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Saxo Market Call

Saxo Market Call

146 episodes — Page 3 of 3

Ep 1328Last chance saloon for the bears for a while?

Today, we run through a number of factors, from the very tactical, to the very big picture, on why bears might try to make a stand here - with earnings season in the wings to test this wildly bullish market anyway in the weeks ahead. Regardless, Trump's new populist pronouncements on big defense companies and companies buying US housing are pivotal, as they will have strong bipartisan support. Elsewhere, geopolitics will remain a massive distraction even if markets continue to ignore developments there for now, outside of European defense stocks, at least. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Jan 8, 202625 min

Ep 1327Big metals rebalancing incoming. Waiting for Godot, a.k.a. US dollar volatility.

Today, we note the strong risk-on vibe continues, though more in the broader market rather than in the megacaps. We also highlight that major commodity indices are in for an annual rebalancing in coming days, with interesting implications for gold, silver and even cocoa. There's also lots of Nvidia news shaking the autonomous driving space, very little going on in the FX space, though Aussie is doing its best to make noise and key US data incoming. This and more (including geopolitics and oil) on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Jan 7, 202623 min

Ep 1326Two Mag stocks aren't so happy. Also, can FX please be relevant again?

Today, a rundown of a positive day for stocks, though two Mag 7 stocks look rather weak here given the backdrop. We also discuss a reconstitution of our AI basket, FX trying to become relevant again with some possibly interesting moves developing and the hope that the US dollar can make a statement one way or another by the end of the week with key data incoming. A few comments on Venezuela and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Today's interesting link is to a comment on AgrisAcademy's X account by a former Cargill trader who describes what a failed state looks like from ground level. There is an awful lot to change to get a functioning economy again. For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Jan 6, 202614 min

Ep 1325Venezuela is probably just the start. Market shrugs, though US oil majors cheer.

Today, an assessment of the reasons behind the US' surgical removal of Venezuela's political leadership and what the fallout may be for oil and likely more importantly, geopolitically. We also bring the Iran situation into the conversation and note that it could prove a far bigger deal for oil and gas markets if sanctions are eventually lifted there. As well, we discuss the insane ramp in silver prices into year-end, the moves in FX and more. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Jan 5, 202619 min

Ep 1324Forecasts for 2026. Also: a stab at assembling a 2026 portfolio.

Today, we take a humble stab at forecasting the coming year, from the economy and global equity markets to outcomes for rates and FX, as well as touching on key policy and geopolitical topics with uncertain outcomes that could make a mockery of any forecast. We even assemble a sample portfolio for 2026 that we'll return to throughout the year. (Important: this is not a recommendation, it's presented in order to have as a point of departure for discussions). You can find the sample portfolio instruments listed in a coming post on the John J. Hardy substack (within a few hours of this podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 23, 202543 min

Ep 1323Why Tesla might rip higher again. Also, JPY at the precipice again.

Today, we look at equity markets trying to ramp up for a strong close to a strong year. On Tesla's recent share price ramp, we have finally gotten the memo, as there is clearly a SpaceX angle for the company's stock of late that could send it higher still depending on market conditions for an eventual SpaceX IPO and whether Tesla shareholders get special access. Elsewhere, the JPY tries to make a stand after Friday's ugly downdraft and as JGB yields spike again. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 22, 202516 min

Ep 1322DJT goes nuclear. Also, how can the yen be saved?

Today, a look at AI stocks trying to get back their stride, Trump's DJT stock now becoming a nuclear fusion play and thoughts on what exactly can stop the yen from weakening when the market continues to play the currency as an emerging market currency after today's BoJ hike, with weakness in the currency coinciding with new 26-year highs in the 10-year JGB yield, which has ripped higher through 2.00%. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 19, 202513 min

Ep 1321AI stocks on tilt, even if Micron isn't. JPY eyes BoJ.

