Investors' Insights and Market Updates

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ashley Page highlights the evolving landscape of employer health insurance in 2026, where rising costs are prompting companies to take a more proactive and strategic approach to benefits planning. He explores the key drivers behind these changes, including increased healthcare utilization, innovative treatments like GLP-1 therapies, and advancements in AI, while noting how many organizations are actively evaluating new providers and solutions. As the environment shifts, this perspective offers helpful context for how businesses can adapt and make more informed decisions moving forward. Watch to learn more. Ashley Page, JD, MBA Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ashley Page here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post The Rising Cost of Health Insurance first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

A Strong Tax Season Boosting Consumers As tax season passes its midpoint, a clear shift typically occurs, from early filers receiving refunds to later filers making payments. This year, refund data has been particularly strong, with total refunds nearing $200 billion and running approximately 19% higher than the same period last year. This surge in refunds is more than just a seasonal occurrence; it represents a meaningful injection of liquidity into the economy. In fact, by mid-March, the increase in consumer aid had already reached roughly $20 billion, marking one of the largest non-pandemic-related boosts on record. These funds are playing a key role in supporting consumer spending, especially amid external pressures such as rising energy costs and geopolitical tensions. In the short term, this influx of cash is helping offset inflationary strain. However, the true test will come after the April tax deadline, when this temporary support fades and underlying economic conditions become more apparent. Why the Bull Market Remains Intact Recent market volatility has prompted understandable concerns about whether the current bull market may be nearing its end. However, a deeper analysis suggests that the broader upward trend remains intact. Several key indicators that historically signal a market peak are notably absent. Unlike prior market tops in 2000 and 2007, there is no evidence of excessive investor euphoria. Equity inflows have not reached extreme levels, mergers and acquisitions activity remains moderate, and IPO markets are far from overheated. Additionally, real interest rates are still below levels typically seen before recessions, and corporate earnings revisions continue to trend positively. While fewer stocks are hitting new highs, this slowdown has not yet reached a level that raises significant concern. Taken together, these factors suggest that the current pullback is more likely a short-term fluctuation rather than the beginning of a sustained downturn. Ongoing analysis will be critical in determining whether conditions change in the weeks ahead. The 10-Year Treasury as a Market Signal One of the most important indicators of market health is the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury. This single data point offers insight into borrowing levels, investor demand, and broader economic expectations. A key threshold to watch is the 4.5% level. Historically, when the 10-year yield approaches or exceeds this level, equity markets—particularly the S&P 500—tend to experience downward pressure. This relationship reflects the inverse movement between bond prices and interest rates. Earlier this year, optimism around reduced government borrowing and stronger tax revenues pushed yields below 4% for the first time in over a year. However, recent geopolitical developments, including heightened tensions in the Middle East, have shifted expectations. Projected increases in defense spending, estimated at an additional $200 billion, are expected to expand the federal deficit and lead to higher Treasury issuance. This, in turn, puts upward pressure on yields and downward pressure on bond prices. While the 10-year yield has not yet crossed the critical 4.5% threshold, it has moved higher at a rapid pace. Encouragingly, recent data suggests yields may be stabilizing. Still, this remains a crucial metric to monitor, as it provides a real-time pulse on market sustainability. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Tax Refunds and Market Risks first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ty Miller explores how newly appointed Federal Reserve chairs are often tested early in their tenure through heightened market volatility and pullbacks. Looking at past leaders from Paul Volcker to Jerome Powell, he highlights a consistent pattern of strong market performance leading up to confirmation, followed by notable corrections shortly after. As a new Fed chair steps into the role amid ongoing economic uncertainty, this historical perspective offers valuable context for what investors might expect in the months ahead. Watch to learn more. Ty Miller Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. A Roth IRA offers tax deferral on any earnings in the account. Qualified withdrawals of earnings from the account are tax-free. Withdrawals of earnings prior to age 59 ½ or prior to the account being opened for 5 years, whichever is later, may result in a 10% IRS penalty tax. Limitations and restrictions may apply. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post New Fed Chair – What Lies Ahead? first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Navigating Uncertainty with Clarity In today’s rapidly shifting global environment, investors are faced with an overwhelming amount of information. From central bank policy decisions to geopolitical tensions, the volume and complexity of news can make it difficult to determine what truly matters for long-term financial planning. The focus, however, should remain on identifying the key variables that directly impact portfolios and market behavior. As global events unfold, particularly unexpected geopolitical conflicts, the investment landscape becomes even more complex. At the start of the year, few anticipated that escalating international tensions would coincide with critical monetary policy decisions. Energy prices, inflation expectations, and broader economic sentiment are all influenced by global conflict, and in turn, these elements shape how policymakers respond. For investors, staying informed and maintaining perspective is critical to navigating these uncertain conditions with confidence. Policy, Markets, and the Path Forward Recent market movements highlight the significant influence of policy decisions, particularly those made by the Federal Reserve. In its latest meeting, the Fed opted to hold interest rates steady, a widely anticipated move. However, the broader implications of that decision, along with ongoing leadership considerations, have added another layer of complexity to market expectations. Despite heightened