The Transfer Flow Podcast

In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the games from this past weekend. They start at the top of the table, with Arsenal and Manchester City faltering, leaving Liverpool 2 points in the lead. They discuss whether Liverpool can maintain their lead with a tough upcoming schedule, if City can rebound despite their injuries, and whether Arsenal are already out of the title race. Next, they talk about Manchester United's lucky 1-1 draw with Chelsea and how they managed to escape two possible red cards. Finally, they finish with Tottenham's 4-1 victory over Aston Villa and the difficulty of separating the top 13 teams in the Premier League. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 00:55 - Arsenal,City, and Liverpool over the weekend 01:23 - How Brighton setup against Liverpool 02:34 - How stressful the Premier League is 03:15 - Liverpool weathered the storm then attacked 04:37 - How long Liverpool’s squad has been in rotation 05:43 - Tough schedule ahead for Liverpool 06:21 - Are liverpool favorites or should it still be city? 07:41 - City have a ton of injuries and an old squad 10:16 - Arsenal’ lack of attacking threat vs. Newcastle 11:47 - A bad game for Arsenal and Arteta 13:00 - Are managers too conservative with substitutions 14:07 - Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal 16:39 - What is the best approach to substitutions? 20:25 - Is Arteta taking more power at Arsenal? 22:31 - Are Arsenal out of the title race? 24:26 - Phil Foden’s added threat for City 26:16 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea 26:40 - United were lucky to not get red cards (Ugarte/Martinez) 30:00 - Defensive breakdowns leading to chances + Why is Robert Sanchez in goal 31:24 - The game from a United Perspective 32:54 - The game from a Chelsea Perspective + Cole Palmer 34:05 - Concern for Chelsea’s defense? 36:10 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa 37:21 - How managers give their players breaks during the season 38:30 - Villa were unable to contain the match 39:16 - Spurs are GOOD? 39:24 - Hard to separate teams the top 7 and top 13 teams in the table 42:26 - What makes every week exciting in the Premier League 44:00 - Serie A is also BANANAS #premierleague #liverpool #manchesterunited #manchestercity #manutd #arsenal #tottenham #chelsea #astonvilla #arteta #colepalmer #philfoden Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson shares his insights for EVERY EPL Matchday 10 game and discusses why you MUST wait for the lineups before betting certain games. Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 01:05 - Liverpool vs. Brighton 01:48 - Why you must check the lineup before betting this match 02:22 - Ipswich vs. Leicester City 02:41 - Forest vs. West Ham 03:48 - Bournemouth vs. Man City 04:44 - Newcastle vs. Arsenal 06:13 - Southampton vs. Everton 06:36 - Wolves vs. Crystal Palace 07:03 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa 09:29 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea 11:31 - Fulham vs. Brentford Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Ravi answer frequently asked questions about getting started in sports analytics using their extensive knowledge and experience in the industry. They get into how to look for a job, the skills you need, and what to expect once you land a job. If you have more questions you want answered, leave them in the comments down below! Details for Ravi's conference in Houston: https://americansoccerinsights.com/ Data Contest/Call for Proposals: https://americansoccerinsights.com/call-for-proposals Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:01 - How do I get started? 00:04:46 - What skills do I need? 00:21:25 - Where to look for football jobs? 00:23:17 - Apart from football clubs, where are some other places I can find data jobs in football? 00:26:25 - I want to go into football, but I don't have the data skills - where can I learn them fast? 00:35:24 - How can I set myself apart from the crowd? 00:46:00 - The pay seems very low - what can I do about it? 00:51:10 - What's it look to work for these teams? 01:04:52 - What are your biggest takeaways from working in sports? #dataanalytics #analytics #data #football #soccer #sports #sportsanalytics #premierleague #mls #stats Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Manchester United firing manager Erik ten Hag. They run down why he had to be fired, Ruud van Nistelrooy as interim manager, and potential names for the job. Then, Ravi joins Patrick to discuss Barcelona's 4-0 victory over Real Madrid over the weekend. They talk about Barcelona's high line causing problems for Madrid, Madrid lacking a holding striker, and if Barcelona can maintain this form for the rest of the season. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:00:47 - United sack Erik ten Hag 00:01:31 - Ruud van Nistelrooy interim manager 00:01:45 - Manchester United’s recent form 00:04:14 - Trends for United 00:04:39 - Could they be better with a better coach? 00:05:39 - What a good and bad manager change process looks like 00:07:24 - The U Curve of coaches 00:10:18 - Could ten Hag’s hurt United? 00:10:56 - Dan Ashworth’s limited early influence 00:11:53 - Who should United hire? 00:12:39 - Pochettino and Tuchel already have jobs 00:13:28 - Could van Nistelrooy stay on? 00:14:29 - Gareth Southgate 00:15:27 - Ruben Amorim 00:15:54 - How do budgets play into the new hire decision? 00:17:51 - Xavi as next United manager? 00:20:05 - Luis Enrique 00:21:12 - Graham Potter 00:23:09 - Eddie Howe 00:24:24 - Mourinho was the most pragmatic of recent United coaches 00:25:05 - Michael Carrick 00:28:44 - Adi Hutter 00:30:57 - Bournemouth manager Andoni Iraola? 00:31:47 - Thomas Frank 00:34:08 - The ability of a manager to get player buy-in 00:35:41 - Roger Schmidt and his pressing style 00:37:44 - Julian Nagelsmann 00:39:44 - Should United settle for the least costly option? 00:40:53 - The stress of managing/working for a team 00:41:38 - Ravi joins to talk El Clasico 00:42:46 - The game was closer than the score and Barca’s impressive workload 00:44:33 - Madrid’s gameplan was to be direct 00:45:19 - Was Fermin Lopez the correct choice? 00:46:06 - The technical ability on display 00:46:46 - Substitutions settled the game for Barca 00:47:55 - Casado’s line-breaking pass for Goal #1 00:48:52 - The high line was very impressive 00:50:11 - Lucas Vazquez struggled 00:53:14 - Who should be blamed for Madrid? 00:54:46 - Madrid struggle with a pivot and where was Endrick? 00:56:52 - Bellingham’s lack of forward threat 00:58:52 - Can Barcelona sustain this performance? 