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Tech Deciphered

Tech Deciphered

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76 – The Great Private Capital Reset

Apr 24, 202658 min

75 – The SaaS Apocalypse: Why AI Broke the Software Business Model

The SaaS multiples run was long, but it had to come to an end. Or Had it? Navigation: Intro Setting The Scene The Roots — This Didn’t Happen Overnight The Structural Thesis — Why This Isn’t Just A Sell-Off The Private Market Fallout The Bull Case — Is The Market Wrong? Separating The Wheat From The Chaff — Who Survives? Wrap-Up & Key Takeaways Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Introduction Nuno Goncalves PedroWelcome to Episode 75 of Tech DECIPHERED, the SaaS Apocalypse: Why AI Breaks or has Broken or Broke the Software Business Model. In today’s episode, we will talk about what’s been going on in SaaS. SaaS, also known as Software as a Service, as a sector, has just had its worst month since the 2008 financial crisis. Give or take, around 1 trillion in software stock market cap has evaporated this year, and it was triggered in many ways by the rise of a lot of the things we’re seeing, in particular, agentic AI. We’ll talk about it later.One of the key triggers seems to have been the launch of Claude or Claude Cowork. There’s a lot of fears that the model that is taken as SaaS to be the darling of investors, both VCs, private equity funds, and also retail investors, has now evaporated. The sweetheart industry no longer works. Bertrand, what happened to SaaS? What’s happening? Bertrand SchmittSetting The SceneWe are in the middle of what some are calling the SaaSpocalypse. I think that was a coined term early this year. It’s pretty bad. We are recording that March 13th. Definitely January, February of this year, 2026, were really terrible. There is no question about it. Strangely enough, since the start of the war with Iran, there has been a small rebound, so we will see how it goes. But also to give some context, we are still not worse than what happened in 2022. We are still in a better place so far. I would say the difference, there is clearly a focus in terms of SaaS versus tech in general for that down term. Nuno Goncalves PedroWe’ve seen obviously a lot of things happening, right? A lot of announcements. The iShares expanded Tech-Software ETF down 25% year-to-date. Everyone seems to be running into panic, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs. Basically, Jefferies, I think, as you said, originally termed this the SaaSpocalypse. But definitely, it seems like everyone’s trying to sell stock and saying, “Hey, SaaS is going to die.” We’ve seen a lot of interesting elements to this, we’ll talk about it later, around AI eats software. Software eats the world. AI now eats software. I guess AI eats the world.But the reality is, we’ll discuss it later in the episode, it might be just a lot of stuff that’s reacting to what’s actually happening in the market, that there was a couple of misses in terms of numbers, that the growth of some of the key SaaS players that are driving a lot of the public stock wasn’t that great recently. That adding to some launches like we mentioned, the Claude Cowork launch, et cetera, has led people to say, “Hey, maybe some entire spaces of SaaS don’t make much sense going forward.” Bertrand SchmittActually, I don’t know if you noticed, but I think it was yesterday, it was announced that the CEO of Adobe just resigned. I was shocked how bad they managed the transition to AI. I guess it’s one of the first victims of what has been happening. From my perspective, and I will go deeper, but there is a bit of an overreaction. Claude is amazing as a tool, but the launch of Claude Cowork, a few plugins decimating the market, I think that’s an overreaction in the sense that many of these SaaS companies will be able to actually benefit from AI as well. Or some of the new AI tools really, really depend on the existence of an underlying SaaS layer that’s controlling some processes, some data. So I think we have to be careful about the extremes.At the same time, what is true, the growth rate has been going down for SaaS. If you look in the 2021 to these days, we move maybe from 30-11%, 12% average growth rate. It’s a dramatic difference in growth rate, and you cannot keep the same valuation when your growth rate has been divided by three. I mean, that’s just not possible.I think that there might be some overreaction about what company like Claude can truly achieve. At the same time, the reality is there that while SaaS compan

Mar 23, 202658 min

74 – The Prediction Episode

Who dares to make predictions in the current landscape? We do!  Our Predictions are back. Will our track-record continue on a high or will we be fundamentally wrong? Listen in to our Predictions for 2026 Navigation: Intro What will 2026 be all about? AI, AI and … more AI The big Hardware movements Of Start-ups and VCs Regulatory & Geopolitical Headwinds… and the Wars Fintech, Crypto and Frontier Tech Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show:   Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Introduction Welcome to Tech Deciphered Episode 74. That would be an episode about some predictions about 2026. What will be 2026 all about? I guess this year is probably starting with a bang. We saw the acquisition of xAI by SpaceX. We saw an acquisition from Grok by NVIDIA. What’s your take about what would be the big themes in 2026? I guess it would be for sure about AI and space. Nuno Goncalves Pedro What will 2026 be all about? Yeah. I predict a year that will be a little bit more of a year of reckoning in some way. There will be a lot of things that I think we’ll start seeing through. The fact that we are in the midst of an amazing transformational era for technology, the use of AI, but at the same time, obviously, a ridiculous bubble that is going alongside it as we’ve discussed in previous episodes. I think that we’ll start seeing some early reckonings of that, companies that might start failing, floundering, maybe a couple of frauds along the way, etc. I’ll tell you what I will not make many predictions about today, which is geopolitics. Geopolitics, I will not make predictions at all. Who the hell knows what’s going to happen to the world this year in 2026? I don’t dare making any predictions on that. Back to things where I would make predictions. I think on AI, we’ll have a little bit of reckoning. We’ll talk about it a little bit more in detail during this episode. Interesting elements around the hardware and physical space. Physical space, we just dedicated a full episode to it. We won’t go into a lot of details on that, but definitely on the hardware side, we’ll talk a little bit more about it. The VC landscape is going through an incredible transformation. We’ll talk about it today as well and some of our predictions for this year. What will happen to the asset class? It seems to be transforming itself dramatically. Obviously, that has a very direct impact on startups, so we’ll talk about that as well. And then to close a little bit the chapter on this, we will address some regulatory and geopolitical, let’s call it, headwinds without making maybe too many complex predictions. We shall see. Maybe by that time of the episode, we will be making some predictions. You guys should stay and listen to us, and maybe we will actually make some predictions about the geopolitical transformations that we will see this year in the world. Then last but not the least, we’ll talk about fintech, crypto, frontier tech, and a couple of other areas before concluding the episode. A classic predictions’ episode. We normally have a pretty good track record on some of these, but right now, the world is going a bit interesting, not to say insane. Bertrand Schmitt Yes, and going back to some news, Groq technically was not acquired, but, practically, it’s as if it got acquired. I’m talking about Groq, G-R-O-Q. The AI semiconductor company focused on inference AI, and it was late December. It was a way to end the year. This year, we started again with an acquisition of xAI by its sister company, SpaceX. I guess that’s where we are starting. AI, AI and … more AI We are going to start on AI. That’s definitely the big stuff. Everything these days, I guess, is about AI or has to have some connection with AI, or it doesn’t matter. I think every company in the world has seen that. You have to have the absolute minimum on AI strategy. You better execute on this strategy and show results, I would say. For the companies that were not AI native, you truly have to have a way to transform yourself. I guess at some point, the stretch might be too much, and it’s not really reasonable. Then you maybe better stay on what you are doing, especially if you’re in tech, you better be moving faster to AI. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Just to highlight, and I think throughout the episode, you’ll see that there&#8217

Mar 5, 20261h 2m

73 – Infrastructure… The Rebirth

Infrastructure was passé…uncool. Difficult to get dollars from Private Equity and Growth funds, and almost impossible to get a VC fund interested. Now?! Now, it’s cool. Infrastructure seems to be having a Renaissance, a full on Rebirth, not just fueled by commercial interests (e.g. advent of AI), but also by industrial policy and geopolitical considerations. In this episode of Tech Deciphered, we explore what’s cool in the infrastructure spaces, including mega trends in semiconductors, energy, networking & connectivity, manufacturing Navigation: Intro We’re back to building things Why now: the 5 forces behind the renaissance Semiconductors: compute is the new oil Networking & connectivity: digital highways get rebuilt Energy: rebuilding the power stack (not just renewables) Manufacturing: the return of “atoms + bits” Wrap: what it means for startups, incumbents, and investors Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Gonçalves Pedro Introduction Welcome to episode 73 of Tech Deciphered, Infrastructure, the Rebirth or Renaissance. Infrastructure was passé, it wasn’t cool, but all of a sudden now everyone’s talking about network, talking about compute and semiconductors, talking about logistics, talking about energy. What gives? What’s happened? It was impossible in the past to get any funds, venture capital, even, to be honest, some private equity funds or growth funds interested in some of these areas, but now all of a sudden everyone thinks it’s cool. The infrastructure seems to be having a renaissance, a full-on rebirth. In this episode, we will explore in which cool ways the infrastructure spaces are moving and what’s leading to it. We will deep dive into the forces that are leading us to this. We will deep dive into semiconductors, networking and connectivity, energy, manufacturing, and then we’ll wrap up. Bertrand, so infrastructure is cool now. Bertrand Schmitt We’re back to building things Yes. I thought software was going to eat the world. I cannot believe it was then, maybe even 15 years ago, from Andreessen, that quote about software eating the world. I guess it’s an eternal balance. Sometimes you go ahead of yourself, you build a lot of software stack, and at some point, you need the hardware to run this software stack, and there is only so much the bits can do in a world of atoms. Nuno Gonçalves Pedro Obviously, we’ve gone through some of this before. I think what we’re going through right now is AI is eating the world, and because AI is eating the world, it’s driving a lot of this infrastructure building that we need. We don’t have enough energy to be consumed by all these big data centers and hyperscalers. We need to be innovative around network as well because of the consumption in terms of network bandwidth that is linked to that consumption as well. In some ways, it’s not software eating the world, AI is eating the world. Because AI is eating the world, we need to rethink everything around infrastructure and infrastructure becoming cool again. Bertrand Schmitt There is something deeper in this. It’s that the past 10, even 15 years were all about SaaS before AI. SaaS, interestingly enough, was very energy-efficient. When I say SaaS, I mean cloud computing at large. What I mean by energy-efficient is that actually cloud computing help make energy use more efficient because instead of companies having their own separate data centers in many locations, sometimes poorly run from an industrial perspective, replace their own privately run data center with data center run by the super scalers, the hyperscalers of the world. These data centers were run much better in terms of how you manage the coolings, the energy efficiency, the rack density, all of this stuff. Actually, the cloud revolution didn’t increase the use of electricity. The cloud revolution was actually a replacement from your private data center to the hyperscaler data center, which was energy efficient. That’s why we didn’t, even if we are always talking about that growth of cloud computing, we were never feeling the pinch in term of electricity. As you say, we say it all changed because with AI, it was not a simple “Replacement” of locally run infrastructure to a hyperscaler run infrastructure. It was truly adding on top of an existing infrastructure, a new computing infrastructure in a way out of nowhere.

Feb 11, 202646 min

72 – Our Children’s Future

IWhat is our children’s future? What skills should they be developing? How should schools be adapting? What will the fully functioning citizens and workers of the future look like? A look into the landscape of the next 15 years, the future of work with human and AI interactions, the transformation of education, the safety and privacy landscapes, and a parental playbook. Navigation: Intro The Landscape: 2026–2040 The Future of Work: Human + AI The Transformation of Education The Ethics, Safety, and Privacy Landscape The Parental Playbook: Actionable Strategies Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand SchmittIntroduction Welcome to Episode 72 of Tech Deciphered, about our children’s future. What is our children’s future? What skills should they be developing? How should school be adapting to AI? What would be the functioning citizens and workers of the future look like, especially in the context of the AI revolution? Nuno, what’s your take? Maybe we start with the landscape. Nuno Goncalves PedroThe Landscape: 2026–2040 Let’s first frame it. What do people think is going to happen? Firstly, that there’s going to be a dramatic increase in productivity, and because of that dramatic increase in productivity, there are a lot of numbers that show that there’s going to be… AI will enable some labour productivity growth of 0.1 to 0.6% through 2040, which would be a figure that would be potentially rising even more depending on use of other technologies beyond generative AI, as much as 0.5 to 3.4% points annually, which would be ridiculous in terms of productivity enhancement. To be clear, we haven’t seen it yet. But if there are those dramatic increases in productivity expected by the market, then there will be job displacement. There will be people losing their jobs. There will be people that will need to be reskilled, and there will be a big shift that is similar to what happens when there’s a significant industrial revolution, like the Industrial Revolution of the late 19th century into the 20th century. Other numbers quoted would say that 30% of US jobs could be automated by 2030, which is a silly number, 30%, and that another 60% would see tremendously being altered. A lot of their tasks would be altered for those jobs. There’s also views that this is obviously fundamentally a global phenomenon, that as much as 9% of jobs could be lost to AI by 2030. I think question mark if this is a net number or a gross number, so it might be 9% our loss, but then maybe there’re other jobs that will emerge. It’s very clear that the landscape we have ahead of us is if there are any significant increases in productivity, there will be job displacement. There will be job shifting. There will be the need for reskilling. Therefore, I think on the downside, you would say there’s going to be job losses. We’ll have to reevaluate whether people should still work in general 5 days a week or not. Will we actually work in 10, 20, 30 years? I think that’s the doomsday scenario and what happens on that side of the fence. I think on the positive side, there’s also a discussion around there’ll be new jobs that emerge. There’ll be new jobs that maybe we don’t understand today, new job descriptions that actually don’t even exist yet that will emerge out this brave new world of AI. Bertrand SchmittYeah. I mean, let’s not forget how we get to a growing economy. I mean, there’s a measurement of a growing economy is GDP growth. Typically, you can simplify in two elements. One is the growth of the labour force, two, the rise of the productivity of that labour force, and that’s about it. Either you grow the economy by increasing the number of people, which in most of the Western world is not really happening, or you increase productivity. I think that we should not forget that growth of productivity is a backbone of growth for our economies, and that has been what has enabled the rise in prosperity across countries. I always take that as a win, personally. That growth in productivity has happened over the past decades through all the technological revolutions, from more efficient factories to oil and gas to computers, to network computers, to internet, to mobile and all the improvement in science, usually on the back of technological improvement. Personally, I welcome any rise in improvement we can ge

Jan 18, 20261h 4m

71 – Is AI All Hype, No Substance?

Dec 3, 2025

70 – AI as a co-founder

Can AI be a co-founder? Do you need a technical co-founder, any more? How about a business co-founder? What can AI do for you as co-founder? Will this become the “brave new world” of start-ups, small and medium businesses? For this and much more discussion, a no BS perspective on AI as a potential co-founder. Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Intro Welcome to episode 70 of Tech DECIPHERED. Today, we’ll talk about AI as a co-founder. Can AI be your co-founder? Do you need a technical co-founder anymore? Or do you need a business co-founder anymore? What can AI do for you as a co-founder? Will this become the brave new world of startup and small businesses? Nuno, what’s your take on this topic? Have you started seeing that for early stage startups, the AI co-founder? Nuno Gonçalves Pedro Yeah. We start seeing this notion of people now—”Oh, I could be a single founder.” I mean, single founders have existed for a long time. We’ll come back to a little bit the taxonomies of founding teams. But definitely, is now a little bit of a trend where people are like, “Well, I don’t need a co-founder. I’m just going to go do my own thing.” Normally, the case is made more for, “Oh, I don’t need a technical co-founder. I can vibe code and put some stuff together and go through things.” As we go through the episode today, I think we’ll go into the details on why technical co-founders might still matter and why there are certain areas of technical founding that might not matter as much where AI can really be your co-pilot, so to speak. The Classic Case for Co-Founders But maybe let’s start with what is the case for co-founders? Why do you need to have a co-founder? Why can’t you just do it yourself? Historically, there’s been really sort of an angle where there’s sort of these two entities in the founding team. Right? The business founder and the technical founder. The business founder is the person that runs business related activities. If you’re doing, for example, enterprise software, SaaS, et cetera, your business co-founder is responsible for go-to-market like hiring sales—in particular, at the beginning actually being the person who does sales, establishing partnerships, creating and managing elements that are more related to admin with the help maybe of third parties around finance, et cetera. The business founder is more the person who’s focused on the business aspects of the company, which would be go-to-market, which includes sales, channel partnerships, marketing, et cetera. Might include, as I said, the admin side, et cetera. Then the technical co-founder is more focused on elements that are connected to the technology stack, development of the code base. If it’s just software, development of software, could be more on the product side as well, someone who’s more of a product manager, et cetera. That’s why you need those two entities. Because you need these two entities, so to speak, these two people. Because you need someone who has more knowledge of how to develop a code base, how to get it off the ground, how to develop the MVP, the minimum viable product early on. On the other side, you need someone who figures out: how do we get this thing to market, how do we actually deploy it, how do we monetise it, how do we create partnerships if they apply. That’s why we’ve had this classic case for founding teams. Now just to be very clear, it is also true that we’ve also had single founding teams for a long time. We have companies that have been founding only for one person. But at the end of the day, the ethos has been, let’s have two co-founders, one on the technical side at least and one or more on the technical side and one or more on the business side at the very least. Bertrand Schmitt That’s true. That’s what you have typically seen. Maybe, going back historically, maybe the most famous example of this technical co-founder plus business co-founder has been the founding team of Apple—Steve Jobs with Mr Wozniak. Steve, on the business side; Woz, as he was called, on the technical side. That has been that maybe that’s reference point for all of Silicon Valley for decades. At the same time, it has not been true for every successful company. If I take HP, for instance—if I remember well, they were both technical co-founder

Nov 3, 202542 min

69 – Travel Hacks & Preferences

What do we travel with? How do we prefer to travel? What are our travel hacks? If you are seasoned travel or just getting into that hamster wheel, this is the episode for you. Our thoughts, best practices and hacks on traveling. Share with us yours on LinkedIn or X. Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Goncalves Pedro INTRODUCTION Welcome to Episode 69 of Tech DECIPHERED. Today we’ll go on a slightly softer note and discuss our travel hacks and preferences. Bertrand and I often are asked, “What do you guys travel with? What do you prefer to travel with? What are your travel hacks?” And a few other questions in this world of hamster wheel travelling. Today we’ll share a bunch of our preferences. We’ll share a lot of the things we travel with, from luggage to electronics to other services and devices. We will share to the best of our knowledge, how to really do it in style, if that’s at all possible, once you’re in that hamster wheel. We’ll share some of our hacks, not only for business travelling, but also for leisure travelling. Interesting stuff. We all have our hacks. We all have our stuff going on. PREFERENCES TRAVEL Airlines, alliances, loyalty programs Maybe we start with airlines and all the things around that. Bertrand. Bertrand Schmitt Yeah, sure. Don’t get me started on Air France, who cancelled on me a huge quantity of miles without alerting me, without notice, just a few weeks before I was supposed to take a flight. I will try my best to never use them again. Nuno Goncalves Pedro It was that bad. Air France is out, so that’s the beginning. Let’s maybe talk about the guys who are in. I’ll give you my top airlines around the world. Obviously this depends. Depends if you have to travel through that region or if you’re travelling to that region. My favourites, I think maybe not sure if it’s in full order, but I would say Emirates, obviously, Qatar Airways. If you’re hubbing through Middle East or if you’re going to the Middle East, two amazing airlines, probably two of the best in the world. I would say maybe Emirates is my favourite now. I have to be thoughtful in how I put that forward. Qatar is also exceptional, obviously if you’re hubbing through Doha. Incredible airline as well. The Asian ones in general, we’ll leave the Chinese for a second because that’s a different ballgame all together. Let’s not say all Asian ones and obviously different ones are great. I’d say Singapore Airlines continues being systematically an exceptional airline. They’ve become very expensive, but an exceptional airline. A little bit SOP driven, only airline in the world, true story, that I complained not once or twice, but three times on the same incident, and I actually never got a response from them on an incident which is interesting. In general, service is exceptional. Their facilities at Changi Airport are exceptional. The planes are really well-kept, the food is great, very attentious, and really like them. Cathay, I haven’t flown with them in a while. They went through a bit of a slump at some point. They were my favourite for a long time. Then they went through a bit of a slump in terms of product in particular, in terms of the quality of the product, in terms of the quality of the seats, service on board, et cetera. I’ve heard positive things recently, so maybe worthwhile putting them back on my Top 5 list around the world. Then the Korean Airlines in general are pretty strong on service. Depends a little bit on the plane. I’ve had always better experiences with Korean Air than with Asiana. Maybe Korean Air gets that last Top 5 thing. Talking about the negative ones for me that I try to avoid. I try to avoid as much as possible some of the European ones. TAP Air Portugal, the Portuguese one, is actually pretty decent by European standards. British Airways depends on the format of the plane. I find their business class service and product not to be as compelling as other airlines right now. I always found the service on British Airways, you only get great service on reshares if you’re in first class. On long haul, even in business, it’s a little bit matron. It’s like, “Sit down and just stay put, and we’ll serve you, but we won’t really be particularly paying attention to you.” In some ways, TAP Air Portugal, I thi