attention on geopolitical tensions, the Fed’s policy stance has arguably had a more immediate impact on financial markets. Investors are increasingly recognizing that while global conflicts, especially in energy-sensitive regions, pose risks, the policy response to those conflicts may ultimately be more consequential. One of the primary concerns tied to geopolitical instability is the potential for rising oil and gas prices to reignite inflation. While this risk exists, there is a compelling argument that economic growth should be a more pressing concern. Historically, inflation trends have been closely tied to changes in the money supply, often with a lag of over a year. Current data suggests that money supply growth remains below trend, indicating that inflationary pressures may be more contained than feared. At the same time, prolonged geopolitical conflict can weigh on economic growth, productivity, and business confidence. This creates a delicate balancing act for policymakers. While short-term energy price spikes may influence sentiment, they may not necessarily translate into sustained inflation. Instead, the risk of slowing growth could become the more significant challenge. Market expectations currently reflect a cautious outlook, with little anticipation of near-term rate cuts and, in some cases, the possibility of rate hikes. However, there is a growing view that the Fed may need to reconsider this stance. Modest rate cuts later in the year could provide support for economic growth without significantly exacerbating inflation risks. From a corporate perspective, earnings remain a key area of focus. While energy companies may benefit from higher prices, it is important to monitor whether growth remains broad-based across sectors. Sustained earnings growth will be critical in maintaining market stability and investor confidence. Ultimately, the path forward remains uncertain. The interplay between geopolitical developments, energy markets, inflation, and monetary policy creates a complex environment for decision-making. While precise predictions are difficult, staying informed and adaptable will be essential. Even incremental shifts in policy expectations, such as signaling potential rate cuts, could have meaningful implications for markets in the months ahead. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FIN

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Trey Booth explains the critical difference between correlation and causation in investing. While many market trends appear connected, like certain stocks rising alongside the broader market, he highlights why moving in the same direction doesn’t necessarily mean one causes the other. By looking beyond surface-level data and digging into the underlying drivers of market behavior, investors can better understand the real forces influencing their decisions. Watch to learn more. Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. A Roth IRA offers tax deferral on any earnings in the account. Qualified withdrawals of earnings from the account are tax-free. Withdrawals of earnings prior to age 59 ½ or prior to the account being opened for 5 years, whichever is later, may result in a 10% IRS penalty tax. Limitations and restrictions may apply. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Correlation and Causation first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Higher Oil Prices are Cutting into Consumer Tailwinds Coming into the year, one of the major economic themes was the expected strength of the U.S. consumer. A key reason for that optimism was the wave of additional tax refunds created by provisions from last year’s tax legislation, including changes such as no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and adjustments to the SALT deduction. These measures were expected to deliver a meaningful boost to household cash flow. So far, that boost has materialized. Tax refunds are running about $24.7 billion higher compared to this time last year, providing a significant inflow of funds to American households. However, rising oil prices are beginning to offset part of that benefit. Gasoline costs have increased by roughly 57 cents per gallon, and because the United States consumes about 380 million gallons of gasoline per day, that price increase translates to approximately $218 million in additional daily spending on fuel. Over time, that adds up quickly. Estimates suggest that around $5–6.5 billion of consumer purchasing power has already been absorbed by higher gasoline costs. While that has not eliminated the entire tax refund boost, it has clearly reduced the amount of money consumers have available for discretionary spending. There are early signs of this shift in behavior. The U.S. savings rate has moved higher, indicating that consumers may be holding onto more of their refund rather than spending it broadly across the economy. Instead, a larger portion of that money is being redirected toward energy costs. This dynamic isn’t inherently negative, but if energy prices remain elevated for an extended period, it could limit the broader economic stimulus that tax refunds were expected to provide. Oil Markets Echo Past Geopolitical Shocks Consumer spending remains one of the most important drivers of economic growth and market performance, which makes rising oil prices especially significant. To better understand the current environment, it’s helpful to look at how oil prices behaved during previous geopolitical shocks, particularly the surge that followed the Russian invasion of Ukraine. At that time, oil prices rose sharply as the conflict escalated. Brent Crude climbed from around $65 per barrel in early December 2021 to roughly $139 per barrel as the war unfolded in early 2022. Recent events show a similar pattern. Tensions surrounding the conflict involving Iran pushed oil prices from about $60 per barrel to nearly $120, reaching a peak around early March before retreating as tanker traffic resumed through the Strait of Hormuz. This waterway is one of the most critical chokepoints in global energy supply, with a significant share of the world’s oil passing through it. Because of that, any disruption to traffic there introduces considerable supply risk. The good news is that oil prices have recently pulled back, suggesting that markets may be pricing in a better-than-feared outcome. If the pattern continues to resemble the 2022 experience, there’s a possibility that peak prices for this geopolitical event may already be behind us. Still, uncertainty remains high. Oil volatility continues to reflect ongoing concerns about the duration and intensity of the conflict and its potential impact on global supply. What Higher Oil Means for the Federal Reserve While market attention has largely been focused on geopolitical developments and energy prices, another important factor is quietly approaching: the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady for now. However, expectations for interest rate cuts have shifted dramatically in