
Poll Hub
446 episodes — Page 9 of 9
Ep 45Erasing the Racial Divide? (Ep 45)
Roseanne Barr’s racially charged tweet this week brought race relations back into the headlines. In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the team takes a look at how attitudes about race differ from generation to generation and how those views have evolved over time. Then, the Associated Press revised the AP Stylebook to include a chapter on polls. The Poll Hub crew speaks with Emily Swanson, Polling Editor at the Associated Press, about the decision to make the change and the key recommendations on polls and polling the AP now provides to journalists.
Ep 44A Wave or a Ripple? (Ep 44)
With five months to go until the congressional midterm elections, debate exists about whether or not the Democrats will create a blue wave. In this week’s Poll Hub, a look at the perceived schism within the Democratic Party. Are progressive candidates better positioned than moderate candidates to take on Republicans in the fall? Is there an enthusiasm gap? Is primary turnout an indicator of what’s to come in November? And, why might both parties lack a consistent message during the general election cycle? The Poll Hub crew addresses those questions and more. Then, yet another school shooting rocked the nation on Friday. According to the Pew Research Center, a majority of American teenagers are now concerned that a shooting will occur at their school. The Poll Hub team takes a look at the statistics and addresses why this school shooting differs from those in the past. And, what’s the future of polling? The Marist Poll’s very own Director of Research and Data Analysis, Mike Conte, joins the round table. He has a report from the 73rd annual conference of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR).
Ep 43Online Best Behavior (Ep 43)
The 73rd annual conference of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) is underway in Denver, Colorado. In this episode of Poll Hub, special guest Randy Brown joined us from the conference to discuss the focus of his latest research. Brown, Vice President of Edison Research, explained how Edison’s measurement of Americans’ audio consumption yielded the conclusion that non-probability panels should not be the only method used when measuring online behavior. And, talk about creating buzz! How one Democratic candidate in the NY-19 race used a poll to gain attention. Was the tactic credible or incredibly misleading? The Poll Hub team breaks it down. Plus, what’s on pollsters’ minds going into the mid-term elections. Our experts share what they think the critical issues surrounding polling will be. Plus, bet on it! The U.S. Supreme Court opened the doors for states to permit betting on the outcome of sports events. Do Americans think that’s a good idea? Poll Hub has the numbers. About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.
Ep 42Fake Poll… Claims (Ep 42)
President Donald Trump recently cited a Reuters/Ipsos Poll to show his approval rating among African Americans is on the rise. But, even the organization behind the poll said, not so fast. In this episode, the Poll Hub team breaks down the controversy, analyzes the survey, and explains why the president’s argument was flawed. Also on the docket – the increased use of robocalls. Why these annoying solicitations and scams have a profound effect on the polling industry and where the field of survey research goes from here, on this week’s episode. Plus, the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) has released a guide for journalists to understand polls. The Poll Hub crew addresses why this is critical, especially in an election year.
Ep 41To Poll or Not to Poll? (Ep 41)
In this episode of Poll Hub, what factors into pollsters decisions to poll? Why do some electoral contests have few public opinion polls? The team at Poll Hub breaks it down. Then, from the mailroom, the crew answers some of the most frequently asked questions about polls. From push polls to how participants are chosen, Poll Hub clears up the confusion and the misconceptions. And, Poll Hub celebrates a very special day at The Marist Poll with an annual tradition. The team shares the results of its yearly poll about age. Do Americans think Dr. Lee M. Miringoff is old now that he’s 67? Find out in this episode of Poll Hub.
Ep 401968: The Year That Rocked American Politics, The Insights of Jeff Greenfield (Ep 40)
Poll Hub and The Marist College Poll are pleased to present a special four-part panel series, 1968: The Year That Rocked American Politics. In this fourth and final installment of the series, the Poll Hub team welcomes author, journalist, and former aide to Senator Robert F. Kennedy, Jeff Greenfield. Through his unique lens as a staffer on Kennedy’s 1968 presidential campaign, Greenfield offers his observations on the shifting political terrain in 1968, the loss of hope of the 1960s, Kennedy’s decision to enter the presidential contest, the catastrophic events of the year that forever altered the course of American history, and the complicated relationship between Robert Kennedy and the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll), and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.