Oct 16, 2025

68 – “Winning the AI Race”… America’s AI Action Plan

America’s AI action plan … “Winning the AI race” has just been announced. What is it all about? What are the implications? How will the rest of the world react? A deep dive into the announcement, approaches by EU and China, and overall implications of these action plans. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Context of the White House AI Summit Pillar I – Accelerating AI Innovation Pillar II – Building American AI Infrastructure Pillar III – Leading in International AI Diplomacy & Security Comparing Approaches – U.S. Action Plan vs. EU AI Act vs. China’s Strategy Implications and Synthesis Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno G. Pedro Welcome to episode 68 of Tech Deciphered. This episode will focus on America’s AI action plan, winning the AI race, which has just been announced a couple of weeks in by President Trump in the White House. Today, we’ll be discussing the pillars of this plan, from pillar I, the acceleration of AI innovation, to pillar II, building of American AI infrastructure, to pillar III, leading in international AI diplomacy and security. We’ll also further contextualise it, as well as compare the approaches between the US Action plan, and what we see from the EU and China strategy at this point in time. We’ll finalise with implications and synthesis. Bertrand, is this a watershed moment for the industry? Is this the moment we were all waiting for in terms of clarity for AI in the US? Bertrand Schmitt Yeah, that’s a great question. I must say I’m quite excited. I’m not sure I can remember anything like it since basically John F. Kennedy announcing the race to go to the moon in the early ’60s. It feels, as you say, a watershed moment because suddenly you can see that there is a grand vision, a grand plan, that AI is not just important, but critical to the future success of America. It looks like the White House is putting all the ducks in order in order to make it happen. There is, like in the ’60s with JFK, a realisation that there is an adversary, there is a competitor, and you want to beat them to that race. Except this time it’s not Russia, it’s China. A lot of similarities, I would say. Nuno G. Pedro Yeah. It seems relatively comprehensive. Obviously, we’ll deep dive into it today across a variety of elements like regulation, investments, view in relation to exports and imports and the rest of the world. So, relatively comprehensive from what we can see. Obviously, we don’t know all the details. We know from the announcement that the plan has identified 90 federal policy actions across the three pillars. Obviously, we’ll see how these come into practice over the next few months, few years. To your point, it is a defining moment. It feels a little bit like the space race of ’60s, et cetera. It’s probably warranted. We know that, obviously, AI platforms, AI services and products are changing the world as we speak. It’s pretty important to figure out what is the US response to it. Also interesting to know that we normally don’t talk about the US too much in terms of industrial policy. The US seems to have a private sector that, in and of itself, actually stands up to the game, and in particular in tech and high-tech, normally fulfils or fills the gaps that are introduced by big generational shifts in terms of technology. But in this case, there seems to be an industrial policy. This seems to set the stage for that industrial policy and how it moves forward, which, as you said, we haven’t seen in quite a long time. Bertrand Schmitt Yes. At the same time, on one side, yes, there is some level of industrial policy, but I feel quite a big part is getting the government out of the way so that private companies can truly innovate. Because America, like many other countries, have accumulated over decades regulations, you could call it over-regulations of many sectors and industries. I would say part of it is showing the way, but part of it is really a lot about just removing obstacles along the way that were posed by decades of government regulations and acknowledging that if these regulations are not removed, it could truly impede America’s chances to win the AI race. Nuno G. Pedro How did we get here? Obviously, there was an executive order in January this year, 2025, on removing barriers to American leadership in AI, the directive being the US to become the world

Aug 28, 202552 min

67 – Tech that Changed our Lives and Tech that Disappointed

Nintendo Switch, the Nokia 7110… what are the tech devices and gadgets that changed your life? How about you biggest disappointments?In this episode of Tech Deciphered, we will share ours. We look forward to hearing yours. Share on LinkedIn or via email or X Navigation: Intro (01:34) Tech That Changed Our Lives Our Worst Tech Purchases Reflection & Takeaways Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand SchmittWelcome to Tech Deciphered, episode 67. This will be a lighter episode as summer is upon us. We will discuss and talk about tech that changed our lives, as well as tech that disappointed. Some of you might know, some of you might not know, but both me and Nuno are tech nerds. We have played with tech most of our lives, always looking for the next available new piece of technology to use or collect. We are going to talk about that and maybe start on the positive side. The tech that changed our lives. Nuno Goncalves PedroI’m sure everyone has their stories. Even if you’re not a nerd, there’s going to be that piece of equipment, that mobile phone, that gaming console, that whatever, that dramatically changed you, made you more productive, or allowed you to do something that you’d never done before, et cetera. It’s always an interesting conversation to have, and it creates a lot of wonderful memories. It brings you back to places, it brings you back to that moment where you bought the device, that first time that you used it, the experiences you had, some of them maybe actually, not necessarily positive. We’ll come back to the worst tech purchases of all time. Shall I launch Austilities, Bertrand? Shall I tell my first one? Bertrand SchmittSure, Nuno, feel free. Nuno Goncalves PedroGood stuff. I’ll start with maybe the one that I’ve had the longest memory on, which is the Philips Videopac. Now, many of you will have no clue what I’m talking about. Bertrand SchmittNo idea. Nuno Goncalves PedroThe Videopac. Even Bertrand, which is impressive. The Videopac was a video game console that worked with cartridges, launched obviously via Philips. I’m not sure if the one I had was actually from Philips, question mark. It was the same format and I remember it very fondly. It was really a gaming console with a little joystick. Very basic thing. The Videopac was actually launched first thing in ’83. I’m not sure when I first started using it, but I suspect I was 7 or 8 years old, so that would have been a couple of years thereafter. I remember it fondly. We got it from Andorra. If you guys know, I was born in Portugal. Andorra is this small-owned country between Spain and France, and they had no sales taxes back then, so you’d go there and buy stuff really cheaply. I think that’s what we bought when I went there with my parents. I remember it very fondly. I remember playing games on it. Strangely enough, I don’t remember any of the games I played on it, but I remember it very fondly as one of my first computer experiences and stuff. That was pretty cool. Bertrand SchmittNice. I think in France. I’m not sure this one was available. At least it doesn’t ring a bell. I think we had some Atari consoles in France. Me, actually, I didn’t start with a console. I started with a regular computer. Not the PC kind. It was an Atari computer. Actually Atari 520ST, very popular in Europe. There was also Amiga that had similar computers. It was Motorola CPU 68000 if I remember. It was my first computer. Also, could be used for gaming, of course, 3.5-inch disk, if I remember well, some colors, I would say 320 times 200 pixels. It was great. It was a start for me of understanding computers, starting to program them. I might have started before actually to program computers, but it was not a computer I own. That was the first computer I owned. That was quite amazing at the time. I remember doing quite a bit with it. Nuno Goncalves PedroMy first computer was actually the Schneider Euro PC. I’d played before with the ZX Spectrum and with an Amstrad computer. Those did not belong to me. They were not my purchases. They were not for me. They belonged to my uncle. Bertrand SchmittNot the same. Nuno Goncalves PedroMy first one that I owned was the Schneider Euro PC. It’s the first computer ever that I coded in. People probably don’t remember Schneider at all. It was a computer division. Bertrand Schmi

Aug 7, 20251h 2m

66 – The Global Tech Labor Reset

The reckoning is here. Once a safe harbor, Big Tech has finally also gone full out on layoffs. Is this a structural shift to employment in Tech? Will the subsequent talent spillover be great for start-ups and entrepreneurship? Will it positively affect other industries? In this episode of Tech Deciphered, we will answer these and other questions in a deep discussion on the Global Tech Labor reset. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Layoffs & Restructuring Shifts in Compensation & Perks Rise of Fractional, Freelance, and Solopreneur Work Talent Spillover to Other Sectors Geography & Culture Shifts Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Goncalves Pedro Welcome to Episode 66 of Tech DECIPHERED. Today, we’ll talk about the global labour tech reset. Tech and big tech, which seemed immune to any lay-offs, seems now to be under fire. Massive lay-offs over the last 2.5 years, a lot of discussion around the importance of having a computer science, computer engineering background, and so what seemed to be a safe haven for any graduate is now under stress. Today, we will discuss the structural perspective on what’s happening in the market, if this is a long-term trend or not, what has led us to this, and what is next. We’ll talk about the rise of fractional freelance and solopreneur work, as well as talk about talent spillovers, and some of the usual geographical dynamics around the space. Bertrand, a huge shift in tech. Bertrand Schmitt Yes, definitely. It’s pretty big. I think it started probably around 2022, once we got some changing interest rates that have a pretty massive impact in stock prices for a lot of companies. At that time, a lot of companies decided, and usually under some pressure, that it was time to be more efficient, to generate more cash. Yes, you want to grow, but not grow at all cost. You have to go efficiently. That’s when we started to see some share price going down and step by step, quarter after quarter. Some change in attitude with a lot of big tech and that has created some impact in term of lay-off from different parts of the business, from the sales team to the DNA, to even engineering R&D. What is also been happening since 2022, 2023 is a change of focus. A lot of focus is being put in AI. A lot of investment in CapEx is going to AI. At some point, if you want to keep doing all this investing, investments, you might have to get some other part of the business in order to create additional savings to do all the spend you can in AI. There has been more recently a switch. It’s not about just efficiency to push all the… But generating the ability to invest in AI. Nuno Goncalves Pedro It’s part of a broader movement. Before we step back a little bit and go back in history, even recently, we’ve heard that there’s talks between Meta and a bunch of private equity firms like KKR, Brookfield, Apollo, and others, to actually help in financing data centers. Meta is a gigantic company, so one would assume they have cash to do all these things. Maybe they don’t. To your point, that level of efficiency that is now needed in the market where you need to throw actual money, CapEx, into the building of infrastructure, the building of the core underpins of what you’re doing is pretty vital. But let’s go back a little bit of a second, and we’ve talked about it maybe in our early episodes. Companies like Meta, Facebook back in the day, Google, Alphabet now, and others had a tendency, in particular in the Bay Area, to hoard engineers. They would over-hire. There was a lot of discussion that some of these players had as much as 20%-50% the engineering resources they needed, and part of that is that they didn’t want their competitors to have them, and so in some ways, we went from hoarding too much capacity to the days of COVID that in some ways illustrated that there were a lot of people that maybe were not working very hard also on the engineering side, not just on the sales, et cetera side. That right-sizing, I think, has been a long time coming. We discussed in a past episode that there was a little bit of an adaptation, or an adaptation, rather to the market by a lot of these public companies saying, “Now that I have a mandate where there’s lay-offs happening in other industries, I can do it myself.” But this time is different, and I think the message of probably today’s epis

Jul 21, 202547 min

65 – Retro Tech, Minimal Tech and Digital Detox

Jul 1, 202554 min

64 – Robotics… are our new overlords coming?

Robotics is a field that seemingly hasn’t really delivered on its promises. Sure, plenty of robot arms and other robotic solutions in logistics and industrial spaces, but what about the rest… including, Consumer?! Navigation: Intro (01:34) B2B Robotics Consumer Robotics Looking Ahead Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Goncalves Pedro Welcome to Episode 64 of Tech DECIPHERED. Today, we will discuss robotics. Our new overlords are coming. Robotics is a field that seemingly hasn’t really delivered on its promise. Sure, plenty of robot arms and other robotic solutions are out there. But somehow it feels like we should be actually already controlled and dominated by our robotic overlords. Today, we will discuss B2B Robotics, their growth, adoption, industry use cases, the drivers of innovation in that space, players in that space, challenges. We will also talk about consumer robotics, talking about also robots that have gone mainstream, personal and social robots, emerging trends that are happening in the home, market dynamics. Then we’ll look ahead to the future of B2B, the future of consumer, and the societal and workforce impact, which obviously is going to be the last but not the least topic that we will address today. Let’s start with B2B. B2B Robotics. Bertrand Schmitt Yes, thank you, Nuno. It’s certainly a growing space. As you say, it might not feel like it, but at the end of the day, we already have quite a few millions robots in B2B. It’s estimated that the stock of your operational robots, industrial robots, is around 4.28 million units in 2023, which was a 10% increase year-on-year. If we look at China, and I think we talk about the fact that we are installing around 400,000 robots a year. China alone by itself has been installing 276,000 units in 2023. China is definitely a leader in that space and that might come as a surprise to some. That number, to put it into perspective, is five times higher than the second place, Japan. Nuno Goncalves Pedro I think China has recognized a long time ago that because of its population composition, that they’re going to have a lack of people to produce, to be in factories, et cetera, so they actually have been adopting robots now for many, many years. I think now, you were joking with me just before we recorded this, but now that we’re having trade tariffs and all that stuff, it might make sense to have a broad discussion around why robotics in an industrial environment are key. Bertrand Schmitt Definitely. I think that actually I was surprised to hear that, when we’re making this recording on April 15, I was surprised to hear in the Trump administration, quite a lot of very positive support regarding AI and robotics. It looks like part of the plan is already acknowledging this is not like the old-school jobs that we are going to bring back. It would be a different type of jobs. There will be way more robotics than before. Obviously, more robotics is possible thanks to the latest advanced in AI. There is some consensus that, yeah, it’s not just bring back the old jobs as they were, but it would be a new type of jobs. It would be a new type of industrial revolution and acknowledgment that robotics are here to make all of this not just more efficient, but even possible. Because it’s clear that if you take the US, for instance, there is actually not so much unemployment in the US. For an industrial revolution to happen, we need to bring our new friends, the robots. Nuno Goncalves Pedro If we go through the use cases where we see robots coming in, obviously manufacturing, automotive and electronics will probably come to people’s mind. A lot of robot arms are being used there. More than serve your classic solutions, et cetera. But it’s a lot of robot arms using on specific pieces on the line, a lot of pieces of robotics that we don’t recognize necessarily as robotics, but are actually roboticized systems used, in particular on automotive, again, in consumer electronics. Basically, it has to do with the fact that there’s a tremendous lack of… One, there’s going to be, at some point, the limitation on how fast you can produce, so that’s very obvious. Two, there’s actually even lack of people that can do some of these roles. Some of it is actually high precision work. In most of these environments, there are environments where humans need to coexist

May 3, 20251h 12m

63 – Fundraising… everything you need to know

The current landscape of fundraising for start-ups, companies and VC funds, as well as best practices and hacks… and how to get those investors to giving you the money. Navigation: Intro (01:34) What is the current evolution and landscape for fundraising for start-ups? What is the current evolution and landscape for fundraising for VC firms? What are the best practices – strategies, processes, tactics and hacks – for fundraising overall … for start-ups? What are the best practices – strategies, processes, tactics and hacks – for fundraising overall … for VC firms? How to get investors (VCs and LPs) to commit to giving you money? Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Hello and welcome to Tech Deciphered episode 63. In this episode, we are going to talk about the evolution and the current landscape of startups and VCs fundraising. We will talk about this evolution and landscape for fundraising, both from a startup and VC sides. We are going to talk about the best practices, strategies, process, tactics, and hacks for fundraising on both sides when you are a startup or when you are a VC firm. And ultimately, we will finish on how to get investors to commit to give you money. Hi, Nuno. How are you? Nuno Hey, Bertrand. We’ll start with the evolution and current landscape of startup fundraising. It’s been a couple of exciting years. We got to the height of it all, the bull of all bull markets, actually in 2021, post-COVID. Then we had 2022 and 2023. Very sharp correction, dramatic reduction in venture investments. ’24 was a good year. It’s a year that scaled back again, seems stabilizing. I think we’ll see what ’25 has on hold. My prediction is that it’s going to be a great year. Bertrand Yeah, 2021 was pretty shockingly good post the start of COVID. After a sharp wait and see by end of 2020, things were going back not just to normal, but to overdrive. It’s really by the end of 2021 that the music stopped. We had to worry about inflation with interest rates going up. 2022 was definitely bad for startups and VCs alike. But as you said, 2024, we are back to a better place. I would have the same bet for 2025, as you have, Nuno. Nuno One interesting piece is there’s something that I think changed everything in 2024, which is AI. If we didn’t have AI in 2024, I don’t think we would have had this landscape. Important to note, and we’ll talk about it later on when we talk about the landscape for actual VC fundraising, that the way that VCs work in their cycles and how they raise money, there’s always a little bit of a lag around the table. It means there’s still a lot of what we call dry powder with VC firms. This means that VC firms have raised quite a lot of money from limited partners for 10-year funds with, for example, four-year investment periods. Therefore, they still need to deploy capital in whatever market they’re in. The fact that there were a lot of AI opportunities means that they’ve been deploying a lot towards, for example, AI place. That’s going to change as well. We’ll talk later about, again, the VC fundraising landscape, but there’s going to be a little bit of an adaptation on those two time lags around the table. But for me, the big effect of 2024 was without a doubt, AI. Bertrand Yeah, and it’s very interesting because when you think about it, the new AI revolution started with LLMs, with OpenAI launching ChatGPT. And this is an event that actually started end of 2022. So that AI revolution, financing, fundraising, actually started in 2023. But at that time, it was still so bad from an overall macro perspective that it was not enough to change the big trends. But at the same time, for sure in 2024, I think it had time to turn around. We’ll talk more precisely about the numbers, but it’s pretty clear that, as you say, AI has taken over. Nuno The height of it from the numbers we have in mind shows that on a global basis, 2021 was the all-time high in terms of startup investing at 750 billion. We’ve now had a significant reduction, basically around 349 billion, if the number is around correct, but certainly as deep as that in 2023, returning basically to levels that we saw back in 2018-2020. 2024, we went back up to around 370 billion. I think this year is going to be higher as we discussed before. One clarification I wou

Apr 10, 2025

62 – Space & Aeronautics, Defense and Homeland Security – Space, Defense and from dirty… to the new “cool”

Our analysis of the Space & Aeronautics, Defense and Homeland Security industries from key trends to investment landscape… to perhaps, more importantly, evil vs no evil? Where are we now? Navigation: Intro (01:34) Why now? Geopolitics Aerospace and Aeronautics Defense and Homeland Security Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno G. Pedro Welcome to Tech DECIPHERED. In today’s episode, Episode 62, we’re going to discuss space and aeronautics, defense and online security. We are going to talk about key trends, why now is such a wonderful time to be looking at this space not only from a startup perspective but also from an investment landscape perspective. We’ll also go into the whole evil versus no evil topic. Specifically, we will discuss why now, and the geopolitics of the industries, aerospace and aeronautics, defense and homeland security, and then we will conclude. Bertrand, why now? Bertrand Schmitt Why now? I think this industry, this sector, space, defense, homeland security has seen not just a lot of growth and quite a few very successful companies coming out, but it’s an interesting complete turnaround, if you look at that from an entrepreneur or from a VC investor perspective. Why now? I think there has been, I would say, historically, there was a lot of scepticism, a lot of concerns by entrepreneurs, investors alike, centred around the military industrial complex. Bertrand Schmitt We probably all remember the famous Eisenhower’s farewell address where he was sharing his distrust of that military industrial complex. And venture capital shunned these sectors also due to long sales cycle, in some cases only one client, the Department of defense for many startups, as well as ethical debates. Bertrand Schmitt At the same time, it’s an evolving landscape. Startup came with disrupting legacy models. It’s not just a cost-plus approach. It’s a product approach. It’s agile. It’s innovation. The debate around, is it evil to is it something we must do in order to address global threats, basically coming to the forefront for investors and entrepreneurs alike. Nuno G. Pedro It’s a supply and demand issue. It’s not just that startups are not necessarily interested in it because it always creates this issue around, is it evil? Is it good? Are we doing something good or not? I think there’s a lot of that. There’s a lot of supply issue because of that angle. But it’s also a demand issue. Contracts historically with military take a long time to be hashed out. They depend on doing trials and proofs of concept. Nuno G. Pedro I think on the other hand, it’s an industry that historically was very resilient and dominated by services. Particularly the US military want to own everything, and so, therefore, there was this notion that whoever was the provider provided it to provide it as a service for them. There are services that still need to be done today, but the industry has been largely productized, and there are a lot of products. I buy planes, I buy weaponry, I buy a bunch of different software systems that will allow me to operate, but they’re productized. I think that’s one of the big shifts that we’ve seen and why now is a good time to look at it. Nuno G. Pedro If I’m a startup, I don’t need to go through 3, 4, 5-year cycles until I sell anything of scale. Then on the plus side, once I sell, it is at scale. There’s a lot of money in the military. We’ll talk a lot about the numbers later on, but there’s definitely a lot of money in the military complex that warrants the focus of startups. Nuno G. Pedro The other part is venture capital firms. Venture capital firms, historically, maybe because of the whole evil versus no evil and perceived ethical issues have stayed away from it. But we have more and more active large firms in the space from Founders Fund, Andreessen Horowitz. We ourselves have invested in companies that are around both the Homeland Security and the military complex space. So as a venture capital investor, because then the cycles to sales are better, because then startups scale faster, the economic piece of it has been solved. Nuno G. Pedro Then, on the other side, the whole ethical issue has been really put into perspective. There’s clearly a lot of geopolitical tension right now. Defense as an industry. It’s an industry that

Mar 12, 202545 min

61 – What happened in 2024? What’s hot/not hot for 2025?

