Ep 37 - Frank Gelber | How to understand the most cyclical property market in the world
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate · Chris Bates
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Show Notes
Frank Gelber describes himself as a property forecaster with a long memory. In this interview we are all treated to a masterclass in property cycles from an expert with an impressive pedigree. Frank is a director of BIS Oxford economics and he takes us on a whirlwind tour of the entire Australian property market and explains how interconnected it all is. Here’s what you’ll learn:
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How buyers can navigate property cycles safely.
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Options for different players in the property market - developers, short term investors, renovators, long term investors, owner occupiers.
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What it takes to set off a boom and how long it takes to absorb the excess capacity created during that boom.
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Which commercial market is about to have an “almighty boom”.
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In a low growth market should you chase yield?
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The structural changes in the economy and the knock on effect in our housing.
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Why removing negative gearing will result in increased rents.
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The domino effect of a low Aussie dollar, increases in tourism, jobs and population growth.
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Why corporates haven’t got into residential property investment.
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Build to rent, is it a good idea and can it work in Australia?
Links:
Veronica’s case study on two properties in a falling market: https://gooddeeds.com.au/property-selection/not-all-sydney-property-prices-fall/ Frank’s website: https://www.bisoxfordeconomics.com.au/
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