January 04 | Ledger Recap
Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports · Prediction Markets HQ | Daily Sports Betting, Kalshi & Polymarket Data
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Show Notes
Analyze why a perfect 7-0 session only yielded 2.5 units of profit and how to stop overpaying for market safety. We break down the missed alpha in the Vikings and Patriots blowouts and the systemic defensive failures that led to a high-scoring Nuggets-Nets clash.
Marcus Webb introduces the 'Conviction Calibration' rule, explaining how traders can maximize yields by attacking mispriced alt-spreads instead of settling for low-yield settlement contracts when teams face massive motivation gaps.
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"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
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