Our review of 2024 and what 2025 holds for the world and the Tech industry. From geopolitical dynamics to M&A and IPOs, regulation, crypto winters and summers, to inflation and DOGE and many other things. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Review of 2024 What’s next, 2025? Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to Tech DECIPHERED Episode 61. It’s at this time of the year where we look back what happened in the past year in 2024 in tech, as well as trying to put some thoughts into what 2025 might look like, what might be the next big things happening in global tech industry. Let’s start with our review of 2024. Nuno Goncalves Pedro It’s been an interesting year. A year of elections around the world, so maybe we start at that level. The landscape geopolitically has become very interesting. I’d seen some chart that shows the most gain on the right ever globally across elections. I think there’s some message going on that people are really not happy about, status quo. Obviously, in the US, Donald Trump got elected, so he will again be the President of the United States next year or starting next year. Nuno Goncalves Pedro In Europe, we’ve had a lot of countries that went to the right. Austria, I believe the right wing party won. A lot of interesting and somehow shocking results in some cases with very populist views, for example, countries like my own Portugal, and all around that. Very significant geopolitical transition where it seems like populism is here to stay. Nuno Goncalves Pedro There are significant concerns around the world around immigration. There are significant concerns around the world around security. There are significant concerns around the world around economic growth. I think the elections that we saw this year, for the most, are reflecting upon the discontent of citizens across the world, of which the US is just but an example. Bertrand Schmitt Yes. Actually, I’m not sure anymore about that when we call populism, one side or the other, what it really means at some point, it doesn’t sit right to me anymore. I think 10 years ago, maybe I had some concept about what it means. But today, I’m not really clear, to be frank, because when you see Trump and his alliance with people like Elon Musk or JFK, it’s not clear they are populist at all. The same in Europe. I’m not really clear, what is true is for sure more right wing, moving away from left or centre. Bertrand Schmitt Yeah, this will have a significant impact on a lot of topics, and we’ll go through that. France also went more right wing, at least in term of parliament. Germany, we will see next year, actually. They’re preparing for election, the government in Germany. I think it was the day or the next day after the result of the US election, the government imploded. There are new elections scheduled for early next year. It looks like it will also go more right wing. It will make certainly for an interesting change of policies and politics. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Indeed, all of all, I think a lot of renewed discussion around what is the role of countries, governments, different counties, provinces, states in the case of the US, local government, is the system fully broken or not? A lot of debate around precisely the incentives that people have to vote for a party versus another and what are the key issues that are on their mind. But as I mentioned, I feel it’s clear that it’s the economy, stupid back through the day, and security have been effectively the key considerations for this year. Nuno Goncalves Pedro In terms of the overall year, it was a year that was supposed to somehow be really awful. It wasn’t. It wasn’t a year that was awful. Stock markets have gone up, in particular in the US, driven mostly by technology, The Fed rates started to go down, so it seems like inflation now is more and more under control. We see a lot of movement around, in particular, the technology stack of the fence that has taken us to the next level. There’s a lot of bright spots. I think we had anticipated maybe a very bleak 2024. It certainly was not in terms of equities, both on the public markets, but also on the private market side of the fence, including venture capital. Nuno Goncalves Pedro We’ll come back to that later. I think there is somehow certainly on the private markets a huge impact of AI. AI is dist

Jan 15, 202556 min

60 – Europe competitiveness

In a few decades, will Europe be good for anything beyond food and tourist experiences? With Europe lagging on innovation, productivity and with extremely costly decisions on the Energy side, and needing to defend itself, what is next? Navigation: Intro (01:34) New report out from Mario Draghi Profound mistakes in Energy initiatives increasing costs and competitiveness Dalio and Lee Kuan Yew comments Lack of growth in Europe, lack of creation of new European champions Too much protection for employees? Too Complex regulations around companies and innovation initiatives are too bureaucratic Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Goncalves Pedro Welcome to Episode 60 of Tech DECIPHERED. Today, we will discuss European competitiveness. The competitiveness of all of Europe, not just the European Union, but the whole of Europe. It’s been in the news recently. There’s been a new report out from Mario Draghi a couple of months ago that really mentions what is happening in Europe, what are the things that need to be done for Europe to increase its competitiveness going forward. Nuno Goncalves Pedro There have been a lot of discussions around the world on Asia, in particular, and American dominance of the world economy. Europe is lagging behind. What do we make out of all of this? Maybe let’s start with the report out from Mario Draghi and the conclusions of that report. Bertrand Schmitt Yes, I think it was for once, a pretty interesting and pretty lucid report from a commission by the European Commission and written by Mario Draghi with a lot of support from many CEOs and also entrepreneurs to provide feedback to try to explain what’s happening, what’s going on. I would agree with everything in terms of analysis or conclusion, but I must say it’s a good read. Bertrand Schmitt Maybe a few points that he’s making is first acknowledging that there is an issue in European competitiveness and growth since the past 20, 25 years. This lack of competitiveness and growth has increased with a great financial crisis from 2008-2012. In 2012, there was a crisis around the euro. I think it is indeed time to try to look back at what happened and try to get some sense about what could be done differently going forward. Nuno Goncalves Pedro A couple of really astute observations. Obviously, the GDP growth of Europe has lag behind that of the US and China. The period of time from 2002-2023, the US has grown 2% and both on constant prices and constant PPP prices. China, 8.3% and the EU, 27 at 1.4%. Obviously this report is on the EU. Clearly lagging, and the lag is significant. Nuno Goncalves Pedro If we look at GDP at constant prices, there was a 17% delta in 2002 between US and Europe, and now there’s a 30% delta between US and Europe. It’s lagging you further behind. Even more seriously, China has outpaced it on constant prices. If we look at constant PPP prices, the EU was actually 4% above the US back in 2002, and it is now below 12% of the US. Nuno Goncalves Pedro China has outpaced both of them at constant PPP prices. This is worrisome. I think Mario Draghi makes, or the report makes a bunch of very significant and strong statements, which basically are saying, “We cannot, as the European Union, continue like this and have the social welfare that we put in place in all these countries.” something’s got to give. Nuno Goncalves Pedro He goes on to make a couple of proposals and what he thinks needs to be done in Europe. But very significantly, what he’s saying is this is a crisis. We need to address it. This is not just a nice report, please read it. It’s like we cannot afford the lifestyle that we’re having. Nuno Goncalves Pedro If Europe or European Union was a household, it would be going bankrupt, I think is what he’s saying. We can’t keep doing what we’re doing. Something’s got to break at some point. Either the social welfare construct that we have will not work any more, or we, as Europe, will need to really reassess how we behave, et cetera. Very interesting report. A lot of fear at the beginning of the report immediately. Then three areas that he recommends action on for Europe in order to reignite growth. Bertrand Schmitt Yes. First, I would like to say that, yes, some are doing analysis based on PPP, but there is a risk when you do that. Because PPP is cute when you try to estimate cost of

Dec 5, 202452 min

59 – The case for not starting yet a new AI platform… and not investing in one

Do we need yet another new AI platform? Would new foundation models stand a chance in today’s market? Will OpenAI, Anthropic, etc be the new Tech winners … or will they just get acquired, at some point? Navigation: Intro (01:34) Landscape Recent gigantic acqui-hires The Big Players How will the hardware change? Will there be a next wave beyond GPT? Is it too late to come in and disrupt the big players? Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Welcome to Tech Deciphered episode 59. Again, this will be an episode on AI. This time we make the case for not starting yet a new AI platform and not investing in one either. What’s happening in AI? I guess all of you have heard about all the massive investment made by some of the leading players, OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, Meta, XAI, Oracle, as well as even some smaller startups from Anthropic to Mistral. Bertrand Of course, Amazon has built its own frontier model as well as is providing infrastructure to a lot of players. But isn’t there already too much capital going into AI platforms and isn’t it going too fast? Nuno Well, we think probably yes. That’s going to be the thesis of our discussion today. Some of the startups you mentioned, by the way, they’ve raised a ton of money. I mean, Anthropic is well above 8 billion. Mistral is at a couple of billions as well, right, at this stage? Bertrand I think we are closer to a billion. Nuno It’s around a billion. Yeah, around a billion, several billion for Anthropic. Then there’s a couple of companies we will talk about later that raised a few billion that are no longer independent. It feels like too much. It feels like there’s a gold rush of sorts. It is probably a good analogy. A lot of investors putting capital into it. Nuno But at the same time, it’s being matched by the big players, Microsoft, Google, Meta by pushing LLM, XAI, OpenAI, we could argue, is it a big player already or not? But they just raised a ton of money as well. At 150 billion valuation, right? I mean, it’s like… Bertrand Yes, 150 billion valuation. Nuno It’s like, okay. They’ve already said, well, we are going to continue raising money. We’re going to continue spending a lot of money as well. It feels like a gold rush. It feels like there’s too much capital deployed into it. Something’s got to give, someone’s going to fail. Maybe that’s a good segue to the fact that we already start seeing some moments that are quite interesting. Bertrand Maybe to OpenAI, to jump back, to be fair, they’ve reached more than 3 billion of annualized revenues, and that was based on numbers from June. This is very high valuation for sure. But it’s also coming with one of the fastest growing business ever in terms of revenues. Nuno Yes. We will see if it’s sustainable, the business that they’re building, because there’s no competition. People are using other services out there in tandem. I see a lot of people, for example, using perplexity rather than ChatGPT. We’ll see if Gemini catches up at some point or not. I would argue they have grown very fast, but they have not faced as much competition as they’re probably starting to face right now. At least that would be my thesis. Nuno In any case, we start seeing signals of companies that go to the market and get bought out, and they get bought out for amazing amounts. If we look at Google and there, I would argue, acquihire of Character.ai. It seems to 2.5 billion to get the team and I guess the tech as well. But it feels a bit like acquihire. They’re trying to get the CEO back into the fold at Google. So interesting, I feel. Nuno The Inflection one was at least in the highest hundreds of millions. We heard 650 million for the IP licensing deal from Microsoft to get the founder and CEO to join Microsoft to head AI. Let’s say it’s around a billion and let’s call it even, but that’s like another gigantic acquihire. Nuno What gives? And it’s a little bit like it feels a little bit like free money. I’ve had a bit of a chance to think about this. It’s not just that it feels a little bit like free money. It’s some of these acquirers, like the Microsoft of the world, et cetera, might still be overvalued themselves, question mark, and therefore they’re basically putting capital because they have the capital

Nov 5, 202439 min

58 – US Election and What it Means for Tech

Another election year and it’s already a dramatic one. Biden vs Trump turned into Harris vs Trump. An attempt on Trump’s life. What’s next? This episode will focus on the implication of the elections for Tech and its ecosystem in the US and globally. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Harris vs. Trump Silicon Valley / Tech business at large views Implications for Rest of the World Our take Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Goncalves Pedro Welcome to Episode 58 of Tech DECIPHERED. Today, we will discuss the US election and what it means for tech. How will the upcoming US election affect tech and the entire ecosystem in the US and globally? To be clear, and just to put a disclaimer, this episode will not focus on policies by the candidates that do not relate to what we perceive to be implications to tech. For example, we will not be discussing topics like pro-choice versus pro-life, and other things that are obviously very central to the decisions that many of you will make in how you will vote for the next presidential elections in the US. Nuno Goncalves Pedro At the same time, we will also share with you what we know to the best of our knowledge. Obviously, policies change with time, and proposed policies definitely change a lot with time, as you know, with politicians. There might be things that we will share with you today that might be different when you listen to our episode. We are not responsible for that. People and candidates change their minds all the time, even after they’ve been elected. That’s not our fault. Just with those disclaimers, that’s what we’re going to share today. Nuno Goncalves Pedro The third and final disclaimer, obviously, there will be tonality on how we discuss and evaluate some of the policies, and if they’re good or bad or whatever. But from this, you cannot also take a conclusion on, “Oh, I should vote for Trump,” or, “I should vote for Harris,” because no, this is just a view around tech and tech ecosystem. We will share how we perceive the policies and the proposed policies, and that’s literally it. We’re not giving you advice on who to vote for. Bertrand Schmitt First, this is a recording made August 28. We’ll try to be as precise and as relevant as of this date. This is before the first debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. As a reminder, a French politician once said that promises by candidates only engage those who listen to them. With that as a reminder, let’s start the topic. Maybe first, we can talk about the official platform. As of today, there is an official platform if we go to the page of the candidate, Donald J. Trump, there is a 20-point page, and there is a more detailed PDF as well on the Trump Republican platform. Some of our points will try to leverage what is on this official platform page, and we will also, of course, try to leverage what was done when Donald Trump was president, because sometimes actions speak louder than words. We also pick what we have heard from the candidates on the trail, if it diverts or if it adds to that platform. Bertrand Schmitt On the other side, VP Harris’ platform is not there. As of August 28, there is no official platform on her website, which, to be frank, it’s scary because if you cannot hold a candidate to their promise after they are elected, that’s a tough place to be. Obviously, she’s part of the Biden-Harris administration, so we will leverage for discussion what was done by her administration, what was also planned by her administration, and we will highlight whatever has been shared by her, since she’s running as a candidate. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Well, okay. That’s a great start. But based on speeches—obviously, Vice President Harris is in office right now, so she’s been part of a platform—based on what analysts’ say, we’ve looked at a bunch of comparisons across the board for where they stand on a variety of issues. Maybe we start with economic policy overall, and talk a little bit about how we see the Biden-Harris administration, and obviously what things have happened around there. We will later discuss other topics like taxes, labour, perspectives, for example, on gig working, immigration, antitrust, and a variety of other topics. The economic policy overall piece that we will share at the beginning is very high-level, as you will see, then we will go in de

Sep 25, 20241h 24m

57 – Are we in a Generative AI Bubble?

Did we go from a broad bubble to a gen AI bubble? What is the current state of AI and generative AI? What has been commoditized and what is still distinctive? What does the future hold? Navigation: Intro (01:34) The State of AI / gen AI On the negative side On the positive side Our take Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to Tech Deciphered, episode 57. This episode will be about generative AI, and we will be asking the question, “Are we in a generative AI bubble?” Bertrand Schmitt In our last episode, we talked about AI, what was the latest happening in terms of endpoints, PCs, Macs, iPhones, and is it a risk? Is it a benefit? Today, we’ll talk about what’s happening with GenAI. Is it overhyped? Is it too much investment? On the plus side, we’ll be wondering, okay, maybe it’s not a bubble after all, or even if it’s one, is it such an issue because basically is it laying the foundation for a new stage, a new scale of AI for an act two of generative AI. Good to talk to you today, Nuno. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Nice to talk to you as well, Bertrand. I’ll start with my answer. It is a bubble and it isn’t. I’ll come back to that. I’ll leave you guys on that cliffhanger. Let’s start maybe a little bit with where we are in the state of AI and GenAI. Are we at commodity level or not? Adoption levels that we’re seeing in the market. Interesting report from McKinsey. Some around the state of AI, they did over 1,300 interviews. It was really a survey format around AI and GenAI adoption. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Some, like the conclusions, increased adoption of AI in at least one business function. Over the last year, this dramatic increase. I’m not really sure. Everyone that said, yes, we’re using it is actually using it. I take that with a grain of salt. This is self-reported, again, and so everyone has to be using GenAI, but everyone’s aware of it. I’m sure there’s an increase in adoption for sure. Nuno Goncalves Pedro The second piece that I feel is a little bit more exciting is what are the functional areas of companies that are using AI and generative AI more actively? Maybe not super mega surprising marketing and sales, which is core to some companies, but relatively support function. A little bit surprising to me that people are seeing product in our service development as number two. Surprising to me that software engineering is so low. Again, maybe no software engineer has actually filled in anything around that. That’s why it’s so low or middle of the board, or they don’t know what their engineers are doing, really, which is also interesting. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Then very low on strategy and corporate finance were business analysis, triangulation of data, or using ChatGPT, et cetera, I would have taken a little bit for granted that people would be using it. A bit surprising on that. Just feel it’s an interesting… Again, self-reported, it’s a survey. Some interesting conclusions on both sides in terms of the functions, et cetera. Some the conclusions as well on the rapid ascendancy of generative AI. Bertrand Schmitt Yeah, for me, what I’m quite impressed, I must say, is how fast generative AI has picked up. I don’t think I remember any new technologies that move so fast in terms of adoption, because here we are already talking about adoption metrics. I mean, it moved from nowhere in 2022, 33% in 2023, 65% in 2024. Basically, as high as the adoption of AI, the general AI adoption took seven years to get there. Bertrand Schmitt Here it’s two years. I’m not sure I remember any technologies that move so fast in terms of adoption. It took years and years for smartphone to get there. It took 5, 10 years for cloud computing to get there. It’s really fast, I must say for me, is my first reaction. Bertrand Schmitt In terms of function, marketing, I’m not surprised. That’s where you can use generative AI to generate content relatively easily. It’s not mission-critical content, it’s content you can review. At the same time, it can give you some clear benefits in terms of moving pretty fast and needing less resources. I guess for some other function like software engineering, I think right now, I guess the biggest issue is that you cannot trust it. It’s not something that you are ready t

Aug 12, 2024

56 – AI everywhere – dangerous trends in AI integration?