Today, a look at a weak session for US equities, led by fresh selling in nearly everything AI-related, though Micron did all it could to right sentiment after the close with stunning forward projections. We also talk Oracle's latest stumbles, Nike earnings incoming and the European fashion space, macro and FX, especially the incoming Bank of Japan meeting Friday as yen traders are likely set to pounce. Today's pod features Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo and was hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Today's links: Ruben's look at European fashion stocks The epic Craig Tindale X post with a strategic analysis of critical materials supply chains - super stuff. Arnaud Bertrand breaks down the recent shocking US National Security Strategy document as a historic moment for Europe, finding parallels in Khrushchev's shocking the Soviet relationship with China. For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 18, 202529 min

Ep 1320Tesla all time high, metals mayhem and BoJ focus

On a meh day for US equities, retail traders take Tesla to a new all time highs on robo-taxi hopes. Elsewhere, we break down some critical news for owners of US defense stocks as Trump weighs moving against their buybacks and dividend payments. Elsewhere, we run through the latest on the crude oil and natural gas outlook, the wild price action in metals, a key US dollar reversal and the massive stakes going into the Bank of Japan meeting this Friday for the yen. This and more in today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to four hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 17, 202520 min

Ep 1319Sliding risk sentiment, but not for optimistic Tesla robo-taxi hopes

Today we look at another weak session for the US equity market, especially for many AI-related names, although Tesla had a banner day on hopes that its Robo-taxis are set to go driverless. We do some of the maths on robo-taxis to show why market hopes are so high - but also why the company must deliver them on a staggering scale to justify Tesla's share price. Thoughts on macro and FX ahead of key central bank meetings later this week and much more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 16, 202520 min

Ep 1318Signs of funds closing down for the year, but possibly pivotal week ahead

Today, a look at Friday's ugly session, where internals suggest a market where some of the pros may be in profit-taking mode ahead of year-end as some of the most recent high-profile gainers suffered an ugly setback while many weak companies posted strong gains. Also, a look at the busy calendar for the week ahead for macro traders, as we await key US data and central bank meetings, especially the Bank of England on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Today's link: Mike Green has made a huge splash on middle class financial insecurities and cost of living affordability challenges at surprisingly high income levels and was recently a guest on a very long form podcast discussing this very topic. Really critical to get at the root of why someone like Donald Trump has become president - because the system isn't working for most people anymore. For our longer form podcasts, you will also find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 15, 202510 min

Ep 1317Rebalancing away from AI continues, USTs still a concern

Today, we note the extension of the recent boom in the broader market and small caps relative to tech, as the relative rotation away from AI continues and Broadcom is the latest AI/tech megacap to be punished despite reporting strong results for last quarter after the close yesterday. We also profile an intriguing and wildly successful name for the last thirty years that reports next week, assessing Micron and its massive advance. Lots more on today's pod as well, especially on macro and FX and ongoing concern about the US treasury market and its potential to drive market volatility. Today's pod features Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 12, 202529 min

Ep 1316Oracle spoils post-FOMC pump, can Broadcom save the day?

Today, a look at the S&P 500 attempting a new all-time high and the broader market bulling up strongly on the nominally dovish FOMC meeting, only to be spoiled by the Oracle earnings after the close as investors worry about the company's rate of spending and cloud revenue miss. Can Broadcom earnings today save the day? Also, Carvana is about to be added to the S&P 500, but is it an out-and-out fraud and an eventual zero as many short sellers would maintain? This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 11, 202521 min

Ep 1315The stunning silver surge, the FOMC and prepping for a jobs apocalypse.

Today, we look at the equity and treasury markets holding their collective breath ahead of the FOMC tonight and what to watch for in the market's reaction today, noting that key incoming US macro data is in the mix as well. We also talk gold, the surge in silver and the crude outlook with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen. Also, one key listen for today asks the question of what would the market trajectory look like if AI causes unemployment rates to rise to 20%? Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 10, 202524 min

Ep 1314Is a volatility expansion on tap across markets post FOMC?