Ep 391968: The Year That Rocked American Politics, A Discussion with Lynn Novick (Ep 39)
Poll Hub and The Marist College Poll are pleased to present a special four-part panel series, 1968: The Year That Rocked American Politics. In this third installment of the series, the Poll Hub team welcomes Emmy and Peabody Award winning filmmaker Lynn Novick. Novick, who is the co-producer and co-director with Ken Burns of the 10-part, 18-hour epic documentary, “The Vietnam War,” discusses the significance of 1968 in the conflict, the idea that there is not just one truth to the war, and how her experience working on this groundbreaking documentary influenced her view of the Vietnam War. The entire event was streamed live on Facebook as will our future conversation with author and political analyst, Jeff Greenfield. You can watch on our Facebook Page and if you follow us there, you’ll be notified when our next session goes live.
Ep 38Mueller under Fire (Ep 38)
White House press secretary Sarah Sanders said this week that President Donald Trump believes he has the “power” to fire Special Counsel Robert Mueller. But, do Americans think Mueller should be fired? In this edition of Poll Hub, the team discusses the latest poll numbers about the Mueller investigation and whether or not there has been a change in public opinion. Then, New York State Governor Andrew Cuomo faces a Democratic challenger in his bid for re-election. Does actress and education activist Cynthia Nixon pose a formidable threat to Cuomo in the primary? What has changed for Cuomo in the last four years, and what could this challenge mean for Cuomo should he run for president in 2020? Poll Hub breaks down brand new NBC 4 New York/Marist Poll numbers.
Ep 371968: The Year That Rocked American Politics, A Discussion with Bob Herbert (Ep 37)
Poll Hub and The Marist College Poll are pleased to present a special four-part panel series, 1968: The Year That Rocked American Politics. In this second installment of the series, the Poll Hub team welcomed journalist, filmmaker, and Distinguished Senior Fellow at Demos, Bob Herbert. Herbert, writer and producer of the documentary Against All Odds: The Fight for a Black Middle Class, discusses 1968 as a pivotal year in the Civil Rights Movement, addresses where the quest for equality stands today, and reflects on his personal experiences during this tumultuous period. The entire event was streamed live on Facebook as will future conversations with Lynn Novick, co-director and co-producer of the film The Vietnam War, and author and political analyst, Jeff Greenfield. You can watch on our Facebook Page and if you follow us there, you’ll be notified when our next session goes live.
Ep 36Census Uproar (Ep 36)
With the deadline to file the questionnaire for the 2020 U.S. Census imminent, the Department of Commerce’s decision to include a question about citizenship is drawing ire. In this episode of Poll Hub, the team gets at the heart of the controversy, discusses the stakes for including the question, and clears up the confusion about the history of the U.S. Census. Then, it’s opening day for Major League Baseball. Poll Hub shares the latest Marist Poll numbers about baseball fans and a proposed rule change which would begin extra innings with a man on second base. Plus, a report from on the ground at spring training from special correspondent John Sparks. Let’s play ball!
Ep 351968: The Year That Rocked American Politics, Talking with E.J. Dionne (Ep 35)
This spring Dr. Lee Miringoff, Director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, is bringing four distinguished guests to the Marist College campus in Poughkeepsie, New York for public conversations about 1968. We’ll talk about the war, civil rights, political upheaval and other issues that framed 1968 and how it relates to our current political climate. Our first guest was E.J. Dionne who is a syndicated columnist at The Washington Post and a Senior Fellow at The Brookings Institution. E.J. has been an insightful voice into cultural and political issues over the past several decades and is the author of numerous books including his most recent, “One Nation After Trump” written with Norman Ornstein and Thomas Mann. Our discussion took place in the Hancock Center here at Marist in front of an audience that included students, alumni, faculty and staff. This is a portion of the conversation. The entire event was streamed live on Facebook as will future conversations with Bob Herbert, Lynn Novick and Jeff Greenfield. You can watch at our Facebook Page and if you follow us there, you’ll be notified when our next session goes live.
