
Thinking Smart About Low-Probability Events
Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova · Pushkin Industries
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Show Notes
This week, Nate and Maria discuss the asteroid that had a 3% chance of colliding with Earth. That risk is now closer to 0%—but, what does this example reveal about how to consider extremely costly events that are fairly unlikely to come to pass?
Then, they touch on the latest World Series of Poker drama and challenge each other to a game of Roshambo.
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