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Reasonably Optimistic

Reasonably Optimistic

144 episodes — Page 1 of 3

The problem with celebrity politicians

May 15, 202617 min

What prediction markets tell us about the future

May 13, 202634 min

Introducing ‘Make It Make Sense’: Should you be worried about hantavirus?

May 11, 202647 min

Tax the rich! But then what?

May 8, 202618 min

Why is anger so addictive? A psychologist weighs in.

May 6, 202636 min

Longing for 'simpler times'? Consider this first.

May 1, 202617 min

Why Americans aren’t having as many kids

Apr 29, 202633 min

Everyone wants to live like an influencer now

Apr 24, 202614 min

How Americans developed an unhealthy relationship with the Supreme Court

Apr 22, 202632 min

The temperature is rising on AI. What comes next?

Apr 15, 202627 min

I'm not anti-tax. But this one should go.

Host Megan McArdle breaks down why the corporate tax system is so complex, costly and potentially inefficient — and explores a bold idea: What if we eliminated it altogether? From hidden economic trade-offs to who really pays corporate taxes, this episode challenges how we think about fairness, efficiency and the future of taxation.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Apr 10, 202618 min

What a Catholic feminist dares to say

In recent years, the idea of a “crisis of men and boys” has taken center stage in the cultural conversation. That can feel like a pendulum swing: from making space for women to examining men’s struggles, rarely holding both in view at the same time. Some see this moment as a reaction to the 2010s — an era shaped by “girlboss” ambition, #MeToo and a renewed focus on women’s advancement and autonomy. So, what gets missed when these struggles are framed as separate?Host Megan McArdle is joined by Leah Libresco Sargeant, senior policy analyst at the Niskanen Center and author of "The Dignity of Dependence: A Feminist Manifesto." Sargeant offers a different lens — challenging the idea that independence is the ultimate goal and instead pointing toward a more interconnected understanding of men and women.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Apr 8, 202637 min

Where AI will be in a year — and in a decade

From AI-generated scams that cost Americans hundreds of dollars to voice cloning schemes, the line between real and fake is becoming harder to detect. At the same time, technology companies are setting their own limits on how these artificial intelligence tools can be used. This is raising new questions about who really controls this technology — and what that will mean for our future.Host Megan McArdle is joined by Dean Ball, a senior fellow at the Foundation for American Innovation and former White House AI policy advisor, to unpack the rapidly shifting landscape of AI governance, what it will take to rein it in — and what comes next. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Apr 1, 202632 min

Health care is life or death. How can Americans be rational about it?

When UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson was killed on a Manhattan sidewalk in December 2024, the nation was stunned. But the act of violence exposed the fury simmering beneath America’s health care debate. For many, the system feels impossibly expensive, confusing and unfair — especially when compared to other countries.Host Megan McArdle is joined by Dr. Ashish Jha — physician, public health expert and former White House covid-19 response coordinator — to unpack what’s really going on inside the U.S. health care system. They explore why costs are so high and what it would actually take to build a system that works better for everyone.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Mar 25, 202634 min

Universities charged into the culture wars. Now they’re fighting to get out.

Until recently, universities were widely seen as places for asking questions, debating ideas and accessing upward mobility. Now, they’re just as likely to be seen as battlegrounds in the culture wars. As public trust eroded and political scrutiny intensified, a bigger question emerged: When did this shift happen? And more importantly, can it be repaired?Host Megan McArdle is joined by Daniel Diermeier, chancellor of Vanderbilt University. He is trying to answer those questions not just in theory but in practice. Drawing on his experience leading a university, Diermeier shares where he thinks universities have gone off course, what needs to change and what’s still worth protecting — and whether they can once again become places where more people feel they belong.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Mar 18, 202631 min

How America keeps reinventing itself

How can the U.S. lead in rebuilding industrial capacity? Christian Keil believes the answer lies with American dynamism. He is a partner at a16z, who sees technology as a key to our future. Even through uncertain times and sharp competition from China. He joins host Megan McArdle to discuss his experience — from innovating satellite technology during his time at Astranis to now investing in companies through venture capital. He also gives more detail on his recently published the report "More Perfect," which explores how technology has shaped and will reshape America.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Mar 11, 202641 min

What comes next in Iran

On Feb. 28, the U.S. and Israel initiated strikes on Iran. What comes next? Host Megan McArdle sits down with Washington Post Columnist David Ignatius to discuss Iran's response, whether the U.S. can sustain a prolonged conflict, what the war signals to adversaries like China and the economic risks of a closed Strait of Hormuz.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Mar 4, 202621 min

AI is coming. Is there enough power to run it?

