
The Synopsis
148 episodes — Page 3 of 3
Ep 48Company. Porsche AG: Driving Between Luxury and Premium
On this Company episode of The Synopsis we cover Porsche AG. Porsche is a brand that has tried to become "luxury at scale" with over 300k units produced annually versus undisputed luxury car brands who produce closer to ~10k. While their strategy might have diluted their brand, they still enjoy superior positioning compared to most premium car manufacturs like BMW and Mercedes-Benz. Listen to this episiode to learn not just about Porsche's history and business model, but also about the car industry and different car manufacturer's strategies. Access the Free Portion of our Porsche AG Exploratory Report Here For full access to all of our in-depth research reports, become a Speedwell Member here. Memos Referenced in the Episode: Value Capture Index Introduction -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:17) Why Research Porsche? (3:22) Porsche History (15:14) Crises in Porsche's History (18:23) Corporate Structure (24:32) - The Automotive Industry (29:39) - Industry Production Figures and Company Financial Profiles (32:21) Value Capture Index and Competitior Business Models (45:08) ROIC and Earnings Improvements (51:02) Risks and Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. At the time of recording no contributor had a position in Porsche AG. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on also did not currently have a position in Porsche AG. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 47Dialogue. How to Identify a Great Business
On this episode we talk about a recent memo, What is a Great Business? Other Memos Mentioned: The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences: The Other Side of the Consumer Value Prop For full access to all of our in-depth research reports, become a Speedwell Member here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:53) Observing versus Creating a Great business (6:07) Great Businesses through the lens of The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences (8:27) Pressure Cooker Metaphor (15:15) Is Reinvestment Runway a Criteria? (23:03) Moats and Copart (27:30) CHOP and Disruptions (30:44) Nintendo (34:35) Where does the Surplus Lie? (41:13) Walker & Dunlop (45:54) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 46Dialogue. Constellation Software AGM and RH 1Q25 Update
On this episode we talk Constellation Software and RH! Listen to our full company-specific episodes on Constellation Software and RH in our feed if you haven't already! *Note* After this recording we switched how we record our podcasts, so you should enjoy better sound quality in the future! Memo Mentioned: The Investment Matching Principle -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:40) Constellation Software Update (33:09) RH Update (52:42) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 45Article. What is a Great Business?
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is "What is a Great Business?" Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/what-is-a-great-company Check out Speedwell's Interview with Best Anchor Stocks (Spotify, YouTube) -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:01) –Memo Reading Starts (18:37) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 44Interview. Best Anchor Stocks' Leandro on Multiples, Nintendo, Hermes, and Quality Companies.
In this wide spanning interview episode we talk with Best Anchor Stocks' Leandro on investment philosophy, quality businesses, Nintendo, Deere, Copart, Hermes, and much more! Find out more about Best Anchor Stocks here, follow Leandro on Twitter @Invesquotes and Best Anchor Stocks Podcast can be found here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:16) What Characterizes a Good Business? (6:15) Multiples, Implied Valuation, Reverse DCF (26:00) Great Companies and Valuation, Copart, Constellation Software (35:32) Nintendo and Deere, Transitioning Business Models (49:01) Hermes, Durability, Ferrari, Rolex, and Luxury (1:15:12) A Good Business versus a Good Investment (1:18:05) Book Recommendations (1:22:58) Conculsion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 43Dialogue. Floor & Decor and Copart Business Update 1Q24
On this episode we talk Floor & Decor, Copart, and their 1Q24 results. Check out our full company episodes on Floor & Decor and Copart below if you haven't already! Floor & Decor Company Episode: Apple Spotify Copart Company Episode: Apple Spotify (Note Copart's latest quarter is fiscal 2Q, but ends Feb. 27) -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (0:47) Floor & Decor Update (17:58) Copart Update (39:06) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 42Dialogue. The Business of SuperApps
On this episode we talk about Grab, WeChat, Meituan, X, and all things about SuperApps. Our conversation builds off of a recent memo on SuperApps, which you can read here: WeChat, Meituan, and Grab: What is a SuperApp and Why You Will Fail Building One **Please note we had issues with the orginal sound recording and had to use AI tools to adjust the sound volume, however it adversely impacted the sound quality. We apologize for this and will try to avoid this happening in the future.** -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (0:51) SuperApps Intro, Cross Selling, Sea Limited's Free Fire (8:54) What a SuperApp Aims to Do (13:59) WeChat History and What Was Different About It (20:41) Why no Mini-programs or SuperApps in the U.S.? (23:28) Meituan's and Grab's SuperApp; Twitter/X's Ambitions (41:03) The Physical World's "SuperApps", Sears, E-Commerce Grocery -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 41Dialogue. Meta and Evolution Business Update 1Q24
On this episode we talk about Meta, Evolution, and their 1Q24 results. Check out our full company episodes on Meta and Evolution below if you haven't already! Meta Company Episode: Apple, Spotify Evolution Company Episode: Apple, Spotify A written update on Meta's 1Q24 results can be found here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:06) Evolution Business Update (16:06) Meta Business Update (48:37) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 40Article. Meta Business Update 1Q24
