Climate change forecast that matches
Murphy's law if anything can go wrong.... · Veljko Massimo Plavsic
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Show Notes
The provided text highlights how **early climate models**, particularly those developed by **Nobel laureate Syukuro Manabe** starting in the 1960s, accurately **predicted several key aspects of global warming** decades before they were definitively observed. Despite their initial simplicity, these models correctly forecast phenomena such as **overall global temperature increase due to CO2**, the **cooling of the stratosphere**, **amplified warming in the Arctic**, a **greater warming effect over land compared to oceans**, and the **delayed warming of the Southern Ocean**. The article argues that this **proven track record of successful predictions** strengthens confidence in present-day climate science and its projections for future climate changes.