We hear a lot about what artificial intelligence can do. We hear a lot less about what it takes to run it. The explosion of AI depends on massive data centers — and massive amounts of energy. Rep. Jake Auchincloss (D-Mass.) joins host Megan McArdle to discuss how his views on AI have evolved, and to explore how his state — and the nation — can meet the energy and infrastructure demands of the AI boom.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Feb 25, 202621 min

Forget the best president. Who was the most underrated?

This week, we celebrated Presidents Day, which makes it a fitting time to recognize one of America’s most underrated presidents. Herbert Hoover presided over the onset of the Great Depression and is widely viewed as the inferior predecessor to Franklin D. Roosevelt. But, as host Megan McArdle explains, that judgment is unfair to Hoover. It also reflects a larger problem: the assumption that a president can singlehandedly fix or wreck the economy.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Feb 18, 202628 min

Dating is a market. Here's how to hack it.

Want to win the dating game? Turns out business school has the playbook. Host Megan McArdle breaks down romance through Econ 101: addressable market, signaling, specialty products and sunk costs.Whether you’re single, swiping or settled down, this episode will reshape how you think about love and commitment. Because in relationships, the fundamentals still matter — and sometimes it pays to think like a market participant.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Feb 14, 202635 min

An economist explains why he’s still ‘bullish on America’ — AI and all

Artificial intelligence is moving fast, with new tools changing how people work, create and compete. Whether you’re an AI doomer or AI boomer, it’s hard to ignore what’s coming. Economist and professor Tyler Cowen has spent years analyzing how these developments could reshape the economy and everyday life. He joins host Megan McArdle to talk through how AI could transform talent, human capital and competition — and how to make sure you don’t get left behind.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Feb 11, 202656 min

How can cities win back families? This developer has a plan.

Walkable neighborhoods, vibrant nightlife, the sheer bounty of it all. City living isn't for everyone, but it's amazing for the people who want it. Unless, that is, they also want a family.Today's cities are designed for demographic churn — as a rest stop en route to the suburbs, rather than a place you can live a full life. That's bad for families and for America. Bobby Fijan is one of the people trying to fix that. He is the co-founder of The American Housing Corporation, a real estate development company building affordable, family-sized rowhomes in cities across America.Fijan joins host Megan McArdle to explain how urban housing pushed families out of cities and how his company plans to bring them back.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Feb 4, 202643 min

What Jason Rezaian learned after 544 days in an Iranian prison

This month marks the 10-year anniversary of Jason Rezaian’s release from imprisonment in Iran. In 2014, Rezaian — then The Washington Post’s Tehran bureau chief — was arrested with his wife at their home and detained in Iran’s notorious Evin Prison. He joins host Megan McArdle to discuss his time in captivity, Iran’s trajectory since his release, and what his experience reveals about press freedom — and its fragility — around the world. Read more in Rezaian’s book, “Prisoner: My 544 Days in an Iranian Prison.”Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jan 28, 202639 min

What it will take to fix American policing

When Renée Good was fatally shot by a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement officer in Minneapolis, it reignited a familiar debate. Was this another case of police brutality, or an act of self-defense? Protests followed. Politicians and public figures weighed in. But why does this keep happening—and how do we make policing better and safer for everyone?Host Megan McArdle speaks with former New York City police commissioner William Bratton and former NYPD chief Kenneth E. Corey. They join Megan to discuss their work at University of Chicago’s Policing Leadership Academy, and advocate that the program, and more like it, can reduce violence and improve fairness in policing.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jan 21, 202647 min

Dry January? Sometimes drinking is part of the solution.

Journalist Katie Herzog was 12 years old when she first drank alcohol. It wasn’t until her 30s that she decided to quit. She tried everything — Alcoholics Anonymous, cleanses, therapy, yoga — but nothing stuck. Eventually, she turned to an unorthodox approach: the Sinclair Method.Katie joins host Megan McArdle to explain this science-based path to sobriety and how it inspired her book, "Drink Your Way Sober."Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jan 14, 202654 min

No blood for oil? That doesn’t make sense for Venezuela.

