Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Why will U.S. tariffs lead to a resurgence for the global cork industry? Justine and Alex explain, along the way discussing Australian wine, cork shoes and the Chinese consumer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Why will higher oil prices result in disappointed craft beer drinkers? Justine and Alex discuss. Plus, Alex delves into the world of academia, and discusses an interesting finding about the way stocks react to earnings announcements. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Why will rising rates leave tire tracks on the world’s great beaches? Alex, Roger and Justine discuss. Plus, a high-pressure debate over whether stocks will fall 20% within the next year. Filmed on May 21, 2018. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this inaugural episode of “The Knock-On Effect,” Justine and Roger try to convince Alex that a U.S. crackdown on free trade could lead American red velvet cakes to turn pink. Yes, really. Plus, Alex takes issue with Charlie Munger’s shocking bitcoin comparison. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What’s the single best piece of advice you’ve ever received, and how have you applied it over the course of your investment career? In this episode of the “Adventures in Finance” series, eight of our favorite prior guests join us once again to answer that question. You’ll hear from Marc Cohodes, Pippa Malmgren, Chris Cole, Ben Hunt, Jawad Mian, Simon Mikhailovich, Dee Smith and Jeff Snider – and if you don’t walk away from this series of short interviews with something new to think about it, go back and listen again! Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade selfies, people who hate their jobs, and you. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Real Vision’s CEO and macro-economist, Raoul Pal, offers his latest thoughts on the bond market, the dollar, oil and the business cycle as well as an update on what the future holds for Real Vision. In this week’s Long Short, Raoul and Grant discuss all things swine. Log on to www.realvision.com/adventuresinfinance to find out how you can be part Real Vision’s exciting financial media revolution. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

With the 10-year yield peaking above 3% this week, is the low finally in for the 10-year yield? How high is it liable to rise? How might the Fed and inflation play into this? And what could it all mean for equities? Julian Bridgen of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners joins to discuss all that and more. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade ancient appliances, Billy Bragg and middle seats. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

After a treacherous few months for equities, investor sentiment appears to have turned relatively ursine. But is the reality that stocks will continue to rise in the short-term at least? Neil Azous of Rareview Macro makes just that case. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade hip-hop, the London skyline, overspending millennials and non-conventional art supplies. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Can Tesla still take over the world – or is the end nigh for the ambitious electric car company? Charley Grant of the Wall Street Journal and Mark Spiegel of Stanphyl Capital join to discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade the political circus, Twitter debates and scheming seniors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

China appears to be taking a major step to combat the dominance of the U.S. dollar. How significant could that move be, and what political, economic, and market changes might result? Luke Gromen, founder of research firm Forest for the Trees, joins for a deeply insightful discussion. Plus, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Saudi leadership, California regulations, and flat-falling April Fools’ Day jokes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

After a tumultuous first quarter for stocks, what will the rest of the year bring? Nothing good, according to famed economist David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff. He outlines what could be ahead for the economy and markets – and outlines some areas where investors might turn to safety. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade weight-losing poker players, sexy magazine covers and replying all. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Will the Facebook-Cambridge Analytica fracas actually turn the tide of public opinion against the social media giant? Jesse Felder of The Felder Report and Peter Atwater of Financial Insyghts join to discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Jerome Powell, scientific research and predictive coffee-based drinks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Advertising behemoth WPP has run into massive troubles. Does this just reflect the flow of ad dollars into Google and Facebook, or does it suggest bigger problems with the global economy? Grant describes his findings, while Daniel Ives of GBH Insights takes the other side. Meanwhile in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade “King Dollar,” Russian airplane engineers and ETF-related class-action lawsuits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What’s driving the modern movement toward protectionist tariffs and trade wars? Where will it all lead, and what lessons can we draw from history? Geopolitics consultant Peter Zeihan and historian Marc Palen discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade airline seats, trend followers and Wu Tang Clan fans. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Will it soon be gold’s time to shine once again? Rick Rule of Sprott Global Resources, Simon Mikhailovich Tocqueville Bullion Reserve and Ronald-Peter Stoeferle of Incrementum AG weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade tennis, pant-ripping lasers and flighty models. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stock market volatility has surged to levels unseen in years. So is the era of unusual market calm now over and done with? Or was this latest episode just a temporary bit of turmoil? Steve Diggle of Volpes Investment Management and Dennis Davitt of Harvest Volatility Management weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade Apple, mediocre Olympic athletes and Jennifer Lawrence. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Ken Kurson has been many things: A reporter, a rocker, a newspaper editor and a cryptocurrency evangelist. He’s also a supporter and occasional speechwriter for President Donald Trump. This week, he sits down with Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to discuss his varied careers – and to explain why he is a big believer in the current president. Plus, in the “Things I Got Wrong” segment, Nick Colas of DataTrek Research discusses the importance of having confidence at market turning points. And in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade Rolls-Royce SUVs, terrifying robots and mass-media volatility coverage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Bond prices appear to be in the midst of a striking dive. So can we blame bonds for the stock market drop? Is the decades-long bond bull market finally over? And where will the 10-year Treasury yield finally settle out? Jeffrey Snider of Alhambra Partners and Greg Weldon of “Weldon Live” join to discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams, Alex Rosenberg and James Gibb trade volatility, Tesla and network TV. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The crypto craze has made dedicated investors and traders out of many people who’ve never before given much thought to finance. What’s driven those people into bitcoin and other tokens, where do they see prices going, and how are they reacting to the recent plunge? We talk to a wide swath of crypto investors around the world to find out. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade sleep, Jeremy Corbyn and home-made New Zealand islands. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