recent months. At the start of the year, markets were pricing in roughly three rate cuts for 2026. That expectation has now dropped to fewer than one cut for the year, a significant change in outlook. A major reason for this shift is renewed concern about inflation, particularly due to higher energy prices. Oil price spikes often create short-term inflation pressure, but historically they tend to be one-off events rather than drivers of sustained inflation. In many cases, high oil prices eventually slow economic activity, which helps ease inflation pressures over time. Some early signs of that slowdown are beginning to appear. Recent revisions show that U.S. real GDP growth slowed from 1.4% in the fourth quarter to 0.7%, indicating a modest deceleration in economic momentum. Ironically, if oil prices eventually decline, as they often do after geopolitical shocks, the resulting drop in inflation pressure could reopen the door for additional rate cuts from the Fed. For now, savers may benefit from higher interest rates lasting longer than expected. But if oil prices retreat and economic growth slows further, the outlook could shift toward two to three rate cuts, which would be more favorable for borrowers. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norma

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ty Miller explores the growing conversation around cryptocurrency investing and the key differences between owning crypto directly and investing through a crypto ETF. He explains how each option works, from the convenience and regulation of ETFs traded through brokerage accounts to the control and responsibility that comes with holding digital assets in your own wallet. The episode also dives into decentralized apps (dApps) and highlights key differences in ownership, regulation, taxation, and potential use cases that investors should understand before deciding which approach fits their strategy. Watch to learn more. Ty Miller Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. A Roth IRA offers tax deferral on any earnings in the account. Qualified withdrawals of earnings from the account are tax-free. Withdrawals of earnings prior to age 59 ½ or prior to the account being opened for 5 years, whichever is later, may result in a 10% IRS penalty tax. Limitations and restrictions may apply. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Crypto ETFs vs Owning Actual Crypto first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Oil Spikes and What They Historically Mean for Markets One of the most immediate market reactions to geopolitical tension in the Middle East is the surge in oil prices. Since the current conflict began on February 28, crude oil has risen sharply, climbing roughly 18% within days and continuing to move higher as new developments unfold. While oil has surged, other areas that investors often expect to benefit during periods of uncertainty, such as gold, consumer staples, healthcare, and aerospace and defense, have not seen the same type of strength. In fact, several of these traditionally defensive sectors have declined during the same period. This unusual pattern highlights just how quickly market dynamics can shift during geopolitical events. To better understand the implications of a sudden oil spike, it is useful to look at historical data. When oil experiences a rapid five-day rate of change similar to what markets are seeing now, the S&P 500 has tended to show modest short-term weakness but stronger performance over longer periods. Historically, the market has averaged roughly a 1% decline one month after a sharp oil spike. Three months later, returns typically turn positive at about 1%, followed by gains of around 2.5% after six months. Over longer time frames, nine to twelve months, the market has historically delivered even stronger performance. Looking at median returns, which reduce the influence of outlier years like 2008, tells a similar story. Despite sudden jumps in energy prices, equities have generally performed well over time. This pattern suggests that while energy shocks can cause temporary disruptions, they have rarely led to sustained market weakness. Investors may simply need patience while markets digest the initial volatility. How Markets Historically Respond to Geopolitical Events Geopolitical conflicts often create immediate uncertainty in financial markets. The initial reaction is typically increased volatility and a short-term decline in stock prices as investors respond to rapidly evolving news. However, history shows that these events rarely lead to prolonged market downturns. Data examining major geopolitical events since 1941 reveals a consistent pattern. While markets may fall initially when conflict breaks out, the S&P 500 has historically recovered and produced positive returns over the following months. On average, the index has risen about 2.6% three months after major geopolitical events. Six months later, average gains increase to approximately 5.8%, and twelve months after the event, the average return rises to about 7.8%. Recent Middle East conflicts follow a similar pattern. In many cases, the market declined when the news first broke but was higher three, six, and twelve months later. Of course, every event occurs within a unique economic backdrop. Some geopolitical conflicts unfold during periods of economic weakness, while others occur when economic fundamentals remain strong. That broader environment can influence how quickly markets recover. For investors, the key takeaway is that while geopolitical events often create short-term volatility, long-term market performance tends to be driven by more fundamental factors such as corporate earnings and economic growth. Rising oil prices, for example, could influence consumer spending and corporate profitability, which are important drivers of stock prices over time. Key Technical Levels to Watch During periods of intense news flow and rapidly changing headlines, market technicals can provide valuable insight into investor sentiment and potential turning points. Price action often reveals how investors are collectively responding to uncertainty. When markets face heightened volatility, watching key support and resistance levels becomes especially important. For the S&P 500, one important level recently stood at 6,710. This area represented a key resistance point where buying pressure had previously helped support the market. If the index breaks below this level and closes beneath it, attention shifts to the next major support level. That next level sits near 6,582, which corresponds with the 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average is one of the most widely followed technical indicators in the market. It represents the average price investors have paid for the index over the past 200 trading days. Because of this, it often acts as a psychological threshold where buyers and sellers reassess positions. If the market approaches that level, investors who previously purchased near that average price may choose to lock in profits or defend their positions by buying additional shares. This dynamic frequently creates support around the 200-day moving average. Importantly, the moving average is currently trending upward, which is typically viewed as a positive signal for the broader market trend. From a broader perspective, the current situation appears to be a market-driven event rather than a fundamen