Early on Jan 3, news broke that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro had been captured by U.S. troops and was being flown to New York to stand trial. Later that day, President Donald Trump said the United States would take control of Venezuela’s massive oil reserves. Protests erupted almost immediately, reviving the Iraq War–era slogan, “no blood for oil.”Host Megan McArdle breaks down the long, troubled history of Venezuelan oil and explains why the U.S. has a responsibility to help rebuild the country's economy.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jan 10, 202628 min

How the internet changed politics — and our lives — forever

Matthew Yglesias has been a disrupter his entire career. He started as an early adapter to the web, running a blog before blogs were a thing. He went on to co-found the media company Vox and has written all over the internet. He joins host Megan McArdle to discuss their career trajectories and how the internet has changed both media and politics. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jan 7, 202652 min

Was 2025 the ‘end of America’? Of course not.

Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Dec 31, 202513 min

Charlie Kirk was killed on her campus. This is what happened next.

After Charlie Kirk’s death on her campus, Utah Valley University president Astrid Tuminez found herself in an impossible position. She was at the helm of Utah’s largest public university and had to find a way to lead her campus after the tragedy. Now, at the end of the fall semester, she joins host Megan McArdle to discuss how her faith, upbringing and love for her community gave her the strength and wisdom to get through. Plus, she shares the lessons she learned through the process to help other leaders — including the president of Brown University — who may find themselves in a similar position. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Dec 24, 202544 min

‘The weirdest Democrat in America’

There’s no one in politics quite like the Democratic governor of Colorado, Jared Polis. He's a serial entrepreneur who cashed in on the dot-com boom and has pushed back on over-regulation of artificial intelligence and the tech industry. He’s in favor of abortion rights, but was against overregulation of mask mandates. He's pro-business and pro-weed. The “pro-liberty” governor joins host Megan McArdle to discuss Trump’s tariff and immigration policies, transgender care and how to make housing and health care more affordable.Timecodes00:00 Welcome Gov. Jared Polis01:27 Jared Polis’s entrepreneurial start03:54 Three most important qualities in an entrepreneur04:28 Most important qualities in a governor05:00 Transition from tech to government05:52 Transition from Congress to governor07:03 First year as Governor08:20 Regulation of Tech Companies11:45 The “Pro-business,” “Pro-trade” Party15:02 Are tariffs shifting voters?16:35 Being pro-freedom17:22 The only Democrat in The Liberty Caucus 18:39 The polarization of transgender care22:59 The Jared Polis brand of politics23:29 Making health care more affordable27:40 Making housing more affordable31:14 Does his politics have national appeal?32:22 Jared Polis’s MAGA uncle33:24 Can Americans be civil again?34:55 How to fix Congress 36:02 The activist base of the Democratic Party37:36 One thing to praise Trump on 38:32 Collecting Coins41:02 What is Jared Polis reasonably optimistic about? Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Dec 17, 202544 min

The sci-fi writer who predicted the future

Science fiction writer Neal Stephenson predicted the metaverse, wearable tech and artificial intelligence long before those technologies arrived. What does he think of it all now? Host Megan McArdle talks to Stephenson about the future of AI, education and social media — and how his fiction became a window into the culture of Silicon Valley.Timecodes0:00 Welcome to Reasonably Optimistic0:33 Who is Neal Stephenson?1:19 Living in the future3:25 Neal's origin story 5:18 The disruptive effects of new technology 8:18 The premise of The Diamond Age  14:23 AI’s confident wrongness17:43 What AI is good at18:56 Is AI good for kids?20:03 Fixing education in an AI world 23:14 Will AI make nerds less valuable?26:44 AI is eliminating entry level jobs29:45 How tech founders got political34:37 Is Neal Stephenson’s work political?36:50 Technology is easier to predict than culture40:11 What is Neal Stephenson reasonably optimistic about?Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Dec 10, 202542 min

Introducing 'Reasonably Optimistic'

trailer

Enough with the doom and gloom — we’re ready to talk about how America can thrive. Hosted by Washington Post Opinion columnist Megan McArdle, “Reasonably Optimistic” is your weekly conversation about how America can get unstuck and build a better future. Stop feeding your rage and start embracing our possibilities. Episodes drop Wednesdays.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Dec 3, 20251 min

I got cancer. And met a different me on the other side.

After chemotherapy, Post Opinions writer Rachel Manteuffel felt like she was encountering a bald stranger every time she looked in the bathroom mirror. But then came the curls and lots of other surprising phenomena that science hasn’t been quite able to explain. She shares her story and her conversation with YouTuber and science explainer Hank Green, who had similar strange experiences with his post-chemo self.See Rachel’s hair transformation here: My cool cancer story | OpinionSubscribe to The Washington Post here.