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is a business update on Meta. Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/meta-1q24-business-update Purchase our Meta Research Report here. Become a full Speedwell Member and gain access to the updated reverse DCF and Meta Report here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:04) –Memo Reading Starts (17:17) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 39Dialogue. RH Business Update
On this episode we talk about RH and provide an update with their business. Check out our full company episode on RH if you haven't already! (Links below) RH Company Episode: Apple, Spotify A Written Update on RH from 1H23 can be found here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:01) Announcement (2:05) RH Business Update (30:44) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 38Article. WeChat, Meituan, and Grab: What is a SuperApp and Why You Will Fail Building One
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is "The Investment Matching Principle: How the Risk/ Return Profile Connects to Diversification" Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/wechat-meituan-and-grab-superapp -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:07) –Memo Reading Starts (14:43) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 37Dialogue. The Shein Model vs Zara, and Home Depot's Valuation circa 1999
On this episode we talk about two Speedwell Memos. The first memo is titled "Priced to Outperform Perfection: The Home Depot Circa 1999" and covers how to think about valuation and what is priced into a stock. The second memo is If the Model Doesn't Work, Don't Fix It: A Look at Traditional Apparel Retailers, Zara, and Shein and covers the business operations of three different retail models. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (0:45) First Memo on What was Priced into Home Depot's Valuation circa 1999 (22:07) Second Memo on Traditional Retailers, Zara, and Shein -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 36Article. Evolution Business History
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is an exceprt from our Evolution Research Report. Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/evolution-business-history Become a Speedwell Member or Purchase the Evolution Single Report Here -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:18) –Memo Reading Starts (13:40) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 35Article. The Investment Matching Principle: How the Risk/ Return Profile Connects to Diversification
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is "The Investment Matching Principle: How the Risk/ Return Profile Connects to Diversification" Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/the-investment-matching-principle -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:07) –Memo Reading Starts (13:05) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 34Company. Coupang: Building the Leading South Korean Ecommerce Business from the Ashes of Mediocrity
In this company episode on Coupang, Speedwell Research draws on their extensive research report to cover everything from Founder Bom Kim's early foray into commerce with a Groupon-like business to an epic restructuring of the company just weeks away from IPOing that left them on the path to become the leading South Korean ecommerce business. Learn about how the South Korean competitve enviroment developed differently, as well as how Coupang managed to dominant after a capital-intensive pivot. We hope you enjoy! Company Description: Dominant South Korean ecommerce provider with fully integrated logistics operation. Purchase the full Coupang Report here. More details on our Coupang Report here. Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to all Reports here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes Section 1: History and Background (0:00) Intro (1:55) Coupang Business Overview (2:56) Start History (6:13) Groupon Business Model, Differing Value Props (17:10) Pulling the IPO and Pivoting (30:32) - Second Attempt at an IPO *~* Section 2: TAM and Competition (31:44) TAM and Korean Retail Market Overview (39:13) Market Share and GMV Estimates (42:52) Competition, Consumer Preferences Served (47:47) Flywheel (56:37) Coupang Fresh Grocery (59:30) Spend per Buyer (1:01:18) Competitive Enviroment, Naver *~* Section 3: International and Other Bets (1:27:17) Other Bets (1:28:31) Coupang Play (1:31:56) Coupang Eats (1:39:10) Coupang Pay (1:42:25) International, Japan, Taiwan (1:48:42) Farfetch *~* Section 4: Financials, Valuation, Risks (1:53:04) Financial Metrics (2:00:00) Coupang Steady State Margins (2:04:03) Reverse DCF (2:06:20) Bear Case, Bull Case, Risks (2:13:58) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase the full Coupang Report here. More details on our Coupang Report here. Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to all Reports here. Articles Mentioned Speedwell's Memo: Metaphor Malware: The Clumsy Thinking That Is Crippling Your Business Understanding *~* Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a position in Coupang. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in Coupang. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 33Article. Balancing Risk and Return: The Simple Statistics of Investing
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is "Balancing Risk and Return: The Simple Statistics of Investing" Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/balancing-risk-and-return-the-simple -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:33) –Memo Reading Starts (9:23) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 32Article. Metaphor Malware: The Clumsy Thinking that is Crippling your Business Understanding
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is "Metaphor Malware: The Clumsy Thinking that is Crippling your Business Understanding" Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/metaphor-malware-the-clumsy-thinking -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:05) –Memo Reading Starts (10:00) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 31Dialogue. What is the Cost of Equity?