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ashley Page examines why commercial construction is slowing down and what that means for the U.S. economy. From labor shortages tied to tighter immigration to rising material costs driven by tariffs, he breaks down the key forces slowing new projects across offices, hotels, apartments, and warehouses. He also highlights one bright spot: the rapid expansion of AI data centers, which is quickly becoming a powerful driver of new construction spending. Watch to learn more. Ashley Page, JD, MBA Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ashley Page here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. A Roth IRA offers tax deferral on any earnings in the account. Qualified withdrawals of earnings from the account are tax-free. Withdrawals of earnings prior to age 59 ½ or prior to the account being opened for 5 years, whichever is later, may result in a 10% IRS penalty tax. Limitations and restrictions may apply. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Commercial Construction Slowdown first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Technical Levels and Market Support From a technical standpoint, the market has shown notable resilience despite geopolitical tension. The S&P 500 is currently trading around 6,845, holding up well in the wake of weekend developments. While volatility may persist, it is important to evaluate where meaningful support levels lie. The first key support range sits between approximately 6,522 and 6,630, roughly a 3–5% decline from current levels. This area corresponds closely with the 200-day moving average, a widely followed long-term technical indicator. Further support exists near the 6,150 to 6,200 range. This level represents last year’s breakout zone and would equate to a more typical 10% market correction. Corrections of this magnitude are historically normal within broader uptrends. Importantly, the market remains in an established uptrend. Identifying these “lines in the sand” does not imply that a significant decline is imminent. Rather, it provides a structured framework for evaluating risk should volatility increase. A Healthier, Broader Market Beyond technical levels, underlying market strength offers encouraging signs. One of the most constructive developments in recent months has been the broadening of market participation. In prior years, performance in the S&P 500 was largely concentrated in a small group of mega-cap stocks, often referred to as the “Magnificent Eight.” A healthy bull market, however, is characterized by broader participation across sectors and market capitalizations. Since October of last year, performance has expanded beyond the largest names. Mid-cap and smaller companies have demonstrated improved strength, while many of the previously dominant mega-cap stocks have underperformed relative to the broader index. This rotation signals improving market breadth and positive structural development. Broader participation creates a more stable foundation for equity markets, particularly during periods of geopolitical uncertainty. As the second quarter of the midterm election year unfolds, a period that has historically experienced weakness, the strengthening internal dynamics of the market provide a constructive backdrop. Oil, Inflation, and the “First Casualty” There is a longstanding saying that the first casualty of any conflict is the truth. Early reports during geopolitical crises are often incomplete or inaccurate. Reacting emotionally to initial headlines can lead investors astray. Instead, the focus should remain on measurable data, particularly price action across key markets. In the current environment, oil prices serve as a primary barometer. Historically, Middle East conflicts have had direct implications for crude oil supply and pricing. A review of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude over the past five years illustrates this clearly. During the 2022 conflict in Ukraine, oil prices surged above $120 per barrel and remained elevated above $100 for an extended period. Today’s price movement is far more muted. WTI crude has risen to just above $72 per barrel, up from recent lows near $50, but significantly below the extremes seen in prior conflicts. This comparatively restrained reaction suggests markets are not yet pricing in a severe supply disruption. Statements from OPEC members signaling potential production increases may also be helping temper price spikes. Oil matters not only at the gas pump, but more critically through its influence on inflation. Elevated energy prices can make inflation “stickier,” complicating the Federal Reserve’s efforts to lower interest rates. As inflation persists, interest rates may remain higher for longer. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains another key indicator. In recent years, yields moving above approximately 4.5% have coincided with equity market weakness. As long as rates remain within the low-4% to 4.5% range, the broader market environment has tended to remain constructive. The interplay between oil, inflation, interest rates, and equity valuations ultimately determines portfolio outcomes. At present, inflation and rates remain within manageable ranges, and the broader market structure, both technically and fundamentally, remains intact. That does not eliminate risk, but it does suggest there is no immediate evidence that the prevailing uptrend has reversed. Disciplined investors avoid knee-jerk reactions. Instead, they monitor price signals, assess incoming data, and make measured adjustments only when warranted. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth managemen

