#552: How Bitcoin Could Predict The Next Global Conflict with James Pierog

<p>Marty sits down with James Pierog to discuss Bitcoin Prediction Market.</p> <p>James on Twitter: https://x.com/BillyHongBeats</p> <p>Bitcoin Prediction Market: https://www.bitcoinprediction.info/</p> <p>0:00 - Intro</p> <p>1:38 - Arriving at Bitcoin Prediction Market</p> <p>12:03 - Comparing to Polymarket and crypto model</p> <p>16:37 - Unchained & Coinkite</p> <p>18:31 - Prediction algorithm</p> <p>21:30 - Predicting and potentially preventing conflicts</p> <p>30:41 - BOLT12, ecash and DLCs</p> <p>37:28 - Zaprite and SOTE</p> <p>39:01 - BPM vs Polymarket UX simplicity</p> <p>44::36 - Oracle problem and centralization</p> <p>49:13 - Trust and debt</p> <p>57:06 - Singapore's authoritarianism unlocked bitcoin for James</p> <p>1:08:32 - Psychic powers and tools for liberation</p> <p>1:24:37 - Feather forks and ordinals</p> <p>1:31:17 - Monetizing art and industry power games</p> <p>1:38:35 - Adoption inertia and timing</p> <p>1:43:34 - Native use case and exchange theory of value</p> <p>1:47:27 - Final thoughts</p> <p>Shoutout to our sponsors:</p> <p>Unchained</p> <p>https://unchained.com/concierge/</p> <p>Coinkite</p> <p>https://coinkite.com/</p> <p>Zaprite</p> <p>https://zaprite.com/tftc</p> <p>Salt of the Earth</p> <p>https://drinksote.com/tftc</p> <p>Join the TFTC Movement:</p> <p>Main YT Channel</p> <p>https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos</p> <p>Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ</p> <p>Website</p> <p>https://tftc.io/</p> <p>Twitter</p> <p>https://twitter.com/tftc21</p> <p>Instagram</p> <p>https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/</p> <p>Nostr</p> <p>https://primal.net/tftc</p> <p>Follow Marty Bent:</p> <p>Twitter</p> <p>https://twitter.com/martybent</p> <p>Nostr</p> <p>https://primal.net/martybent</p> <p>Newsletter</p> <p>https://tftc.io/martys-bent/</p> <p>Podcast</p> <p>https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/</p>