On this episode we talk about a memo of ours on what the cost of equity is, and how investors can practicially contextualize the question. The memo we draw on in this episode is called "How Pies, Proofs, and Punch Cards Hold Key Insights into the Cost of Equity" and can be found here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (0:45) How Much Money Should I Make for Risking my Capital? (1:32) The Munchausen Trilemma (3:48) Relative vs Absolute Investors (11:38) How "Absolute Investor" is a Misnomer (15:25) The Punch Card Idea and How it Relates to the Cost of Equity (26:24) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 30Article. If the Model Doesn't Work, Don't Fix It: A Look at Traditional Apparel Retailers, Zara, and Shein
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks memo is "If the Model Doesn't Work, Don't Fix It: A Look at Traditonal Apparel Retailers, Zara, and Shein" Memo Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/if-the-model-doesnt-work-dont-fix -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:05) –Memo Reading Starts (12:43) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 29Article. Constellation Software Business History
In this episode of The Synopsis we read an excerpt from our Constellation Software research report, covering their Business History. If you prefer to read instead of listening to this article, you can find access to it below. Article Link: Speedwell Memos - Constellation Software Business History -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:13) – Article Reading Starts (9:25) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Constellation Research Report Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to all of Speedwell's Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Speedwell's free newsletter can be found here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a position in Constellation Software. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in Constellation Software. This may change without notice.Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 28Company. Constellation Software: The Business of Buying Software Businesses
In this company episode on Constellation Software, Speedwell Research draws on their extensive research report to cover everything from Mark Leonard's early insight into the quality of Vertical Market Software Businesses to their unique operating structure. Investors can learn not only about the software business, but also about how Constellation Software has created a conglomerate of hundreds of companies through an impressive multi-decade acquistion spree, all while keeping capital allocation discipline. We hope you enjoy! Company Description: A decentralized and acquisitive conglomerate of Vertical Market Software Companies based out of Canada. Purchase the full Constellation Software Report here. Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to all Reports here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes Section 1: History and Background (0:00) Intro (0:58) Constellation Software High-Level Business Description (5:01) Mark Leonard History and Constellation Software Background (10:31) Constellation Software IPO *~* Section 2: Vertical Market Software (13:25) What is VMS and Competitive Advantages (20:37) Financial Model Benefits *~* Section 3: Corporate Structure and Revenue Segments (23:32) Six Groups (33:54) Revenue Segments and Context (38:41) How SaaS Changes Things (44:29) Constellation Software Competitive Advantages *~* Section 4: Topicus and Lumine (52:05) Topicus (1:06:46) Lumine *~* Section 5: Capital Allocation, Valuation & Risks. (1:08:37) Capital Deployment and Hurdle Rates (1:17:29) ROIC (1:20:00) Risks (1:23:06) Bull/ Bear Case -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase the full Constellation Software Report here. Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to all Reports here. Articles Mentioned Speedwell's Memo: From Private to Public Markets: The Detrimental Impact of Investors' Expectations *~* Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a position in Constellation Software. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in Constellation Software. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 27Article. If You Don't Know What Game You're Playing, You Already Lost
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is If You Don't Know What Game You're Playing, You Already Lost Article Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/if-you-dont-know-what-game-youre -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:17) –Memo Reading Starts (13:14) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 26Dialogue. When Investors Drive the Narrative
On this episode we talk about a recent memo on how investors can influence businesses and what is difference between being a public versus private company. The memo we draw on is called "From Private to Public Markets: The Detrimental Impact of Investors' Expectations" and can be found here. We recently found out we have a *duplicate Spotify feed* and will be *removing* it this week. Please follow this correct Spotify feed just called "The Synopsis" to keep getting our content! -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:21) Two Extremes of Investing (6:49) Reflexivity, Difference Between Analyst and Operator (19:36) Risk Embedded in Assumptions were Too High, Illustration (23:57) The Role of Narrative (28:24) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 25Article. From Public to Private Markets: The Detrimental Impact of Investors' Expectations
*Important* If you listen on Spotify, make sure you follow us on this Spotify feed. We just became aware there was a duplicate feed, which we are disconnecting next week. In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is From Public to Private Markets: The Detrimental Impact of Investors' Expectations Article Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/from-private-to-public-markets-the -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:20) –Memo Reading Starts (20:52) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 24Interview. Mostly Borrowed Ideas on Google, Meta, and Investment Decision Quality