Ep 34The Parkland Tragedy, One Month Later (Ep 34)
Tomorrow marks one month since the horrific school shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida. To remember those lost and to protest gun violence, students across the country are expected to walk out of their classrooms for 17 minutes. In this episode of Poll Hub, the team uses the latest Marist Poll data to contextualize the scheduled protest. Do Americans think students who participate in the walkout should be punished by their schools? Do residents believe the Parkland students who are speaking out against gun violence will have an impact on the debate over guns, and are Americans more likely to support companies that dissociate themselves from the National Rifle Association?
Ep 33Talkin’ Trump & Tackling the Trash Talk (Ep 33)
The latest Marist Poll has President Donald Trump’s approval rating at 42%, his highest approval rating since taking office. In this week’s edition of Poll Hub, the crew provides an in-depth look at the factors driving the president’s improved standing and responds to the critiques of the poll’s methodology. Plus, Americans have spoken on the question of taxing steel and aluminum imports. Where do they stand? Poll Hub shares the latest findings. Then, CNN’s Harry Enten argues that President Trump may be unpopular, but his support is actually on the rise. Why there is a small flaw in our dear friend’s logic.
Ep 32High on the Hooey (Ep 32)
A recent Washington Post analysis by Philip Bump asserts Democrats are more likely to say they approve of President Donald Trump’s job performance when they respond to a poll conducted online or via IVR than by telephone. In turn, Bump argues, the president’s job approval rating is higher in polls conducted online rather by phone. In this episode, the Poll Hub team debunks Bump’s analysis through an in-depth discussion of social desirability, mode effects, and a study from the Pew Research Center and explains why omitting house effects from the analysis of survey research is dangerous.
Ep 31Parkland Aftermath: The New Gun Debate (Ep 31)
The latest mass school shooting – the killing of 17 people at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida on February 14, 2018 – has renewed an age-old American debate about guns. Does the Second Amendment (2A) protect the right of any American to own any gun under any circumstance? Should we ban assault weapons like the AR-15 used in Parkland? Should background checks and age limits be reassessed?
Ep 30Let’s Party! (Ep 30)
It is a common pollster criticism during election seasons – oversampling either Democrats or Republicans. In this episode of Poll Hub, the team explains why modeling to party is an incorrect assumption, what party identification does and does not mean, and whether the two party system is in jeopardy. And, U.S. intelligence agencies say Russia has already taken steps to interfere in this year’s midterm elections. But, according to the latest Marist Poll, a majority of Americans do not think Russia will play a role in the elections. What accounts for the disconnect? Poll Hub takes a look.
Ep 29Census and Sensibility (Ep 29)
Unlike his predecessors, President Donald Trump has tied his job performance to that of the stock market. With the Dow Jones plummeting at the beginning of the week, what does this mean for the president? Do Americans attribute the market’s ups and downs to him? Poll Hub breaks it down. And, it’s time for the U.S. Census. Every ten years, there is debate about the questions to be included, and this year, that disagreement focuses on citizenship and race. What’s at stake? Why should we care? Spoiler alert: money is involved. Poll Hub explains.
Ep 28Is the Nunes Memo Watergate 2.0? (Ep 28)
The contents of the so-called “Nunes memo” are expected to be released as early as today. The memo has created a firestorm that, to some, signals a constitutional crisis nearing the level of Watergate. In this episode, Jay DeDapper speaks with Benjamin Wittes -- Editor in Chief of Lawfare, Senior Fellow in Governance Studies at the Brookings Institution, and author -- about the risks of releasing this sensitive information and what it means for the oversight Congress has over the intelligence community. Also, this week – President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union Address. The Poll Hub team discusses the post State of the Union “bounce” and what the polls taken immediately after the speech mean (and don’t mean) for the president. And, the NFL’s biggest day of the year is Sunday! Do Americans want the Philadelphia Eagles or the New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl? The results of the latest Marist Poll. About Poll Hub Poll Hub goes behind the science to explain how polling works, what polls really show, and what the numbers really mean. Poll Hub is produced by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, home of America’s leading independent college public opinion poll, The Marist Poll. Lee Miringoff (Director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion), Barbara Carvalho (Director of The Marist Poll) and Jay DeDapper (Director of Innovation at The Marist Poll) dig deep to give you a look at the inner workings of polls and what they tell us about our world, our country, and ourselves.
Ep 27Gettin’ “Giggy” with It (Ep 27)
The American workforce is undergoing a profound change. According to the latest NPR/Marist Poll of the future of work, one in five American workers are contract workers. Who are they, and what kind of an impact do they have on the labor force? Poll Hub has the answers. And, the language of polls… Survey questions are a sign of the times. In this segment, the Poll Hub team looks back on questions dating back more than half a century and discusses how their phrasing has evolved over time. On the table are questions about race relations, interracial marriage, and a woman’s place in the workplace.
Ep 26Triumph or Trumped? (Ep 26)
Tomorrow marks one year since President Donald Trump took the oath of office. So, how’s the president doing? Despite a year marked by a job approval rating hovering in the thirties and a majority of Americans rating Trump’s presidency as a “failure,” there are some bright spots for the president. What are they, and what impact could President Trump’s job approval rating have on the 2018 midterm elections? The Poll Hub team digs into the results of the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. And, what is “sugging” and “frugging”? What people need to know about these techniques used to raise money under the guise of survey research.
Ep 25Oprah for President? (Ep 25)
Oprah Winfrey’s speech at the Golden Globes sparked renewed enthusiasm about a potential presidential candidacy by the journalist, talk show host, and actress. This week, Poll Hub takes an in-depth look at what the polls show about a possible Oprah run against President Donald Trump in 2020. They also dig into how the concept of an “outsider” candidate has evolved in politics. And, it has been fifty years since the Supreme Court legalized interracial marriage in the case, Loving vs. Virginia. According to the Pew Research Center, three percent of all married couples in 1967 were interracial. In 2017, 17% of all newlywed couples were interracial. Using this data as a springboard, the Poll Hub team looks at how Americans’ attitudes toward marriage have changed over the past five decades and how the groundbreaking Loving case paved the way for greater acceptance of other societal changes.
Ep 24The Pollsters Strike Back (Ep24)
In this episode of Poll Hub, the brain trust of The Marist Poll shares its poll watcher’s checklist for the 2018 midterm elections for United States Congress. What can pollsters and media pundits do to prevent the public from being pointed in the wrong direction? Stay tuned. And, according to the Pew Research Center, more and more people are getting their news from social media. The Poll Hub team picks up the topics of what role President Donald Trump plays in this trend, how social media impacts people’s understanding of the polls, and whether social media is the next step in the technology of public opinion research.
Ep 23It’s the Economy, Stupid. Or, Is It? (Ep 23)
Using a compilation of polls from 2017, a recent Washington Post article asserts that, historically, Americans’ outlook about the direction of the country is impacted by whether or not the economy is doing well. And if it is, that credit tends to go to the President of the United States. But, if 2017 is the barometer, that correlation no longer holds true. In this episode of Poll Hub, the crew picks up on the thesis of the article, analyzes the polls discussed, and weighs in on why Americans have a pessimistic view about the direction of the country given that the economy is thriving.
Ep 22Tax Reform, Donald Trump, & 2018 (Ep 22)
With the passage of the tax reform bill, the Republicans in Congress hope to start off the New Year with a sense that the GOP-controlled Congress can have legislative success. But, with so many questions about tax reform left unanswered, is this really a win for Republicans? As the Poll Hub team discusses, the danger for the Republicans is how tax reform unfolds in 2018 and whether the GOP can maintain its credibility given the expected impact of the legislation on the deficit. Will the Democrats or Republicans win the “messaging war” as they head into the 2018 midterm elections? And, how could the passage of the tax reform bill impact perceptions of President Donald Trump? Find out in this episode of Poll Hub.
Ep 21Alabama Shakes! Amy Walter On How A Senate Race Could Shape 2018 (Ep 21)
The special election for U.S. Senate in Alabama has been a near-perfect encapsulation of problems with political polls. Some have used proven scientific methods, others have not. Some have been transparent with their data and methodology, others…not so much. And then there are the poll averages. The widely reported Real Clear Politics’ last poll average prior to Election Day had Republican Roy Moore up by 2.2% over Democrat Doug Jones. The final results will likely have Jones winning by roughly 1.5%. Is this a polling problem or a reporting problem? We talk this over with Amy Walter, National Editor of the Cook Political Report and then discuss the implications of the Alabama results on the 2018 midterm elections. Will President Donald Trump’s enduring unpopularity catch up with Republicans in Congress? Can Democrats take advantage of the current climate? Will Trump change course?
Ep 20The Future of Public Opinion Polls (Ep 20)
With trust in the U.S. electoral system waning and indications of Russian involvement in the 2016 presidential election looming, could public opinion polls assume a new role in American democracy? In the 1930’s George Gallup envisioned the majority viewpoint as having a place in the dialogue of democracy. Eight decades later, polls are judged by their accuracy in predicting the elections. But, what if interference occurs in the electoral process? Could public opinion polls be used, as in emerging democracies, to validate election outcomes? Poll Hub picks up that question.
Ep 19The Realignment of America’s Political Parties (Ep 19)
In a candid and enlightening interview with Ron Brownstein, CNN senior political analyst and Atlantic Media's editorial director for strategic partnerships, Brownstein expounds upon the composition of the two main political parties in the United States and how the flux of the Democratic and Republican parties helped Donald Trump win the White House in 2016. Brownstein, who was among the first to identify the significance of white, non-educated voters in recent electoral cycles, explains what he means by the “coalition of transformation” and the “coalition of restoration.” He also takes an introspective look at how, as a journalist, his interest in poll analysis stemmed from the perceived disconnect between reality and how journalists covered politics.
Ep 18The Alabama Senate Race (Ep 18)
Allegations of sexual misconduct against the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Alabama, Roy Moore, have rocked the special election in the state. In this reddest of red states, the polls are inconsistent, and many lack the scientific rigor that instills confidence in the polls. Can the polls be believed? How volatile is the contest, and how difficult is it to identify likely voters given the national media attention surrounding this race? Poll Hub weighs in. And according to new national poll numbers from the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating has not shifted in the eleven months he has been president. While President Trump has been catering to his base, these poll numbers show he and many of his counterparts in the U.S. Congress are out of step with Americans on issues like tax cuts and health care.
Ep 17What’s in an Approval Rating? (Ep 17)
President Donald Trump has certainly been in the thick of things during his first 10 months in office, but his job approval rating has changed little since he took the Oath of Office. As this episode of Poll Hub explains, President Trump maintains the support of his base and focuses on issues that interest his core group of supporters. But, a majority of Americans consider the president’s policies to mostly favor the wealthy. As the president’s policy initiatives move forward, could that impact public opinion and President Trump’s job approval rating? Poll Hub takes on the question.
Ep 16Election Wrap Up (Ep 16)
The pre-election polls in Virginia were wildly inconsistent. The disparate methodologies, specifically how samples were selected, muddied the narrative of the gubernatorial contest. As the Poll Hub team explains, the traditional method of conducting live interviews using a Random Digit Dial sampling method proved the most accurate in predicting this year's governor's race in Virginia. Which polling group was the most accurate, and what are the big takeaways for the industry? Poll Hub has the answers.
Ep 15It’s All in the Wording (Ep 15)
In this episode of Poll Hub, the team does something they have never done before – calling out poor question wording. At issue is a question included in the October Harvard-Harris Poll which asks: Some people say that the Iran nuclear deal is not perfect and the Iranians are building up their nuclear capability secretly, but we should not rock the boat now and just let it all slide along. Others say if Iranians are not compliant we have to call them out on it and push to renegotiate the deal with real verification. What would be your preferred course of action? Confused? You are not alone. Poll Hub explains why this question is so confounding and why it should never be included in a survey.
Ep 14Covert Russian Ops on Social Media (Ep 14)
With allegations that operatives based out of Russia purchased Facebook advertisements to interfere in the 2016 presidential election and an investigation underway by the United States Congress to assess the extent of the Russians’ interference, Facebook may have played an unexpected role in the electoral process of the United States. How did this social media platform evolve into an advertising platform, and how did it become a political tool? As the “Poll Hub” team discusses, Facebook’s technology allows audiences to be targeted on a granular level to receive a specific, tailored message. As “Poll Hub” host and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper explains it, the lack of regulations of these advertisements created a digital “Wild West.”
Ep 13Sexual Harassment in the Workplace (Ep 13)
Though the Harvey Weinstein scandal has stolen the spotlight, sexual harassment in the workplace is not a new issue in American society. But, it is a persistent one. According to new Exclusive Third Rail with OZY-Marist Poll findings, 87% of Americans believe that workplace sexual harassment is a problem. Included are 42% of Americans who think it is a big problem. As the Poll Hub team discusses, that proportion has increased by more than two to one over the past thirty years.
Ep 12What’s Up with the Polls in Virginia? (Ep 12)
With few major statewide elections on the ballot this year, the Virginia governor’s race is front and center, but there is little agreement among the polls about the contest. In this edition of Poll Hub, the team digs deep into the polls’ methodologies and explains the “special sauce” behind each poll. Understand how the widespread experimentation in polling is complicating survey research today and why it is critical to examine the samples and weighting factors used by public opinion polls. Plus, the Poll Hub team explains the difference between party identification and registration and why weighting by party is a recipe for disaster.
Ep 11The Opioid Crisis in America (Ep 11)
The opioid epidemic in the United States is no secret to most Americans. According to a sweeping survey by the PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll, addiction to prescription opioid painkillers such as oxycodone, is a problem that affects 54% of Americans. In fact, about one in four Americans say someone in their own family suffers from this addiction. In this episode of Poll Hub, the team examines how this crisis compares with the crack epidemic in the late 1980's, whether the United States is doing enough to stop this problem, and whether Americans think there is an end in sight.
Ep 10Race in America (Ep 10)
Stories of taking a knee and other national anthem protests by NFL players to draw attention to racial inequality in the United States have saturated news headlines. But, what is the status of race relations in the nation today? This episode of Poll Hub addresses that very question with special attention given to President Donald Trump’s impact on race relations in the United States. Mr. Trump’s first nine months in office have been consumed with the topic of race, and according to Exclusive Third Rail with OZY-Marist Poll numbers, a plurality of Americans, 46%, say President Trump’s comments about people of color such as Muslims, immigrants, or African Americans make it more acceptable to make racist comments.
Ep 9Risky Business? President Trump Deals with the Democrats (Ep 9)
On this episode of Poll Hub, what do Donald Trump’s supporters think of the president’s talks with the Democrats on the issue of immigration? According to a new national Marist Poll, Donald Trump’s job approval rating is up to 39% from 35%, among Americans, and it is President Trump’s base that accounts for the improvement. Why hasn’t the president’s core abandoned him in light of his negotiations with congressional Democrats? Are there other factors influencing the president’s improved job approval rating? Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, and political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper pick up those questions.
Ep 8Is Truth Overrated? Is Lying the New American Way? (Ep 8)
In this episode of Poll Hub, truth. Based on results from the Exclusive Third Rail with OZY-Marist Poll, the Poll Hub team discusses whether or not honesty is alive and well in American society. Together with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, and Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist Poll, address the prevalence of lying in everyday life, even at the highest level of American society – the Presidency. Included here is an in-depth discussion about the truthfulness of President Donald Trump, Americans’ views about the president’s degree of honesty, and whether world leaders should believe what President Trump says versus what he does.
