January 26-29 | Ledger Recap
Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports · Prediction Markets HQ | Daily Sports Betting, Kalshi & Polymarket Data
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Show Notes
It is Friday, January 30th, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.
In this episode of the Ledger Recap, we audit our portfolio performance after a 5.3 unit session. We explore the "Interior Density Superiority" law through the CAVS vs. MAGIC matchup and discuss the "safety tax" we paid on the OILERS vs. DUCKS game. Marcus explains why conviction calibration is essential when trading on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how to avoid leaving alpha on the table.
We also look at the systemic failures in the BUCKS and 76ERS game and introduce a new strategic evolution: the "Blowout Attrition Ceiling." Learn how to adjust your betting odds strategy when game scripts are terminated early by dominant defensive rotations.
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"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
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