
The widening Atlantic drift
Less than a day away from the Fed and no surprises in US economic data this morning. Phil asks NAB’s Ken Crompton, if the US is heading or a soft landing, why not the big cut?
NAB Morning Call · NAB - The Morning Call
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Show Notes
Wednesday 18th September 2024
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There have been no surprises in US economic data overnight. Retail sales, industrial production and manufacturing weren’t far off expectations. So, do they all point to a soft landing? And if that’s the scenario, why would the Fed delay a big rate cut? It’s a question Phil puts to NAB’s Ken Crompton, less than 24 hours from the FOMC decision, which includes revised forecasts and a new dot plot. There’s also the question as to whether the Bank of Canada will move to a faster cutting schedule, given CPI actually showed deflation last month. UK CPI is the main figure today – in particular the sticky services inflation. And, could the ECB be forced to cut rates faster in face of a slowing economy, with the latest ZEW survey for Germany showing confidence has plummeted as hopes of a recovery subside.
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