Markets are a bit nervous here ahead of the FOMC meeting tomorrow and the delayed key US data, with the key question afoot of whether the US treasury yields are set for a break higher, which could drive higher volatility across all other asset classes. Elsewhere, rising yields driving fresh woes for the JPY, with USD traders holding their breath trying to sort through the reaction function to different scenarios for US data. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 9, 202516 min

Ep 1313The 9-minute: Have we just seen a "harbinger of financial apocalypse"?

Today, a quick look around global markets, where the JPY can't find a bid as long as global bond markets are under pressure, the US stock market continues its odd, micro-volatile march higher and we have Netflix trying to acquire Warner Brothers-Discovery if the deal is approved, with the FT noting that some prior Warner Brothers takeovers have come at interesting market inflection points - see link below. Also, the big move in CAD on Friday and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. The FT notes a couple of prior Warner Brothers takeovers that came just before ugly bear markets. The longer versions of the Saxo Market Call usually feature a John J. Hardy substack post to accompany the show, with links and the chart-of-the-day. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 8, 20259 min

Ep 1312Small caps bull FTW, while USDJPY tilting, tilting....

Today - US small caps posting all-time highs while the action in the major indices remains positive, but moribund. Elsewhere, the JPY is knocking on key support levels in USDJPY and EURJPY is faltering within its very restricted range - is something finally afoot for JPY bulls. A look at the week ahead in macro and company earnings and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Our link of the day is to the White House's recent National Security Strategy for the USA, which spells out the US stance to the rest of the world, which in rough terms will likely outlive the Trump administration. There is no John J. Hardy substack to accompany today's podcast due to time constraints. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 5, 202515 min

Ep 1311Divergences under the surface extend further, while FX heating up.

Today, we note that the recent divergences we have highlighted have almost begun to hyperextend, as small caps, transports and other sectors had a banner day even as Mag7 and Tech were decidedly meh. Elsewhere, FX is heating up as the US dollar is breaking down and sterling is breaking up, among other developments. This, a bit of throwing shade on the concept of "dry powder" and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. One interesting link discussed on today's pod was on Japan's new Tagei submarine class - and its revolutionary battery-driven tech. There is no John J. Hardy substack to accompany today's podcast due to time constraints. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 4, 202527 min

Ep 1310Crosscurrents all around and outrageous predictions!

Today, a look at the many crosscurrents in this market as some beaten down names and formerly beaten down sectors have surged higher, while the attempt to get the AI and tech rally back on track has only been half-hearted. Also, macro and FX as the USD looks pivotal ahead of today's US data, some must reads and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Dec 3, 202519 min

Ep 1309Rotation a go-go and who gives a hoot about Hassett?

Today - a look at another day of powerful rotation moves across themes in the equity market and even within AI, why we shouldn't care that much about who replaces Powell at the Fed, the UK budget countdown today and the likely fallout, more across FX and macro and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 26, 202524 min

Ep 1308The 9-minute: Stonx FTW!

Today, the stonx are back after a ripping session on Wall Street, as are AI stocks, led by Google and Broadcom as Nvidia suffers from the competition heating up. Also, a look at Novo's latest woes and what it may have lost when it didn't succeed in its bid for Metsera. Macro and FX and more on the call. Today's reading link from Robin Brooks: The End of the Road for Japan on how Japan needs to change its ways as Takaichi's lil stimulus won't work. No new John J. Hardy substack post for today, but have a look at past posts there for more inspiration from the chart-of-the-day and must read links, etc. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 25, 20259 min

Ep 1307Welcome to the 9-minute.

Today we shake up the podcast format a bit, something we plan to do from here on out by offering shorter, sub-10 minute episodes for quicker turnaround, while keeping the longer format for perhaps once or twice a week. Today, a look at Friday's very interesting session that was chock full of remarkable divergences as small caps massively outperformed big tech. Also, some thoughts on European defense, crypto, macro and FX. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 24, 202510 min

Ep 1306Yesterday looked like an ugly "tell" for the market. Be careful out there.