With China’s plenum out of the way, what’s ahead for the Chinese economy? How much influence does the government have, and how successful has the transition to a consumer-based economy been? Finally, what does it all mean for the global growth and inflation outlook? Tian Yang of Variant Perception and Louis Gave of Gavekal weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade ICOs, Liberian leadership and lifeguard buffness. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

A year after Donald Trump’s inauguration, we take a close look at the president’s performance. How well has President Trump done? Should market bulls thank him for the recent rally? And how great is the risk of a significant policy misstep? Experts R.P. Eddy and Pippa Malmgren join to discuss. Plus, in the Long/Short segment, Grant and Alex trade felons, bitcoin and reality. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

At long last, a Tesla bull steps up to retort Mark Spiegel’s bear case on the electric car company. Rob Maurer, host of the Tesla Daily podcast, makes an impassioned case for both the company and the stock. Plus, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Nike, Hedy Lamarr and Scottish spiders in this week’s Long/Short segment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Grant looks back at some of his favorite moments from the podcast, reflecting on some of the boldest calls, sharpest insights and most meaningful stories he’s heard. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is an inflation spike around the corner – and if so, what effects could that have? To find out, Grant speaks to Jawad Mian of Stray Reflections, Jonathan Pain of the Pain Report, and Peter Boockvar of Bookmark Advisors. Each gives his take on where we are in terms of inflation now, and where we could be headed in the year ahead. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Grant and James are joined by two of the most seasoned volatility traders in the world, David Dredge of City Financial and Chris Cole of Artemis Capital Management, to discuss the curious absence of volatility in 2017 and whether they see a return to more unpredictable moves in financial markets during 2018. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Mark Mahaney of RBC Capital Markets offers his positive assessment of the outlook for the big tech giants who have led the market rally while Jesse Felder, author of The Felder Report and host of the podcast Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom returns to Adventures in Finance with some words of caution as he sees signs that both public opinion and the companies’ own performance are beginning to turn Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Peter Atwater (Financial Insyghts) and Ben Hunt (Salient) are masters of how to measure confidence in both the economy and in markets. In conversation with Grant Williams, they break down their methods, and share some surprising insights about where we stand right now. Peter Atwater explains how “hubris” led him astray in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

