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Live from Aspen! Zohran Mamdani’s Win, and How To Communicate Probabilities
Season 1 · Episode 61

Live from Aspen! Zohran Mamdani’s Win, and How To Communicate Probabilities

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova · Pushkin Industries

July 3, 202551m 27sExplicit

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Show Notes

Nate and Maria take a quick break from the World Series of Poker to tape a live episode at the Aspen Ideas Festival. They give some updates on a scandal at the World Series, then discuss Zohran Mamdani’s recent win in New York City’s Democratic primary, and what it might mean for elections moving forward. They also discuss the language we use to convey probability, and why talking about it can be so difficult. Plus, they answer some audience questions.

Further Reading:

From Adam Kucharski’s newsletter, Understanding the unseen: Possibly a serious possibility

From Silver Bulletin: Zohran delivered the Democratic establishment the thrashing it deserved

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

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