Today, we break down a truly remarkable session yesterday, with new local highs on the sentiment boost from Nvidia's strong earnings and guidance completely wiped out as the market was stung for a loss on the day and a massive tumble from the opening highs. This looks like a "tell" indicating profoundly weak sentiment. We question whether one of the angles is that the entire AI ecosystem faces both technical disruption and financial fragility based on faulty assumptions. We also look at the latest on macro and FX and note the horrible breakdown in crypto has been leading everything risk-related lower of late. Today's podcast is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 21, 202522 min

Ep 1305AI trade gets Nvidia earnings boost while JPY spins into the abyss

The market is trying to get back on the rally train on a strong Nvidia earnings report, although returning to trend will require some heavy lifting into options expiry this Friday - a failure here would be ugly. We discuss Nvidia earnings and what we're looking for from the company in coming quarters with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo. Elsewhere, we note the fresh profound JPY weakness ahead of the fiscal package announcement tomorrow in Japan as the market breaks out the EM playbook for the currency. This and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 20, 202523 min

Ep 1304It's showtime for Nvidia tonight: can its earnings right market sentiment?

Today, a look at the confluence of pivotal market technicals and the big event risk of the earnings calendar tonight after the close: Nvidia. How will the market treat this? Also, it is worth spending a bit of time contemplating the macro implications of what is going on in Japan, its bond market and the coming fiscal package announcement on Friday. Macro, FX, US- and geopolitics and much more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 19, 202522 min

Ep 1303Risk off has gone global, even as US treasuries and FX press snooze

Today, we note that the market's stabilization attempt from Friday seems to have failed as risk-off has gone global in equities, perhaps led by the meltdown in Bitcoin. Amidst the deepening unease, it's remarkable that bond markets, with the notable exception of Japan, remain calm, while transmission into FX is minimal. But the tension is building, with a key event risk on Friday for Japan possibly set to unleash volatility. This and much more on today's podcast, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 18, 202520 min

Ep 1302Friday gave us a line in the sand ahead of Nvidia earnings

Today, a look at the further meltdown in risk sentiment that was corralled on Friday before any bigger breakdown, which has now given us a technical line in the sand ahead of the critical Nvidia earnings report this Wednesday after the close. We also look at technical levels, crypto's comeback from a test of key levels, other key earnings ahead this week, macro and FX and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 17, 202519 min

Ep 1301AI leading equity market nosedive. Also: USD no safe haven?

Today, we cover the very ugly day for US equity markets, with the selling quite broad, but most concentrated in AI-related and crypto-related names as the latter is in a real funk and suggests poor liquidity. With Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo, we pick out several names to discuss including Oracle and Disney. Also, we look to next Wednesday's Nvidia earnings report as the next critical event risk for this market, noting other big retail names reporting in the US as well, including Walmart. Macro, FX and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 14, 202527 min

Ep 1300AI picks & shovels versus AI miners. Also: "Gimme a stimmie!"

Today we look at another fascinating session full of divergences, particularly the clearly emerging pattern of AI "picks and shovels" sellers (hardware makers, particularly in chips) performing well versus the biggest spenders on "miners" or those investing in AI data center capacity. Meanwhile, will there be any power to drive further growth? A rundown of the massive comeback in gold, energy and more with with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, notably connecting Trump's turn left and fresh talk of "stimmies" or stimulus checks and the implications. Macro and FX and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 13, 202525 min

Ep 1299One day, is gonna be the day, the K-shape really gets to you

By now you should have some how realized the things you oughta do... Okay enough of that...(Hint - goofing around with alternative lyrics to the Oasis song Wonderwall). Today's theme and the links (see below) are clearly the K-shaped economy and what that means for the long run. But we also cover some fresh interesting divergences in yesterday's action, macro and FX moves and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 12, 202520 min

Ep 1298As market comeback continues, remembering those who served.

