384 | Peter Turchin: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path to Political Disintegration
Peter Turchin, author of End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, joins The Realignment. Peter and Marshall discuss his 2010 prediction that the U.S. would experience significant political turmoil in 2020, the factors that drove 2010-2020s political conflict, why the elite-overproduction phenomenon is one of the strongest determinants of societal health, and the historical precedents of nations remaining unified in the face of the above challenges.
The Realignment · Peter Turchin, Marshall Kosloff
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Show Notes
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Peter's 2010 Nature Article: https://www.nature.com/articles/463608a
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Foundation for American Innovation: https://www.thefai.org/posts/lincoln-becomes-fai
Peter Turchin, author of End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, joins The Realignment. Peter and Marshall discuss his 2010 prediction that the U.S. would experience significant political turmoil in 2020, the factors that drove 2010-2020s political conflict, why the elite-overproduction phenomenon is one of the strongest determinants of societal health, and the historical precedents of nations remaining unified in the face of the above challenges.