01:02:06 - Mbappe moving to the right side? #manchesterunited #realmadrid #barcelona #manutd #eriktenhag #elclassico #football #soccer #podcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted shares his picks for EPL matchday 9. He starts by explaining why he flat bets and when to use accumulators. He gives insights on the matches he's betting on, including Arsenal vs. Liverpool, and explains why he's staying away from certain matchups (both City and United). Enjoy! More information on fractional Kelly betting: https://www.pinnacle.com/betting-resources/en/betting-strategy/revisiting-the-kelly-criterion-part-2-fractional-kelly/gbd27z9nljvgflgg Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 01:18 - Why do you bet flat amounts? 03:44 - Why don't you bet accumulators? 06:23 - Leicester City vs. Forest 07:16 - Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth 08:03 - Brentford vs. Ipswich 09:02 - Manchester City vs. Southampton 09:51 - Brighton vs. Wolves 11:33 - Everton vs. Fulham 13:10 - Chelsea vs. Newcastle 14:15 - Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham 15:33 - West Ham vs. Manchester United 17:02 - Arsenal vs. Liverpool #premierleague #epl #betting #liverpool #arsenal #chelsea #tottenham #soccer #football #manchesterunited Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Real Madrid's 5-2 win over Dortmund and the injuries to Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo. Next, they preview the Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Champions League match today and how the game might be insightful for El Clasico on Saturday. They then dive into the best lineups for both Real Madrid and Barcelona, how much injured (Dani Olmo and Gavi) and older (Luka Modric) might play, and give their predictions for the final score. They end the conversation with Xabi Alonso's rumoured exit from Bayer Leverkusen at the end of the season, potential landing spots, and if he will actually leave. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 01:02 - Real Madrid vs. Dortmund 04:32 - Real Madrid’s defense was shocking 05:32 - Different Midfield lineups Madrid has used 06:50 - Ravi’s pre-game prediction 07:48 - Bellingham last season vs. this season 09:43 - Modric, Valverde, and Madrid’s Galactico mindset 11:02 - How do they fix their midfield issues? 11:41 - How much will Modric play? 14:08 - Will Rodrygo be the odd man out? 15:12 - Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Preview 16:20 - A good test for Bayern 17:39 - Barcelona players returning from injury 18:50 - How much can Gavi give them? 21:02 - What front 3 will Barcelona play? 22:35 - Giving minutes to returning players against Bayern 23:33 - What lineup will Madrid use against Barcelona? 24:10 - Courtois injury for Madrid 25:19 - An offensive vs. defensive lineup 26:37 - Stylistic matchups 28:21 - Should Barcelona play more conservatively? 30:11 - Both teams are weak at fullback 31:13 - Lewandowski should play as a pivot 31:57 - Ideal lineup for Barcelona 33:21 - Ravi’s predictions for El Clasico 35:38 - Patrick’s prediction for El Clasico 36:45 - Flick’s first Clasico 37:12 - A La Liga game vs. a Champions League game 39:19 - Leverkusen rumoured to be looking for a Xavi Alonso replacement 40:14 - The timing with Txiki’s departure and Pep’s contract expiring 40:52 - Real Madrid also make sense 41:34 - Hugo Viana and Ruben Amorim 42:21 - The obvious spot for Xabi Alonso 44:25 - What happens if Carlo Ancelotti doesn’t want to leave? 47:18 - Alonso’s contract ends in 2026 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the eventful Liverpool vs. Chelsea match and Liverpool's defense looking vulnerable. They also discuss the impact VAR had over the weekend, and get into Saliba's red card in Arsenal's 2-0 loss to Bournemouth. Next comes Southampton's loss to Leicester and Russell Martin's comments after the game. They finish with Fulham vs. Aston Villa, Brighton vs. Newcastle and the resurgence of Raul Jimenez, Manchester United looking competent, and the trend of teams playing safer. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast 00:00 - Intro 01:06 - Liverpool vs. Chelsea 03:23 - Trent Alexander-Arnold is a double-edged sword 04:22 - How cautious can you be in the modern Premier League? 05:07 - Concern for Andrew Robertson? 07:44 - Did Chelsea deserve an early penalty? 08:00 - VAR and red cards this weekend 08:44 - Caicedo as a playmaker 09:58 - This was Liverpool’s first real test 10:41 - Arsenal vs. Bournemouth 11:47 - Saliba’s red card 13:03 - Marginal calls in football 14:55 - How coaches game plan in the Premier League 16:24 - Manchester City look fragile 17:35 - Taking a red card vs. allowing a chance 19:16 - Southampton vs. Leicester City 20:36 - Russell Martin’s comments after the game 22:02 - How coaches start to talk when they want to be fired 25:29 - Mourinho’s ability to deflect from a bad performance 26:17 - Southampton’s poor performance under Martin 28:38 - 8 point gap to Leicester now 28:59 - Facundo Buonanotte and Brighton’s future 30:35 - Fulham vs. Aston Villa 33:03 - Neutral’s will love Fulham games 33:15 - Raul Jimenez is in insane form 35:10 - The resurgence of Old and Tall strikers 36:32 - Newcastle vs. Brighton 38:52 - Manchester looked competent 40:53 - Garnacho’s tendency to take wide-angle shots 42:45 - Is the trend of teams playing safer a problem? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss all things Premier League related from the start of the season. They begin with teams that should be higher or lower than their current position in the table. Next, they decide which of the 4 relegation candidates will stay up. And finally, both Patrick and Ted give their predictions for the Top 6. Where do you think Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea, Manchester United, Tottenham, and the rest of the Premier League will finish? Sebastian's guest newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/3-young-attacking-mids-on-the-rise Ted's preseason gambling podcast: https://youtu.be/keg7HlCXPwE Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:34 - Who is the premier league table lying about right now? 00:02:41 - Newcastle United 00:05:37 - Giving honest takes vs driving engagement 00:06:31 - The table of justice 00:07:16 - Tottenham should be slightly better 00:08:03 - Spurs are playing like a Bundesliga team 00:09:12 - Exciting young pieces 00:11:03 - Where are they likely to finish? 00:12:44 - Bournemouth are better than the Table says 00:14:30 - Optimism for Everton 00:15:10 - Guest Newsletter authors 00:15:45 - Dwight McNeil’s blossoming role 00:18:11 - A Cash injection this January can fix their issues 00:19:02 - Everton fans should be happy with the takeover 00:21:35 - Manchester United’s rough start 00:22:36 - The Model’s take on United before the season 00:24:34 - United don’t tolerate long processes 00:26:20 - United fans who have never seen the good times 00:27:12 - Of the 4 candidates, who will get relegated? 