On Veterans' Day, remembering those we know and knew that served, we note that the market comeback is nearly complete with only the last shreds of resistance remaining ahead of the recent top, look at some results from Coreweave, Softbank and Rocket Labs, the coming end of the government shutdown, macro data from UK hitting sterling, how AI data center infrastructure ages, some interesting links for the day and more. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 11, 202520 min

Ep 1297Most significant market correction since April - is it over?

Today, a look at markets bouncing back with considerable enthusiasm as the US government shutdown may be set to end in coming days, though it's worth noting we are only seven days removed from record highs as the market completely ignored the shutdown issue in the first place. Also, talking precious metals and natural gas with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, macro and FX, whether US President Trump is turning hard left, incoming earnings and lots of must read and must listen links. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 10, 202522 min

Ep 1296We are at a tipping point - which way do we tip?

Another ugly day on the US markets as the AI bubble focus heats up and key names are bleeding, from Nvidia and Palantir to Meta and Oracle. With VIX near pivotal levels, it feels like we need to find support here or risk a further and possibly accelerating consolidation in this bull market. That's important for other markets as well, as bond and FX markets have shrugged off the volatility in risk assets so far but can't remain immune to the contagion if risk sentiment deteriorates further. This and more discussed on today's pod, which features Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 7, 202519 min

Ep 1295A critical constraint for AI infrastructure spending: it's not about the chips.

Today, a look at the market's attempt to recover from the recent sell-off, noting at least one key name that is not participating in the comeback and noting sectors that are sending off diverging signals. Also on today's pod: key companies reporting and results incoming, macro and FX, some must reads and listens on what could hold AI back even if the hope to spend even more on data centres and more. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 6, 202520 min

Ep 1294Corrections without obvious drivers to be taken more seriously?

Today - a rundown of yesterday's significant, if rather mega-cap and AI-concentrated market correction and its possible drivers, including the idea that the drivers weren't so obvious, and possibly therefore a bit more ominous. Still, it is worth noting the lack of contagion into other assets so far as we ponder next steps across markets, including in rates and FX. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 5, 202521 min

Ep 1293Bubbliest of the bubbly companies on deck with earnings. FX heating up?

We are much of the way through earnings season, although some of the bubbliest of the big bubbly names are reporting earnings this week, including speculative favorite Palantir today, while Applovin reports tomorrow and Robinhood, the top performer of the S&P 500 this year, reports on Wednesday. Also today, we look at the state of play in commodities markets with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, including soybeans, gold and crude oil, run through some more compelling developments in FX and much more. Hosting the pod is Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Nov 3, 202524 min

Ep 1292The boy who cried "Hindenburg Omen!"

Today we break down the weak US equity market session, which was partially reversed after hours by a blowout Amazon earnings report. We also note that the ominous "Hindenburg Omen" has now been triggered, although it's relevance in market history is patchy. Also, a full rundown with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo of the major companies that reported this week from Meta and Amazon to Apple and others as well as a ahead at next week's earnings highlights. Macro and FX, a bit on geopolitics and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 31, 202529 min

Ep 1291US & China check the key "trade war detente" boxes. Meanwhile, market narrowness a concern.

Today, we look at the US and China clearly wanting to de-escalate trade tensions as both sides made concessions, with a one-year time horizon for some of the most important ones. Otherwise, we cover the extreme narrowness of the market's recent advance as most stocks have had a lousy couple of days on Tuesday and Wednesday. Thoughts on Fed Chair Powell's hawkish press conference and an unbelievably dovish Bank of Japan governor Kuroda press conference, many single stock stories, must reads and listens and more are also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 30, 202522 min

Ep 1290A pivotal 24-hour window for global markets

Equity markets hit fresh highs on hopes for a friendlier terms-of-trade stance between the US and China to be agreed ahead of a Trump-Xi meeting meant to take place in South Korea tomorrow. We note the important details that need to emerge to justify the market's enthusiasm in what could prove a critical 24-hour window for global markets, with the FOMC on tap later today and an important BoJ meeting tomorrow as well. Plenty of single company stories to pick through as earnings roll in and macro developments are heating up several currencies as well. This and much more on today's podcast, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 29, 202524 min

Ep 1289Could precious metals meltdown see new FX themes emerging?