AI is literally everywhere… in our mobile phones, laptops, their chipsets, etc. As integrations increase, what are the implications for everyone? Why are all the announcements from Microsoft, Google, Apple, Open AI and others, important? One of those episodes that you really need to listen to, as this IMPACTS YOU and all of us Navigation: Intro (01:34) Getting us all on the same page This matters TO YOU!!! Open AI launching 4o The responses So… What? Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Hi, welcome to episode 55 of Tech Deciphered. In this episode, we will talk about open versus closed and proprietary. What does it mean in technology to be an open or closed application? You have all heard about open-source, I guess. There is a saying in Silicon Valley, if you are first, you close it. If you come late, you open it. Bertrand Schmitt Basically, it means that you might have an advantage being the first player on the field. You might afford to be able to close-source your product, your software, your application. But if you are late to the game, late to the party, and it’s difficult to fight the leading player in the marketplace, maybe an alternative strategy in order to gain distribution is to open-source your product. There have been many examples of this through Silicon Valley history. Today, we are going to talk more about all of this. Good to see you, Nuno, today. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Nice to see you as well. Shall we start with history—the history of open-source? It’s apparently the first known system that was supposedly open-source or in public domain was in the ’50s, the A2 system in 1953. Basically, it was a compiler. A compiler is what turns source code into binary code that gets run by a machine. Nuno Goncalves Pedro It’s what allows you to run apps on, for example, your phone and things like that, a compiler. I know some of you that are like, I’m a computer engineer. Is that a compiler really or is it an interpreter? Let’s forget that for a second. Let’s call it a compiler just to make life easier for everyone involved. Nuno Goncalves Pedro That was the first public domain open-source thing that we know. Then there isn’t much, ’50s, ’60s, ’70s, there isn’t much. Obviously, there was the summer of love at some point in the late ’60s, and maybe through the ’70s, people started thinking through, shouldn’t we be doing things that are more open? One of such people was a gentleman called Richard Stallman, who’s still alive, so you’d shout out to him. He was part of this “let’s call it hacker community” from those days and was doing some interesting things around it. Nuno Goncalves Pedro There was this belief that source code shouldn’t be closed, that if you were monetising something quite a lot, and you were putting even certain things in your code, that if, for example, you were using unlicensed applications, so unlicensed binary, that you would run into trouble and have other issues. So he manifested himself against it and came up with something that we’re still using till this day, the GNU or the GNU Project and GNU Manifesto. Now, GNU, this is the funny part—some of you will find it funny, others might not—stands for GNU’s Not Unix, which is a recursive acronym. You have to appreciate computer scientists and computer engineers coming up with things like that. Nuno Goncalves Pedro But its GNU is GNU’s not Unix, because at that time, Unix was a proprietary or had been made over time a proprietary platform by a couple of big companies in the market. There was this view that they wanted to, in some ways, get out of that space. The GNU project was born, and we, till this day, have what we call GNU general public licences, GPLs. You probably have heard about this. Now, it’s in the ’90s, early ’90s, that we have the biggest movement, I think, in the history of open-source with a gentleman called Linus Torvald. Nuno Goncalves Pedro I probably butchered his name. Linus Torvald, something like that, pushed a version of a kernel that he had. Actually, the first version he had was not open to the public, but then he released it to the public under a GNU licence. And that operating system was called Linux. And the rest is history. Linux has led to many other things after that. It’s a wildly used operating system globall

Jul 28, 202457 min

55 – What is Open vs Closed? Is all “Open” really Open?

When a company says they are launching a new product that is open, is it really? What does open even mean? The history behind open source, its successes and failures, and all the lies we are told all the time by some Tech players. The truth, unvarnished Navigation: Intro (01:34) What is Open Source Software – history, definition and core innovations? Open Source ftw (for the win) Lies… when Open is not Open, but a Moat or the Bridge for Closed Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Hi, welcome to episode 55 of Tech Deciphered. In this episode, we will talk about open versus closed and proprietary. What does it mean in technology to be an open or closed application? You have all heard about open-source, I guess. There is a saying in Silicon Valley, if you are first, you close it. If you come late, you open it. Bertrand Schmitt Basically, it means that you might have an advantage being the first player on the field. You might afford to be able to close-source your product, your software, your application. But if you are late to the game, late to the party, and it’s difficult to fight the leading player in the marketplace, maybe an alternative strategy in order to gain distribution is to open-source your product. There have been many examples of this through Silicon Valley history. Today, we are going to talk more about all of this. Good to see you, Nuno, today. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Nice to see you as well. Shall we start with history—the history of open-source? It’s apparently the first known system that was supposedly open-source or in public domain was in the ’50s, the A2 system in 1953. Basically, it was a compiler. A compiler is what turns source code into binary code that gets run by a machine. Nuno Goncalves Pedro It’s what allows you to run apps on, for example, your phone and things like that, a compiler. I know some of you that are like, I’m a computer engineer. Is that a compiler really or is it an interpreter? Let’s forget that for a second. Let’s call it a compiler just to make life easier for everyone involved. Nuno Goncalves Pedro That was the first public domain open-source thing that we know. Then there isn’t much, ’50s, ’60s, ’70s, there isn’t much. Obviously, there was the summer of love at some point in the late ’60s, and maybe through the ’70s, people started thinking through, shouldn’t we be doing things that are more open? One of such people was a gentleman called Richard Stallman, who’s still alive, so you’d shout out to him. He was part of this “let’s call it hacker community” from those days and was doing some interesting things around it. Nuno Goncalves Pedro There was this belief that source code shouldn’t be closed, that if you were monetising something quite a lot, and you were putting even certain things in your code, that if, for example, you were using unlicensed applications, so unlicensed binary, that you would run into trouble and have other issues. So he manifested himself against it and came up with something that we’re still using till this day, the GNU or the GNU Project and GNU Manifesto. Now, GNU, this is the funny part—some of you will find it funny, others might not—stands for GNU’s Not Unix, which is a recursive acronym. You have to appreciate computer scientists and computer engineers coming up with things like that. Nuno Goncalves Pedro But its GNU is GNU’s not Unix, because at that time, Unix was a proprietary or had been made over time a proprietary platform by a couple of big companies in the market. There was this view that they wanted to, in some ways, get out of that space. The GNU project was born, and we, till this day, have what we call GNU general public licences, GPLs. You probably have heard about this. Now, it’s in the ’90s, early ’90s, that we have the biggest movement, I think, in the history of open-source with a gentleman called Linus Torvald. Nuno Goncalves Pedro I probably butchered his name. Linus Torvald, something like that, pushed a version of a kernel that he had. Actually, the first version he had was not open to the public, but then he released it to the public under a GNU licence. And that operating system was called Linux. And the rest is history. Linux has led to many other things after that. It’s a wildly used operating system globally

Jul 5, 20241h 4m

54 – Can you handle the Truth: The Future of News

The truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. Can you handle the truth? What is the future of news? Are we at a Spotify moment? Do we even care about the truth? Navigation: Intro (01:34) Mainstream vs Niche News (02:09) Are we Close to the Spotify/Netflix moment? (29:30) State or Government Ownership and Influence of Media (46:06) Polarization & The Truth (58:36) Year of Election (1:05:10) Conclusion (1:09:21) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno In today’s episode of Tech Deciphered, we will be discussing the truth. Can you handle the truth and the whole truth? More specifically, we’re going to talk about the future of news, where we are today. Obviously, a lot of discussion around fake news, polarization of news. Nuno We will go into a conversation on whether we are close to the Spotify moment of the news space, and whether how we’re caring for the truth is still actually true. Do we still care for truth or do we just care about our own opinions and to reinforce them over time? Bertrand That’s a big question. I think to start about this topic, we probably want to start from this big debate that has gone pretty big over the past 10 years, but maybe even more the past five years. It’s maybe the mainstream versus niche news and all the dramatic changes that have happened in a way, thanks to internet. Nuno There’s the mainstream versus niche, there’s the mainstream versus speciality. Maybe let’s start with mainstream. What is mainstream news? Is it just news or do we get news through mechanisms that sometimes are not news anymore? Bertrand Is it still mainstream? Nuno Clearly, there has been a decrease in viewership of the newscasts, the news programs that we used to watch in our own countries, in the US. Now people can watch whatever they want whenever they want it. In some ways, there’s still maybe some flagship national news shows that people listen to. Obviously, there’s dedicated news channels like CNN, Fox News, of course, as well. Nuno Is it really where we consume our mainstream news? My view is obviously with the decreasing of viewership across the top channels, one would say maybe less so, but clearly still there is mainstream news. Fox News represents a specific side of the spectrum, but it is mainstream. CNN is as well. What’s your view, Bertrand? Bertrand I was asking this question only jokingly because I don’t know many people who still watch some of these mainstream news channels. My impression is that actually, first, the metrics are pretty clear. It’s a significant decline in viewership. You talk about TV, but the price is the same. A few managed to, I would say, stay somewhat relevant. Take a New York Times, take a Wall Street Journal, but even that definition of relevant is a very small viewership. Bertrand The numbers are extremely small in terms of who is paying for a subscription to these services. We are talking about millions at best, so that’s very small. One thing I noticed, I think that is pretty clear across the board is that, most of what we call mainstream media is more and more watched by the older generations, meaning people who have very long habits of watching their news that way from a TV channel. And two, who have not gone to the internet for their news because they were stuck in their old ways in some ways. Bertrand Obviously not everyone is like this, but my understanding is that they are all facing growing, older and older generations. Of course, there’s a question, what does it mean in term of advertising? Because if you’re not able to target 30, 40-year-old mom, that’s a problem. That’s really, for me, a big question. It’s not only becoming less and less relevant and mainstream because of the smaller and smaller viewership, but it’s also a different kind of viewership. Bertrand There’s, of course, a question of, is this viewership going to stick or actually just going to die? Sorry to be very abrupt, but if your target audience is mostly 70 plus and everyone younger doesn’t want or care or consume their news that way, that’s a huge trouble for these companies. Obviously, they know that. Nuno On the TV side, I think a couple of things. One, local news, in particular, if you look at the US, still has a bit of a role. If you want to know what’s happening, if there’s a storm coming, I think weather is a gr

May 3, 20241h 10m

53 – Is Technology intrinsically good or bad?

Is Technology intrinsically good, bad or neutral? In this episode, we will go into the depths of Technology Philosophy & Ethics, what it actually is, its historical developments, the current movements of the present and what the future likely holds. What is e/acc, what is EA? What is Degrowth? We will also discuss spiritual and religious elements, in as much as they relate to Science and Technology. Navigation: Intro (01:34) What is Technology Philosophy & Ethics? (02:33) Historical Developments (04:17) The Present (23:44) Our Views (49:06) Conclusion (54:45) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast 1. Intro Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to episode 53 of Tech Deciphered. This episode will be about technology philosophy and ethics. This is a bit far from our usual topics around investment and building companies, but we felt it was an interesting moment in time, especially with the development of AI, to talk about some of this, I would say what’s behind some of the reflection in tech around where we should move forward, how much we should accelerate, should we even consider a pause in some developments? Bertrand Schmitt Is technology intrinsically good, bad or neutral? We’ll try to go into the depths of some of these questions. We’ll also talk about e/acc, about EA, about degrowth, and we will also discuss some spiritual and religious elements in so far as to how they relate to science and technology. 2. What is Technology Philosophy & Ethics? Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Wonderful. Let’s start with what is technology, philosophy, and ethics? Basically, define the philosophy of technology as a subfield of philosophy. We have a good start there. It’s part of philosophy. Let’s start there. Nuno Goncalves Pedro, It actually studies the nature of technology and its social effects. It has several branches. Ethics is probably the one that’s been most published about recently. What are the ethics of AI, et cetera? Relations between science and technology, human-technology relations, there’s been some interesting debates as well around that, in particular in countries like Japan who always seem to be at the forefront of some of the stuff that happens around virtual and digital things and actual humans. Bertrand Schmitt Are you thinking about virtual girlfriends? Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Virtual girlfriends, virtual wives. You could get married to virtual wives. Obviously, the political dimensions of technology has also been hotly debated recently. Who owns semiconductors? Who owns AI? Is AI centralised or not? Is this an arms race? Is this going to be a source of geopolitical danger? Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Obviously, there’s different views around technology. There’s obviously the view that technology is autonomous, but it does determine society. It’s a human construct. It’s co-evolutionary, so it evolves at the same time as we should, and there should be boundary conditions around it and how we evolve. Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Basically, this leads to anything between technophobes, people that hate technology, people that are technophilia, I’m not sure that would be the right word, but that have technophilia, that love technology like you and I, Bertrand, we love technology in some ways. Then there’s people at the edges of this that go on different angles like technology anarchy and a bunch of other things. 3. Historical Developments Nuno Goncalves Pedro, That’s basically a very broad definition of technology philosophy. But maybe moving to a little bit of more of an understanding how we got here, let’s go through history, Bertrand. Bertrand Schmitt I must say, first of all, people who really hate technology, I guess they should go back to living in huts with no fire. Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Maybe even before huts, maybe before there were huts, there was fire, there wasn’t huts. There were caves. Bertrand Schmitt Go back to caves or go on trees, I guess, because at the end of the day, the story of humanity is connected with technology. Obviously, we will not be here talking on Zoom about technology and philosophy if we are not believer in some ways of technology. At least, we have to be the children of technology. Nuno Goncalves Pedro, If we go back, the history of technology philosophy actually goes back to the Greeks. Even the Greeks have been talking about this technology thing, about how there are these things that w

Apr 24, 202455 min

52 – Apple Vision Pro

The Apple Vision Pro is out and we each got ourselves one… Our first impressions on the early days of the Vision Pro. Will it change the world forever, like the iPhone? Navigation: Intro (01:34) Overall… TL;DR In-depth analysis Competition with Meta Quest 3 Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture newsIntro Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno G. Pedro In this episode, episode 52 of Tech Deciphered, we will talk about the Apple Vision Pro. It’s now out, and both Bertrand and myself got ourselves one. So what are our first impressions on the early days of the Vision Pro? Will this revolutionise the future of input and output? Is this the new iPhone? Is this finally the product that Tim Cook has developed that shows us that he is the future of Apple? Let’s start with the overall impressions, Bertrand. What are your overall impressions? Bertrand Schmitt What are my overall impressions? It’s a mixed bag, that’s for sure. It’s a very impressive piece of tech. I think my worry is that it has been oversold by Apple, but also by a lot of YouTubers. When you keep looking at these YouTube videos of people using it for eight hours a day, I think it’s totally, utterly bullshit. There is no way in hell any normal human being will put that on their head eight hours a day unless forced to do it. Nuno G. Pedro Unless you’re working on your neck like you’re a Formula One driver or something. Bertrand Schmitt Exactly. You are working on your neck. Yes, it’s neck training. No, more seriously, overall, and we will go more in depth later on this episode, I feel it’s a great device for maybe two use cases. One is if you want to watch 3D content. To watch 3D content, 3D movies, potentially at some point 3D sports, when we get that, we don’t have that yet so far, 3D concert, then I think It’s awesome. Bertrand Schmitt Watching 90 minutes of 3D movies, it’s just an insane experience for me. It’s just amazing. It’s your best way to consume a Blade Runner 2049, a Dune. It’s actually maybe better than in a movie theatre if you combine it with a proper headset because the audio is quite good, the bass are pretty poor. For me today, as a mainstream consumer, that’s the best main use case. For businesses, there might be some reason to look at, if you are doing 3D design, to look at 3D objects in the middle of your room, I can see that as well. Bertrand Schmitt Beyond that, I think we’re talking about very stretch use cases. One of these could be to record a video of what you are doing and sharing that with other for training. I could see that probably for training purposes. But beyond that, at this stage, I’m not sure what’s the point to put 2D panels in the middle of a 3D vision with a headset that’s very heavy and very uncomfortable. Bertrand Schmitt I don’t know your experience, wearing the headset, but anyone telling you that this headset is nice to wear, do they have a metal head to wear that comfortably? I have no clue. I mean, I’m hopeful there will be better straps, but for me, it’s still a nightmare to wear it. Nuno G. Pedro Yeah, this has been tested by 007 villains, so they all can send away the thing on their head. Fully agree with your assessment. It’s impossible have it on your head, to be honest, even for more than an hour-and-a-half, two hours. An hour-and-a-half and two hours is already a lot. So even watching that movie, you might have to take a little break to watch that movie, in particular if it’s over two hours, which many of the Sci-Fi movies actually are, or at least the canonical ones. Nuno G. Pedro I agree that for the consumer side, I think the consumption of content will be great. Maybe I would say besides immersive content, immersive communication, we’ll get back to that later on the Zoom experience and the FaceTime experience, so I won’t unravel that whole discussion right now, but the immersive communication piece, I think, will get finally started at some point. Nuno G. Pedro For me, those two pieces are the pieces that are going to be core to the early use cases of the Vision Pro. Business, agree with you. Some collaboration tools, some consumption also of immersive content for business is quite powerful, but it’s $3,500, right? It’s so expensive. I mean, it’s more expensive than a really good laptop or an iMac. Bertrand Schmitt It’s a price r

Feb 23, 20241h 10m

51 – Too Big to Succeed

Do you remember that company that raised at $1 billion valuation and sold for $15 million? How about that one that was the “hottest thing” ever, is still around, but never really became huge. This episode is about these companies… and about why some founders and investors can make a lot of money, while their companies fail miserably. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Why “ka-ching” isn’t necessarily related to success (or failure)? The nasty ones The ones that are still alive, but not doing great The ones that did ok/well, but… should they have gotten that outcome? Why don’t all companies exit? Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to Tech DECIPHERED episode 51. We are going to talk about companies that ultimately became too big to succeed. What do we mean by too big? We mean that, in most situations, they probably raised too much to end up having some level of good success. The weight of their financing weighed on them, and what could be opportunities for the right exits. Bertrand Schmitt So, Nuno, let’s start about this and obviously we will talk about some pretty big companies that went under, some smaller ones that also didn’t go well, and some are still alive, just absolutely not where we would have expected them a few years ago, and not enough to make everyone happy in these companies. Maybe we start by explaining a bit more what is success or failure? Nuno Goncalves Pedro Let’s start with the punchline today instead of… Hopefully you guys will stay for the examples because they’re pretty cool. But let’s start with a punchline and why cashing isn’t necessarily related to success or failure. Why success sometimes on paper isn’t success in the end. It ain’t over until the fat lady sings. Probably not a very appropriate expression any more, but it really ain’t over until the company actually liquidates and everyone’s made their money, et cetera. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Let’s start with first principles: the first thing is a valuation on paper, a company is raising a private round of funding, a series B, a series C, a series D from venture capital investing, investors, even IPO ing, even going public into the stock market. Nuno Goncalves Pedro The valuation before any liquidation and an IPO would be an effective liquidation. Any valuation before a liquidation is on paper. It means what it means. It means that someone is willing to pay a certain price per share for the company at that valuation of the company. It doesn’t mean the company is actually worth that. It means there are certain actors that think that the company is worth that. Nuno Goncalves Pedro What it means is you can raise a ton of money, and in particular, you can raise a ton of money at a lot of valuation. You can be a unicorn on paper, so worth over a billion dollars. You can be a decacorn worth over $10 billion on paper. But that’s all on paper until there’s liquidation, be it an IPO, a full on trade sales where someone buys you out, et cetera, et cetera. Basically, it ain’t done yet. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Now, why isn’t cashing necessarily related to success? Why do people still make money? Well, people still make money because other things happen in the life of the company. When a company is raising, potentially series b or series c, it might be that certain investors or certain executives or founders of the company do what is called a secondary transaction. Nuno Goncalves Pedro What that means is they sell some of their stock to a third party that’s willing to buy their stock and gives them liquidity. It’s effectively a mini liquidation. They get some liquidity out of the stock that they have, and we’ll discuss some stories today of people that made a killing and their company failed miserably. People that made hundreds of million and their company failed in the end, investors that made a killing, that the company, in the end, also failed. Nuno Goncalves Pedro The correlation between the company failing or not, and you making no money is actually not necessarily there. You might have made money along the way. It might be, for example, that the company IPO’ed after your lock-up is done, which classically is after six months. Investors sold their stock, or they sold all of their stock. A lot of founders sold some of their stock, et cetera, et cetera, that they made a lot of money, and th