00:27:27 - Ipswich 00:29:30 - Wolves 00:31:40 - Patrick’s prediction to stay up 00:32:43 - Leicester’s 5 point advantage 00:34:06 - the difficulty making a case for any of these teams 00:36:30 - What the gambling markets say 00:38:50 - Predicting the top 6 00:39:11 - factoring in a potential punishment for City 00:41:23 - Patrick’s top 4 00:42:40 - Talent goes a long way 00:44:56 - Patrick’s title winner 00:48:07 - Patrick’s 2nd place team 00:52:39 - 3rd place 00:56:48 - Debating the Last Champions League spot 00:59:57 - Patrick’s 5th and 6th place 01:00:24 - What the betting markets say 01:01:46 - Ted’s top 6 01:03:26 - When we’ll check back in on our predictions Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi do a deep dive on the top teams in Serie A. They start with Napoli, who are top of the table despite what may have been the worst transfer window of any team. Next is Inter and their hopes back-to-back titles. Can they pull it off again despite an aging squad? Then comes Lazio, whose unconventional approach to players and manager hires sparks an interesting discussion on high variance teams. Last comes Milan, who almost sacked manager Paulo Fonseca early in the year, but have stabilized to be just 5 points out of first place. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamp: 00:00 - Intro 01:07 - Napoli’s fantastic start 01:40 - Our rough grades for Napoli’s window 03:04 - Lack of minutes for new players 05:26 - A more Conservative defensive style 06:28 - Grades are not based on 7 games 08:02 - Low shot quality in Serie A 10:53 - Lack of depth in attack for Napoli limits their title threat? 11:58 - Napoli’s advantage with no European Competition 14:50 - Where will they finish? 16:12 - Inter’s erratic start to the season 17:22 - The most balanced team in Serie A? 18:58 - Inter’s defensive shift 19:20 - Can the oldest team in Serie A keep this up? 21:31 - Marcus Thuram 22:39 - Do Inter need to share minutes more? 25:19 - Could they switch styles later in the year? 26:55 - Predictions for Inter’s season 27:17 - Lazio’s surprising start 28:41 - unexpected names contributing for Lazio 31:10 - Marco Baroni’s influence 35:43 - Are fringe European teams to conservative with their coaching hires? 39:12 - Thomas Tuchel’s training stories and how coaches influence their players 42:36 - Analytics only matter if you can translate them into simple messages 45:15 - Milan shake off a rough start 47:14 - Favorable matchups coming up 47:57 - Pulisic playing well and staying healthy 49:38 - Rafael Leao’s Attacking threat 51:47 - Using avoidance strategies to change player behaviors Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Dani Carvajal's injury and potential replacements that Real Madrid should consider. Can they get Trent Alexander-Arnold to come over, or should they look elsewhere? They then get into Chelsea's front line and which combinations of players is best for their team. Next, Manchester City's Director of Football Txiki Begiristain is set to leave, who are the likely hires with Pep's departure looming. Finally, Paul Pogba suspension was reduced, where are the likely landing spots for the 31-year-old Italian midfielder? Enjoy! Ted's article on potential Toni Kroos replacements: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/kroos-ify-me Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 00:46 - Dani Carvajal's injury 01:34 - Specifics of the injury 04:50 - Carvajal's 1 year extension 05:23 - Solutions for Real Madrid 05:57 - A leadership gap 07:33 - Can Madrid lure Trent Alexander-Arnold? 10:03 - Hakimi as an option at RB 12:50 - Sliding Militao over from CB? 15:16 - Other candidates at RB 17:55 - Will Kroos unretire? 18:20 - Unresolved Vini Jr/Mbappe problems 19:55 - Who should play in Chelsea's front line? 24:29 - The disadvantage of signing the best players from smaller sides? 26:26 - Where does Nkunku fit in? 27:23 - Can players change their pressing style? 30:18 - Joao Felix's adaptability 31:02 - What happens against better sides? 32:33 - City lose their Director of Football, Txiki Begiristain 33:24 - How did Txiki perform? 36:17 - Potential replacements 39:09 - How does a DoF influence the rest of the back room? 42:47 - Will the next DoF be more powerful with Pep likely gone? 45:38 - Paul Pogba's suspension reduced 46:12 - Where might Pogba end up? 48:38 - Is MLS an option? 50:20 - Could he stay in Italy? 51:28 - Playing Pogba as a 10 53:16 - Taking a smaller contract to entice bigger teams Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this Episode, Ted and Patrick do a deep dive on Brentford's fast starts to game and how teams are undervaluing set pieces. They then move to discussion on playing out of the back, which has caused issues for many teams to start the season. Next, they move to Bayern Munich's recent games and their high defensive line looking fragile. To end, the move to quick hits on Real Madrid's injury situation and their need to spend big in the winter window, Micky van de Ven struggle in Spurs' loss to to Brighton, and Cole Palmer during Chelsea's 1-1 draw with Forest. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 01:18 - Brentford have solved Football 01:54 - Set Pieces and Ted's history with them and Brentford 06:33 - Brentford has applied this to kickoffs 08:28 - Is it sustainable? 09:22 - Zdeněk Zeman 10:22 - Team's undervaluing set pieces 13:21 - The biggest differences between a corner and a long-throw in 16:17 - How the fast starts have helped Brentford 19:54 - Principles to watch on set pieces 22:49 - Football being influenced by other sports 25:33 - Short goal kick equilibrium 26:16 - Daryl Morey's thoughts on short Goal kicks 28:27 - Forcing other teams to adapt to your style 28:51 - The end of short goal kicks? 33:09 - Teams that adapt faster will benefit 33:17 - Bayern's recent struggles 35:13 - Omar Marmoush's good form 36:24 - Bayern's high line is vulnerable 39:03 - Pep's ability to kill off games 40:39 - Will Kompany be able to learn? 43:04 - Real Madrid's injuries and the Winter window 43:49 - Madrid are missing Kroos 44:15 - Petar Sucic as a Kimmich-like 45:35 - van de Ven and Spurs vs Brighton 47:07 - Mitoma's = Bukayo Saka? 48:45 - The Welbeck winner and 2 amazing assists from the weekend 49:15 - Chelsea vs Forest and Cole Palmer Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his Premier League Matchday 7 picks. Subscribe for more! Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe More on Asian Handicap betting: https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/ Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:54 Asian Handicap betting explained 4:23 Newsletter 5:39 Crystal Palace v Liverpool 6:42 Leicester City v Bournemouth 7:57 Arsenal v Southampton 9:11 Brentford v Wolves 10:07 West Ham v Ipswich 12:24 Man City v Fulham 14:15 Everton v Newcastle 15:48 Chelsea v Nottingham Forest 17:22 Aston Villa v Man United 19:30 Brighton v Spurs 21:25 Outro Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ravi discuss Arsenal's win over PSG, Dortmund's demolition of Celtic, and Barcelona's loss to Osasuna. They further analyse Dortmund's managerial situation, Barca's incredible youth integration, and Arsenal's defensive tendencies. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps 00:00 Episode Overview 00:23 Intro 2:35 Arsenal v PSG Review 3:08 Lineup Reaction 6:07 Tactical Breakdown 8:35 Absence of Dembele 9:14 PSG creating identity 10:27 Arsenal’s dominant defence 13:15 Are Arsenal too defensive? 17:10 Dortmund v Celtic Review 22:51 Dortmund under Sahin 26:31 Will Dortmund sack Sahin? 28:30 Barcelona’s loss to Osasuna 30:08 How to properly rotate your squad 38:56 Champions League format thoughts 40:00 La Masia player integration 46:58 Are some positions easier to break into? 54:25 Outro Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ted discuss the best way for Manchester United to move on from Erik Ten Hag and debate whether Cole Palmer is currently the best player in the Premier League. They also analyse the Madrid Derby and do a deep dive on Bayern Munich under new manager Vincent Kompany. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Episode Overview 00:36 Intro 1:46 Bayern vs Leverkusen review 4:30 Bayern going under the radar 6:55 Match breakdown 9:47 Kompany’s impact 11:30 The Pep Guardiola Effect 13:52 Man United vs Spurs Review 18:58 United’s terrible midfield 19:32 Spurs looking dangerous 19:54 Ten Hag and Man United’s summer recruitment 23:56 Man United’s new manager hunt 40:59 Chelsea’s start to the season 43:34 How not to play out from the back 44:43 Nicolas Jackson’s hot start 45:00 Is Cole Palmer the best player in the League? 51:00 James Justin golazo 51:30 Madrid Derby Review 56:17 Outro 57:42 Variance Betting Subscription update Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ravi discuss how Man City can cope without Rodri, potential replacements, and a La Liga Roundup. They analyse Barcelona's strong start to the season, Real Madrid's start studded squad, Atletico Madrid's solid defence, and ownership issues in the league. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Episode overview 00:37 Intro 1:53 Barcelona’s surprising form 2:30 Ter Stegan’s injury & replacements 9:09 Can Barcelona hold off Real Madrid? 13:16 Real Madrid’s recent form 15:44 Lacking balance in midfield 17:42 Madrid’s stacked attack 20:50 Concerns about defence 22:40 Atletico Madrid’s Strengths & Weaknesses 26:25 Analysing Atleti’s solid defence 29:13 Valencia’s struggles 31:40 Sevilla’s ownership issues 32:56 Valencia under Peter Lim 37:22 Rodri ACL injury 41:40 Impact on Man City 43:15 How can City cope? 47:10 What solution will Pep come up wIth? 50:18 Potential Rodri replacements 1:00:45 Outro Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ted discuss how Pep Guardiola didn't take advantage of Arsenal going down to 10 men, Danny Welbeck's rejuvenation, and Luis Diaz's improvement. They also recap all the other action from this weekend's Premier League games, including West Ham's horrible defence, and a deep dive into Arsenal's set-pieces. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast 00:00 Episode Overview 00:30 Intro 1:47 Crystal Palace v Manchester United Review 4:24 Thoughts on Zirkzee 6:33 United’s Improved Defence 7:37 Man City vs Arsenal Review 9:17 Calafiori Golazo 10:51 Gabriel Goal & Arsenal Set Pieces 15:40 Second Half Analysis 18:03 Arsenal Defence 21:38 West Ham v Chelsea Review 22:32 Thoughts on Lopetegui 24:38 West Ham Defensive Issues 27:44 Fulham v Newcastle Review 32:45 Liverpool v Bournemouth 36:00 Luis Diaz Improvement 37:30 Brighton v Nottingham 38:25 Goals Analysis 40:28 Danny Welbeck Rejuvenation 41:40 Refereeing In Premier League 43:28 Brighton Being A Young Arsenal 44:30 Weekend Recap 46:30 Outro Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his Premier League Matchday 5 picks and why he is betting AGAINST Liverpool. Subscribe for more! Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Introduction 00:45 Last Week Recap 1:12 TheTransferFlow & VarianceBetting 2:13 Closing Line Value 6:11 Why Does It Matter? 7:25 West Ham v Chelsea 9:17 Aston Villa v Wolves 10:41 Fulham v Newcastle 11:54 Leicester v Everton 13:42 Southampton v Ipswich 15:31 Liverpool v Bournemouth 17:59 Spurs v Brentford 19:31 Crystal Palace v Manchester United 21:37 Brighton v Nottingham Forest 22:37 Manchester City v Arsenal 24:45 Championship Betting 25:15 Conclusion Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Ravi discuss Manchester City and Inter Milan's chances of winning the Champions League, changes to Erling Haaland's role, Barcelona's strong start and their expectations for the season. They then answer some listener questions which include discussions on player stocks, what to do when teams begin to figure you out, and a deep dive into the use of data to overturn some traditional football opinions. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Episode Overview 00:33 Introduction 2:38 Man City VS Inter Milan 3:20 Inter in the UCL 6:45 Man City’s UCL Squad 7:45 Man City’s New Style Of Play 12:50 New UCL Format 18:32 Player Fatigue 20:42 Barcelona As Contendors 22:10 Dani Olmo & Barca Injuries 23:35 Hansi Flick’s Bareclona 25:35 Emergence of Youngsters 27:17 Barcelona Expectations 29:05 Biggest Changes Under Flick 32:42 Barca’s UCL Schedule 33:08 Most Entertaining Team 33:42 Hansi Flick vs Xavi 36:25 Players Stocks 39:22 Stocks To Buy 40:14 Bournemouth Under Iraola 40:47 Teams Figuring You Out 43:36 Two Halves of a Season 46:30 Kieran McKenna 47:15 Using Data To Overturn Traditional Opinions 58:45 In Swinging Corners vs Out Swinging Corners 1:03:16 Outro Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Patrick and Ted start the episode by discussing the North London Derby and the weakness that Spurs continue to show in their midfield. Next, they move to Liverpool, who seemed to have fixed there defense, but were unable to get anything going offensively. After touching on City vs Brighton and United vs Southampton, they move to Newcastle's Internal power struggle, as Eddie Howe and Paul Mitchell compete for power. Finally, they end the episode with their thoughts on Chelsea vs Bournemouth (hint: not good) and West Ham vs Fulham. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Intro 03:28 - Arsenal vs. Spurs 04:47 - The midfield battle 06:30 - Spurs crosses were not effective 07:38 - How teams can get value from crosses 09:23 - Watching the ball vs. the man 10:11 - Spurs' biggest weakness 10:41 - The type of midfielder Spurs needed 11:52 - More opportunities for mistakes 13:40 - The evolution of pressing 14:33 - Alexis Sanchez' pressing ability 15:32 - Arsenal's plan this game 18:39 - The launch of Variance Betting 19:38 - Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest 19:53 - High handicaps coming off international break 20:43 - The signs of value of Nottingham Forest 22:22 - Liverpool's defense continues to shine 23:14 - Liverpool's offensive struggles 25:05 - Ryan Gravenberch in a deeper role 27:16 - Brentford vs. City 28:11 - Thomas Frank as Manager 31:12 - Brentford's possession #'s against City 31:28 - City's lack of pressing 32:05 - The problems Pep is facing 34:20 - Manchester United vs Southampton 35:37 - United's set piece goal 36:40 - Tyler Dibling 37:24 - Is Russell Martin's job safe? 40:13 - Newcastle's internal conflict 42:21 - Paul Mitchell vs Eddie Howe 44:24 - Newcastle are doing well in the table 44:46 - How do Newcastle mend things? 46:06 - Chelsea vs Bournemouth 47:17 - Subbing in Neto for Jadon Sancho 48:09 - Bad signs for long-term success 48:55 - Chelsea need a structured attack 50:53 - West Ham vs Fulham 51:37 - Danny Ings 53:21 - Brighton vs Ipswich Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his best betting practices and discusses his Premier League Matchday 4 picks. Subscribe for more! Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Introduction 1:44 Who is Ted Knutson? 2:20 Working With Pinnacle.com Products 3:26 Working at Brentford/Midtjylland & SmartOdds 4:05 Founding StatsBomb 4:25 Present Day — TheTransferFlow.com 4:58 Variance Betting Principles 5:21 Discount Bookies > Bonuses 8:20 Price Shop 10:37 Working with Models & Knowledge 12:35 Why Early Season is Tricky 13:54 Your Bets are your own 14:47 Market Implied (MI) Model 16:18 Be careful about Promoted Teams 17:18 Expected Goals (xG) Model 18:07 Caveats 21:06 Plugs 20:23 Recreational Sports Betting 22:32 Brighton v Ipswich Bet 23:52 Southampton v Man United Bet 25:11 Crystal Palace v Leicester Bet 26:02 Fulham v West Ham No Bet 26:25 Liverpool v Nottingham Forest Bet 27:25 Man City v Brentford No Bet 28:35 Aston Villa v Everton No Bet 29:46 Bournemouth v Chelsea Bet 31:20 Spurs v Arsenal Bet 32:39 Wolves v Newcastle No Bet 33:31 Recap 33:54 Outro Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Ravi start by discussing a controversial analytics take from someone that's a part of the community. Next, they talk about Chelsea's owner rift and the leaks that suggest a potential buyout may happen. They then get into discussion about Arsenal's injury situation with Martin Odegaard and Mikel Merino set to miss time. And finally, they wrap up with the MLS transfer window and all of the things that you need to know about that, including biggest additions and misses of the window. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Intro 01:48 - Is analytics for player recruitment solved? 03:18 - every action in football has 3 parts 04:40 - You don't have data for everything 06:15 - Difficulty at scale 07:30 - Different level of information impacting decision makers 09:48 - Evaluating players from lower leagues 11:53 - Player factors impact on transfer success 13:55 - Chelsea's ownership rift 16:13 - Boehly joined and isntantly became Interim Sporting Director 16:58 - Where this confidence comes from 17:43 - 2 captains driving the boat 19:52 - Football clubs run like investment funds 21:46 - Blitzer and Harris make co-ownership work 22:31 - Arsenal's injury situation 23:59 - Small point loses feel insurmountable 25:04 - What would a long-term Odegaard injury mean? 26:06 - Champions League format changes help 26:29 - September International break 29:18 - MLS window rules and time period 30:21 - MLS is paying real money 32:22 - Their offset window creates mismatches 33:45 - Josh Sargent example 35:17 - How MLS can fix this issue 35:58 - Extra problems that come with overseas transfers 37:48 - The profile of MLS Winter signings 38:28 - NWSL eliminating the draft 39:45 - MLS academies draining talent out of the draft 41:12 - Balancing International roster spots 42:13 - Big free agent signings - Giroud and Reus 42:50 - Discovery Lists 44:16 - Griezmann rumours 47:15 - MLS connection with South/Latin America 48:15 - Spurs weird deal for Johnny Cardoso 49:20 - More additions to the MLS this year 51:10 - Players the U.S. and Canada excel at creating 52:26 - Deals that fell through because of the deadline mismatches Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Ravi discuss the summer windows for Manchester United, Southampton, Tottenham, West Ham and Wolves. They start with United's expensive, but sensible, window and how their new signings may fit in the squad. Then comes newly promoted Southampton, who made additions at goalkeeper and to their defense in the hopes of staying up. Tottenham paid up for Dominic Solanke and Archie Gray, while West Ham spent too much on a number of different moves. Finally, we discuss Wolves window and what essentially feels like them playing the lottery. Ugarte Newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manuel-ugarte-manchester-united-transfer-rumours-analysis Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 0:36 Man United Overview 1:50 Man United Finishing Top 4 2:14 Squad Needing Change 2:59 Resisting Overpaying 3:58 Joshua Zirkzee 4:11 De Ligt 4:50 Too Many Ajax Players? 5:16 Overpaying For Leny Yoro 5:30 Window Review 6:37 Manuel Ugarte 8:00 United Outgoings 11:10 Southampton Overview 11:59 Aaron Ramsdale 12:31 Making Loans Permanent 13:02 Mateus Fernandes 13:40 Yukinari Sugawara 14:00 Brereton Diaz 15:02 Some Confusing Signings 15:40 Southampton Outgoings 15:51 Southampton Overall Grade 16:22 Spurs Overview 16:56 Dominic Solanke 18:30 Overpaying for youngsters? 19:46 Incomings Grade 19:52 Spurs Outgoings 21:38 West Ham Overview 22:30 Risky Transfer Strategy? 23:42 Niclas Fullkrug 26:19 Max Kilman 26:45: Jean-Claire Todibo 27:41 Wan-Bissaka & 28:09: West Ham Outgoings 28:42 Outgoing Grades 28:57 Wolves Overview 29:24 Wolves Outgoings 29:39 Andre 30:00 Sam Johnstone 30:23 Strand Larsen 31:36 Wolves Overall Grade 32:21 Outro Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Ravi discuss the transfer windows for Leicester City, Liverpool, Manchester City, Newcastle, and Nottingham Forrest. They start with a confusing window for Leicester and move to Liverpool in their first window under Arne Slot. Next up is Manchester City, who made some good moves and got good value for Julian Alvarez. Then comes Newcastle, who had possibly the worst window of any team not named Chelsea. Finally, they discuss Nottingham Forest's VERY busy window. Link to the newsletter for part 3:https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/liverpool-gearing-massive-changes Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Intro 00:48 - Leicester City Inbounds 01:41 - Bilal El Khannouss 02:55 - Caleb Okoli and Odsonne Édouard 03:42 - Oliver Skipp and Harry Winks 05:06 - Facundo Buonanotte's loan 06:45 - Leicester's Overall Grade 07:02 - Using early games to predict relegation 09:13 - Liverpool's transition window 11:09 - Lack of new contracts for their 3 stars 15:00 - Long-term view vs. short/medium term 16:00 - When to move on from stars 17:45 - Salah changing his game as he ages 20:28 - The decision for TAA/ Real Madrid leveraging stars 22:15 - Zubimendi in January? 