S2025 Ep237: Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge Ticks Up as GDP Crashes — Mortgage Rates React
Mortgage Rates Today | Housing Market & Fed News – The Rate Update with Dan Frio
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Show Notes
Today’s report delivered a mixed signal that markets don’t like:
📉 Economic growth just fell sharply
📈 Core PCE — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — moved higher
That combination matters.
When growth slows but inflation stays sticky, bond markets reprice fast.
And when the 10-Year Treasury and MBS move… mortgage rates follow.
In this episode, we break down:
• What the GDP print actually means
• Why Core PCE matters more than CPI
• How the 10-Year Treasury reacted
• What happened to mortgage-backed securities (MBS)
• What this means for locking vs. floating
We don’t speculate.
We follow the data.
If you’re buying, refinancing, or just tracking the market — this is the real-time breakdown you need.
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Dan Frio | NMLS #246527
Equal Housing Lender | TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp | NMLS #257781
Educational purposes only. Not financial advice.