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Weekend Edition: Does money supply determine economic health?
Season 9 · Episode 77

Weekend Edition: Does money supply determine economic health?

Steve Hanke argues that the US money supply is not growing fast enough to avoid a US recession. He says economists ignore the quantity theory of money at their peril.

NAB Morning Call · NAB - The Morning Call

April 11, 202531m 34s

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Show Notes

Friday 11th April 2025


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Economists these days tend not to treat the supply of money as a major determinant of economic growth. That’s because a downturn in the supply of money can be counteracted by the speed at which money changes hands. This week Steve Hanke, a Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, argues against that belief. The velocity of money is relatively constant, he says, but the supply of money is the major determinant of economic output, driven primarily by loans from commercial banks. Listen to his reasoning on this week’s podcast and why he thinks the RBA is doing a good job for Australia, but the US could be heading for a recession, even before Trump’s tariff adventure.


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