Feb 14, 20241h 6m

50 – Recap of 2023 and What to Look forward to in 2024

That episode… the 50th, the big 50. We go back to the past and look into the future: was 2023 as bad as it gets? Is there some good or silver lining in front of us in 2024? These and more questions answered in our recap and looking forward episode. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Looking Back to 2023 (02:00) Looking Ahead into 2024 (32:05) Conclusion (48:20) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Welcome to episode 50 of Tech DECIPHERED, the big 50, 5-0. Today, we will do a recap of 2023 and what to look forward to in 2024. Although this is actually not really our 50th episode, because of how we’ve done the numbering scheme over time and we’ve changed it back and forth. Let’s just call it our 50th episode and celebrate and take advantage of that. 2023, what a hell of a year, Bertrand. Bertrand Yes, indeed. What a hell of a year. Maybe we can start about the positives of 2023. Nuno Yes, that would be fast. No, I’m kidding. Bertrand Good news is that I’m not sure if it’s fully behind us, but definitely COVID-19 is mostly under control. It feels less in the news these days, either mainstream media or Twitter. It looks like people are back to a more normal life, back to getting the flu or whatever cold you might get, but at least it feels like a cancer-distant memory, but less impacting our daily lives. Nuno We put COVID-19 behind us. I was just watching or catching up on a TV series, The Good Fight. They did this funky thing starting, it’s season five maybe, which is literally the whole episode is like a previously on, but we never saw that. They basically did a whole year into 50 minutes of an episode, and they presented it as previously on, as if we’d watched it before, which we have never watched it, which is very funny. It was actually scary. We were scared for our lives and what was going to happen next. That was 2020. Nuno Then 2021, we started rebalancing and things started looking a bit better. Last year was like, “Oh, let’s just go back to the normal world.” This year, we’re full throttle. It’s the big vindication. Everyone’s travelling a lot. I’m sure it’s going to be a mess over Thanksgiving. We’re close to Thanksgiving right now. Everyone’s back to travelling. COVID is a little bit behind us. Some people are taking booster shots. Have you taken your booster shot yet, Bertrand? Bertrand I have. Nuno I have as well. Bertrand Flu shot. Nuno Flu as well. Yes, cool stuff. Some may have not, I’m pretty sure. Some people are getting COVID again, but things do seem to be under control. That’s a big, heavy burden that we’re not really inside anymore. We’ll see what happens in the next few years. Fingers crossed. I’m knock-on-wood type stuff because honestly, we can’t declare victory. Nuno The second very positive thing is, besides we did talk about recession. We talked about economy imploding. It really did not. It’s been an up-and-down year, but the economy did not implode. If something economic activity has now picked up again and there’s no signals of recession, and again, fingers crossed on that, which I guess is good and bad. We’ll come back to the bad in a bit, but it’s mostly good. Bertrand Yeah, it’s good news. The question is why, obviously, and can it still happen? Definitely, I came in this year with a more negative outlook, at least for the US. Because if we talk about some other countries, some other countries might have a pretty bad year, actually. At least in the US, it has been surprisingly good so far, at least on the surface. Nuno Overall, pretty positive. We’ll see the numbers by the time this is launched. You guys will know the numbers for Black Friday. We don’t know them yet, but I’m assuming they’ll be great. In some ways, we’re back to consumer is one-on-one. We’ll see if inflation is really under control or not into the new year. Definitely, it was a positive year in that respect. We didn’t really have a huge crisis. Us, as consumers, have come back to the table, travelling, consuming like the good old American way. The rest of the world is following suit. Everyone’s doing that. Nuno Then maybe the last third big thing is, it’s been the year of AI. Obviously, we’ve had a couple of episodes on generative AI, and we’ve demystified a bit, so we won&#8

Dec 19, 202349 min

49 – The Exit(s) Episode

What is an exit? You need to sell your company or sell some of your shares? How is the market for that, right now? All things M&A, IPO, Secondaries, etc. Navigation: Intro (01:34) What is an exit? (02:17) Stats on M&A and IPOs (17:50) What’s ahead? (42:02) Conclusion (59:48) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to Tech DECIPHERED Episode 49. This will be our Exit episode. What do we mean by exit? Exit, it’s really when you need to provide liquidity to your shareholders. It’s when you sell your company as a whole. You sell some shares in a public market, meaning that ultimately that will provide not as fast liquidity as getting acquired, but will provide liquidity for those that want to leave the business as shareholders in a gradual way. In this episode, we are going to talk about all things M&A, IPO, secondaries. But let’s start with more details about what is an exit. Nuno Goncalves Pedro More generically, an exit is on the eye of the beholder. An exit for a company, as you mentioned rightfully so, is the sale of normally most of its stock. It could be not all of the stock; sometimes it is all of the stock. It could be a sale of most of its stock or the taking that stock public in some way. Nuno Goncalves Pedro We’ll come back to this notion of what selling stock means, but in general, selling stock, even when you go IPO, there is a selling of stock. There is a transformation of stock in some way. But it could be for an investor. What is an exit for an investor? Or what is an exit for a founder of a company? In that case, I would say an exit is, again, when you sell the majority of your stock that you have for that specific entity. Nuno Goncalves Pedro For a founder, it would be, “I’m selling most of my stock in that company.” For an investor, “I’m selling most of my stock in that company.” We could then basically say, is it a full exit or not? But it’s an active element of liquidation at scale. For me, takes into account majority. It takes into account that the majority of what you put or that you have, you’ve sold. A liquidation means you’ve liquidated part of your position. It could be actually a very small amount of stock. That is the definition of exit and the definition of liquidation. Nuno Goncalves Pedro There’s different types of exits and elements of liquidation. There’s mergers and acquisitions whereby two companies—normally it’s two companies—come together as a merger. We always talk about this notion of mergers of equals. There is rarely mergers of equals. There is always one party that is slightly bigger than the other. Even in the case of a merger, there is one party that in some ways is acquiring the other. Then there’s straight-up acquisitions, the ability for a company to acquire another company and take over that company. That’s M&A. Nuno Goncalves Pedro In M&A, normally the majority of stock is taken by the acquirer or by the entity that is merging that is slightly larger than the other one. There’s what we call a change of control. The entity that got sold is now taken by the new entity or by the entity that bought it. That’s a change of control. A lot of people know the sexier type of exits, which is IPOs. Nuno Goncalves Pedro An IPO stands for initial public offering. It’s an offering of stock to the retail market, to the public market. Why it’s the public market? Because people like you and me and people that necessarily are not accredited investors can actually invest in public markets. It’s what we call retail markets. Anyone can invest in it in effect. There is no limitation for me to invest in that market. Whereas in private markets, we have the notion of accredited investors. We won’t go a lot into that, but we can explain that at some later episode. Nuno Goncalves Pedro In public markets, it’s retail, so the public can buy. What that means is there’s a portion of the company that is so-called floated onto the public market so that the retail investors—anyone really—can buy stock in those companies. It ends up happening when there is an IPO that there are large players that take large amounts of stock in the companies, institutional investors, for example, other types of players in the market, hedge funds, and other such entities. But it’s again, a market that is open to

Nov 29, 20231h 0m

48 – Day Zero as a Founder – 2 of 2

So you’re starting a company? You’re now officially a founder. What should you do first? In episode 48, we will share our views on culture and why it “eats strategy for breakfast”, our thoughts on structure and legal framework for your new baby/start-up and on what 2nd+ time founders do differently. Navigation: Intro (01:34) “Culture eats Strategy for Breakfast” (01:54) Structure / Legal (16:27) 2nd time founders, what do they do differently? (29:37) Conclusion (35:35) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Goncalves Pedro Welcome to Episode 48, the second and last episode on day zero as a founder. What should I do? In this episode, we’ll discuss how culture eats strategy for breakfast, how you should think through the structure of your entity and the legality of your entity. And finally, we’ll land on second-time founders. What do they do differently? Nuno Goncalves Pedro Let us start with culture eats strategy for breakfast. This is actually a quote that has to be attributed to one of my professors at Stanford, Robert Pilgarman, one of the great professors of strategy in academia. He always used to say it. I’m probably paraphrasing him wrong but, “Culture eats strategy for breakfast.” And his point was you can define the best strategy ever, but your company culture, if it’s going in a very different direction that doesn’t allow you to align the execution with a strategy you have set forth, that culture will win and the strategy will never work. Bertrand Schmitt I totally agree. I don’t see it either way. You have to build your strategy in the constraints of what your team can achieve. Obviously, you can always arrange things a bit. You can hire more people, you can bring different types of people on board. But culture is typically very hard to change, and hopefully you have the right culture. If it’s way beyond what your culture is able to achieve, that will be a problem. Let’s take some examples. If you have a culture of being very careful about your spend, think about Amazon in the early days. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Still today? Bertrand Schmitt Still today. I remember earlier, I don’t think they still do it today, but they would use, I think, some doors that they buy on the cheap and that they use as a desk, as a surface for your desk. That’s a very distinct type of culture where you try to optimize cost everywhere. Bertrand Schmitt There are other ways to optimize cost, by the way. If you look at how they pay employees, stock options the first two years, for instance, they won’t invest much. It will be on year three, year four. That’s not typical, to be clear. But the analysis was most people stay two years or less. We better don’t give too much in term of stock because it’s valuable. We will only give stock to people who are staying for the long run with us. Bertrand Schmitt My point here is if you have that culture, you won’t be going, for instance, in the luxury business. Good luck trying to go to sell luxury products with a culture of optimizing cost to the bones. My point is you have to align the two together. You have to understand what type of products we’re willing to deliver, and you have to have a culture that match it. Hopefully, early on, you need to have a good instinct about your type of product, your type of market, and therefore, the type of culture that’s necessary and hire the people who would be a good match with this culture. Step by step, be more clear, be more transparent about what is this culture so that people can self-select in it or not. Nuno Goncalves Pedro There’s a couple of exercises that I recommend founders do. The top-down exercise is define your values, define what’s your value system. Values are a very good way of edifying and effectively creating the notion of culture. This is what we stand for. They’re not enough. We’ll come back to that in a second, but they are definitely a good way to start. If you can’t articulate it early on, articulate a few principles. Maybe it’s not a big value system. Chameleon, we actually wrote down a value system. Some people might not want to do that. They might just edify a few principles. There are a couple of principles they start edifying and then start editing it like it’s almost a laundry list of things. Then over time, maybe at some point, you get some consultants or som

Nov 15, 202336 min

47 – Day Zero as a Founder – 1 of 2

So you’re starting a company? You’re now officially a founder. What should you do first? In episode 47, we will frame the landscape, share when it is a good time to start a company, how validate your start-up idea and the 3 key things to take into account: product, market and team. Navigation: Intro First Things, First When is a good time to start? How to validate a startup idea – vitamin vs painkiller The 3 key things: product, market, team Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to Episode 47 of Tech DECIPHERED. This will be the first episode in a series of two episodes about Day zero as a founder. Basically, we will talk in Episode 47 about what is Day zero as a founder? We will talk about when is it a good time to start a business, how to validate? Your startup IDs. Of course, we’ll go around three key things: product, market, and team. That will be all for episode 47. You will hear more in our episode 48 about culture, about structure, legal, and about second-time funders. Nuno. Nuno Gonçalves Pedro First things first. Bertrand Schmitt First things first. Nuno Gonçalves Pedro First things first, what is day zero? Day zero is basically to us when you’re really starting your company. You have an idea, you may have done a little bit of market research. You’ve sought through a few things, but you’re about to go and embark on this journey of having a startup or a company of some sort. Nuno Gonçalves Pedro The first important thing is, what are you doing? What is it you’re going to do the company on? Is it a services company? Is it a product company? Is it something that you’ve done before? We’re going to start a little bit today in this episode talking about first-time founders. Later on, we’ll talk about the differences between second-time founders and first-time founders. Most of the episode today and then part of the episode next time will focus a lot on first time founders. Nuno Gonçalves Pedro But at least you have to have a notion of product or service. What is it that I’m supplying to the market? Second, what is the market? What market am I going to operate in? Third, what is the team? Normally, the team at day zero is you and potentially co-founders. It might be you by yourself, if you’re a single founder or a solopreneur, as we call it. Nuno Gonçalves Pedro What do you do first? The first things you need to do is to understand what markets are you going to act on, what products or services are you going to manifest in that market, and what’s the ongoing team into this problem, into this company? That’s your effective day zero start. If you don’t have these things and you’re like, “Oh, I just have an idea for a startup,” that’s cool, but it’s not something you can go and raise money on. It’s not something you can go and do anything on. You have to at least go to a stage where you have a plan, where you have a potential co-founding team, where you have a market that you’re going to operate on. Bertrand Schmitt By the way, not all businesses are venture-backable or not, and that might be something we come back to. I would say another point is also around, are you still working another job? Are you doing this part-time during your nights and weekends? Or have you resigned from your previous job and moved full-time on this idea? That’s always a big question. Bertrand Schmitt I would say a lot of people, you wonder if they are serious enough when they have been something for many, many months or years and they are still not full-time on it. They still have their previous job. Day zero for me often come when you have made that real-life decision to stop what you are doing and be really focused on this new venture. What’s your take? Do you need to have taken a career break? Nuno Gonçalves Pedro I understand what you mean by it. If you aren’t about to create a company itself, an entity will come back to structure later on. If you’re not really putting any resources at the table that are significant, that for me is the bar. Day zero, you have to put some resources at the table, some cash, your time allocation, about to create that entity or you are creating that entity. I’m not so strong about the full-time or not, but there has to be a significant part of your time focused on this. Nuno Gonçalves Pedro To your point, i

Oct 25, 20231h 1m

46 – Work-life Balance – high intensity jobs, how to get performance right vs the “other stuff”, including your own physical and mental health

Is work-life balance attainable or is it a “mythical creature”? What can one do to extract top professional performance while not endangering one’s personal life and hers/his/theirs physical and mental health? We will discuss how much is too much, the big axes of “life”, whether work-life balance is possible, differences between geographies and will, as always, share our own “hacks” and key “systems”. Navigation: Intro (01:34) How much is too much? (01:59) The big axis: family (21:35) The other axis: friends, hobbies, spirituality, etc (30:27) Is work-life balance possible? (39:05) Differences between geographies (56:24) Bring it all together (61:57) Conclusion (63:43) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Nuno Goncalves Pedro Welcome to Episode 46 of Tech DECIPHERED. In this episode, we will discuss the lifelong exercise of work-life balance and whether it is possible. We will discuss mental health, physical health, how much is too much, whether it’s actually possible to attain work-life balance, and as always, we will share some of our own hacks and principles. Bertrand, how much is too much? Bertrand Schmitt That’s the question. I’m a serious believer that it depends also of which stage are you in your life. Which period in your life are you? Are you still quite young with a lot of energy? Are you a single parent with kids? I think depending on the stage in life, you won’t physically have the same time available to devote to work. That will have an impact on your ability to work and how much you can execute and that can put pressure, obviously, to your capacity to endure. Bertrand Schmitt At the same time, obviously, if you’re in your 20s, you should probably have way more time to do a lot, to learn a lot, to try to achieve a lot. You might be able to endure it much more easily than if you were in your 40s, for instance. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Maybe we start with a disclaimer. Obviously, all opinions we’re going to share today—we’re not psychologists, we’re not trained psychiatrists, we’re not MDs—it’s our views and based on experience we’ve had from managing people, our own lives, interacting with many different players at various different levels of seniority. Hopefully, it is not just anecdotal, but again, we are not trained physicians, MDs, et cetera, so take this obviously with a grain of salt. Nuno Goncalves Pedro To your point, I fully agree. There is a stage of life, and it’s a bit more granular, I believe, than that. It might be that once you’re joining a specific company, specific organisation at a specific time, you’re going very aggressively to fit into the organisation, to understand how everything works, to balance yourself and how you interact with other people and learn a new set of skills. It might be two years in that your role and job might be a bit different if you’re more in corporate life. Nuno Goncalves Pedro In startup life, as you know, it doesn’t seem to go away, certainly in the first four or five years of the company. Venture capital is also an activity that classically, I think, if done properly, if done with love and with gusto and with passion, it’s an activity that is very encompassing. I always make the joke, I don’t suffer from ADHD, I enjoy every minute of it, which probably makes sense. Nuno Goncalves Pedro I fully agree with you. How much is too much? How do you know? There’s the obvious warning signs, and normally the obvious warning signs are actually not internal. We’re very poor at taking our own internal signals; sleeping badly and a few other things that we’ll come back in a second. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Pay attention to people around you, in particular people that you respect and that have your best interests at heart. It might be family members, might be friends, it might be colleagues, it might be your boss. Nuno Goncalves Pedro If you have a boss that is thoughtful about your time, listen to them. If they’re saying, “It seems that you’re not taking enough vacation. It seems like you’re not really taking time during the week to do other things. It seems like you have no other hobbies. You seem a bit glum, or a little bit depressed, or a little bit sad,” take it to heart. If someone has told you that, always remember they’ve probably been thinking about it for a long time. For them to tell you this, it

Oct 3, 20231h 4m

45 – AR/VR/MR – Inflection point or Sci-fi?

Augmented Reality, VR, XR… what is all this? Shouldn’t we all be using these devices by now? Is Apple going to change everything? Or is it Meta? In this episode, we go in into the arenas of AR, VR and MR, explain what these different technologies are, the developments thus far, whether (or not) we are an inflection point on devices, software, applications and content, as well as on what the (hopefully non sci-fi) future holds. Navigation: Intro (01:34) What is it and how does it work? (02:09) The last (lost?) decade (11:15) The inflection point for devices? (19:10) The inflection point for Software and Applications? Developer is king… (36:47) A non sci-fi future? (49:04) Conclusion (56:09) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro Bertrand Schmitt Hello. Welcome to episode 45 of Tech Deciphered. Today, we are going to talk about VR, AR, MR; mixed reality, in the context of the announcement of the Apple Vision Pro, their first spatial computer. Obviously, already talking about VR, AR, MR is old school, we should be talking about spatial computer. Apple has been very careful about not employing the world VR or AR. Maybe let’s start about what is all of this and how do they work? Section 1 – What is it and how does it work? Nuno G. Pedro Let’s start with an easy one, which is extended reality. Extended reality is everything. Extended reality encompasses augmented reality, mixed reality, and virtual reality. When you see XR, that means extended reality. It’s the encompassing word for all these forms that we’re going to talk about today. Nuno G. Pedro Augmented reality is probably the simplest form. It’s a view of the real world with some pieces of digital. But normally the definition for augmented reality is it’s a non interactive domain. We’ll come back to that when we talked about mixed reality. It’s you basically seeing things that are on a plane, for example, using your mobile phone, your iPhone, an android device, and looking around you and seeing things that appear that are digital, but they appear in the real world. That would be augmented reality. There’s almost no interaction involved, etc, etc. Nuno G. Pedro Mixed reality brings in the element of interaction. You still see the real world, but you also see these digital objects and these virtual objects and you can interact and make them interact and you can interact with that world. To be very honest with you guys, I’m still an old-school guy. So for me, augmented reality and mixed reality are effectively the same. Nuno G. Pedro I think at some point, someone decided to do this distinction, maybe because of the devices that are linked to it and to really separate in particular what was happening in mobile augmented reality, what was happening with mobile phones. But ultimately, for me, they’re very similar. Obviously, for me they’re almost indistinguishable anyway. The people out there, that like distinguishing them, that’s the difference between AR and MR; mixed reality. Nuno G. Pedro Finally, there’s virtual reality, which is a fully immersive virtual world experience, the one that normally uses things like in the past look like helmets, things that basically take over most of your head because you want to be fully immersed. It can’t be just full, a simple goggle experience. It needs to be a more immersive experience. That’s basically what defines virtual reality or VR. Nuno G. Pedro Again, XR; extended reality, AR and MR, very similar. The distinguishable pieces, they’re both using real-world and virtual-world elements. What normally makes the distinction between AR and MR is that MR is more interactive, AR is more static type of experiences. Finally, you have virtual reality VR, which is the fully immersive piece. Bertrand Schmitt Yes, Nuno. I think I’m a bit with you, I’m a bit old school in term of AR versus MR versus XR. I certainly make a big difference with Zeus and virtual reality in the context of for me virtuality is you don’t see the rest of the world, you don’t interact with it, you don’t care, you are fully immersed. That for me is clear and I will say everything else is probably packed together in my mind. Bertrand Schmitt I think it might have come originally from, as you say, some devices that were able to do just very basic AR, adding some stuff on your regular glasses and that was it. But I g