On the eve of the Holiday shopping season, Stephanie Pomboy (MacroMavens) and Dana Telsey (Telsey Advisory Group) stake very different positions about the health of the retail space and the consumer. Then Jim Sullivan (Green Street Advisors) explains what it all means for the real estate sector. Plus, Mark Spiegel (Stanphyl Capital) discusses a key mistake he made early in his investing career and the valuable lesson he learned as a corporate insider. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Three contributors to the Real Vision Think Tank discuss their views on the most important areas upon which investors should currently be focusing. Maleeha Bengali of MB Commodity Corner, Tony Greer of TG Macro and Larry McDonald of The Bear Traps Report discuss base metals markets, crude oil, Chinese debt and data and the tug-of-war that is the Trump Tax Plan Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is this a fork in the Fed’s road? President Trump has nominated Jerome Powell to be the next chair of the Federal Reserve. Whether Powell will continue down the same path of Janet Yellen, and Ben Bernanke before her, remains an open question. Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former advisor to Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher and author of Fed Up, says that Powell, in combination with other new faces at the central bank, could be poised to effect some serious change. Miles Kimball, professor of economics at the University of Colorado Boulder, isn’t so sure. The real debate, however, is how Fed ought to operate, particularly once the next crisis crops its head. Booth and Kimball emerge as polar opposites here, with Booth advising a retreat from unconventional policies designed to stimulate the economy, and Kimball recommending that the Fed take interest rates sharply negative in the next downturn. More broadly, Kimball is a fan of rigorous action from the Fed, while Booth would like to see more humility in the Eccles Building. Once the sides have been staked in the Fed debate, Booth takes her leave of this planet, and tells us what she would bring on a trip to Mars. And speaking of humility, Kimball closes out the episode by offering up something he got wrong. Interestingly, it concerns not finance, but fat. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Amidst a shift in the narrative surrounding Tesla after a series of production issues and mounting losses, Mark B. Spiegel of Stanphyl Capital Partners makes the bear case for the electric car manufacturer and explains why increasing competition from a series of luxury carmakers, advances in battery technology and the increasing scepticism surrounding Elon Musk’s outlandish promises are combining to set the company up for an uncomfortable ride… in the wrong direction. Mark then bravely climbs aboard one of Musk’s Space X rockets to Mars and lets us know what he takes with him. And in Things I Got Wrong, Dr. Pippa Malmgren offers two valuable lessons she learned about having the courage of your convictions (and what to do when you are proven wrong) and how making certain compromises in a man’s world are perhaps not the right path for a young, ambitious woman to take. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The origins of bitcoin predate most people’s understanding and this week, with the aid of Trace Meyer, of The Bitcoin Knowledge Podcast, and Bruce Kleinman, author of The Bitcoin Tutorial, we trace the rise of bitcoin and the blockchain from their unceremonious unveiling to the world in a simple, pseudonymous 8-page White Paper in October 2008 to the recent hard and soft forks. We look at the architecture and the technology underpinning this revolutionary protocol, decode some of the more complex ideas and, amidst a tsunami of ICO offerings, try to assess the future for cryptocurrencies in general and bitcoin in particular. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

On the 30th anniversary of Black Monday, we recreate the events of that tumultuous time through the eyes of people who found themselves trying to navigate the biggest drop in Dow Jones history. The legendary Art Cashin takes us behind the scenes at the NYSE, while Bill Fleckenstein, David Hay, Michael Lewitt and Greg Weldon share their personal stories alongside Michael Oliver and Trader Vic – Victor Sperandeo who famously predicted the crash a few weeks before the event. Lastly, we hear the incredible story of hedge fund manager Richard Pomboy whose foresight saved his investors millions Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Dr. Harald Malmgren, senior advisor to four US Presidents (Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon & Ford) joins Grant to recount his experiences in the White House and Pentagon during the thirteen days of the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962 – a period where the world came within hours of a full-scale nuclear war. Harald explains how he and Defense Secretary Robert McNamara’s famous ‘Whizz Kids’ were tasked with not only helping find a solution to the biggest diplomatic crisis of the Cold War, but design a strategic plan for conflict should the unthinkable happen. From the confusion caused in Congress by the concept of Megadeaths to the people who stepped up behind the scenes, Harald takes us inside the Kennedy White House at its most fraught and shares how today’s tensions on the Korean Peninsula look to a man who has stood on the edge of oblivion. In our “Things I Got Wrong” segment, Forest For The Trees Founder and President, Luke Gromen, shares a pair of mistakes he made either side of the 2008 Credit Crisis and outlines how they changed the way he invests today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