Today, a look at the strong risk appetite rally encouraged by hopes for a respite or detente in the US-China trade war. Also, a look at some wild moves on AI-chip related moves, Amazon's big job cuts, earnings ahead, and especially, on whether the end of the precious metals meltdown could free up some focus on currencies more broadly after their recent lack of volatility, with particular focus on the JPY. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 28, 202517 min

Ep 1288The art of the deal, or at least the art of the pause button.

The US and China appear to be headed toward a trade deal, or at least an agreement to come to arms-length terms to de-escalate on a number of fronts for now. This is boosting already bubbly risk sentiment further as we enter the heart of earnings season, where five of the Mag7 are reporting later this week. All the AI-related spending will be a key point of scrutiny. Also, an update on macro and FX with four central banks meeting this week, some links and podcasts listens and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 27, 202521 min

Ep 1287Market hoping for US-China comprehensive deal. Also, could gold's role shift from here?

Today, we look at a market that remains hopeful the US and China are maneuvering towards a comprehensive deal, which could clear the decks of significant geopolitical uncertainty for quite some time if Xi and Trump are headed toward a friendly meeting in person next week after trade talks through Monday. With Saxo Investment Strategist Ruben Dalfovo, we also run through the key earnings reports this week and what we're looking for in next week's mother lode of reports. Macro, FX, geopolitics, must reads and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 24, 202527 min

Ep 1286Critical four days ahead for geopolitical headlines

Today we look at a rocky session for equities as geopolitical headlines spooked the market, which is trying to figure out whether the latest US threats are just chest thumping ahead of the key talks between the US and China kicking off tomorrow or a sign that trade tensions will escalate further. Also, plenty of single company news on earnings from Tesla, IBM and others, more fun and games for quantum computing stocks, key incoming data from Japan and the US that could spike FX volatility and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 23, 202520 min

Ep 1285Remember that China has as much power as Trump to sway the market

Yesterday saw a low-energy session in US equity markets, though as ever with considerable turbulence and divergence beneath the surface. We also underline that in this key US-China relationship that is the focus ahead of the November 1 deadline for a new deal to emerge, China is as important as the US if it simply decides that it wants to use its leverage now and not make any concessions. The market is pricing zero risk of bad outcomes, which looks complacent, even if we have no idea what the probability distribution should be. Plenty more on on macro, FX and much more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 22, 202523 min

Ep 1284Markets charge back higher as we continue to cast a jaundiced eye.

Today, we note the US equity market strength, but also note some of the signs that the rally is of poor quality as we continue to maintain that we are in an unsustainable bubble, while recognizing we've no ability to call even a temporary top. Also, this is a critical phase for the US-China trade talks as we don't know whether the market's optimism is justified. Thoughts on geopolitics, single stock stories, macro and FX and some compelling further reading and further listening links also on the call. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 21, 202524 min

Ep 1283Market says glass is half full as we near crunch time on multiple fronts

Today we look at the strong equity market recovery on Friday and its drivers, chiefly centred on hopes that US-China trade talks proceed in the direction of de-escalation, as sentiment related to the regional bank and private credit markets showed only marginal stabilization. Also, we refresh our impression of the precious metals markets after Friday's wild session and look at copper, crude oil and soybeans. Also, a look ahead at key US companies reporting in the coming days, US macro data that will be forthcoming this week, political developments in Japan and much more also on today's pod, which features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links discussed on the podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within one to three hours from the time of the podcast release). Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

Oct 20, 202523 min