Aug 29, 202357 min

44 – AI – 2 of 2

Final episode on AI and generative AI, including start-up and VC landscape, regulatory & privacy environment and what does the future hold, with answers to such important questions as, can AI kill us? (spoiler alert: yes, it can). Navigation: Intro (01:33) Start-up and VC Landscape (02:13) Open-Source (08:31) Regulatory & Privacy Environment (14:31) The Future (21:18) Conclusion (31:17) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) — Introduction — Nuno Welcome to Episode 44 of Tech DECIPHERED. This is our second and last episode on Artificial Intelligence and generative AI. Nuno In the last episode, we introduced AI. We talked about what’s happening around generative AI as well as verticals and what the big guys are doing. In this episode, we will go further into what’s happening in the startup and venture capital landscape, the open source landscape, the regulatory and privacy environment, and we’ll end by talking about whether AI will save all our lives and save the world, or whether it will kill us all. — Start-up and VC Landscape — Nuno Maybe moving to startups, obviously, there’s been a lot of funding into companies that are now at the forefront of some of these big shifts. We talked about stability AI that had raised over 100 million from players like Lightspeed and others. KOTO, I believe as well, that are responsible for stable diffusion. We’ve seen in the past very well funded startups in the AI space not necessarily then scaling or doing very well. But at the end of the day, there’s definitely been a lot of funding. What is the current crux of the matter if you’re a venture capital firm and you’re looking at this landscape? Nuno The crux of the matter is noise. You see all these, “Okay, I’m chat GPT for something, or I’m an app that’s going to run on top of existing platforms using generative AI.” Nuno Generative AI is the new blockchain. It’s a new Web3. It used to be in all pitches two or three years back, Web3, tokenization, token economics, et cetera. Now everyone’s like, “It has generative AI.” My, again, relatively simplistic view of looking at this is I think of it as an app economy. In the same way that we had the launch of the app store in 2008 and we had mobile apps, initially everyone said, “Oh, that’s not an app economy. This thing is never going to amount to an economy.” It did. We now know that mobile first and mobile app is an economy. We have two proofs of that in this podcast. Nuno It is also true that I believe what we’re seeing right now is a similar thing to an app economy. This doesn’t mean that we’re not going to have some significant revolutions around AI and new platforms emerging that everything is going to be based on. I think we will have that as well. Nuno But at the same time, when we start seeing people saying, I’m going to use the tools and platforms that exist today to do an application specifically around this, which will be really cool and will take productivity to the next level, most of these will fail, like most apps failed. Some will potentially win. Nuno The notion of generative AI first is how I look at it, is for me a bit analogous to app economy like we saw with mobile. Some will rise to the top, very few. Most will fail dramatically. There will be a tons of noise. For us as investors, as venture capitalists, the complexity is to understand how can I reduce the noise level? How can I look at companies that are real and not fraud and not BS? Within the companies that are real, which companies are of a high likelihood of having a shot at this? Are they creating a new market or tapping into an existing market that they can corner? Nuno I think that’s the real dilemma of VCs right now. I’ve seen a lot of VCs that have never talked about AI before now talking about AI. I think it’s a bit facetious and a little bit maybe intellectually dishonest at this stage. It’s becoming the new thing everyone needs to jump into AI. I feel there’s an app economy coming. You can invest in some of these companies to the next level and really build behind that. Nuno Then second part of our thesis, certainly at Chameleon, is very much that AI is going to be in everything. There’s a lot of companies that we invested in that were not generative AI companies even. T

Jul 19, 202332 min

43 – AI – 1 of 2

The truth about Artificial Intelligence and Generative AI. This is the first of two episodes on AI. Navigation: Intro (01:33) What is AI and AGI? Why now? (02:07) Setting the Record Straight (08:55) Verticals (20:30) Other AIs (28:48) The Big Guys (31:20) Conclusion (38:38) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to Tech DECIPHERED Episode 43. This would be the first of a series of two episodes on AI, AGI, generative AI. A lot has been happening in the past six months and we felt it was a great time where not everything is clear yet. The fog of war is still intense. There is probably a little bit more visibility into where things are going. It would be with pleasure that we’ll talk about this deeply fascinating topic and for sure one of the topics most discussed today in tech. What is AI? What is AGI? Why now? (02:07) Bertrand Schmitt Nuno, maybe we should start with trying to define what is AI, what is AGI, what is generative AI? Nuno G. Pedro Easy task. AI is what is in the name. It’s artificial intelligence. It’s typically seen as a branch of computer science that is looking at creating mechanisms within machines that, in some ways, are similar to human intelligence or practically speaking, would refer to human intellect. Nuno G. Pedro Now, as we know, machines can’t think. That’s still true today. So they do this through very complex mathematical models that get implemented normally through software and hardware combinations. Then within artificial intelligence there are different fields of artificial intelligence. Nuno G. Pedro In the good old days, people used to talk about weak AI versus strong AI, which is more general intelligence, where weak AI is normally more focused within a specific field of solution set. General AI and strong AI will eventually become our overlord and think better than us. Nowadays you will hear a lot of different things around artificial intelligence. You’ll hear machine learning, you’ll hear deep learning, you’ll hear about natural language processing, computer vision, et cetera. Nuno G. Pedro All of these fields are fields of artificial intelligence that intend to emulate what we as human beings do. So computer vision basically would look at the automatic analysis of things that get processed through vision. Could be video, could be pictures. Nuno G. Pedro Natural language processing is looking at the interaction of machines and computers with natural languages and human languages, the language that we have. Deep learning, I would allege, is a subfield of machine learning. There’s still a huge argument on that or whether deep learning is a different field or not. Nuno G. Pedro I normally see it as a subfield of machine learning where deep learning normally uses things like neural networks—we’ll talk about neural networks later on—which are trying to emulate how our brain structures thinking effectively. In a nutshell, AI is a field of computer science. It’s an evolution of computer science. Machines can’t think for themselves, so they do this through very complex algorithms and techniques that normally use a lot of mathematics and quite a bit of data. Nuno G. Pedro Although we’ll also have a discussion today on how much data do you really need. Are we past the times where you need massive amounts of data or not? In some cases, these techniques and algorithms also need to be trained. There needs to be some sort of training mechanism, potentially even human in the loop, basically telling the machine, whether it’s classifying things appropriately or not. Nuno G. Pedro For example, in computer vision, is this really a monkey or not really a monkey, if you’re trying to classify a monkey would be an example of that. But again, that’s in generic terms what artificial intelligence is. Bertrand Schmitt Yes, and to build on what you just said, interestingly enough, the field of AI started probably at the same time as computer science per se started so in the 1940s. It’s a space that’s been alive, I can’t say well all the time, but definitely alive and ticking for decades. Interestingly enough, it has probably been a field that started, I don’t want to say too early, but definitely more early than we had the computing power to achieve what we were dreaming. Bertrand Schmitt That has probably created a lot of AI winters. If

Jul 13, 202340 min

42 – The Evolution of Venture Capital – 2 of 2

In this episode, we deep dive into the process of Venture Capital – how does it actually all work? – and what the future of VC holds. The end of our 2 part episode on the Evolution of Venture Capital. Navigation: Intro (01:33) Section 1: The Process of VC (01:59) Section 2: Stats on VC (19:03) Section 3: The Future of VC (27:31) Conclusion (38:40)  Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand Welcome to Tech DECIPHERED episode 42. After our first episode, episode 41, sharing the history of venture capital as well as the business of VC, and we are starting episode 42 with the process of VC, as well as some statistics around VC and we will finish with the future of venture capital. Nuno, good to see you again. Section 1: The Process of VC – (01:59) Nuno Nice to see you, and let’s start with the process of venture capital. At its essence, the process of venture capital is we’re funnel managers. We’re not just fund managers, we’re funnel managers. We manage a funnel. It’s about how healthy that funnel is that a fund can return a lot of capital or not. Nuno So it’s all about really two extreme positions in the funnel, the beginning of the end being deal sourcing, the quality of the deals you see in the market and the market is essentially—we’ll come back to that later—has been very inbound driven. It’s about people that come to you. That’s why you needed to create a brand, people need to know that you existed, et cetera. I suggest that’s about to change and that’s we’ll talk about in the future of venture capital. Nuno But it’s about the quality of the deal flow that you have, your proprietary networks, your access to key entrepreneurs that bring you other entrepreneurs, your access to scouts, your access to the market and the quality of those deals. Nuno And then at the other extreme is selling the asset at the right time. And really normally you sell an asset either because the company is bought by someone else, or the company IPOs, and at some point you can sell it as public equity or the company fails miserably. Nuno I think in the last few years it’s very obvious there is maybe a fourth mechanism for you to exit, which is secondary. Someone wants to buy your participation in that company and you can sell it to that other entity, be it an investor, be it a company, be it someone else. But maybe minority sale or selling just your stock rather than anything else. Nuno Also important to highlight in the business of venture capital, venture capital firms are minority shareholders. They’re not majority shareholders, they’re minority shareholders. They’re just protected by special provisions because when they buy into the company, they buy into preferred shares. Their shares are paid higher than they should be, but then they get special rights. And then if that VC gets someone on the board, the board member also gets special rights in terms of approval, minority protections, et cetera. Nuno So it’s not that VCs are dumbasses or stupid and they only want to have minority protection, no, we don’t run your businesses, we don’t want to own it. But we do want to have protections on your businesses to make sure that we are well represented, either because we’re on the board or because we’re a lead investor or we’re a significant investor in the company. Nuno Two pieces of the funnel are top-end deal sourcing, top of funnel, bottom end of the funnel, end of the funnel, you liquidate the asset in some way or the other. There is a loss ratio. Companies will fail. This is high risk. Loss ratios vary a lot, the industry seems to have different mechanisms to figure out what the loss ratio is. Nuno Some people a loss ratio is below 1X, so you get cents on the dollar on a company is already a loss. Some say would be 50, 60, 70% of a portfolio, others would say maybe a little bit less. In this day and age, you can always get some money back. So maybe the loss ratio is a little bit lower than that. Nuno You will hear a lot about power law, that most of your returns will come from 2 or 3 companies in a portfolio that might be 25 to 35. There’s this magic number of 20 to 30 companies per fund, which seems to be around. It has to do also with a number of partners and the positions you’re in. It could vary a bit more. Obviousl

Apr 26, 202339 min

41 – The Evolution of Venture Capital – 1 of 2

In this episode, we will go in-depth into the evolution of Venture Capital, including its History, the business model, process and operating model, and what its future holds. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: History of Venture Capital (01:59) Section 2: The Business of VC (15:27) Conclusion (19:54) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Nuno Goncalves Pedro Welcome to Episode 41 of Tech DECIPHERED. In this episode, we will talk about the evolution of venture capital. We will start it with its history. We will discuss the business of venture capital, what is it all about, and we will go into the process of venture capital. How do venture capital firms and funds actually operate? Finally, we will talk about the future of venture capital, the immediate future and the more long term one. How will it change? Section 1 – History of Venture Capital  (01:59) Nuno Goncalves Pedro Maybe starting with history. Venture capital actually goes back a long way. Obviously, we always like to go back to Second World War, the military complex in the US going full throttle, a lot of IP being generated, a lot of really useful things for defense that could be applied to the mainstream markets. In some ways, that’s the beginning of the history of Silicon Valley and the beginning of the history of venture capital at scale with public-private partnerships, grants and money from government, technology transfer into areas that were ultimately areas that went fully outside of defence and into normal markets, so to speak. Nuno Goncalves Pedro But actually, venture capital goes back even further. Venture capital and high risk projects go back to, for example, the time of discoveries, the time of trading by boat. Actually, that is where the term carried interest comes from. It is carried interest. What happened was the boat owners were going to take merchandise from one place to the other. Because a lot of these missions and projects had a lot of risk to them, not only they got paid to do it, but they also got paid in kind to do it with carried interest. They would keep some of their carried interest. That’s how the term carried interest really comes into these high risk profile projects. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Venture Capital is a very high-risk endeavor, or a higher risk endeavor than normal. Its history starts around World War II with private-public partnerships. Bertrand Schmitt I feel that between the age of discovery and World War II, there might have been the age of whaling in the US, from what I understand. Nuno, you want to say a few words on this? Nuno Goncalves Pedro Yeah. It goes back to whaling. It goes back to all these endeavors and projects and shipping. The military complex really expands it into private markets, so public-private partnerships, getting money into it. We started having, in venture capital, actually, early days, there was a lot of East Coast players in the market, which were more coming from the banking angle to it, just pushing into it. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Then we started having, because of a lot of aerospace defense projects happening around California and in California, there was a migration to players that were more, I would say, businessy, less banking. Some of the early VCs in this market, people like Pitch Johnson, Bill Draper, the granddaddies of us all. Bill was involved in a firm with Pitch. I think that was one of the original firms, if I recall correctly. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Bill went on, I think, to found Sutter Hill, which is still one of the oldest in continuity. Pitch went to found Asset Management, which if I’m not totally incorrect, is the oldest VC firm in Silicon Valley into continuity. A shout-out to the Asset Management guys, very good friends there. Obviously, from Bill, we had Tim’s son. Now we have his grandchildren, so that’s a bit of a dynasty. Sutter Hill is still around and doing very well, thank you. There’s definitely all these roots that go back to it. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Then in the late ’80s into the early ’90s, when we started having some really innovative companies that came into the market, Fairchild, Intel. There was a little bit of a search for the next wave of venture capitalist. And out of that search of the next wave of venture capitalist, we have people like Mike Moritz, who used to be a journalist, actually. John Doerr used to be a senior executive at Intel, com

Apr 13, 202321 min

40 – SVB & latest financial crisis

SVB goes down, and the Fed and Treasury react. The latest on the financial crisis: What actually happened? What was done to stave off the crisis? What are the next steps and what’s further on the horizon? As always, our “no bs” views and analysis. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: What happened? Section 2: What was done to stave off the crisis? Section 3: What are the next steps? Section 4: What’s on the horizon? Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand Welcome to Episode 40 of Tech DECIPHERED. An episode, of course, focused on what happened this past week with Silicon Valley Bank and the overall financial crisis around it. We are recording this as of Wednesday, March 15, Pacific Time. Between the recording and the release of this episode, it might take a few days, so things might have changed. Bear with us. What a week in Silicon Valley. That was pretty insane. I think we have a black swan type of crisis every year now happening. Nuno If it’s once a year, is it still a black swan? Bertrand Of course not. Sorry if my joke was not explicit enough. Nuno You’re being facetious, understood. Okay, clear. Bertrand I’m definitely being facetious about this. Definitely, in the past, I don’t know, three, four years have forced us to run businesses in a different way. We will try to do a short episode this time focusing on what happened, what was done to stave off this crisis, as well as what’s the next steps, what’s on the horizon. Nuno Let’s start with the obvious big picture thing. Rate increases by the Fed is one of the engines of all the issue around SVB. We’ll come back to what actually happened later on, but let’s go through fundamentals first. The Fed has been increasing interest rates dramatically for the last less than a year. It’s going to be a year, I think, this week, from starting at 0.25-0.5 range to now being at 4.5%-4.75% range, if I got that right, for the Fed rate in one year, less than a year, which is incredible. That has created, obviously, a situation where there’s a lot of strain on various financial products that banks, for example, may be over exposed to. Nuno But it all started, in all honesty, for a valid reason, which was really containing and reducing inflation. If we remember, inflation started around the one point something percent mark, so well below the 2% magical number, which we’re now questioning is 2% really the right number or not. But it went through the roof by 2021 into 2022 to 9%, and the Fed had to do something. They’ve been pushing it down. Obviously, I think the last number of inflation is around 6.0%, very close to 6.0%. Clearly, the interest rate increases have been working in really containing and reducing inflation, but this is the side effect. Bertrand Yes, it’s definitely a side effect. Why is it a side effect? It’s because when you increase rates, especially so fast as a bank, especially banks who have seen continuous increase in deposits, thanks to the monetary inflation over the past few years. If you have bought assets, long-term bonds at low rates, suddenly with the rate increase, the value of your bonds is decreasing. Bertrand For me, what’s also interesting in all of this, and we keep learning more and more in the coming few days, but if I look at regulators, it looks like as well, they were asleep at the wheel. I was reading that a very recent FDIC stress test was not including any chance of rate increase in 2022. That proof for me is that banks officials were not doing what they were supposed to do in terms of diversifying risk, preparing to different situations. But the regulators were absolutely of the same mind. Apparently we talk more into the specifics of SVB, but several banks that went bankrupt actually just got their auditing released and done and stamped by KPMG in the past few days. We’re talking about two weeks and everything was supposedly all right. Nuno Just to clarify, they went bankrupt or they went under this systemic approach, either at FDIC or the Janet Yellen announcement? Because formally, I don’t think they’re bankrupt. Bertrand FDIC took them over, but took SVB over Friday morning. Let’s not forget we had another bank, Silvergate. The day before all this maelstrom on Wednesday I believe last week, didn’t technically went bankrupt but was ceasing operation.

Mar 19, 202336 min

39 – How to manage, get the most of your Board and how to be a great board member – 2 of 2

In this final episode on Boards of Directors, we will share tips for successful board meetings, how to manage them, how to be a value-add board member and insights on advisors and advisory boards. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: Tips for Successful Board meetings (02:11) Section 2: How to manage your Board (18:24) Section 3: For Board members (25:52) Section 4: Advisory Board / Advisors (33:09) Conclusion (49:19) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show:   Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Nuno Welcome to Episode 39 of Tech DECIPHERED, where we continue our discussion around how to best manage your board and get the most out of it, as well as how to be a great and hopefully non-dysfunctional board member. Nuno In this episode, we will talk about tips for successful board meetings, how to manage your board, and we’ll go into details on anything from agendas to how to organize the cadence of it, KPIs, et cetera. How to think through advisory board members and advisors and how they’re different from consultants and contractors, and also on how to be a fully functional board member and bring value to the company that you’re a board member of. Section 1: Tips for Successful Board meetings (02:11) Nuno Maybe we go to tips for successful board meetings and door calls. Maybe we go to the first one, which I know is one of your favorites. Bertrand I think it’s quite key to be prepared for your board meeting, and it works for both sides, the execs, the CEO, and on the other side, investors, people who receive the communication from the company. That part is quite critical. Bertrand Myself, not initially, but at some point when I was running my previous business, App Annie, Data.ai now, one thing I did after ending up sending a board deck and board back instead of the usual two days before a board meeting to send it a few hours before. I was not feeling very good about how it worked out. I ended up approaching that to share stuff at least a week in advance. Bertrand That might sound crazy from a lot of perspective, but at the end of the day, it’s a question of just organization. There is no reason you cannot do a week in advance. You can do two days in advance, but you would have more time. If it slips, it’s no big deal. If it slips by a day. Bertrand What it also gives you is the opportunity to potentially reach out to different board members between the moment where you send your board materials and the moment where you have your board meetings. It gives you more time to set up some calls, to answer some questions, highlight some points. Bertrand If you have time to do that between sending your board back and having a board meeting, you will have a much more streamlined board meeting itself because if the big questions have been discussed in one-to-one, if some controversies have been addressed in one-to-one, things will go a lot smoother. Bertrand Surprisingly enough, some board member might prefer more challenging confrontational type of board discussion. Personally, I don’t if it’s not needed, but working that way gives you definitely some more efficient board meetings. Nuno To your point, manage this thoughtfully. Again, when you’re sending board materials, you send it to observers as well, et cetera. If you have some lead board directors, in particular from investors, that are material to you and you know there’s going to be a complex conversation at the board meeting, have that conversation even before you send those materials because you might not want to have some of this material sent out. Nuno Again, be very thoughtful how this done. I think Bertrand, you alluded to a best practice. Sadly, I have very few boards that I sit on that send their decks and their information and financials a week before. I would love to have more. I’ve had people sending the day of and I’m like, “I don’t know what you want me to say.” Bertrand That’s clearly unacceptable. Nuno In that case, you need to say, “It can’t happen again.” In particular, if we have quarterly board meetings, which has become, again, the norm during these bullish times of the last three or four years. And if it’s quarterly, honestly, a week, you should have enough time to prepare and send a week before. Worst case, you send three or four days before, but again, you should send them well in advance. Nuno Be very thoughtful, again, what

Feb 28, 202350 min

38 – How to manage, get the most of your Board and how to be a great board member – 1 of 2

In this episode, we will explain what a Board of Directors is and is *not*, its roles & responsibilities, and how it should evolve over time. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: What is a Board of Directors (02:10) Section 2: Taxonomy (06:20) Section 3: Evolution of Board structure over time (12:08) Section 4: Board Composition (18:38) Conclusion (29:47) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand Welcome to Tech DECIPHERED, episode 38. This is the first of two episodes where we will discuss about how to manage your board from a CEO perspective, mostly. The idea here is to talk about why do you want a board, what’s the purpose of a board, what would be the taxonomy about running a board, the evolution of a board, its composition, how you should manage your board, as well as other board, like an advisory board, as well as sharing some perspective from a board member perspective or from an advisor perspective. Section 1: What is a Board of Directors (2:10) Nuno Indeed. Maybe we start at the beginning. What is a board of directors? I think that might be a question that gets thrown quite a bit. I’ll read from a definition. Some of the stuff we’ll be doing today is based on a document I prepared a very long time ago and some other things that Bertrand dug out. But just to directly quote, a board of directors is a body of elected or appointed members who jointly oversee the activities of a company or organization. A board’s activities are determined by the powers, duties, and responsibilities delegated to it or conferred on it by an authority outside itself. These matters are typically detailed in the organization’s bylaws. What is a board? A board represents, basically, normally actually shareholders. Shareholders and other stakeholders in a company. It depends on the country. We know, for example, in Germany, that boards of directors also have in many cases representation by unions. But in the case of what we will discuss today for the most, we’re going to talk about startups and tech companies. Normally, boards represent shareholders, and they represent the interests of shareholders. So the people that are on a board of directors are there to make decisions around a couple of areas that are vital to the well-being and growing of the company in representation of a larger group of shareholders. Nuno The typical duties of boards of directors obviously include the governance of the company, so all the key policies and objectives of the company. The selection, appointment, supporting, and reviewing of the performance of a chief executive. We’ll come back to that as well. It’s normally a contentious issue, but it is the responsibility of the board to do that. Making sure that the company has their adequate financial resources to sustain itself, to be a growing concern, proving annual budgets, strategic items, any accounting that is done to other stakeholders of the company, including shareholders. And last but not the least, and there’s many other things a board can do, but last but not the least, setting the salaries and compensations for company management. This should be interpreted under the logic of the senior people of the company, certainly the CEO, maybe founders, and other core people to the company. In a nutshell, what the board is responsible for is governance on the one hand, and on the other hand, what I would call mostly strategic decisions. Strategic decisions that link to the financial well-being of the company and that link to its organizational stand, that link to its strategic elements. Nuno What does a board not do? A board is not the executive committee of the company. It’s not responsible for day-to-day decisions or management of the company. We’ll talk about it later. And when we talk about composition, there might be members of the board of directors that are executives, but the board is not responsible for day-to-day. It’s not responsible for managing Johnny or Mary, or making sure that they’re doing a good job on their day-to-day basis, etc, etc. It might be that Johnny or Mary are strategic in some discussions that get brought to the board, but it’s definitely not the board’s responsibility to manage them on a day-to-day basis. It’s definitely not the board’s responsibility to manage the operations of the company on a day-to-day basis Bertrand Ma

Feb 2, 202331 min

37 – When to talk and when to keep your mouth shut… we sort of predicted the FTX debacle. Really!

