#259 Hedge Fund Telemetry's Thomas Thornton On The Biggest Macro Risk That Could Trigger Panic Buttons
The Julia La Roche Show · Julia La Roche
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Show Notes
Tommy Thornton, founder and president of Hedge Fund Telemetry, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss the volatile market conditions of 2025 . He examines bond market risks, highlighting concerns about rising treasury yields and potential systemic impacts if rates break key levels. Thornton analyzes tariffs, the Fed, tax cuts, the national debt, and the probability of a recession.
Sponsors:
Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia
Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/julia
Links:
https://www.hedgefundtelemetry.com/
https://www.x.com/tommythornton
Timestamps:
0:00 - Introduction and welcome
1:44 - Market volatility conditions in 2025
3:51 - Comparing Trump 1.0 vs 2.0 economic challenges
6:16 - Bond market risks and treasury yields
8:40 - Tariffs impact on retailers and consumers
10:46 - Federal Reserve's stance and labor market focus
14:54 - Potential spillover effects from bond to equity markets
18:22 - Technical analysis deep dive with charts
24:53 - Overbought market conditions indicators
27:40 - Wave analysis and market pattern predictions
35:26 - Gold market analysis and trading approach
43:34 - Recession outlook and economic projections
46:31 - Stagflation risks and Fed response
49:07 - Tax cut challenges in current deficit environment
54:55 - Closing thoughts and investment advice