A truly insightful and at times hard-hitting interview with Preston Pysh, host of The Investors Podcast. What’s it like to go from commanding a company of Apache helicopters in Afghanistan, as part of the 101st Airborne, to navigating the markets on wall street and co-hosting one of the world’s top investing podcasts? What can you learn from combat experience that can help maintain mental fortitude as a trader? We also send Preston to Mars and find out just what he can’t live without. In our “Things I Got Wrong” segment, Tim Price, from Price Value Partners in London… explains how a strongly-held, post-2008 conviction got him into trouble. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Grant Williams welcomes Jim Grant- legendary financial author and founder of the twice monthly journal on financial markets, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer. Together they discuss Jim’s rise to literary prominence from the time he was a gunner on the USS Hornet at the age of 17 through to his founding of Grant’s. We learn his views on the incredible rate increases of the mid 1980’s, what the end game would be for Central Banks, what he would do if he was FED chairman, when he thought the devaluation of the Dollar really began, and what would he take with him on a one-way trip to mars? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Investing legend Jim Rogers joins Grant Williams to talk about the defining moments in his life which took him to Wall Street in the 1960s and to Russia and China on a motorbike in the 1980s. Jim talks about how important non-consensus thinking has been throughout his career, explains how the current troubles in North Korea could provide the investment opportunity of a lifetime … and let’s Hugh Hendry know exactly what’s in his pocket. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Always candid, often hilarious, Hugh talks openly about his experience in 2008 when his fund returned nearly 50% as markets melted down around him, about the fear he confronts every time he puts on a trade, his typically canny tactical approach to debating the fellow Scot he calls ‘The Best Speaker in the World’ and takes us back in time to a party in Moscow at an Oligarch’s apartment when he discovered the secret contents of an investing legend’s trouser pocket… Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Season 2 of Adventures in Finance kicks off with Kyle Bass joining Grant for this week’s entire episode. Kyle shares some of the Defining Moments of his life and explains how they shaped him. He tells us a story of a disastrous trade gone wrong, answers listener’s questions from the Real Vision Mailbag, and explains what he’d take on a rocket ship to Mars. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Grant and Aaron cap off the 2017 Summer Series of Adventures in Finance as they are joined by the founder of Vulpes Investment Management, Steve Diggle, where he discusses his love of long-distance running, his career as a university boxer, and the tranquility of diving. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Grant and Aaron continue the 2017 Summer Series of Adventures in Finance as they are joined by Mark Yusko, Founder and CIO of Morgan Creek Capital Management, where he discusses his passion for philanthropy, the influence of legendary college coaches on his thinking, and the importance of solitude on one's ability to think deeply. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Grant and Aaron continue the 2017 Summer Series of Adventures in Finance as they are joined by Jawad Mian, founder of Stray Reflections, to discuss the philosophical underpinnings of his worldviews, how to create a mindset that lives in the present moment, why he went from buying hundreds of books to reading just a few of them multiple times. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Grant and Aaron continue the 2017 Summer Series of Adventures in Finance and turn-off from the beaten path as they are joined by the Pippa Malmgren to discuss drone technology, interesting summer reads, and the steps she takes to stay balanced and creative while multi-tasking as a mother, Presidential advisor, keynote speaker, startup founder, economist, and bestselling author. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Grant and Aaron kick off the 2017 Summer Series by addressing some of the most pressing listener questions during the first season of Adventures in Finance. The guys are also joined by Jeffrey Snider, of Alhambra Partners, and Michael Oliver, of Momentum Structural Analysis, who shed light on the Eurodollar markets and FAANG momentum, respectively. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Our season finale brings you three world-leading analysts and investors as they share their frameworks and favorite indicators, and help you to become a better investor. Featuring Jesse Felder of the Felder Report, Mark Yusko of Morgan Creek Capital Management, and Tian Yang of Variant Perception. We also say farewell to Aaron Chan, our co-host, as he departs Real Vision to continue his career in finance. In “Things I Got Wrong”, we speak with Josh Crumb, Co-founder of Goldmoney Inc., who shares the mistake he made diverging from the “long-term greedy” perspective. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Before the hundreds of billions in corporate bailouts and trillions in central bank interventions, there was a time when we believed there was no way our financial models and investment strategies couldn’t be wrong. That was until a hedge fund came along that threatened to bring down the global financial system in 1998. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Julian Brigden, Co-Founder of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners, shares what he got wrong on spotting major trends but jumping on them too soon. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Look in the mirror and you will find your greatest ally and your mortal enemy. You will find someone who will play tricks on you, appeal to your worst emotions, but who holds the keys to your trading success. This week, we explore the psychology of trading with leading performance psychologist, Brett Steenbarger, and 40-year trading veteran and classical charting legend, Peter Brandt. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Rick Rule, President and CEO of Sprott U.S. Holdings, shares what he got wrong early in his career when he confused a bull market for brains. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Enter the shadowy world where people use complex strategies and cutting edge technology to hide their identities to defraud multinational companies out of millions of dollars. This week, we speak with Dee Smith, CEO and Principal of Strategic Insight Group, a man whose job is to see through this world of espionage and lies, and who is relied upon by corporations to find out exactly what they’re dealing with. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Peter Brandt, CEO and Founder of Factor Research, shares what he got wrong at the very beginning of his successful 40-year trading career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Meet an 18th-century murderer, banker, convict, laughing stock, and the godfather of central banking, John Law. Accompanied by Dr. Ben Hunt, the Chief Investment Strategist at Salient Partners and author of the Epsilon Theory website, we explore how Law wrote the modern central banking playbook which resulted in a bubble which has reverberated through the actions of future central bankers since. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Michael Schneider, former CIO and co-founder of Brookline Partners and independent PM, discusses what he got wrong assessing the bond market in 2009. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Harry Markopolos was the lone whistleblower on Bernie Maddoff's $18 billion Ponzi scheme and, in this interview, takes the whole regulatory and accounting apparatus to task in a way that will have you thinking differently about institutions that guard the public trust. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Marin Katusa, professional resource investor and founder of Katusa Research, shares what he got wrong going all-in on a mining company early in his career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices