Season 2 · Episode 1997
The Long Peace Is Over (Or Is It?)
The data says we’re living in the most peaceful era ever, but it sure doesn’t feel like it.
My Weird Prompts · Daniel Rosehill
April 4, 202618m 27s
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Show Notes
Is humanity actually getting safer, or are we just in a lucky lull before catastrophe? We dig into the data on the "Long Peace" since 1945, examining the three key suppressors of war—nuclear weapons, economic interdependence, and international institutions—and why that peace might be fraying at the edges. From the statistical nadir of 2010 to the rising conflict counts of 2026, we explore the debate between the "Better Angels" of our nature and the "Black Swan" theory of inevitable violence.