Joe Davis: How to Capitalize on ‘Megatrends’
Vanguard’s global chief economist handicaps the odds of recession and higher inflation and discusses how investors can thrive in an era of AI, aging populations, and a rising US deficit.
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Show Notes
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Our guest on the podcast today is Joe Davis, global chief economist at Vanguard and global head of the firm’s Investment Strategy Group. He chairs the firm’s Strategic Asset Allocation Committee, which governs multi-asset class investment solutions. And he is a member of the senior portfolio management team of Vanguard’s Fixed Income Group. Joe is the author of a new book called Coming Into View: How AI and Other Megatrends Will Shape Your Investments. Joe earned his B.A. from St. Joseph’s University and his master’s and Ph.D. in economics at Duke University.
Background
Coming Into View: How AI and Other Megatrends Will Shape Your Investments
Tariffs and Treasury Bonds
“Tariffs and Market Volatility: Perspectives for Investors,” by Joe Davis, vanguard.com, April 7, 2025.
“Vanguard Warns of 9% Treasury Bond Yields if Deficits Keep Ballooning,” by Sam Bourgi, investorsobserver.com, June 17, 2025.
“US Equity Outperformance,” video commentary by Joe Davis, vanguard.com, Feb. 4, 2025.
Artificial Intelligence and Megatrends
“America Needs an AI Boom to Grow Out of Our Debt Problem. There Is No Guarantee,” by Joe Davis, barrons.com, May 23, 2025.
“AI’s Impact on Productivity and the Workforce,” by Joe Davis, vanguard.com, March 4, 2025.
“Active Investing? Don’t Overlook Value in the Age of AI,” by Joe Davis, vanguard.com, Feb. 20, 2025.
“Megatrends and the US Economy, 1890-2040,” by Joe Davis, Lukas Brandl-Cheng, and Kevin Khang, papers.ssrn.com, June 10, 2024.
Other
“Joe Davis: ‘We Will See China-Like Growth for a Time in the United States,’” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, April 14, 2021.
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