US GDP Surprise, Japan’s Rate Hold, and PCE Signals: PALvatar Market Recap, May 1 2025

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⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar.

⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar breaks down Japan’s rate decision and downgraded growth outlook, a shock contraction in US GDP, and the surprising resilience in consumer spending. Inflation data showed no monthly change in the Fed’s preferred PCE metric, strengthening the case for rate cuts. Meanwhile, positive signals from China-US trade talks and strong Mag-7 earnings—especially Microsoft and Meta—are lifting market sentiment. Gold dipped slightly as the market digests mixed signals.

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