Sep 19, 202513 min

The horrors of modern-day travel

Where have all the benches gone? Deputy Opinion Editor Mark Lasswell reflects on the causes and consequences of the “defensive architecture” replacing seating in public spaces. Plus, contributing columnist Rick Reilly shares just how hard it’s become to find an Airbnb or VRBO that doesn’t feel like the inside of a Target.Additional reading by our columnists:Mark Lasswell: This punctuation mark is semi-dead. People have thoughts.Rick Reilly: I have decided never to go outside againSubscribe to The Washington Post here.

Sep 12, 202513 min

Want to find a wife? Be a better man.

American women have grown more independent economically in recent decades, giving them greater choice in whom to date or marry — and the choice to opt out altogether. But where does women's rising stock leave men, and how is it connected with today’s so-called masculinity crisis? Post columnist Shadi Hamid talks with Richard Reeves, founder of the American Institute for Boys and Men, about why to pay on the first date, whether we’re heading toward a world of surplus men and how to be a man women want to marry.Here’s the study Richard mentions from the American Institute for Boys and Men: Will college educated women find someone to marry?Additional reading by our columnists:Shadi Hamid: Men are struggling to find love. Here’s why.Rahm Emanuel: What’s really depressing America’s young menJulien Berman: No, Gen-Z men aren’t specialSubscribe to The Washington Post here.

Sep 5, 202522 min

Lending a hand doesn’t require being armed

Additional reading by Washington Post columnists:Colbert I. King: The spirit of Old Dixie rises in D.C.Shadi Hamid: My gut instinct on Trump’s D.C. power grab was wrongMegan McArdle: D.C. has a real crime problem. Federal control won’t solve it.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Aug 29, 202512 min

A message from ‘Impromptu’

We’ve got some news.Read more about Dana’s new venture: We are losing our humanity. I am searching for an antidote.Enjoy some of our favorite episodes:What do men want?Is it time to delete our social media accounts?What the ‘tradwife’ trend says about modern lifeRemote work changed the country. Can it change back?AI is getting smarter. But are we?Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jul 29, 20251 min

Why does the Epstein story keep on going?

Try as he might, President Trump cannot seem to shake the controversy over his former friend Jeffrey Epstein. Why are people so interested in this case, and what are the political opportunities and costs? Dana Milbank, Jason Willick and James Hohmann discuss how this story might end, and whether it’s the one scandal that could finally stick to “the Teflon Don.”Additional reading:Jason Willick: Trump’s subordinates ran an Epstein Ponzi scheme. Now comes the bank run.Editorial Board: Conspiracy theories take root when government misleadsSubscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jul 22, 202520 min

The paradox of fixing airline travel

It’s summertime, and when you’re traveling by air, flights are often overbooked, seats are cramped, and unexpected cancellations and delays feel all too frequent. Why do passengers find themselves in this situation, and is there a way to make it better? This week, we’re revisiting an episode with Charles Lane, Catherine Rampell and Marc Fisher exploring how, when people primarily look for the lowest price, airline travel becomes a race to the bottom.Additional reading by our columnists:Bina Venkataraman: Flying is a nightmare. But it could be fixed.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jul 18, 202520 min

Trump breaks with Putin. But will it last?

The weapons deal President Trump announced this week marks a shift in his attitude toward Russian President Vladimir Putin and the full-scale invasion in Ukraine. But can it shift the trajectory of the war? If not, what will? Damir Marusic, Max Boot and Kori Schake discuss what the deal means for Ukraine and how Trump’s growing hawkishness will play to his “America First” supporters.  Read more from our columnists:Max Boot: Putin took Trump for granted. He’s going to pay for his mistake.David Ignatius: In squeezing Putin, Trump ‘escalates to de-escalate’Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jul 15, 202522 min

The rare band that knew when to walk away

A lot of famous bands go on long past their prime, doing nostalgia tours and squeezing their hits for all they’re worth. But not R.E.M., one of the biggest bands in the world during a stretch of the 1990s. The band went from regularly playing shows for more than 100,000 people to calling it quits. Contributor Will Leitch, who occasionally bumps into the former members of R.E.M. in the grocery store, talks about how rare and admirable it is to know when to move on, and how the music is still there for all of us even if the band is not. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jul 11, 202511 min

Alligator Alcatraz and the loss of America’s soul

A new immigrant detention center in Florida has been dubbed “Alligator Alcatraz” by Republicans, who are now selling merch around the pop-up prison. It’s just one more stunt in a long line of immigration performance from President Trump and his administration. But is all this just a distraction from the difficulty of actually fulfilling his mass deportation campaign promises? And what happens to public support as Trump’s policies become more extreme? Dana Milbank, Eduardo Porter and Monica Hesse discuss. Read more from our columnists:Monica Hesse: Alligator Alcatraz turns serious matters into cheap entertainmentEduardo Porter: The profound hypocrisy underlying America’s immigration policy

Jul 8, 202522 min

Can nature help fix our brains?