On our very first interview we talk with Mostly Borrowed Ideas in a wide spanning interview on Meta, Google, Microsoft, and investment decision quality. Mostly Borrowed Ideas writes a deep-dive on a publically traded company every month. You can find more out about him and his writings here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (2:37) Meta, Risks, Tiktok, ATT, Metaverse (26:22) Google, Sundar Pichai, Capital Allocation (33:52) Google Risks (46:59) What is a Great Business? (59:19) Owners versus Managers (1:08:45) Investment Process Improved through Writing (1:18:57) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Find out more about MBI at https://www.mbi-deepdives.com Buy Speedwell Meta Single Research Report Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Mentioned Links Speedwell's Memo on Wish *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 23Dialogue. Meta, Etsy, and Snowballing Risk
On this episode we talk about how investment risks could impact an investment thesis through the lens of Etsy and Meta. We provide a short "timeless" update on both companies as well. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Important Announcement (0:41) Intro (3:33) Etsy Value Prop, Issues, and Temu Read-through (16:41) Meta Risks and The One Thing Investors Needed To Be Sure Of (26:33) How to Gain Clarity with Meta Circa 2022 (34:20) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Buy Meta Single Research Report Buy Etsy Single Research Report Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more! Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *-*-*- Mentioned Links The Synopsis Meta Company Podcast (Apple, Spotify) The Synopsis Etsy Company Podcast (Apple, Spotify) *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discusessed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 22Article. Etsy Business History
In this episode of The Synopsis we read an excerpt from our 79 page Etsy Report, covering Etsy's Business History. If you prefer to read instead of listening to this article, you can find access to it below. Article Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/etsy-business-history -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Important Announcement (0:45) – Intro (1:36) – Article Reading Starts (30:31) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Etsy Research Report Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to all of Speedwell's Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Speedwell's free newsletter can be found here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 21Dialogue. A New Mental Model: The Piton Network
Charlie Munger talks about the Latticework of Mental Models and how having exposure to many different disciplines helps gain insight into problems. Key to connecting different disciplines though, is the metaphor. This week, on The Synopsis, we talk about our two Piton Network business philosophy pieces. The Piton Network is our attempt to create a metaphor that furthers investors and analysts understanding of business and strategy. Our first memo is The Piton Network: Decisions that Simultaneously Support and Limit the Future Decision Space. You can read it here. Our second memo is Meta-Optimizations: Knowing When a Business is Operating from Strength or Weakness. You can read it here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:00) What is a Piton (4:21) Decision Clusters, Southwest (11:03) Floor & Decor, Copy Cats, Lowes (17:53) Amazon vs Wal-Mart delivery (20:22) Jim McKelvey's Innovation Stack, Square vs Amazon (24:37) Pulling Out Pitons, Netflix (32:28) Ford vs Tesla, Complexity, Piton Network vs Value Network (43:35) Value of Metaphor -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to all of our in-depth research reports: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter: https://www.speedwellmemos.com Mentioned Links: Speedwell's First Consumer Hierarchy of Preferences Memo Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 20Article. Meta-Optimizations: Knowing When a Business is Operating from Strength or Weakness
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is Meta-Optimizations: Knowing When a Business is Operating From Strength or Weakness Article Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/meta-optimizations-knowing-when-a *Please note that this memo builds off a concept introduced early in The Piton Network: Decisions that Simultaneously Support and Limit the Future Decision Space. If you want to listen to this memo first, click here for Apple and here for Spotify links. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:21) –Memo Reading Starts (29:58) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more. Speedwell Research's main website can be found here. Find Speedwell's free newsletter here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 19Dialogue. Lessons We Can't Draw From Wish
This week on The Synopsis, we talk about a recent memo, "The Future of Ecommerce That Wasn't: An In-depth Look into What Went Wrong with Wish". In this conversation we talk about Wish and what lessons we cannot draw from their lack of success. We also talk about our LTV and financial analaysis, as well as what Wish's value prop was compared to other competitors. You can read the Full Memo here. You can become a full Speedwell Research Member here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:11) Memo background (4:09) Wish Pitch and Value Prop (9:12) Putting Business Failure into Proper Context (16:10) Growth vs Maintenece Marketing (25:14) LTV Analysis and Buyer Churn (30:42) What Happened to Wish (32:26) Main Lessons (37:36) Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to all of our in-depth research reports: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter: https://www.speedwellmemos.com Mentioned Links: Chinese Ecommerce GMV Accounting Piece: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/accounting-insights-alibaba-jd-and Interview with Peter Szulczewski: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s1LzKGJ0bNU Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 18Article. The Future of Ecommerce That Wasn't: An In-depth Look into What Went Wrong with Wish