We sort of predicted the FTX and SBF debacle… seriously! How much are CEOs’ political and socio-economic views welcome publicly? How about employees’? How much is too much? In this episode of season 3 of Tech Deciphered, we talk about founders & CEOs activism, employee activism and share our tips on when to talk and when to just… keep your mouth shut. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: Founders & CEOs activism (02:13) Section 2: M&A changes everything (20:09) Section 3: Employee activism (27:38) Section 4: Bring it all together (39:24) Conclusion (44:57) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Nuno Goncalves Pedro Welcome to Episode 37 of Tech Deciphered. In this episode, we will address CEO and employee activism. How much is too much? We will touch upon a few CEO-activism events that are recent. We will also talk about how M&A changes everything. Nuno Goncalves Pedro We will then address employee activism, which has become more exacerbated over the last three years. Finally, we’ll bring it all together. How much is too much? Should you be in the media all the time? How much should your PR department control of what you say? How much should you listen to your employees? How much, as an employee, should you actually speak out? Section 1: Founders & CEOs activism (02:13) Bertrand Schmitt I think Nuno that’s a timely topic and it’s something that, for the good or for the worse, has been changing, maybe quite dramatically, if you compare the last decade versus how businesses used to be run before. I guess, of course, it’s thanks to change in technologies. You have your cell phone always available. You can talk to people. You can record, you can tweet, you can do video. Bertrand Schmitt I guess step by step, CEOs, employees discovers that they actually could have more of a voice, and there might be less need for a middleman to express your opinion. As a result, you communicate more easily. If you stop communicating publicly, challenges can start to increase. It’s a brand-new world out there. Nuno Goncalves Pedro As Spiderman would say, or actually his uncle, “With great power comes great responsibility.” Unfortunately, sometimes, people forget the responsibility piece and maybe they tweet at the wrong times of the day, or they say the wrong things without really checking themselves up. Part of it we’ll discuss today. Sometimes when you share on social media, obviously, it lacks context, it’s misinterpreted, or sometimes it’s just plainly wrong, which is also the case. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Shall we start? How much should one have an opinion on specific topics, geopolitical topics that are important socially? How much should a CEO or founder have an opinion on? Maybe we’ll talk about a few examples. Bertrand Schmitt I think traditionally, the approach was, if you’re in the economic sphere, you are out of the public sphere, you are out of the political sphere, and you are very careful and measured about how you communicate. Usually, you have a big PR department, all focused on supporting you and the message you are supposed to convey, and you certainly don’t go off the cuff. Bertrand Schmitt Obviously, things have changed since the past 10 years. It’s not easy for a CEO to make that decision to do more, but sometimes you have no choice. I think some interesting examples, a few years back, maybe actually with COVID, we saw some tension about, basically, should you be focused as a company on your mission first at the extent of anything else? Bertrand Schmitt We have seen quite a bit happening in that sphere. Maybe two companies have, in some ways, best showcased to extremes. On one side, you have the Salesforce of the world who is definitely trying to take every topic out there that you can find and trying to push the company itself and its employees to become “good citizens” and to influence the public sphere. We can remember, for instance, how Salesforce was pushing for new taxation scheme in San Francisco, hopefully, to help some people. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Others beyond themselves, because I do think that they got at some point some tax break as a company in SF and that may have rippled to others. Bertrand Schmitt Some would say that it was a clever ploy to actually make it more painful for other companies, especially the competitors to operate in San Francisco.

Nov 29, 202247 min

36 – My Company is in Trouble. What Should I Do? End of our 2 part episode

“I am leading or involved in a company… and we are in trouble. What should I do?” In this episode, we share what do when you are in trouble and what to do if everything else fails. This is the second and final episode on this topic. For more information, also listen to episode 35 Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: What to do, if the company is in trouble? (02:04) Section 2: What if all else fails? (34:46) Conclusion (47:21) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to Tech Deciphered Episode 36. It’s our second episode about, “My Company’s in Trouble. What Should I Do?” In the previous episode, we talked about the context. We talked about how to determine if your company is in trouble. And we talked about what being relatively safe looks like. In this episode, we are going to talk about what to do if your company is in trouble, as well as what are your options if all else is failing. Section 1: What to do, if the company is in trouble? Nuno Goncalves Pedro Let’s say that actually, you are in trouble, that you’ve done the analysis, you’re running out of cash quickly. Your economics are very poor. Your burn is difficult to turn around. What do you do? What is the first thing that you do? Bertrand Schmitt I think the first thing that you do is as management, as a board, to acknowledge you have an issue. That’s really the first thing. Acknowledge you have an issue and then start working together, management and board of directors to get in agreement into what is, at the very least, what is our current situation, not even what we should do about it, but always a level of risk, level of tension. The analysis done of what’s happening so that you can start smartly discussing about the option for the business. But we saw an acknowledgement across a team of professionals, execs, and board of directors, it’s very difficult to move forward. If one side believes a business is doing alright and there is no biggies, that’s an issue. If one side believes that, hey, it’s not that great in term of burn rate, but we would get financing easily. That’s trouble if the other side doesn’t believe that. And usually, that might be your board who doesn’t believe it would be that easy to fundraise. I guess it depends. But it’s really key to be aligned about the analysis. I’ve seen companies, I think it’s less true now, but if you look at in June or May that still we’re not acknowledging what was happening in the market, it was crazy for me. It’s like, guys, this has happened for six months now. You need to acknowledge it’s a different economic condition and what was investable, and we go back to the default investable in November of 2021, is not default investable in September 2022. And the gap might be pretty big. I can see that some people at the first bear markets really start to think, Oh, good times are back. No, no, they’re not coming back. Not so easily. And you cannot build and bet your business just based on bet ready for a few weeks. Or both sides of the table need to come into agreement about the burn rate situation, the capacity of the company to deliver on its revenues and its projections of top line, specifically, but also about bottom line and get into agreement about what it means in terms of ability to fundraise. Nuno Goncalves Pedro And let’s say we have agreement, so board, executives, everyone’s like, we are in trouble. What we’re going to share with you next is a little bit the menu. Okay. We’re in trouble. What do we do? This is the menu a la carte. Some of these you can bundle, you can mix and match. But this is like a menu of things you can choose to do. The first and foremost thing you can do in terms of order, and this is in an ideal scenario, is control your own destiny. And the levers you have in controlling your own destiny are relatively simple. One is top line What can I do about my top line? And my top line is my sales, my revenues. So can I charge more from existing clients? Can I play a little bit with pricing? Can I create distinctive pricing maybe for new customers? Can I ask some of our existing customers to pay more in advance or contracts that I’m negotiating right now, ask them to pay more in advance? Can I shift around cash and not just money? Again, one key lever that yo

Nov 1, 202248 min

#35 – Start of Season 3 – My Company is in Trouble. What Should I Do?

“I am leading or involved in a company… and we are in trouble. What should I do?” In this episode, the beginning of season 3 of Tech Deciphered, we firstly share how to know when you are in trouble (spoiler alert: getting this right is essential) or … if you are “relatively safe”. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: Context (03:28) Section 2: How to know the company is in trouble (04:58) Section 3: What does “being relatively safe” look like? (17:15) Conclusion (28:17) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Nuno G. Pedro Welcome to season three of Tech Deciphered. We have many surprises in store for the season. But to start, we will have two episodes: Episode 35 and 36, on the topic of My Company is in Trouble. What should I do? In these two episodes, we will discuss context on what is happening currently in the market. But more importantly, we’ll help you figure out if your company is in trouble or not, maybe the most important of the first questions that you should answer. Secondly, we will talk about what to do if your company is indeed in trouble. And coming from different perspective, not just the perspective of the CEO, but also of people that are involved at the board level or relatively senior people that are involved in the future of the company. And finally, we come to the “what if all fails” piece, right? If everything’s failed, what should I do? It’s going to be an interesting set of questions, and hopefully, our answers will be helpful to you all. Section 1 – Context Bertrand Schmitt Thank you, Nuno. Yeah, it would be exciting to start this Episode 35. Maybe to share more context, we can start first with our last two episodes about the bubble bursting, winter coming. I guess winter is getting closer. A lot of great companies, tech companies today, they are valued at 50% of what they were worth last year. Fifty percent, five-zero. And it’s not just 50%; it’s 50% versus a year ago. Imagine the company attempt to grow, to expand their business, to be more successful, but the market are still valuing it 50% lower. That’s happening for a lot of great companies in tech. If I take some private market, this company in the buy-now-pay-later space that announced pretty recently, [inaudible 00:01:42], that they were moving from $46 billion valuation last year to 6 billion market cap this year for the last round of financing, which is a huge gap. We’re not talking about 50% anymore. We are talking about 90%. It probably happened because they had to mirror what happened in the public market with other competitors in that space who end up being in a similar situation of losing 90% market cap. Of course, the private market had to react and adjust to that new situation, and you cannot keep disconnecting yourself from the relatives of public markets, especially if you are at very late stage. Nuno G. Pedro You have Zoom that was close to 160 billion at the top of it in 2020. Top of COVID, I guess, and now at 25 billion or so. There’s been some interesting… And this is a public company. Bertrand Schmitt We are not talking about Peloton. Nuno G. Pedro We’re not talking about Peloton. The whole COVID effect also being felt very strongly in many industries. Bertrand Schmitt Yes, Peloton is actually on 15X. Nuno G. Pedro That’s not too bad. Bertrand Schmitt It’s in way more serious financial trouble than some of these companies we are talking about. Nuno G. Pedro Today, we will talk about a variety of situations. This question has been asked to us by some of our listeners, which is, okay, now some companies are in actual trouble, and we always have to qualify what does that mean? What does actual trouble mean? A company like Zoom that is worth significantly less than they were during COVID height, I mean, it’s troublesome for Eric and for the leadership team, but honestly, there was a readjustment of their value, and probably now they’re undervalued. Section 2 – How to know the company is in trouble? Nuno G. Pedro It doesn’t mean that Zoom is not a valuable company. If we look at some of readjustments that we saw around companies like Facebook and Amazon and others, these are not companies that are in trouble. They have had readjustments and reset things. These two episodes will focus a little bit more on actual trouble. Not just valuation trouble but actual trouble. Li

Oct 6, 202229 min

#34 – Winter Has Arrived – Part 2 – End of Season 2 … the Burst of the Bubble and the Crisis Upon Us… What’s next?!

In this episode, the end of our 2nd Season, we close our discussion on the crisis that is upon us and deep dive on what will happen next. We finalize with a brief recap of our season 2 and on what we got right and wrong. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: What Will Happen Next Section 2: End of Season 2 – a Quick Recap Conclusion Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand Welcome to Tech Deciphered episode 34. This is our second episode on the bubble that’s finally burst winter that has arrived. We will talk more in this episode about what will happen next. If you want to listen to our episode 33, where we talk about what has happened, what is happening, go back to that episode. And for this one, we’ll be focused on future, short-term, medium-term, where we believe this is going. Nuno So what is happening next? There were some significant changes in the world that we’re really not coming back from. And we’ve heard some amazing things and some well-written analysis, or at least some very pointed notes from people like Benedict Devin and many others that we have inspired ourselves with. Nuno But in effect that the whole notion of digitization is true, I think we have had a forced digitization over the last two years, which has really brought us forward. Our ability to do ecommerce, our ability to actually use services that we legacy services and have ways of interacting with those services that are more virtual than they were ever before, our ability to get telemedicine and many other things. Nuno So there’s been a lot of moving forward that has been positive. There’s a lot of things that, in our personal experiences, for example, in the home, we don’t accept anymore. I think Benedict was the one saying no one is going back to cable. I’m not sure that holes in that sense, but obviously there’s been a lot of court cutting streaming seems to have one day. Clearly, it was already relatively clear. Probably, it got accelerated through COVID. Nuno We’ll now see the reckoning of that in the next few years on who’s going to be the big winners in that space, but certainly, I think that’s moved forward. The ability for us to really communicate with each other at a distance is now a theme that needs to be addressed by everyone. So it’s no longer an afterthought. It’s not like, okay, oh, maybe we can get on a plane and go somewhere. No, no, no, no. Nuno Do we have a good way for our team, for example, in a professional environment, to interact with each other at a distance? What are the tools we have to do that in? So all this notion of hybrid versus remote versus being in the office doesn’t really matter. Remote work needs to work. And we’ve learned our lessons and there is a lot of tools missing. There’s a lot of things that haven’t been done properly. Nuno We also know for a fact that there are pieces of the acceleration that we saw in biotech driven by COVID and the vaccines that ultimately are here to stay. So there’s definitely not a going back on this either. Obviously, there’s a lot of work still to be done in digitization, in particular, across different sectors of the economy. Nuno But honestly, with all the tragedy that COVID has been and all the crap that we’ve been embedded in for the last two years as a global society, the silver lining is, guys, we’ve got the digitization we’ve been asking for. The whole digital transformation stuff we’ve been talking about, it happened in two years, what probably would have taken 10 years. Nuno And again, it’s not perfect, there’s still pieces missing. But even the pieces that are missing, I think, because of this shock that happened to the world, we are all working from home. Because of the shock, the pieces that are missing are now much clearer. The flaws in the systems and tools that we had are all much clearer. Nuno Again, I think this is an amazing situation for us to be in as investors. This is an amazing situation for us to be in as entrepreneurs. It is now clearer that there are things missing that we can build. Bertrand I totally agree. A lot of things got accelerated are not disappearing. Another big example is around the cloud computing. The move to the cloud has been accelerated. It’s more efficient, it’s easier, ultimately, for many cases, less c

Jul 26, 202240 min

#33 – Winter Has Arrived – Part 1 – the Burst of the Bubble and the Crisis Upon Us

Winter Has Arrived – the Burst of the Bubble and the Crisis Upon Us… AND WE GOT IT RIGHT! In this episode, we share … that we were right, all along. We were in a bubble and the crisis is upon us. We share context on the current crisis and what is happening, exactly at a macro level – inflation, recession, over-stimuli, etc – as well as in the start-up and VC world. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: First of All… We Told You So… Repeatedly (02:05) Section 2: What is Happening…Exactly (04:25) Conclusion (41:37) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Nuno Welcome to Episode 33 of Tech DECIPHERED. This will be the first of two episodes on the bubble bursting. We’ve called it very nicely. Winter has arrived when we’re really in summer. Today’s episode, we’re going to go through what’s happening exactly in this bursting of the bubble. But let’s actually start with congratulating ourselves in having predicted the bubble. There was a dramatic bubble and that it was going to burst, which we did in our duology on the bubble a couple of episodes ago Bertrand. Bertrand Yes, we released these two episode in October or November, about the bubble and how was supposed to burst at some point. I guess timing was perfect to talk about the bubble when it was at the top of the bubble, right before it start to explode. I think you could fit it in a lot of our discussion in the past two years on our podcasters, that we were on one side amazed to see the increase in transaction values, in VC financing and startup financing, and at the same time, constantly reminding that didn’t feel right, and this was probably just a big bubble, and we call it right. It’s not just about congratulating ourselves. At the end of the day, it’s a pretty scary times for everyone, but obviously, it happened for a reasonw and [inaudible 00:01:19] reasons, and that will help us understand what happened and what’s going to happen. Nuno Maybe a parenthesis… I think we got it right in several ways because when COVID first hit, we were predicting that that mini-crash was going to lead to a fundamental crash, and it didn’t. Part of what we’re now going and suffering through was that, because there wasn’t that crash, and the market continued to go bull market for another two years, thank you very much, because of governments giving money, incentives to consumption, a bunch of stuff that was really artificial now we know, we ended up actually having top of the market when we did launch the duology in 2021. Nuno I know it’s not a great signal. I certainly, I think, in my own professional activity as an investor, in looking at companies et cetera I’ve used it. I used it throughout to advise my companies, “Raise now when never knows when it’s going to burst”, “Make sure that you have a plan B”. There was a lot of things that instructed me in how I behaved within my professional activity. Nuno I’m sad to say that it didn’t inform everything that I do. I probably could have avoided one or two things on that if I’d sort of followed my own advice on it. But in some ways, having been disciplined through the last year and a half, two years, and now we looked at investments. In some ways, I feel a bit vindicated. I don’t want to do the “I told you so”, but we told them so. Now, we have plenty of proof that we told them so. There’s episodes, two episodes that talk about it in October, November, last year. Although I know this is not about really being vindicated or not, it is good to know that we weren’t smoking dope, that we were seeing something that made sense. Bertrand I will say that the sad truths about this and about people who tell you they cannot see the bubbles, because actually, you can see the bubbles, actually. It’s pretty obvious and I think you have to be pretty blind not to see them. Unfortunately, our officials, elected or not, seem to be totally blind to this sort of stuff. I don’t know if it’s simply incompetence or if it’s on purpose, but this is what we have to deal with at this stage. Maybe to go back in time, as we discuss, indeed, initially, we are very scared about the impact of COVID you don’t put hundreds of millions in lockdown. We saw consequence. Early on it was probably the best approach

Jul 26, 202242 min

#32 – Leadership and Management – Part 2 – How to execute, values systems and our core beliefs