Last month, Post columnist Dana Milbank hiked part of the Appalachian Trail with his brother. Along the way, he detached from the news and reacquainted himself with nature. In the process, he received a real-life lesson about how the world around us can reduce cognitive fatigue and enhance well-being. He reflects on his journey in a recent essay.Check out some of the other columns about Milbank’s adventures in nature:Dana Milbank: Technology broke our connection to nature. Here is a way back.Dana Milbank: Nature’s lesson for the politically worried: Spring will come againDana Milbank: My new tractor will either extend my life or end it quicklySubscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jul 4, 202514 min

This ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ got even worse

Additional reading by our columnists:Ramesh Ponnuru: The Republican shell game on tax cutsNatasha Sarin: This senator’s comment on Medicaid cuts was brutal but accurateSubscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jul 1, 202526 min

The generational shift coming for Democrats

Democratic socialism has notched another victory. Zohran Mamdani’s win over the establishment is just the latest in a line of self-proclaimed socialist candidates who’ve been invading the Democratic Party for the past decade. See: Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. But are people actually drawn to the policies and ideology of socialism, or is it about something else? Molly Roberts, Drew Goins and Philip Bump discuss what Mamdani’s victory tells us about the power of young voters.Read more from our columnists:Philip Bump: The Democrats’ generational rift just got harder to ignoreSubscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jun 27, 202522 min

Did Trump just bring peace to the Middle East?

After much hemming and hawing, President Trump joined the Israeli attack on Iran over the weekend. He’s now declared a ceasefire, but it’s off to a shaky start. So was the U.S. bombing a success and what’s next in the Middle East? Can the current leaders in Iran and Israel ever actually come together? Columnist Dana Milbank talks with Jason Rezaian, former Tehran correspondent at the Post, and Emily Harding from the Center of Strategic and International Studies about what’s going on in the Middle East. Read more from our columnists:Dana Milbank: War with Iran? Let’s run it up the flagpole!Emily Harding: The Iran strike was probably the right move. We may need to do it again.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jun 24, 202525 min

Lonely? Call your AI best friend.

AI has become the one-stop solution to most of the problems we face. But can it truly substitute for human relationships? Drew Goins is joined by Post Opinions editor at large Bina Venkataraman and inclusion strategist Charlotte Marian Pearson to discuss the rise of AI companionship and what could be lost as more and more people get closer to this new technology.Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jun 20, 202526 min

Why the U.S. should stay out of Iran

With Israel’s relentless attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites and top military leaders, the country is on the verge of catastrophe and major change. But what are Israel’s end goals, and does it need the United States to achieve them? Dana Milbank is joined by Jason Rezaian and Keith Richburg to talk through what’s happening in the Middle East and how the politics are playing out in an interesting way back in the U.S. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jun 17, 202524 min

When the military gets politicized

As troops descend on Washington to show off U.S. military might, the National Guard is being sent to respond to protests in Los Angeles and accompany ICE on raids. At the same time, President Donald Trump is saying the military’s mission is not to spread democracy, but to “dominate any foe.” Contributing columnist and Navy veteran Theodore R. Johnson joins Drew Goins and Molly Roberts to discuss what happens when the military is sent into cultural battlegrounds, whether the parade will make anyone feel more patriotic and what military service means today. Theodore R. Johnson: What real patriots should think about Trump’s paradeSubscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jun 13, 202522 min

Are the immigration protests a turning point?

Protests against President Trump’s immigration policies have spread from Los Angeles outward over the past week. And his decision to send in National Guard troops, and then Marine units seems only to be adding fuel to the fire. Columnists Molly Roberts, James Hohmann and León Krauze discuss why these protests are happening now, whether democracy is beating authoritarianism and if this is really what voters wanted when they elected Trump. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.

Jun 10, 202520 min