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Is Trump’s Venezuela operation a ‘gift to Putin,’ and what is the state of Russia’s ‘shadow fleet’?

Is Trump’s Venezuela operation a ‘gift to Putin,’ and what is the state of Russia’s ‘shadow fleet’?

Meduza speaks with political scientist Seva Gunitsky and Russian oil industry expert Craig Kennedy about what the U.S. capture of Venezuela’s president means for Vladimir Putin and his war machine.

The Naked Pravda · Медуза / Meduza

January 9, 202645m 24s

Show Notes

At first glance, the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro might look like an obvious disaster for Vladimir Putin. Russia has lost a key partner, and the prospect of Venezuelan oil flooding the market could depress prices even more, further constraining the Kremlin’s ability to fund its war against Ukraine. Then there’s the embarrassing contrast between the U.S. operation in Caracas, which was over in hours, and Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, which is now entering its fifth year. But the reality might be more complicated. To better understand what Trump’s Venezuela operation could mean for Moscow, Meduza spoke with political scientist Seva Gunitsky and Russian oil-industry expert Craig Kennedy.

Timestamps for this episode:

  • (2:17) Why Maduro’s ouster could be good for Putin
  • (16:00) A turning point for the global order
  • (24:36) The sorry state of the Russian oil market
  • (35:58) Washington’s seizure of a Russian-flagged ship

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Topics

meduzaновостимедузаполитикаukraineoilvenezuelamaduroousterputinmoscowshadow fleet