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ashley Page unpacks the slowdown in U.S. job growth and what it signals for the broader economy. From the shift to a “low hire, low fire” environment to the impact of tariffs, labor shortages, AI adoption, and shifting workforce dynamics, he breaks down the four key forces reshaping today’s labor market. While hiring has cooled significantly, he also highlights why steady consumer spending and a still-healthy unemployment rate may offer important context for investors. Watch to learn more. Ashley Page, JD, MBA Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ashley Page here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. A Roth IRA offers tax deferral on any earnings in the account. Qualified withdrawals of earnings from the account are tax-free. Withdrawals of earnings prior to age 59 ½ or prior to the account being opened for 5 years, whichever is later, may result in a 10% IRS penalty tax. Limitations and restrictions may apply. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Why Has Job Growth Slowed? first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Tax Refunds and the Consumer Spending Boost There is encouraging news on the tax front. Tax refunds for 2026 are already running approximately $3 billion ahead of last year, reflecting a 17% increase driven in part by recent tax legislation. While that growth rate is slightly below earlier projections, it remains strong and meaningful. Historically, refund season begins to accelerate in late February and continues through May. Current data show this year’s refunds are already tracking ahead of prior years, suggesting that a meaningful influx of cash into households is just beginning. Why does this matter for investors? Consumer spending is a major engine of the U.S. economy and a key contributor to corporate revenue and profit growth. With interest rates trending lower and refunds rising, more money in consumers’ pockets could translate into stronger spending. Increased spending supports corporate profitability, which in turn underpins stock market performance. We are monitoring refund trends closely, as they may provide an important tailwind for economic growth and equities in the months ahead. The Supreme Court Ruling and the Future of Tariffs Tariff policy shifted dramatically following a recent Supreme Court ruling regarding the administration’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEPA). While IEPA has traditionally been used for sanctions and embargoes, it had been applied in this case to implement tariffs. The Court ruled that using IEPA in this way was unconstitutional. Importantly, the decision does not eliminate the executive branch’s authority to impose tariffs. Congress has granted tariff powers through other established mechanisms. In response to the ruling, the administration moved quickly to replace IEPA-based tariffs with alternative authorities, including Section 122 for a broad 15% tariff framework, as well as Sections 301 and 232 for more targeted, country- and industry-specific tariffs. Existing tariffs on industries such as steel and aluminum, as well as tariffs imposed on China beginning in 2018 under Section 301, remain in place. The ruling also raises questions about roughly $130 billion in tariffs previously collected under IEPA. Corporations are expected to pursue litigation seeking refunds, a process that could take months or even years to resolve. While companies may fight aggressively for those funds, consumers should not expect direct reimbursement for tariff-related price increases on retail goods. For markets, the key takeaway is that while the legal pathway has changed, the overall revenue expectations from tariffs are projected to remain similar. However, the structure has become more complex, and policy developments in this area will continue to warrant close attention. Earnings Growth: The Market’s Lifeblood Amid political noise and policy debates, it is important to remember that corporate earnings ultimately drive market performance. With approximately 75% of companies reporting, revenue growth is coming in at roughly 8.5%, exceeding earlier expectations of 6% to 7.5%. Even more impressive is earnings growth, currently tracking around 13.5%, well above prior projections in the 7.5% to 9% range. Strong earnings help justify elevated market valuations. When companies deliver accelerating profits, investors are often willing to pay higher multiples. However, rising earnings also bring rising expectations. Current projections call for approximately 14% earnings growth in 2026 and 15% in 2027, ambitious targets that will require sustained economic strength. Markets often react not just to results, but to the gap between expectations and reality. A solid 10% earnings growth rate could disappoint if investors expected 15%. Conversely, modest expectations that are exceeded can support continued market gains. That is why we monitor both present results and forward-looking projections. Managing expectations is just as important as measuring performance. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as pred

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Robert Moody breaks down the Roth 401(k) and how it compares to a traditional 401(k), along with how to know which one may be the best fit for your goals. From tax-free growth and withdrawals to contribution limits, employer matching, and tax diversification, this episode highlights the key pros and cons to help you make a confident decision. He also walks through common situations where a Roth 401(k) can be especially valuable, including for younger savers, higher earners, and those planning for long-term flexibility in retirement. Watch to learn more. Robert Moody, CFP®, CEPA® Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Robert Moody here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. A Roth IRA offers tax deferral on any earnings in the account. Qualified withdrawals of earnings from the account are tax-free. Withdrawals of earnings prior to age 59 ½ or prior to the account being opened for 5 years, whichever is later, may result in a 10% IRS penalty tax. Limitations and restrictions may apply. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Pros and Cons of a Roth 401(k) first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Mark Hume breaks down the topic of allowing private investments inside 401(k) plans and what it could mean for everyday investors. Private equity may offer new opportunities for diversification beyond public markets, but it also comes with important differences like fees, transparency, and how these investments are evaluated. This episode highlights the key pros and cons to understand, so that you can make informed decisions as this space continues to evolve. Watch to learn more. Mark Hume, CFP® Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Mark Hume here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Hold Your Horses first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Market Breadth is Strengthening One of the most important themes so far this year has been the broadening out of the stock market. In recent years, the market’s gains were heavily concentrated in the largest companies, particularly the “Magnificent 7,” with the top 5 to 10 stocks dramatically outperforming the rest of the index. This year, the pattern has shifted in a meaningful way. Instead of a narrow rally led by a small group at the top, a much larger share of the S&P 500 has begun contributing to overall performance. While these companies may be smaller relative to the largest names, they are still substantial businesses, and their improved participation is a healthy sign for the market. Several indicators reinforce this trend: 68% of S&P 500 stocks are currently trading above their 200-day moving average, which is the highest level since 2024. This suggests the overall market remains structurally