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. There are several charts and excels in this memo that may be helpful to look at for more comprehensive understanding. This weeks article is The Future of Ecommerce That Wasn't: An In-depth Look into What Went Wrong with Wish Article Link: https://www.speedwellmemos.com/p/the-future-of-ecommerce-that-wasnt -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (1:04) - Housekeeping/ Upcoming (1:38) –Memo Reading Starts (29:46) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 17Company. Evolution: Bringing the Casino Online
In this podcast on Evolution, Speedwell Research draws on their 74-page report to cover everything from the company's inception experimenting with a single roulette wheel to a global business with 60%+ margins. Studying this extremely unique business will teach listeners about the importance of value chain positioning, using negotiating leverage, and how to maintain a very lucrative business in a highly competitive industry. Everyone says the house aways wins, but not in the online casino world where it is the supplier, and Evolution is the largest supplier. We hope you enjoy! Company Description: B2B supplier in the online casino space specializing in the live casino vertical. Purchase the full Evolution Report here. Purchase a Speedwell Membership to gain access to all Reports here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes Section 1: History and Background (0:00) Intro (2:20) Evolution High-Level Business Description (5:01) Evolution History and Background *~* Section 2: TAM and Market Differences (35:32) TAM Overview (40:05) Grey and Black Markets (44:38) Aggregators (53:35) North America Regulation *~* Section 3: Business Model (1:00:59) How they Make Money (1:05:07) How Evolution Differentiates *~* Section 4: Competition (1:17:55) Competition Overview (1:22:33) Playtech (1:31:42) Vertical Integration (1:39:10) Pragmatic *~* Section 5: Capital Allocation, Valuation & Risks. (1:47:30) Capital Allocation and ROIC (1:51:35) Acquisitions and Slot Business (1:59:37) Risks (2:04:47) Valuation (2:06:39) Bull/ Bear Case -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Speedwell's EVO Report here: https://speedwellresearch.com/2023/12/19/evolution/ Become a full Speedwell Research Member here: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Articles Mentioned Speedwell's Memo Introducing the Piton Idea: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/the-piton-network-decisions-that Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a position in Evolution. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in Evolution. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 16Article. Ten Lessons from Copart's 40 Years in Business: Learning from Willis Johnson and Jay Adair
In this episode of The Synopsis we read a Speedwell Research memo from our backlog. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is 10 Lessons from Copart's 40 Years in Business: Learning from Willis Johnson and Jay Adair Article Link: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/10-lessons-from-coparts-40-years -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (0:55) – Memo Reading Starts (20:30) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Speedwell's Copart Report Here: https://speedwellresearch.com/2023/05/22/copart-deep-dive/ Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 15Dialogue. Threats to Google's Search Dominance
This week on The Synopsis, we talk about a recent memo, "Google Shut the Door on Competition, AI Swung it Back Open". We cover some old threats to Google's Search dominance and how AI catalyzes them. This show is in our Dialogue format, which you can expect more of in the coming future. We hope you enjoy! You can read the Full Memo Here. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (0:51) Memo background (3:10) Product Encroachment (9:12) Two Way Google Historically Competed (11:05) Form Function Changes (15:03) AI Threats and How AI is Changing Things (16:42) Facebook's Platform Shift (24:40) AI risks to Sponsored Link Business (28:06) Todd Combs, Charlie Munger, What Can Investors Assume? -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Buy Speedwell Research's Meta Report: https://speedwellresearch.com/2023/01/17/meta-platforms-deep-dive/ Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to all of our research reports: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of this writing, one or more contributers to the podcast has a position in Google. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in Google. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 14Article. Google Shut the Door on Competition, AI Swung it Back Open
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is Google Shut the Door on Competition, AI Swung it Back Open Article Link: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/google-shut-the-door-on-competition -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (0:44) - Housekeeping/ Upcoming (1:51) –Memo Reading Starts (28:16) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer At the time of this writing, one or more contributors to this report has a position in Google. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in Google. This may change without notice. Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 13Article. Priced to Outperform Perfection: The Home Depot Circa 1999
In this episode of The Synopsis we read a Speedwell Research memo from our backlog. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is Priced to Outperform Perfection: The Home Depot Circa 1999 Article Link: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/priced-to-outperform-perfection-the -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (0:45) – Housekeeping (1:33) – Memo Reading Starts (14:40) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 12Article. The Risk Circle: Deciding What Risks Matter and When
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is The Risk Circle: Deciding What Risks Matter and When Article Link: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/the-risk-circle-deciding-what-risks -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (0:47) –Memo Reading Starts (14:55) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 11Article. How Pies, Proofs, and Punch Cards Hold Key Insights into the Cost of Equity
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is How Pies, Proofs, and Punch Cards Hold Key Insights into the Cost of Equity Article Link: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/how-pies-proofs-and-punch-cards-hold -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (0:46) –Memo Reading Starts (19:56) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 10Article. Understanding Modularity: How Apple, Bloomberg, and Amazon Kept Strategic Coherency
In this episode of The Synopsis we read our weekly Speedwell Research memo. If you prefer to read instead of listen to the memo, you can find access to the article below. This weeks article is Understanding Modularity: How Apple, Bloomberg, and Amazon Kept Strategic Coherency Article Link: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/understanding-modularity-how-apple -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (0:49) –Memo Reading Starts (16:56) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 9Company. Floor & Decor: The Costco of Flooring
In this podcast on Floor & Decor, Speedwell Research covers everything from its founding as a single store in Atlanta, Georgia to becoming the leading hard surface flooring specialty chain retailer. We draw on Speedwell Research's 57 page research report to teach not just about the flooring industry and Floor & Decor's interlocking business model, but also about competitive dynamics and how to think about store level unit economics. We hope you enjoy! (Please note that for the first few minutes of the recording, occasionally the sound quality declines. It improves thereafter.) -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:51) Background (4:48) CEO Tom Taylor (6:21) Industry (15:26) Floor & Decor Model (24:33) TAM Breakdown and Commercial Business (28:35) Pro Business (33:15) Competitive Landscape and Main Competition (59:10) Four Wall Store Model, Mature Margins (1:11:49) Long-Term Store Target (1:24:45) What Can Go Wrong, Risks -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Speedwell's FND Report here: https://speedwellresearch.com/2022/11/08/floor-decor-deep-dive/ Become a full Speedwell Research Member here: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Articles Mentioned Speedwell's Memo Introducing the Piton Idea: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/the-piton-network-decisions-that Speedwell's Memo on Home Depot's Valuation in 1999: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/priced-to-outperform-perfection-the Floor & Decor 2022 Earnings Recap: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/floor-and-decor-2022-earnings-recap Floor & Decor 2H23 Earnings Recap: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/floor-and-decor-2q2023 Business Breakdowns Floor & Decor Podcast: https://www.joincolossus.com/episodes/29086328/cohen-floor-decor-raising-the-floor?tab=transcript Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a position in FND. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in FND. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 8Article. Walker & Dunlop Business History
In this episode of The Synopsis we read an excerpt from our 63 page Walker & Dunlop Report. If you prefer to read instead of listening to this article, you can find access to it below. This weeks article is from the business history section of our Walker & Dunlop report. Article Link: https://open.substack.com/pub/speedwellsnippets/p/walker-and-dunlop-business-history?r=3jwcb&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcome=true -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (2:02) –Article Reading Starts (21:55) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Purchase Walker & Dunlop Single Report: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 7Article. The Piton Network: Decisions that Simultaneously Support and Limit the Future Decision Space
In this episode of The Synopsis we introduce a new episode format called, "Articles". As the name suggests, this episode will be a reading of a memo written by Speedwell Research. If you prefer to read instead of listening to the memos, you can find access to the article below. On this first Articles episode, we are reading our business philosophy piece introducing the concept of the Piton and the Piton Network. This weeks article is The Piton Network: Decisions that Simultaneously Support and Limit the Future Decision Space. Article Link: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/the-piton-network-decisions-that -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) – Intro (0:47) –Memo Reading Starts (18:30) – Closing Comments -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Gain access to Speedwell's Extensive Research Reports, Models, Company Updates, and more by purchasing a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 6Company. Dream Finders Homes: A Better Business Model for the Homebuilding Industry
In this episode of The Synopsis we cover capital-light homebuilder, Dream Finders Homes. We dovetail into the homebuilding industry, the macro supply/ demand environment, as well as detail Dream Finders Homes business model and how it differs from peer NVR. This podcast is informed by Speedwell Research's new short format reports, called "Exploratory Reports". We released the first Exploratory Report on Dream Finders Homes for free (link below). Dream Finders Homes Report Link: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/dream-finders-home-exploratory-report -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) - Intro, What is an Exploratory Research Piece? (2:37) - Macro Backdrop, Housing Supply/ Demand Factors (10:51) - Homebuilding as a Business (13:57) - Dream Finders Homes History and Background (19:17) - ROIC, Financial Performance, (22:36) - Capital-light Model vs Traditional (27:14) - Original Capital-light Homebuilder, NVR and how NVR differs from DFH (34:08) - Competitive Factors, How do Homebuilders Differentiate? (37:18) - Risks and Concerns (42:36) - Closing Thoughts (44:33) - Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Piece Introducing the The Value Capture Index: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/the-consumers-hierarchy-of-preferences-dc6 Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Purchase a Speedwell Membership: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, no contributors to the podcast had a position in DFH. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on did not have a position in DFH. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 5Company. Etsy: Building an Internet Marketplace in the Shadows of eBay and Amazon
In this episode of The Synopsis, we cover everything from Etsy's founding history and early strategic errors to how Josh Silverman quickly reaccelerated growth and improved profitability after several years of sagging performance. We dovetail into what makes the platform unique and how Etsy has been able to succeed where both eBay and Amazon failed. We draw on Speedwell's 79 page report to teach not just about Etsy, but also help investors learn about how great CEOs run a business. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (0:54) Founding History (3:01) Where the Name "Etsy" Comes From (6:45) Issues with Founder Robert Kalin (10:45) New CEO, The Chad Dickerson Era (14:02) Foolish Endeavors (19:48) Turning Around Etsy, Josh Silverman Appointed CEO (25:29) Identifying Where Etsy Can Improve, Initiatives to Improve the Buyer Experience (35:40) Etsy Advertising, A Fumble Recovered (41:16) How Etsy Makes Money (44:41) Covid Ecommerce Boom, 2021 Bull Market, Metric Distortions (51:09) Changing Buyer Behavior, Improving Frequency (59:21) International Opportunity (1:03:03) Capital Allocation, Acquisitions (1:12:07) ROIC (1:14:22) Competition, Take-Rates (1:26:56) Pre-Mortem -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Speedwell's full 79 page ETSY research report here: https://speedwellresearch.com/2023/09/28/etsy-deep-dive/ Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a position in ETSY. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in ETSY. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 4Dialogue. The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences—The Other Side of The Consumer Value Prop
This week on The Synopsis, we introduce our Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences framework in a new episode format. The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences is a helpful idea for investors and entrepreneurs to better understand the market, their products, and competitors' offerings. You can check out our original writing introducing the idea here. This show is the first of our "Dialogue" format, which will be episodes focused on business frameworks or other investing ideas. We will return with a Deep Dive on a specific company next time. We hope you enjoy! -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro, New Show Concept (1:37) Explaining the Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences (7:26) Product Market Fit Through a Different Lens, Where the Jobs Framework Fits In (11:34) Chipotle versus Taco Bell Example (14:38) Etsy's Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences (16:43) Cash Flow Durability, Consumer Surplus as Churn Mitigation (21:23) Brands, See's Candy, Fulfilling Psychological Needs (24:51) Real World Applications of the Framework, Chipotle Again, Retail Apparel Companies (29:17) More Examples, Amazon, Fine Dishware, Temu, Shein, Depop, Facebook Marketplace (32:50) Sustainability as a Potential Preference, Tesla, Patagonia, Allbirds (36:15) Summarizing Key Aspects of the Framework and When to Implement -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to all of our research reports: https://speedwellresearch.com/subscribe/ Our first Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences Piece: https://speedwellresearch.com/2022/11/18/the-consumers-hierarchy-of-preferences-the-other-side-of-the-consumer-value-prop/ Our second Consumer's Hierarchy of Preferences Piece: https://speedwellresearch.com/2023/02/04/the-consumers-hierarchy-of-preferences-two-ends-of-the-strategy-spectrum/ Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 3Company. Copart: Building a Deep Moat Business from Junkyards and Wrecked Cars