Ep 7Come Together (Ep 7)
In this episode of Poll Hub, the debate over DACA. According to a new Marist Poll, a majority of Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump’s move to end DACA, similar to the findings of other recent surveys. What does it mean when the polls converge? Can the average poll consumer trust the results? Does question wording matter? The Poll Hub team takes a deep dive into the issue. Then, Poll Hub gets wonky. Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, and Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, pull the curtain back on sample size and share with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper what a margin of error really means. Plus, what do soup and polling have in common? The Poll Hub crew explains this seemingly odd analogy.
Ep 6The states or The STATES? (Ep 6)
In this episode of Poll Hub, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion and Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, discuss with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, the poll’s decision to go into the three Rust Belt States that helped put President Donald Trump over the top in the 2016 election. According to the latest NBC News/Marist Polls of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, President Trump is having difficulty in the states that made the difference for him last November. In each of these battleground states, the president’s job approval ratings stand in the 30’s.
Ep 4There Are No Generic Congresspeople. So Why Are There Generic Congressional Polls? (Ep 4)
Though it may seem inherently contradictory, the generic ballot question can provide very specific information about the electorate and its mood. But, as the Poll Hub team discusses, analysis of the generic ballot question cannot occur in a vacuum. It must be discussed in light of the president’s job approval rating. On this episode of Poll Hub, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, and political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, expound upon recent historical precedent which indicates that the lower the president’s job approval rating is, the worse the president’s political party performs in the midterm elections. As such, the generic ballot question acts as a measurement of the brands of the Democratic and Republican parties.
Ep 3Everything Evolves, Even Polls (Ep 3)
In this episode of Poll Hub, together with political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, and Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, explain how public opinion polls have evolved over the last 80 years. Front and center in the discussion is the need for pollsters to adjust as technology changes and the challenge of conducting quality surveys in light of the increased costs associated with those technological advances. The experts at Poll Hub also pull back the curtain on the Telephone Consumer Protection Act (TCPA) and explain why it has created unique challenges for the polling community. Then, the Poll Hub team tackles one for football fans. Are people watching less football because of Colin Kaepernick’s protests last season? Why poll consumers need to dig deep into the data and look beyond the headline.
Ep 2A Crisis in Faith (Ep 2)
Since the 1970’s, there has been a sharp shift in the level of confidence Americans have in the institutions of the United States. What has changed, and why? In this episode of Poll Hub, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, and political journalist and tech entrepreneur, Jay DeDapper look closely at the recent NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll to highlight the institutions in which Americans have the most and least faith, compare it to historical trend data to uncover what accounts for the change in public opinion, and discuss what is needed to restore Americans’ confidence.
Ep 1We Approve of this Podcast (Ep 1)
Job approval ratings are a daily part of the political discussion, but why do they receive so much attention? Do they really matter? In this episode of Poll Hub, Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho, Director of The Marist College Poll, and political journalist and tech entrepreneur Jay DeDapper discuss the historical context of job approval ratings and explain their relevance in modern day politics.
Ep 5The Aftermath of Charlottesville and Trump's Crumbling Base (Ep 5)
In a week marked with tragedy, heightened race relations, and political fallout, the Poll Hub team takes an in-depth look at the new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of Americans on the Unite the Right Rally in Charlottesville, Virginia and the deadly violence that followed. That poll, along with another conducted by The Marist Poll immediately preceding the events of Charlottesville, give a huge amount of insight into how Americans view their President, what expectations they have for him, and how strongly different groups feel about their positions.
Poll Hub: The Podcast from the team at The Marist Poll
Episode 0 otherwise known as the "what the heck is this podcast about" episode where hosts Jay DeDapper, Lee Miringoff and Barbara Carvalho explain why the Marist Poll launched the show. Short and to the point.