intact despite periodic pullbacks and volatility. The percentage of stocks reaching 52-week highs is extremely strong, sitting around the 96th percentile, a level typically associated with broad momentum. Perhaps most striking is how dramatically the market’s leadership has changed. In 2023, 2024, and 2025, the top 10 stocks contributed more than 50% of the S&P 500’s total performance. In 2026, the market is still up year-to-date, but the top 10 stocks have actually detracted from returns by roughly 26%. That final point highlights how different the current environment is. The market is moving higher, but not because the largest names are carrying the index. Instead, strength is spreading across a broader base of companies. The Inflation vs. Productivity Test for 2026 A broadening market is generally considered a healthier market. When more companies participate in a rally, it suggests the underlying economy is stronger and more evenly supported. Two major data releases this week will help determine whether that support can continue, especially as the economy enters what may become one of the defining themes of 2026: the race between inflation and productivity. At the center of this issue is a critical question: Can productivity grow fast enough to offset rising costs? More specifically, can output per worker increase at a pace that allows wages to rise without forcing prices higher? This week brings two important economic signals – Wednesday: the jobs report, delayed due to the temporary government shutdown; Friday: The Consumer Price Index (CPI), the key inflation reading Together, these reports will provide insight into both labor market strength and inflation pressure, and they will feed directly into market expectations for interest rates. One of the most important market indicators right now is the 10-year Treasury yield. Historically, the stock market has tended to hold up well as long as the 10-year yield remains below 4.5%. The yield is currently around 4.2%, and it has remained relatively stable in a tight range, below 4.5% and above 4%, for most of the past year. That range matters because the 10-year yield is highly sensitive to inflation expectations. If inflation spikes again, interest rates are likely to rise, and higher rates can quickly tighten financial conditions and pressure stock valuations. The path to keeping inflation stable depends heavily on productivity. When workers can produce more output per hour, it helps absorb higher wages without pushing prices higher. In that environment, inflation stays contained, interest rates remain more stable, and markets tend to respond positively. Ultimately, inflation, productivity, and interest rates are interconnected. If productivity growth can keep pace with rising labor costs, the economy can move into a positive reinforcing cycle. If not, inflation pressures can re-emerge and lead to higher rates, creating a more challenging environment for both economic growth and market performance. The market’s recent broadening is an encouraging sign, and this week’s data will help determine whether that trend has the foundation to continue as 2026 unfolds. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indic

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ashley Page breaks down how sports spending contributes to the U.S. economy, and the numbers may surprise you. Depending on how broadly it’s measured, sports account for roughly 1% to 2% of U.S. GDP, a footprint comparable to the entire American auto industry. From the Super Bowl and the Olympics to college athletics and global soccer, this episode highlights how sports have become a major, and fast-growing, economic force. Watch to learn more. Ashley Page, JD, MBA Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ashley Page here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Sports Spending and the GDP first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Federal Reserve Policy and the “Height Chart” Theory The Federal Reserve met last week and, as widely expected, made no changes to interest rates. The decision generated little market reaction, largely because economic conditions have not deteriorated enough to warrant rate cuts. Long-term rates have remained relatively stable, short-term rates have already adjusted downward, and overall economic growth continues at a pace similar to last year. With two meetings remaining before May, markets are not expecting significant action from the Fed in the near term. The more notable development came at the end of the week with the announcement that President Trump intends to nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve. Warsh is a well-known and respected economist who previously served on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, becoming one of the youngest members in history at age 36. His public record suggests a more hawkish stance on monetary policy, with a strong emphasis on controlling inflation rather than pursuing easy money policies. Markets reacted quickly to the news. Interest rates moved higher, and precious metals experienced sharp declines, reflecting expectations that Warsh would favor tighter monetary discipline. While some investors were surprised by the direction of rates, history suggests the trajectory may be less mysterious than it seems. A tongue-in-cheek but intriguing chart highlights a correlation between the height of Federal Reserve Chairs and prevailing interest rate environments. From Paul Volcker’s era of high rates to the gradual declines under Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke, the zero-rate policies during Janet Yellen’s tenure, and the renewed tightening under Jerome Powell, the pattern has been remarkably consistent. Kevin Warsh appears to align closely with Powell in this framework, suggesting rates may remain near current levels. While clearly correlation, not causation, the chart offers a memorable way to think about where policy may be headed. The AI Bubble Question: Reality vs. Headlines Recent market volatility, including a sharp one-day decline of more than 10% in a major technology stock, has reignited concerns about a potential artificial intelligence bubble. Comparisons to the dot-com crash of the early 2000s have resurfaced, but the data tells a very different story. During the dot-com era, stock prices surged far ahead of underlying earnings. Valuations became detached from fundamentals, creating the conditions for a dramatic market correction. In contrast, today’s AI-driven market environment shows a much closer alignment between stock prices and forward earnings growth. Since 2020, equity valuations have largely been supported by real and measurable earnings expansion. While no investment theme is without risk, current market behavior does not reflect the kind of irrational exuberance that defined the late 1990s. One company’s short-term stock movement should not overshadow the broader fundamentals driving the sector. For long-term investors, the focus remains on