The HC Commodities Podcast

In Episode 300, we take two metals - copper and gold - and compare and contrast their price journey. How does the physical supply and demand story compare to the investor narrative that drove prices to an all-time high? And how has the conflict in Iran test or confirm that narrative. In other words, to coin a term, have we seen the “goldification”of copper and other metals? Our guest is Grant Sporre, a senior commodities and equities analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. He has had a long career in commodities, both on the sell-side for banks, as well as in operational roles in mining. This is part one. Part two will be recorded live in Geneva on April 22nd for an HC Commodities podcast live event hosted by Bloomberg Intelligence. This is our 300 episodes of the HC Commodities Podcast. Six years of weekly shows undertaking deep dives into the trends and topics with the commodities trading sector. A huge thanks to all of our guests and supporters who have helped us on the journey. Fina Charleson, our tireless editor and the HC Marketing team and, of course, all our over half a million unique listeners that have listened along the way. And we have a new logo to carry us for the next 300. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global

As the Iran War entered its fourth week, Houston hosted S&P Global's CERA Week. Where leaders from across the energy & natural resources sector mingle with policy wonks and senior government officials from around the world. This CERA Week was as noticeable for its last minute absences, doom-scrolling, braves faces and some swagger both from big oil and big clean tech. Nick Kumbleben of Greenmantle gives us his take on the vibe and key discussion points. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global

500 years ago another group of commodities flowed through the Strait of Hormuz, making those that controlled that vital trade route fabulously wealthy. Those commodities were the spices: nutmeg and cloves. Grown only in two tiny islands in modern day Indonesia and the Philippines, they were worth their weight in gold. Then in 1512 the Portuguese upended that global trade and in so doing created the modern world and the blueprint for how commodity traders operate today (minus the cannons). Joining us is award winning historian Roger Crowley to discuss his latest book: Spice: The 16th-Century Contest that Shaped the Modern World. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global

We have moved beyond the duration discussion. The damage has been done and the oil markets will not return to the ante-bellum state any time soon if ever. What happens when financial markets - both for oil and more broadly catch up to the physical reality? Molecule Contagion as our guest for this special episode Jeff Currie of Carlyle puts in. The revenge of the old economy just got teeth and the ramifications are being discounted at best and denied at worst. What are the longer term impacts of the events in the Gulf. Accelerating decoupling, de-dollarization and a shot in the arm for the energy transition. The only safety....HALO stocks. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global

With the Strait of Hormuz virtually closed, what does that mean for the regions biggest customer - Asia? Tom Reed, VP of Crude and Products at Argus Media joins us to provide a detailed examination on the impact of Israel and the US's joint attack on Iran on crude and product flows from the region. What were the flows prior to the attack? What has it meant for traders, contracts and customers? Is China tapping its Strategic Petroleum Reserve? And will Asian countries start to ban the export of fuels? For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global

Returning today to discuss the latest developments from Israel & US's war with Iran is Nick Kumleben, Director at Greenmantle, the geopolitical risk advisory firm. What are the commodities markets telling us about duration? What are the incentive structures in place? How are traders faring in this period of extraordinary volatility? Is the US Treasury trading and how rumor and innuendo are driving that volatility? What would mines in the strait mean? Would boots on the ground actually lower prices? Why are the equity markets so sanguine? could this, plus a smoldering private credit fund concern, lead us quickly to the global financial crisis? For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global