February 13-15 | Ledger Recap | Correction
Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports · Prediction Markets HQ | Daily Sports Betting, Kalshi & Polymarket Data
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Show Notes
Correction Note: This follow-up recap corrects prior Feb 13-15 grading after deterministic scoreboard and matching fixes.
It is Monday, February 16th, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.
In this episode of Prediction Market HQ, the desk audits a 6-7 session and discusses how to refine entry prices on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. We dive deep into the film room to analyze why IOWA STATE dismantled KANSAS and how we missed out on additional alpha by playing it too safe with our sports bets.
The team also breaks down the heavy loss on the NAVY and COLGATE total, highlighting the importance of managing positions when the implied odds of a winning contract begin to plummet. Finally, Marcus Webb introduces the "Conviction Calibration" rule to help traders capture better yield when the data suggests a blowout is imminent.
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"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
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