earnings growth, balance sheets, and sustainable business models, not headlines or single-day market moves. Economic Strength, Productivity, and Inflation The broader economy continues to show signs of resilience, particularly in the area of productivity. U.S. productivity growth has been gaining momentum, with the most recent quarter approaching 5%, following another strong quarter near 4%. This improvement is especially notable as productivity gains have been elusive for much of the past decade. Artificial intelligence appears to be playing a meaningful role in this trend, supporting efficiency and output across industries. The interaction between productivity and inflation will be critical to watch going forward. While oil prices have begun to rise, a potential inflationary risk, other forces are helping keep inflation anchored. Labor costs, in particular, have remained relatively contained. Wage growth has been fairly flat, which can make the economy feel weaker for consumers still adjusting to residual inflation from 2021 and 2022. However, this same restraint has helped prevent inflation from reaccelerating. A simple way to view the current environment is through the balance of money and output. Inflation tends to rise when more money chases the same amount of goods. Today, money supply growth has slowed, and if productivity continues to improve, allowing the economy to produce more goods and services, price pressures may remain manageable. This dynamic will be central to the economic outlook in the months and years ahead. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent i

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ty Miller discusses Artificial Intelligence and how it is shaping Wall Street. AI is no longer a futuristic concept, as it’s already driving millions of trades each day by analyzing news, earnings calls, and even satellite data in real time to shape market decisions. From high-frequency trading to predictive analytics and risk monitoring, artificial intelligence is rapidly changing how Wall Street operates. While the opportunities are powerful, the risks and complexities make understanding this shift very important. Watch to learn more. Ty Miller Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post The Use of AI on Wall Street first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Broad Market Participation Signals Improving Market Health After several years of narrow leadership, early signs suggest the market is finally beginning to broaden. Market expansion, measured by how many stocks are participating in overall gains, is a critical component of a healthy and sustainable bull market. While major indexes may continue to hit new highs, the underlying strength of the market depends on participation beyond just a small group of dominant companies. Recent data shows meaningful improvement. Roughly 70% of S&P 500 stocks are now trading above their 200-day moving average, a level that reflects strong internal momentum. In most market environments, readings above 50% are considered healthy, making the current figure particularly encouraging. Small-cap stocks are also beginning to outperform, a development that often confirms a change in market trend. When smaller companies start to lead, it suggests that investor confidence is expanding beyond large-cap leaders. This type of rotation is especially important during an ongoing bull market. Another notable metric is the percentage of stocks outperforming the index itself. About 65% of S&P 500 companies are beating the index year-to-date. While the calendar has only just turned to January, this would be the second-highest reading in the past 50 years if it persists. Together, these indicators point toward the type of market expansion that supports long-term growth. Earnings Season Could Accelerate the Expansion While broader participation is already taking shape, corporate earnings may determine whether this trend continues. The market is currently in the heart of earnings season, and this week represents one of the busiest reporting periods of the year. On Wednesday alone, approximately 20% of the S&P 500 will release earnings results. In total, these companies represent about $8 trillion in market capitalization. To put that number in context, the entire Shanghai Stock Exchange, the largest stock exchange outside the United States, has a total market capitalization of just under $8 trillion. In effect, an amount comparable to China’s entire equity market will be reporting earnings in a single day. If companies outside the largest mega-cap stocks continue to deliver strong earnings, the market could see further upside driven by this broader base of performance. That would be a constructive setup early in the year, particularly given the long-held belief that January’s trends often set the tone for the rest of the year. Sustained earnings growth could help reinforce the current expansion, creating a stronger and more durable uptrend, one that provides investors with a wider range of opportunities as the year unfolds. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Market Expansion first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Bobby Norman breaks down the rising cost of eldercare and why it has become one of the most critical factors in long-term financial planning. With monthly costs ranging from roughly $6,000 for home care to nearly $10,000 for nursing homes, new data highlights how quickly these expenses can impact retirement savings. The real takeaway isn’t fear; it’s understanding the options and planning ahead to protect both assets and peace of mind. Watch to learn more. Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post The Rising Cost of Eldercare first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ashley Page breaks down how a growing majority of small businesses are now using AI and how adoption is accelerating faster than many expected. New surveys show usage jumping to 58%, with practical applications ranging from everyday communications and marketing to analytics, scheduling, and customer service. The real story isn’t hype; it’s how AI is steadily moving from large corporations into the heart of the small business economy. Watch to learn more. Ashley Page, JD, MBA Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ashley Page here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post The Impact of AI on Small Business first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Seasonality and the Midterm Election Effect Seasonality has long played a role in understanding market behavior, and historical trends can help inform portfolio strategy. January has often set the tone for the year ahead. Historically, a positive January has skewed returns higher over the subsequent quarter, half-year, and full year, while a negative January has tended to precede weaker performance. With the first part of January 2026 already complete, markets have gotten off to a respectable start. While this is no guarantee of future