22:56 - Manchester City's Window and Sávio 23:30 - Gundogan joining from Barcelona 24:45 - Selling Julian Alvarez 26:47 - Madrid coming for Rodri? 27:58 - Newcastle's Window 28:13 - Their lone savior? 29:26 - Not overpaying for Marc Guehi 31:49 - Clubs that are good at extracting value for players 34:20 - Nottingham Forrest's busy window 35:43 - Evaluating their window on face value 36:33 - Inbound grade for Forest 37:32 - Did they solve their issues from last year? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Chelsea's transfer window was a disaster, so make sure to listen until the end to hear our thoughts on what is probably the worst window for ANY club in many years. We're grading 5 teams in alphabetical order on the second episode of our offseason transfer grades, starting with Crystal Palace and their head-scratching decision to not sell Marc Guehi to Newcastle. Then, Everton's Poor window to go along with their lackluster start of the season. Next comes Fulham, who sold João Palhinha for 50m, but chose to reinvest some of that money into older players. And finally, before we go in on Chelsea, we touch on Ipswich's risky transfer strategy and how it sets them up for the future, even in they get relegated. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps - 00:00 - Intro 02:06 - Crystal Palace's Window 02:42 - Failing to sell Marc Guehi 03:36 - 2 new centerbacks 04:04 - Oliver Glasner as manager 04:18 - Will Hughes 04:53 - Teams Scrambling to find a backup goalkeeper 05:18 - Joachim Andersen 05:53 - What will they get out of Eddie Nketiah? 07:38 - The Grade for Crystal Palace 08:09 - 5M for Jordan Ayew?? 08:21 - Moving on to Everton 09:02 - Blowing a 2-0 lead in the 87' 09:40 - Jarrad Branthwaite and Jacob O'Brien 10:45 - Everton's struggles this window 12:27 - Their squad mismanagement 13:58 - Everton get their Grade 14:26 - Fulham's window 15:37 - 50M+ for João Palhinha and where they spent the money 16:39 - Spending money on older players 18:03 - Elite players can age gracefully 20:05 - Emile Smith-Rowe and Joachim Anderson 20:48 - Grades for Fulham 21:05 - Ipswich's window 22:12 - the need to change their playstyle 23:48 - Ed Sheeran and Taylor Swift 24:13 - The 3 options Ipswich had entering the Premier League 25:44 - Risky transfers that set them up for success 27:14 - Ipswich's lack of outgoings 27:51 - Chelsea's crazy window 28:41 - Ravi's biggest issue with Chelsea's window 30:11 - A fix for load management? 30:44 - Chelsea operating like an investment fund 33:33 - A huge risk on Pedro Neto 35:16 - Similarities to Barcelona 36:13 - Where Chelsea deserve credit 37:07 - Chelsea's assumptions make backfire 39:44 - How did Chelsea grade? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Ravi discuss their transfer grades for Arsenal, Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Brighton and Brentford. We start with Arsenal, who made some solid signings this window, but failed to improve their attacking depth and we disagree a bit on the quality of the incoming transfers. We also grades for the next 4 Premier League teams in alphabetical order. Namely, Villa's PSR driven offseason and some good business by them in the offloading of Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby, but did the incomings substantially improve the Champions league team? Next, Bournemouth's big sale of Dominic Solanke and where they might replace his production. Finally, we finish with why we rated Brentford's window a mild success, and discuss how Brighton's aggressive approach might pay off for them. Enjoy! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Intro 03:00 - Arsenal Discussion 04:3 - Arsenal's Grades 05:58 - Riccardo Calafiori and Ben White 06:28 - Mikel Merino 07:36 - Adding Sterling 08:24 - The need to improve the #9 position 09:00 - Osimhen allegedly offered to Arsenal 09:41 - Aston Villa Weirdness 11:34 - Ian Maatson 12:48 - The Jaden Philogene Saga 13:20 - Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby 15:10 - Villa Grade 15:18 - Bournemouth and their Stadium 16:10 - Offseason additions (players & staff) 19:10 - Replacing Dominic Solanke's Production 21:31 - Grades & Above average talent for Bournemouth is a win 22:33 - Brentford 22:42 - Selling Ivan Toney to Saudi and Fabio Carvalho 23:47 - Igor Thiago 27:56 - Jayden Meghoma 28:48 - Brentford Grades 29:13 - Brighton 30:11 - Brighton's Net Spend this window 31:48 - Not investing in their Academy 32:06 - Yankuba Minteh 32:44 - Mats Wieffer 34:48 - Fabian Hürzeler and the risk of a 31-year-old manager 37:46 - Challenging for CL spots? 38:49 - Brighton Grade Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ravi and Patrick discuss Federico Chiesa signing with Liverpool, his role, and the potential to move out wide. Next, they move to Darwin Nunez potentially leaving Liverpool, Arsenal being a possible landing spot, and Arsenal lacking attacking depth. They then touch on Newcastle's interest in RB Leipzig defender Mohamed Simakan after being unable to finish their Marc Guehi transfer, comparisons of the two players, and Newcastle's hopes for the season. Lastly, they finish with Dani Olmo's fantastic Barcelona debut, and the injury to 17-year-old midfielder Marc Bernal. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Napoli's move this off-season, including new manager Antonio Conte, and how what Victor Osimhen's price is now. Next, they move to Juventus and their acquisition of Francisco Conceicao and Nico Gonzalez. They also touch on Dominic Calvert-Lewin being linked with Chelsea, Barcelona FINALLY registering Dani Olmo, and what the future may look like for Endrick at Real Madrid. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Intro 03:00 - Napoli's moves this Summer 04:40 - Conte as Napoli's Manager 05:56 - The addition of Lukaku 08:03 - Scott McTominay 09:50 - Coaching Blindspots 13:12 - Billy Gilmour 13:45 - David Neres 17:41 - New Centerbacks 20:01 - Osimhen's Price 22:49 - The issues PSG are facing 23:56 - Juventus targeting wingers 24:30 - Francisco Conceicao 28:23 - Nico Gonzalez 30:43 - The financial risk of amortization 31:02 - Liverpool's approach vs Juve and Napoli 37:09 - Chelsea and Dominic Calvert-Lewin 46:34 - Could Arsenal be in for DCL? 51:24 - Dani Olmo Registered by Barcelona 54:49 - Endrick's Future Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ravi and Patrick start off with Ilkay Gundogan leaving Barcelona to return to Manchester city in what could be Pep Guardiola's last season. Then, they discuss Georginio Rutter moving to Brighton, Brighton's Transfer strategy, and Sander Berge moving to Fulham. They finish with Oliver Skipp's move to Leicester and Enzo Maresca speaking out on Chelsea's training sessions despite their huge squad. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Intro 01:15 - Gundogan returns to City and Pep's Last Season? 09:44 - Georginio Rutter to Brighton/ Brighton's transfer Strategy 20:44 - Sander Berge to Fulham/ Fulham's squad 33:04 - Oliver Skipp and why did Leicester City spend 25m on him? 38:25 - Enzo Maresca speaks on how Chelsea manages their training Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Manchester City vs. Chelsea, Raheem Sterling's comments on his omission from the squad and Joao Felix's transfer. They then touch on Real Madrid struggling in Kylian Mbappe's first La Liga game and their tendency to play through the left side, as well as Manchester United's narrow victory over Fulham. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Matthijs de Ligt and Noussair Mazraoui joining from Bayern Munich, Kinglsey Coman's possible loan to Arsenal or Barcelona, and Liverpool Stars entering the final year of their contracts. Plus Arsenal's attempt to sign Mikel Moreno, why South American players may be more likely to join a Saudi side than Europeans, and more! Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Intro 2:05 - De Ligt and Mazraoui join United 15:28 - Kinglsey Coman's loan move 24:35 - Arsenal's attempt to sign Mikel Merino 31:25 - Liverpool Stars entering the final year of their contracts 39:42 - The impact of Saudi on decision making Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ali Maxwell, co-host of the Not The Top 20 Podcast, joins Patrick and Ravi to discuss the promotion and relegation battles in the championship, managerial changes and their impacts, and players to watch in this Championship season. They also get into Wayne Rooney at Plymouth, manager performance vs. perception, and surprises after the first week of games. Not The Top 20's EFL Preview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jy8OiJPgh5E Follow Ali and NTT20: NTT20: http://www.youtube.com/ @NotTheTop20 Ali: https://x.com/AliMaxwell_ Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Intro 1:37 - Managerial changes in the championship 6:10 - Plymouth sign Wayne Rooney 12:00 - Manager performance vs. perception 15:45 - Style vs. Results 18:27 - Promotion and relegation battles 21:12 - Newly relegated teams and how championship teams stack up 23:00 - Promoted/relegated teams adapting to a new style of play 25:30 - How will teams from League 1 cope? 29:37 - Players to keep an eye on 34:33 - Which new transfer/young player will break through? 36:10 - Any Surprises after week 1? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, breaks down market implied models, the different odds styles in various countries, and shares picks for the Premier League title, top four, and relegation battles. He also dives into what's next for Variance Betting and shares stories from his time at Pinnacle and as a professional gambler. Link to Odds Checker: https://www.oddschecker.com/ Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Introduction 1:32 - Ted's time at Pinnacle 4:04 - the goal of Variance betting 5:45 - models + humans 8:00 - Behind the scenes at Pinnacle 13:26 - Learning from your mistakes 14:04 - The market implied model 16:09 - Value in the winners market 17:10 - Different odds styles 18:41 - Back to the winners market 19:56 - The Arsenal wager 21:43 - Liverpool's value 22:28 - The top four 23:56 - Bankroll management 25:00 - Manchester United's value 25:55 - Newcastle and Chelsea's value 27:33 - The relegation market 28:30 - Southampton's relegation chances 28:50 - Ipswich's Odds 29:12 - Leicester losing their coach 29:33 - Crystal Palace 30:41 - Wolves chances 30:58 - Everton to stay up? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, discusses his history with gambling, his plans for his new venture Variance Betting, and shares picks for the upcoming championship season. Subscribe for more! Sites mentioned: Bet105 - https://bet105.eu/en?clickid=QiMBLJfA-Vpn7ty2Gsq9MGNd7ZgqdRLk&sportId=220 Prime Sports: https://www.primesports.com/ Pinnacle: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/ Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Martin Zubimendi being linking with Liverpool and his similarities to Xabi Alonso, Dani Olmo's strange move to Barcelona, and Newcastle being linked with Marc Guehi. They also get into Maximilian Beier's potential move to Dortmund and Mikel Arteta hiring pickpockets to steal from his players to "keep them on their toes" Link to the Sid Lowe article on Zubimendi that Ravi mentioned: https://www.theguardian.com/football/2022/sep/08/real-sociedad-martin-zubimendi-xabi-alonso-manchester-united?CMP=share_btn_tw Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction/Leagues Cup discussion 03:45 - Martin Zubimendi linked with Liverpool 07:55 - Zubimendi's versatility and potential impact 09:23 - Comparison to Xabi Alonso 15:27 - Dani Olmo's curious move to Barcelona 16:12 - Olmo's long injury history 17:38 - Barcelona's problem finding youth minutes 19:52 - Olmo ISN'T a winger 23:14 - Barcelona refuse to learn 25:01 - Max Beier moving to Dortmund 29:01 - What position is best for Beier 29:36 - Marc Guehi to Newcastle 32:10 - Concern with 1v1 defending 36:04 - Mikel Arteta's pickpocket saga 38:22 - The wrong time for a lesson 46:35 - Outro Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the Striker market. They go into Julian Alvarez' transfer to Atletico Madrid and his fit in Diego Simeone's system, Dominic Solanke signing with Tottenham, Samu Omorodion joining a packed Chelsea squad, and West Ham completing a move for 31-year-old Niclas Fullkrug. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe purchasing a stake in Caen, Jadon Sancho's uncertain future, and Conor Gallagher's fit with Atletico Madrid. They also get into the importance of sell-on clauses and how teams utilize them, Teun Koopmeiners' next move, and Jake O'Briens move to Everton. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ravi and Patrick discuss Victor Osimhen's strengths and his fit at different clubs, Viktor Gyokeres potential move to the Premier League and how much he should cost, and Chelsea signing their EIGHTH goalkeeper. They also dive into Celtic's Matt O'Riley play in the preseason, Federico Chiesa open to leaving Juventus, and more. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Ederson potentially leaving Man City and possible replacements, Liverpool's drop in midfield quality and their search for a defensive midfielder, and Aston Villa's ambitious transfer window and possible Joao Felix addition. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q #ederson #manchestercity #mancity #mosalah #liverpool #liverpoolfc #joaofelix #epl #premierleague #soccer #football Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Liverpool's efforts to replace the aging Mo Salah, Kevin De Bruyne agreeing to terms with Al-Ittihad, and the search for the next USMNT manager. They also get into PSG and Bayern Munich's interest in Desire Doue, their Arsenal fandom, Cody Gakpo and future plans for gambling content. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this Episode, Ravi and Patrick discuss Leny Yoro's move to Manchester United, Real Madrid possibly tempting Trent Alexander-Arnold away from Liverpool, and landing sports for Xavi Simons. They also touch on Adrien Rabiot, Martin Terrier and the ripple effects in the transfer window. Ravi has worked in sports data analytics and player development for over a decade, helping build the Seattle Sounders analytics team. Patrick is a Therapist by day, but has written and produced content about football for nearly a decade, primarily with Sky Sports Media. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Follow us on our Socials: X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this episode, Ted and Patrick go into Joao Neves and how much his transfer fee should be, Marc Guehi being linked to Liverpool, and the potential ramifications of the Chelsea Academy changes. They also discuss Emile Smith Rowe and the uncertainty surrounding Arsenal's young players, Joshua Zirkzee's move to Manchester United and more. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode, Ted Knutson and Ravi Ramineni discuss Uruguay vs. Colombia and the skirmish that followed. They touch on the resurgent England midfield, as well refereeing and a controversial penalty call against the Netherlands. The conversation moves to the challenges newly promoted teams face in the Premier League and what Ipswich's transfer strategy should look like. Ted and Ravi finish the conversation by discussing Jaden Philogen and his agent's Barcelona photoshoot, Dani Olmo's release clause and potential landing spots, and how TV rights deals are impacting the transfer market. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode, Ted Knutson and Ravi Ramineni discuss the importance of left-footed center backs in football/soccer. They explore the reasons why teams prioritize left-footed center backs, such as the ability to play across the body and open up the field. They also discuss the trade-offs teams have to make when choosing between an aerially dominant center back or one who is good on the ball. The conversation touches on specific left-footed center backs in the transfer market, including Ricardo Calafiori, Jarrad Branthwaite, and Max Kilman. The conversation also covers the struggles of CONCACAF teams in the Copa America. They also touch on the performance of the United States national team and the talent level of American players. The conversation concludes with a discussion about Chelsea's signing of young player Aaron Anselmino and the difficulties of evaluating young talents. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted and Patrick Van Straaten discuss their backgrounds in professional gambling and football media, as well as their experiences in the world of football analytics. They touch on topics such as the early days of using data in football, the importance of age curves in player development, and the challenges of making predictions in public. They also discuss the performances of young players like Kobbie Mainoo and the potential transfer of manuel Ugarte to Manchester United. In this conversation, Patrick and Ted discuss various transfer rumors and player evaluations. They touch on topics such as the potential transfer of Joshua Kimmich, the rebuilding project at Manchester United, the rise of Nico Williams at Athletic Bilbao, the future of Anthony Gordon at Liverpool, and the interest in Calafiore from Arsenal. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted thinks Yankuba Minteh could be a future star. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ted Knutson and Nikos Overheul discuss their experiences in the football industry, including their time at Brentford and Vancouver Whitecaps. They highlight the challenges of building and running a club, the importance of clear objectives and strategies, and the common pitfalls in the industry. They emphasize the need for effective communication, realistic expectations, and a well-thought-out hiring process. The conversation covers various topics related to working in football, including the emotional connection to the game, the challenges of hiring coaches, evaluating players, and the current state of the Dutch national team. The hosts discuss the importance of having a clear style of play and aligning recruitment with the team's goals. They also highlight the flaws in the hiring process and the difficulty of projecting player performance. The conversation ends with a story about a team requesting increasingly positive reports on players they were planning to sign. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this conversation, Ted Knutson interviews Ravi Ramineni, a former VP of analytics and research at the Seattle Sounders. Ravi shares his journey from being a fan of Spanish football to working in the futbol/soccer and analytics space. He discusses his transition from a software engineer to a football analytics professional and his experience working with the Sounders. Ravi also talks about the challenges of working in a multiclub group and his decision to start a football consulting company. He emphasizes the importance of personal fit and finding a role that aligns with one's goals and values. The conversation covers various topics, including having access to coaching staff, and the weird things that happen at clubs, including Ravi's experience translating for a player during a visa issue The back half of the episode switches into current football topics,like the challenges faced by Manchester United, the impact of financial regulations like the Premier League's PSR and UEFA's FFP, and the decision-making process for young players like Benjamin Sesko on whether to make a pressure-filled leap to the Premier League. We also discuss the changing role of the football front office and the need for sophisticated financial modeling and risk management in the era of salary caps.. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.