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Bonus: Sugar Sag with Commentary

Bonus: Sugar Sag with Commentary

Normal Curves: Sexy Science, Serious Statistics · Regina Nuzzo and Kristin Sainani

January 12, 20261h 13mbonus

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Show Notes

While we’re on a short break between seasons, we’re revisiting some of our favorite episodes from Season 1. This week, we’re re-releasing our exploration of how your diet can affect your skin – now with added commentary!


Wrinkles and sagging skin—just normal aging, or can you blame your sweet tooth? We dive into “sugar sag,” exploring how sugar, processed foods, and even your crispy breakfast toast might be making you look older than if you’d said no to chocolate cake and yes to broccoli. Along the way, we encounter statistical adjustment, training and test data sets, what we call “references to nowhere,” plus some cadavers and collagen. Ever heard of an AGE reader? Find out how this tool might offer a sneak peek at your date’s age—and maybe even a clue about his… um… “performance.”



Statistical topics 

  • Confounding
  • Correlation vs causation
  • Measurement error / proxy variables
  • Overfitting 
  • Plagiarism
  • Proper citing practices
  • References to nowhere
  • Statistical adjustment
  • Training and test sets


Methodologic morals

  • “When you plagiarize, you steal the errors too.”
  • “Overdone statistical adjustment is like overdone photo filters–at a certain point it’s just laughable.”

Citations


Collagen turnover: 


Cadaver study:


AGE Reader


Studies of AGEs and diabetes and health:

Review article with conflicts of interest: 

Clinical study on AGE interrupter cream:

Our citation trail:

  • 2023 review article: Zgutka K, Tkacz M, Tomasiak, et al. A Role for Advanced Glycation End Products in Molecular Ageing. Int J Mol Sci. 2023; 24: 9881. Sentence: “Interestingly, strict control of blood sugar for 4 months reduced the production of glycosylated collagen by 25%, and low-sugar food prepared by boiling could also reduce the production of AGEs [152].”
  • Reference 152 is a review article: Cao C, Xiao Z, Wu Y, et al. Diet and Skin Aging-From the Perspective of Food Nutrition. Nutrients. 2020;12:870. Sentence: “However, strict control of blood sugar for four months can reduce the production of glycosylated collagen by 25%, and low-sugar food prepared by boiling can also reduce the production of AGEs [93–95].”
  • Reference 93 is a review article: Nguyen HP, Katta R. Sugar sag: Glycation and the role of diet in aging skin. Skin Ther Lett. 2015; 20: 1–5. Sentence: “Tight glycemic control over a 4-month period can result in a reduction of glycated collagen formation by 25%.37,38”
  • Reference 94 and 38 is a review article: Draelos ZD. Aging skin: the role of diet: facts and controversies. Clin Dermatol. 2013;31:701-6. Sentence: “Tighter glycemic control can reduce glycated collagen by 25% in 4 months.” No citation given.
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Topics

statisticsKristin SainaniRegina Nuzzojournal club podcaststatistics podcastscience podcastsugar sagsugar and agingskin agingwrinkles and dietglycationadvanced glycation end productscollagenperceived agecorrelation vs causationconfounding variablesstatistical adjustmenteffect size vs statistical significancemeasurement errorproxy variablestraining and test setsoverfittingcitation practicesplagiarism in science