S2025 Ep241: Wait… Good News Is Bad for Mortgage Rates?
Mortgage Rates Today | Housing Market & Fed News – The Rate Update with Dan Frio · Dan Frio
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Show Notes
Strong jobs.
Cooling inflation.
Stocks rallying.
So why aren’t mortgage rates falling?
In this video, we break down why a healthy economy actually reduces the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts — and how that directly impacts mortgage rates.
We’ll cover:
• What the latest Jobs report signals
• Why inflation cooling isn’t the same as inflation collapsing
• How the 10-Year Treasury is reacting
• Why “no recession” = no emergency rate cuts
• What this means for homebuyers waiting on 5% rates
The bond market doesn’t move on headlines — it moves on expectations.
If the economy remains stable, mortgage rates may not drop the way many are hoping.
Let’s walk through the data.