks worth investigating further. The full video is here. The check list; 3 year total return +20% Increasing revenue over 5 years Increasing earnings over 5 years Increasing dividends Increasing gross margin Increasing ROE Outstanding shares stable or decreasing PE, P/B, P/S, PEG, FPE in range Current ratio, LT-Debt/Equity Management quality We Get Mail Ros Once I've put my annual R30,000 into my TFSA, and I've also reached my tax-deductible limit in terms of my RA contribution, would it still be better to invest within the RA for the tax advantages it provides on withdrawal? Or should I just buy ETFs directly? Brenda My daughter is now in Grade 10. Over the years I have been saving in unit trusts for her university fees. I stopped the monthly debit orders at the beginning of the year when I realised that the performance did not justify the fees. I now have almost R500k in two unit trust. On the one hand I do want some capital protection but also want growth with some income so that she can have funds for a car, deposit for a flat etc. I know that I can do better investing in the market. Should I : Liquidate the unit trust and open a trading account in her name? Start with about five shares - I am considering Coronation, Old Mutual, Steinhoff, Discovery and Mediclinic. ABSA MAPPS PRO ETF NFILBI BBET40 DBXWD DIVTRX JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Realistic expectations and success Simon Shares The rand is back where it was when then Finance Minster Nene was fired. So everybody who was lamenting that they missed their chance to get money offshore into USD, here's your second chance. The NewFunds ILBI (JSE code: NFILBI) is our focus ETF this week. Tracking inflation linked bonds it sounds perfectly boring but actually looks really interesting for a broad ETF portfolio. Expectations. What are your expectations from your trading and/or investing? Are they reasonable? Are they hurting your ability to create wealth? We Get Mail Terrance I also hold Astoria (JSE code: ARA), I bought @ R15.14- 10% of portfolio already down 6.8% but so also is the rand/dollar, I was wondering on your thoughts regarding its value and comments by Keith Mclachlan as there seems quite a bit of negativity surrounding its value and costs. I bought it for the long term 5-10 years and the purpose 2 fold to invest in other markets and rand hedge. Is this all just hear say and noise? Everybody What about putting your emergency cash into your bond? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Hating on unit trusts Simon Shares SPIVA results for South Africa are out and they track how many active managers fail to beat the index. Truth is that even over 1 year most do NOT beat the index. In short, buy passive or lose money? The PDF of the report is here. Standard & Poors has downgraded SA's expected GDP for 2016 from 1.6% to 0.8% further cementing the likelihood of a downgrade to junk from the rating agency. African Bank has relaunched, but this is not the one you have shares in. The suspended ABIL sold off good assets and is left with a giant pile of debt and those left holding ABIL when it was suspended in August 2014 hold worthless shares. The Satrix Resi (JSE code: STXRES) is our focus ETF this week. We published our bubble graphic of Top40 individual stock returns for Q1 2016. Helena Conradie CEO Satrix Satrix is best known for their Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) but have in recent years also moved into index tracking unit trusts. The question is why and if unit trusts are still the evil rip off they were back in the day? It is still a case of watch the fees and know what's inside? We Get Mail clintvanhere via Twitter If you withdraw from TFSA, what are the effects on your annual & lifetime limits? Ryno Can I trade your lazy system in a tax free savings account ? http://justonelap.com/lazy-trading-system/ Fathima After attending your seminar for beginners, I invested in ETFs. However yesterday, I watched your video explaining the benefits of TFSA and I need to know if I made a mistake opening an non TFSA account? Should I close that account and open a TFSA, or keep both? I don't want to incur extra costs. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Capitec (JSE code; CPI) results were solid but bad debts are rising. So is their profits but the bad debts are what we're watching at this point in the process. Momentum portfolio doing as it says on the sticker. Good out performance on down days, modest or under performance on up days. But the gold volatility remains wild. ZAR X, the first new stock exchange in South Africa in over a century arrives in September. We review the Swix40 ETF for those wanting an alternative Top40. Jean Pierre Verster 36One Asset Management We last spoke to Jean Pierre in January when all was looking ugly, now everything looks all lovely, but is it? And if this is the year that shorting is as important as going long, is this the testing year for DIY investors? We also touch on inflation, commodities and the US economy. We Get Mail Ryno I was reading about hedge funds and came across Ray Dalio. He adheres to the all weather portfolio. Basically he says that its all in asset allocation. -55% bonds -30% shares -7.5% gold -7.5% commodities. Marion I understand the idea behind an emergency cash fund. But where do I park it? Pieter I have been contemplating opening an offshore account, but have refrained because of our weak currency and my lack of knowledge about international trading. My question is if it is the right time to take money off shore/open an account? Also which ETF's should one be looking at? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

When to sell? Simon Shares Yesterday, 23rd March, Just One lap turned five. It's been an awesome ride which we couldn't have down without the support of our users. So you everybody, thanks. A huge thank you. When to sell? Different answer depending if you are trading or investing. Great video from Anthony Clark on his top 5 small cap stocks for 2016. Divtrx ETF for those wanting dividends. We Get Mail Tebogo I was wondering if it would be advisable to liquidate part of my portfolio held in ETF and use funds to buy ETFs in my TFSA and moving forward fill up my R30k allowance before buying equities in my investment portfolio. Patrick How often should I rebalance my portfolio? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Trading in your personal capacity or using a PTY or Trust? Which is better? ETF changes. The MidCap ETF is now ASHMID and BBET40 is transferring to Core Shares from Nedbank. Seriously good interview with Jack Bogle, founder of Vanguard, the issuer of the worlds first indexing mutual fund. Keith McLachlan Alpha Wealth small/mid cap fund manager AdvTech (JSE code: ADH) results were really good after years of frankly uninspiring results (Revenue +40%, operating profit+75% & HEPS +27%). Tertiary was especially strong, acquisitions doing very well they finally seem to have found their mojo. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Moody's did not downgrade us, but they did put us on review for a downgrade that will put us one notch above junk status. Then we'll have all three rating agencies on the same level with Standard & Poor heading the pack as we're on a negative outlook with them. Local bank results looking good with impairments improving (expect for Barclays Africa). On the surface they look cheap, but not if earnings weaken going forward, and earnings will weaken. Now Old Mutual (JSE code: OML) may split itself up and return back to South Africa. But will (can) it sell Nedbank (JSE code: NED)? We Get Mail AntonK (via Twitter) Simon, why would you call it (AB Inbev, JSE code ANB) ex growth as the two brewers together have roughly 30% global market share?. CraigNotAlan (via Twitter) Investing lump sum in ETFs in these markets, local & int - immediate or phased over time (& period)? Arin The issue I have is that I don't have any pure property ETFs or unit trusts (except for the odd property companies within my ETFs/unit trusts). I am aware that the ProptraxTen is more of a income yielding portfolio which may be good for the TFSA, where as BBET40 may be more of a growth portfolio if I'm not mistaken. JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.

Simon Shares Clover (JSE code: CLR) has "decided to withdraw from future investments in Nigeria", seems hasty? Barclays exiting Africa selling off their ABSA (JSE code: BGA) stake, more hasty decisions? Nice boring results from Metrofile (JSE code: MFL), exactly as wanted. Big seller seems to now be gone after large transactions on Monday and stock has run hard since. New tax year, you can add another R30k into your TFSA. The Momentum portfolio update, new stocks and methodology is online here. Janine Weilbach Senior Research Analyst Thebe Stock Broking Construction stocks have had a very hard time since the 2010 World Cup in South Africa. With this in mind, how does one look at a construction company in order to make investment decisions? order books seem to be popular but often misleading, large piles of cash seem great but suddenly disappear. We speak to an expert to better understand investing in local construction. We Get Mail Matt C (via twitter) Can you, or someone in the know, please explain Dow Theory to us? Cardiprox (via Twitter) How about the opposite momentum. Taking the bottom 15 top 100 shares and shorting them for the same period? Johan I've started looking at the costs involved in opening an US trading account through my broker, and to a relatively new investor like me, all the costs involved in opening an account is quite difficult to understand. Would you mind maybe giving an overview of the costs involved please? JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited. JSEDirect is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.