In this podcast on Copart, Speedwell Research covers everything from Founder Willis Johnson's early business career to the industry dynamics, and how Copart became the global, salvage marketplace auction leader. Investors can learn a lot from Willis Johnson's early business intuition and movement from the lowest wrung of the salvage vehicle value chain as a liquidator to ultimately a critical service provider for insurance companies. We draw on Speedwell's 85 page report, released in May 2023, to teach not just about Copart's business, strategy, and formidable competitive advantages, but also to parse out cultural factors that distinguish truly great companies. We hope you enjoy! (Please note that about 1/3rd into the podcast, the sound quality periodically declines. It then improves towards the last 1/3rd of the podcast. We apologize for this and have identified the issue for future recordings.) -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (2:19) Willis Johnson Background History and Early Career (9:19) BTS Auctions: The Beginnings of Copart (14:12) Changing the Business Model to Align Incentives (17:57) How Jay Adair was Introduced to Copart (18:40) Copart's Early Expansion (24:09) Experimenting with Internet Auctions in the 90's (29:43) CAT Events and Copart's Ethics (38:33) Industry Overview (50:23) IAA History, IPO, Private Buyout, Merging with KAR, Spin-off, and Ritchie Bros Acquisition (1:07:26) Copart vs IAA, Competitive and Cultural Differences, Market Share (1:24:06) Financials (1:27:12) Capital Allocation, Growth Assumptions (1:30:58) ROIC and variations compared to IAA (1:34:00) International, Details on How the German Market is Different, Barriers to International Growth (1:45:27) Other Business Initiatives (1:51:22) Growth Expectations and the Reverse DCF (1:53:40) Risks, Autonomous Vehicles -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Speedwell's full ~22,000 word CPRT report here: https://speedwellresearch.com/2023/05/22/copart-deep-dive/ Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a position in CPRT. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in CPRT. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 2Company. RH: From Near Bankruptcy to Multi-Billion Dollar Luxury Retailer
In this podcast on RH, Speedwell Research covers everything from Restoration Hardware's beginnings as just a catalog in a personal living room to massive multi-story Galleries with restaurants that generate >$10mn. Investors can learn much from the early business failings, as well as the incredible turnaround and business transformation Gary Friedman led. We draw on Speedwell's 86 page research report, released in March 2023, to teach you not just about RH, but also about novel customer acquisition strategies, the dangers of promotions, how to build a coherent consumer value prop, and show how changing a business's strategy requires reworking every element of the company. Enjoy! -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (1:31) Early Founding History, Novel Customer Acquisition Strategy (5:48) First IPO in 1998 (8:23) Restoration Hardware Model Starts to Break (9:29) Gary Friedman Background and Takeover of Restoration Hardware (14:43) Initial Business Changes Friedman Makes (18:32) Second IPO in 2012, Starting to Envision a Luxury Retailer (24:27) Ascent of Luxury Mountain, The Mega Gallery Strategy (26:43) Solving a Key Business Shortcoming, The King Midas Problem, What Meituan has in Common with RH (32:26) Source Book Strategy and When Mailing a 540 Page Catalog Makes Sense (35:12) Growing Pain Period, Reworking Key Elements of the Business (45:13) RH Membership and the Problems with Promotions (52:07) What Job RH Does, The Consumer's Hierarchy of Preference (54:35) The Value Capture Index and How to Assess Retailer's Pricing Strategies, Competition, Disadvantages of Ecommerce (1:06:03) ROIC and Margins, Reverse DCF, Revenue Build (1:14:50) RH Brand Extensions, Private Jets and Yacht, Guesthouse (1:20:45) Acquisitions, Waterworks, Apple vs LVMH Model (1:26:05) What Could the Business Look Like in 10 Years? (1:27:46) Pre-Mortem -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Speedwell's full ~21,000 word RH report here: https://speedwellresearch.com/2023/03/22/rh-deep-dive/ Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ Free Piece on The Value Capture Index: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/the-consumers-hierarchy-of-preferences-dc6 More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a position in RH. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in RH. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
Ep 1Company. Meta Platforms: From Dorm Room to Global Dominance
In this inaugural podcast, Speedwell Research goes into details on their ~170 page, January 2023 report on Meta Platforms ($META). We cover a list of questions including 1) how resilient are social networks and why did Friendster and MySpace disapear? 2) how does ad tech work and did Apple's policies permanently impair Meta? 3) what "job" does Facebook and Instagram do? 4) is the metaverse a dealbreaker for investors? 5) and much more. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) Intro (3:09) History: Six Degrees, Friendster, MySpace, and early Facebook (28:32) Jobs to Be Done: What consumer needs does Facebook serve and the degradation of the network (44:57) Meta's ability to spin up new apps, failed apps, Threads, how sticky are network effects, Tencent's QQ (59:04) Monetization formula, advertising history, and primer on the digital ad ecosystem (1:19:25) Apple Privacy Changes, ATT, IDFA, Return on Ad Spend, auction dynamics (1:38:48) Can Meta recover from their data loss? Inverting the question with the reverse DCF to see implied growth. (1:43:47) WhatsApp, IRR Math (1:47:23) Metaverse Spend, Financial Returns, Strategy (1:53:36) Year of Efficiency -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Purchase Speedwell's full ~47,000 word Meta report here: https://speedwellresearch.com/2023/01/17/meta-platforms-deep-dive/ Speedwell's free newsletter: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/ More on Speedwell: https://speedwellsnippets.substack.com/p/speedwell-research-process-and-philosophy Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at [email protected] for any questions, comments, or feedback -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. At the time of publishing, one or more contributors to the podcast had a postion in Meta. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in Meta. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/