In this episode, we end our discussion on Leadership and Management: we delve into how to execute; explore values systems, including our own; and share our core beliefs.  Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: How to Execute (02:08) Section 2: Culture & Values, Our Core Beliefs (20:11) Conclusion (34:57) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand Schmitt Welcome to Episode 32 of Tech DECIPHERED, our second and last episode of this series on leadership and management. In our previous episode, Episode 31, we focus on defining leadership versus management. We spend time talking about the different styles of leadership management. In this episode, Episode 32, we are going to focus on how to execute and how to create and build the right culture through the right values. Section 1 – How to Execute Nuno Goncalves Pedro How to execute, how to do this? What are the levers that you have to lead and to manage? Bertrand Schmitt I would like to share one perspective I’ve got, what the CEO’s job? I’m talking about a company at some level of scale, obviously not five people, ten people team, but we’re talking about 50 people plus type of company. What’s your job at scale? I believe that you have to have on one side a deep vision, clear vision. You have to bring your team on board. You have to either keep convincing your existing team, bring new members on board, evaluate existing ones, and you have to manage the cash, because if you run out of cash, that’s a big problem. In a way, there is this metaphor of being like the bus driver. You have to view outside of you, you have to let people in, sometimes, unfortunately, let people out, and you have to keep the gas. If you don’t do all these three, at the very least, that’s big trouble for the business. As we discussed, if you are a tech organization, specifically a tech company, you probably need to be as well a product CEO. But at the very core at minimum, you need these three vision, bringing a team, managing cash, as the key pieces of the game as a CEO. Nuno Goncalves Pedro Agreed. I would make a caveat here, which is my view on product CEOs in tech is they are the most dominant type. There are other types that work well, in particular in the B2B environment, in business-to-business. The more commercial-driven CEO, the person who has extreme experience in sales or in business development or corporate development. We’ve seen a few of those people doing very well in B2B. Again, by nature, tech product CEOs do relatively well. But in B2B, certainly I think we’ve seen great examples of amazing CEOs that, honestly, are not that technical. But they are very good at selling and they’re very good at doing a bunch of other things. There’s a few people that come to mind, but again, not to get any hate mail, I will not go into details. I agreed fully with your vision, Bertrand, and the metaphor is very accurate on the bus. The job of the CEO has several dimensions to it as well. Effectively, a CEO needs to manage for the long term and for the short term, and when managing for the long term, strategy comes into play. A set of integrated actions that leads to competitive advantage. Normally, you measure it in years, two to five years. It’s something that is really far in the future. You have tactics. Normally, tactics is something that you think through as more the one to two year things. It might be a big initiative, a big product launch, something that is neither four or five years from now, but certainly not something that we’re going to get done this year. You need to think through how that is done and then serve the classic final pieces operations, which is the one month, three months, six months, one year, we need to get this done. What are we doing in our day to day and how are we thinking through this? In some ways, the CEO role is very difficult because of this, because it is a little bit of a necessarily paranoid role where you’re always looking very, very far ahead and trying to think about two to five years, how big can this be and how can we scale, et cetera, but at the same time, you’re thinking about right now and what happened today and how can I compete and how can I go and do this, et cetera. What makes this particularly difficult is time allocation, for example. How do I allocate my time? I remember having clients at Mc

May 31, 202236 min

#31 – Leadership and Management – Part 1 – Often spoken about, rarely understood

In this episode, we demystify Leadership and Management: we delve into what sets them apart; typify the different styles; explore values systems, including our own and share our core beliefs. As always, we go below the surface and deep dive into this topic, at a time when it matters more than ever. This episode, on the topic of leadership and management, will be concluded by episode 32. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: Definition (01:58) Section 2: Typifying Leaders (06:34) Conclusion (38:56) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Nuno Welcome to our Episode 31, the first of two episodes on leadership and management. Bertrand and I will demystify leadership and management, define the difference between both, typify them, explore value systems, and also share our own core beliefs. As always, no BS. We will go below the surface and deep dive into this topic. Section 1 – Definition Nuno From the ground up let’s start with the actual definition of this and a bit of a caveat emptor. Buyer be aware, as they call it. Obviously we will share what we think are great practices of leadership and management, but by no means these are the only practices, and by no means we aim to be professorial about it. Secondly, most importantly, probably by sharing our own views, we’re not saying that we are amazing leaders or managers. Obviously, that’s not for us to judge, but for people that have worked with us, for us, with us along the years. So that is not the assumption. Obviously, there is some assumption that we have something to say about this topic, otherwise you wouldn’t be listening. But we don’t aim to be arrogant enough to say that. Maybe starting with the definition of leadership versus management, and this comes from someone I used to work with, a very good friend, but also someone I worked with for a very long period of time in two different roles. The way she would qualify the difference between leadership and management is, if the objective function is to get to hell, a leader is the person that can convey to people with amazing charisma and presence that we’re going to go to hell and hopefully we’ll come back for sure, hopefully we’ll come back, etc. The leader will likely not define necessarily very much how one will get to hell and back, but they will convince people to go with them, certainly the first time around. A great manager might lack the charisma, but the great manager will define the steps to get to hell and back, will be clear about what needs to be done to get to hell and back. They might have difficulty in convincing people to go to hell in that first time, but it will be easier for them to convince them to go or try to go to hell a second or third time, even if they fail the first time, because they have a clearer view of the process to get there. So again, a leader normally, in my opinion, a little bit more linked to… In some ways great aspects of charisma and management is basically linked to great aspects of understanding steps that need to be done and things that need to be done. A great manager might not be a great leader. A great leader might not be a great manager. There are very few great leaders that are great managers. So that’s maybe a little bit more flesh around the definition. Bertrand, do you agree with that definition? Bertrand That definition would be fit for Churchill, for instance, Churchill fighting the Germans, fighting Nazi Germany. That’s really what he did to rise to the occasion and convince people to fight. I think it’s an interesting version. I’ve never heard this one. I guess you have different type of leaders, different type of situation, different type of CEO, but this one is the benefit to be very generic and very illustrative. Nuno Yes. We should talk a little bit about the origins of management. Management as a so-called science is relatively young. We should go back to people like Peter Drucker—may he rest in peace—people that started looking at management and formulating what management actually is and the different sides and aspects of management. I’m a computer engineer by background. I have a Masters in science, computer engineering, and I had a professor for a management optional, but he was an engineer himself, that used to say, “Management arose from engineers not wanting to do management as a science.” I always felt

May 19, 202240 min

#30 – The Metaverse Part 2 – Final Episode – Straight talk on the Key Players and what they are up to, and Implications for Entrepreneurs and Investors

In this, the final episode on the Metaverse – or is the Metaverses – we discuss what the Key Players are doing in the space, as well as the so-whats for entrepreneurs and investors. As you, our listeners are accustomed to, only straight talk and “straight shooting” in this duology on the Metaverse. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: Key players (02:02) Section 2: So-whats for entrepreneurs and investors (22:36) Conclusion (30:35) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder of App Annie / Data.ai, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand Welcome to episode thirty, our second episode on the metaverse. In episode 29, we talk about our definition of the metaverse, we talk about the key enablers for the metaverse. This episode will have two section. One, first section around the key players. And we will have a section about what it means. The so what for entrepreneurs and VCs. Nuno, should we go into the key players? Section 1: Key Players (02:02) Nuno And a very good segue to what the key players are doing around the metaverse or the metaverses and all these different technologies. And maybe sticking to Google again, not because we dislike them particular. I think we’ve shown them a lot of fondness in the past. But we’re starting with another failure, Google Glass, which I already talked about earlier. I love those glasses. They were so cool. There was so much promise in it and then nothing. It was just like, nothing’s gonna happen. Sorry guys. Bertrand For me, it was also an example of something that was hyped way too much, way too early, and totally out of context. When you have something for total geek that are only going to touch the most crazy early adopters of all, why do you start to brand it? I remember they were showing off celebrities at modeling shows. It was like crazy. It was as if it was going to be mainstream next month. It’s like, wow, a lesson of how to set expectations wrong, as if they did everything they could to make sure it was really going to fail. Because the expectations are so disconnected from the reality of how bad it was. Bad maybe is a strong word. Nuno It wasn’t that bad for what it was. I think it’s more the point of what you’re making, yeah. Bertrand As we see today, it was at least 10 years too early. And you know there is something in history when people tell me, “Oh yeah, we’re just 10 years too early.” I’m like, “Oh yeah, that’s not much, ten years, I guess.” I don’t like it when people make it wrong by 10 years. There are so many things you could do instead, especially in our world of tech, where in some ways I feel it could be predictable. Google Glass, total fiasco, because it was 10 years too early. But I said 10 or maybe 20. Nuno Maybe 20. Bertrand The jury still out for this until we have something really working. What was about this other company that was promising crazy shit and ultimately went nearly bankrupt? Nuno Magic leap, yeah. By the way, I don’t know anyone there. I’m telling our friends just as a way to not throw them under the bus. Yeah, Magic Leap. Bertrand But Magic Leap is a fantastic company. I was from very far smelling a rat. I will call it a rat when you burn billions of dollars and you don’t deliver at all anything of value, at least value connected to how much money was invested in the business. I wish them the best in their new version, just focused on enterprise. But there was so much bullshit. And I’m frustrated because some of these companies are so much actively destroying value. And they have a lot of people who put years of their life, in this trying to make it work when ultimately there was not much if anything. And it’s easy to create hype but it’s another thing to deliver. There have been constantly shocked. And for me, what something typical is when you’re very secretive about it when you promote too much hype, you are very secretive of how it works. Typically it doesn’t end well. Either you are fully secretive, like Apple and you wait until it release, and I respect that 100% or you are very more transparent. You have to be transparent. So in a way, people probably do not like us to talk about Magic Leap because it’s making their metaverse effort look in danger. But I would say that the life of tech there has been a lot of promising companies in some ways that go bust. And a few years after that, you h

Apr 27, 202231 min

#29 – The Metaverse Part 1 – What is it? When will we have it?

In this episode, we talk about the Metaverse – or is the metaverses? – specify what it is/will be, debunk myths around it and detail its/their key enablers. Everything you wanted to know and also … that you didn’t know you needed to know. This will be followed by episode 30, focusing on understanding what the key players are doing in this realm, as well as implications to entrepreneurs, investors and others. Navigation: Intro (01:34) Section 1: The Typical Silicon Valley hype machine?/ Definition of Metaverse (01:57) Section 2: Key enablers to the Metaverse (17:44) Conclusion (41:21) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder at App Annie, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Nuno Welcome to episode 29. In this episode, we will go into the metaverse, not literally, but we will discuss the metaverse, its definitions, how people see it evolving, its core enablers, and some of the lessons learned that we believe entrepreneurs and venture capital firms should have. Bertrand, metaverse, what is the metaverse? Bertrand Big question. I guess that’s a billion dollar question. There’s been so many definition of what the metaverse is or is not. I like one definition from Matthew Ball—a well respected analyst—and I believe he has his own VC firm. By his definition, “Metaverse is a massively scaled and interoperable network of real time rendered 3D virtual worlds, which can be experienced synchronously and persistently by an effectively unlimited number of users with an individual sense of presence, and with continuity of data such as identity, history, entitlements, objects, communications, and payments.” Bertrand That’s the full definition. I like it, because you are not missing any piece of the puzzle, at the same time, by its very complexity, I feel it’s showing us that it’s not an easy definition. It might even be seen as a very contrive definition. If you think about the internet, how different is it really? The 3D part for sure. Beyond that, it’s not very clear, actually, except that it’s maybe more unified than the internet that we know. You could argue if you are just inside Facebook, how different it is about just being inside Facebook and just never leaving Facebook. Of course it to be horrible, at least from my perspective, using Facebook less and less. That’s one vision. Some will say, we’ll talk about what it is, but also what it is not. I will quote again Mathew Ball. For him it’s not just a virtual world. It’s not just a virtual space. It’s not just VR. It’s not just a digital virtual economy. It’s not just a game. It’s not just a virtual theme park. It’s not a new app store. It’s not a New UGC platform. For sure, it’s a big buzzword in Silicon Valley these days, especially thanks to meta rebranding itself. Just from that perspective, it was huge on Google trends. Since the renaming of Meta everyone has been Googling what the metaverse is, I guess. What you think, Nuno? Nuno A lot of respect for Matthew Ball as an analyst, and his definition, as sound as all the other definitions that are out there. I have a couple of objections to his definition. It starts with interoperable. It starts with, “The metaverse as a massively scaled and interoperable network of real-time render 3D virtual worlds.” Interoperability is not a given in the metaverse. Nobody has told us that the metaverse will be an interoperable bunch of worlds working together. Actually, if I had to make a bet, using my computer engineer hat and architect, we will not end up in anything that is interoperable. We’ll end up in silos of worlds that are interoperable between them, but they’re owned by specific entities. So in my simplistic world of the old internet, if we’re delayering the internet, when we’re thinking through the network layers, the transport layer, where TCP/IP was lying, I think the analogous of what we’re having going forward might, in some ways, be fulfilled by what now people are calling—in my opinion very poorly—web 3.0, which I would call internet three, sort of the blockchain stack and what’s being implemented. Again, I’m not saying it’s all going to be blockchain, but there’s some elements of that that might be blockchain. Here the analogy is, this is the upper layers, this is the application and presentation layers, that’s where the metaverse w

Apr 14, 202242 min

#28 – Strategic investors – a Mistake or real Value-Add?

In this episode, we talk about Strategic Investors, detail what they are, their underlying realities and structures of operation, and present the case For and Against them. We also share Lessons Learnt that can be of value to you, if you are an Entrepreneur, a Financial/Institutional VC or a Strategic Investor.  Navigation: Intro (01:33) Section 1: Context Setting (02:44) Section 2: The Bad Examples (12:01) Seciton 3: The Good Examples (21:39) Section 4: Other Players Join the “Party” (36:30) Section 5: Lessons Learnt for Strategic Investors, Entrepreneurs and VCs (41:25) Conclusion (51:31) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder at App Annie, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show:   Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Bertrand: Welcome to episode 28 of Tech DECIPHERED. This is a special episode on the topic of strategic investors. What are they, who are they, and are they helpful, how helpful can they be? I think it’s one of the typical questions as an entrepreneur you would have to answer when you are considering getting financing. What type of investors, should I bring on board? And typically, early on, you might look at business angels. You might look at seed fund. And at some point, you would consider working with VCs. And you will probably discover that you have different type of VCs.  On one side the sides we typically hear about in the news, in the press we are talking about more financial VCs. And on the other side of the spectrum you have what is called strategic investors, strategic VCs. Strategic sometimes for short. And we are going to talk about them. Who are they, what are they helpful for, how useful they are, how bad could they be for your business, for your startup.  Welcome, Nuno, good to be with you to discuss this topic. How are you today?  Nuno: I am well, in sunny California, so very well.  Section 1 – Context Setting (02:44) Nuno: Maybe starting by defining what is strategic investors and where does that come from? The notion of they invest in, but they also contribute something that is more strategic. Maybe in the form of a partnership, or in the form of resources or other types of things that you put at the table. Normally, strategic investors are looked in the light, or as opposed to financial investors. So investors that are solely driven by the financial return and therefore, also solely driven by the capital that they put in. The world has become a little bit muddy over the last decade or so. There’s now, investors that are more what I would call operating investor. So operating investors that jump into the company, and spend a significant part of their time in the company, sometimes even taking a significant part of the company, not just the classic minority in the company. But in order to simplify our discussion today, let’s stick to the financial investor side, and the strategic investor side. So a financial investor would be someone like Chameleon, Red River West other VC firms that are out there, Sequoia Capital. We are investors that invest in a company, the biggest upside we can get is really financial. And obviously, we will produce value for the company under the form of helping the company scale, helping the company hire, helping the company get access to resources, and a variety of other things. So there is a little bit more operational minus in VC in general today, but the key objective of the whole thing is financial returns. A strategic investor, in many cases, when we talk about it, we use strategic investor as opposed to corporations, but it means the same thing in our minds. Their main value out of investing in the company is not actually just financial. In many cases, it might be more nonfinancial than financial. And that’s what it being mean, strategic in that sense. So it’s not strategic, necessarily to the company they’re investing in, but it’s strategic to themselves as investors. They’re trying to reap benefits from investing in that company that are not just financial returns. And why would they do that? They would do that because they want to tap into a specific technology that’s being developed over time, and that they want to be one of the first users of it. They want to use it, and they want to tie it to other activities that they have within the company. So maybe to really set the stage of how do investments fit into, for example, corporations, let’s start with the broader remit of what a corporation does. Corporations

Feb 17, 202252 min

#27 – Start-up and investment landscape in Europe – the good, the bad and … the reasons for optimism

We deep-dive into the nuanced – and somewhat less than stellar – history of Tech in Europe and how start-ups and investors are making up for lost time, leading to an ever maturing ecosystem, with significant reasons for optimism. Finally, we discuss the increasingly intertwined destinies of US and European Tech. Navigation: Intro (01:33) Section 1: Framing the European start-up and investment landscape (02:20) Section 2: Investment Approach in Europe (17:18) Section 3: Movements from US to Europe (51:19) Section 4: Movements from Europe to US (59:02) Conclusion (1:05:39) Our co-hosts: Bertrand Schmitt, Entrepreneur in Residence at Red River West, co-founder at App Annie, business angel, advisor to startups and VC funds, @bschmitt Nuno Goncalves Pedro, Investor, Managing Partner, Founder at Chamaeleon, @ngpedro Our show: Tech DECIPHERED brings you the Entrepreneur and Investor views on Big Tech, VC and Start-up news, opinion pieces and research. We decipher their meaning, and add inside knowledge and context. Being nerds, we also discuss the latest gadgets and pop culture news Subscribe To Our Podcast Intro (01:34) Nuno: Welcome to episode 27 of Tech Deciphered. We’re going to address the tech landscape in Europe, focusing on the investment landscape, as well as the startup landscape, we will go into the typical entrepreneurial approaches as well as investment approaches in Europe, the mindsets, the tactics, the profiles, as well as the typical exits, we will then deep dive into the present state of Europe and how we see it evolve over time.  Bertrand: Thank you Nuno, good to be here today with you and to discuss this fascinating topic for us, we are both Europeans. Obviously I’m French, you’re from Portugal. We have seen the European landscape changing dramatically over the past 20, 25 years. So that will be very exciting to talk about this. Section 1 – Framing the European startup and investment landscape (02:20) Bertrand: I guess maybe we can start about controversies that happened a few months ago in June when The Economist had a big cover on the state of the investment in Europe and how Europe was really not doing much in the tech industry. interestingly enough, there was a quick swift reply from the founder and CEO of Stripe Patrick Collison, who is not just running Stripe from the U S but he’s also a European citizen being Irish  Nuno: Yeah. His comment was basically saying, all of the points that you raise are great, I think you haven’t really shown the case for optimism right? Where there’s a lot of great successful companies coming out of Europe. He was mentioning a few that, are obviously runaway successes, like Spotify, Klarna, N26, UIpath, wise and a few others. And he also obviously talks about Stripe and its role, although Stripe is more of an American company, to be honest, but Stripe in its role in working with very innovative companies in Europe as a counter position to the economists headline and main articles in that edition. So to be honest, I think he is onto something in saying there is a case for optimism that wasn’t duly manifested in that edition of your magazine or newspaper as they call it. It’s very funny cause they call the economists still the newspaper, although it’s in my view of magazine.  Bertrand: Maybe you want to restate the position of the economist. Nuno: Yeah. The position of the economist is that basically the U S has taken over, right? You have companies like apple that are worth more in their view than 30 firms in the German blue-chip Dax index combined. Obviously we have Amazon, we have Microsoft, we have Google all these are multi-trillion dollar companies now, actually. And so their point is, in some ways, Europe has lagged behind. I think their point was very focused also on the old Europe and where, even the big emerging tech winners, like SAP took a long time to get to fruition, took a long time to get to a certain scale. Whereas it seemed like magically in the US, they popped up not just like mushrooms, but they also got to valuations that were ridiculous much faster. So that was their position. I don’t think their position is totally wrong in some ways. And I believe it was an editor letter actually. So it was a letter to the editor by Patrick Collison, I guess if it wasn’t Patrick, they wouldn’t have published it. But it was a letter to the editor where he was saying well, you sort of missed the optimism case. And we will talk about it a little bit later in our section two and beyond, that there is definitely a lot of great stuff happening in Europe in terms of investment landscape ,startups swift changes in mindset from everyone concerned, all the key stakeholders around government, venture capital, private equity, the entrepreneurs themselves. So all of that I think is a case to be made. So it was a little bit of a semi controversy because the economi

Jan 5, 20221h 8m