performance, history suggests it is a constructive signal. Another important factor this year is the midterm election cycle. Markets have often underperformed in January and February during midterm election years, driven largely by political uncertainty. Typically, there is an initial lift early in the year, followed by volatility as investors grapple with unknown policy outcomes. Monitoring how markets respond during this period will be critical in assessing how these early dynamics may influence the rest of 2026. Productivity as the Engine of Growth Recent economic data has provided a clearer picture of the economy’s underlying strength, particularly in the labor market and productivity trends. Employment growth has moderated after a prolonged period of strength, raising questions about whether the economy can continue to grow without a hot labor market. Gross domestic products are driven by two primary forces: how many people are working and how productive those workers are. While recent job gains, approximately 50,000 new jobs, reflect modest growth, wage data has been encouraging, with wages rising 3.8% year over year. The most notable development has been a sharp increase in productivity. Third-quarter productivity growth surged to an annualized rate of 4.9%, a significant and unexpected jump. This matters because productivity allows the economy to grow without fueling inflation. When productivity rises faster than wages, both labor and capital can benefit simultaneously. With wages up 3.8% and productivity up 4.9%, there is an implied expansion in profit margins, creating growth without upward pressure on prices. This dynamic represents an ideal balance, economic expansion that rewards workers while maintaining pricing stability. Upcoming inflation data, including CPI and PPI, will be closely watched to see whether this productivity-driven growth continues to flow through the broader economy. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post We’ll See… first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Bobby Norman breaks down the growing cybersecurity threats facing individuals and businesses, from phishing and ransomware to lesser-known attacks that can quietly compromise your data. He shares practical, client-tested strategies to protect your financial life, including stronger passwords, multi-factor authentication, and smart habits that reduce risk before problems arise. Don’t miss this important conversation on how a few proactive steps can help safeguard your identity, assets, and peace of mind. Watch to learn more. Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Online Best Practices first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Volatility, the Fed, and the Productivity Question The year 2026 is poised to be a major inflection point. While 2025 represented a transition phase, toward artificial intelligence adoption and hoped-for productivity gains, 2026 may be the year where outcomes must finally materialize. In many ways, it is a “prove it” year for markets and policy alike. One expected source of volatility is the political cycle. Historically, the second year of a presidential term has been the most volatile period in the market cycle. On average, it experiences deeper drawdowns, nearly 20%, but also stronger recoveries from those lows. While volatility itself is expected, its catalyst is often unpredictable, reinforcing the need for preparedness and flexibility. Another major transition involves the Federal Reserve. A new Fed Chair is expected to take the helm in 2026, and history shows that markets often test new leadership early. Previous Fed Chairs faced sharp drawdowns soon after assuming office, driven by inflation and interest rate concerns. This leadership change comes at a critical moment, as the economy attempts to move beyond the post-COVID imbalance of too much money chasing too few goods. A key metric to watch is the relationship between wages and essential living costs. While inflation pressures have eased since peaking in 2022, wages have yet to decisively outpace the rising cost of necessities such as food, energy, housing, and insurance. For meaningful progress, productivity must increase so that wage growth can exceed cost growth, a shift that would significantly ease the Fed’s policy dilemma. Adding another layer of complexity is the anticipated surge in tax refunds in early 2026. Due to tax legislation passed in 2025, refunds are expected to rise by an estimated 44%, injecting $150–$200 billion into the hands of consumers. Historically, American consumers tend to spend these funds, providing a near-term economic boost. Whether that spending fuels sustainable growth or reignites inflation remains one of the key unknowns policymakers will face. Earnings, Commodities, and Market Concentration As attention turns to investment strategy for 2026, three themes stand out: corporate profits, commodity prices, and market concentration. Corporate earnings remain a primary driver of equity market performance, and current indicators suggest continued strength. Investment in artificial intelligence, resilient consumer spending, and the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts all support the outlook for sustained profit growth. If these trends continue, corporate earnings could remain a positive force for markets in the year ahead. Commodity prices, particularly gold, silver, and copper, represent another area of focus. Gold’s strong performance has been fueled by concerns over currency debasement, deglobalization, inflation pressures, and large fiscal deficits. However, renewed U.S. economic strength and strong GDP growth could slow the pace of rate cuts, potentially putting downward pressure on precious metals. Whether commodities can continue to surprise to the upside remains an open question. The third and perhaps most critical theme is market concentration. Today, the ten largest stocks account for roughly 41% of the S&P 500, with most deeply tied to artificial intelligence. This raises an important question for 2026: can AI-related investment spending continue at current levels, and will market leadership broaden? The outlook suggests that the simultaneous presence of fiscal, regulatory, and monetary stimulus could support broader earnings growth. A widening of market participation would be a healthier development for investors and could reduce the risks associated with excessive concentration. Energy Markets and an Unfolding Global Surprise One of the most unexpected developments heading into 2026 has emerged from Latin America, particularly Venezuela. Political unrest and potential leadership changes have introduced new uncertainty into global energy markets, making this an evolving situation that demands close attention. At the center of the discussion is the distinction between heavy crude and light crude oil. For decades, the U.S. relied heavily on imports of heavy crude from countries like Venezuela and Canada, which require specialized refining infrastructure. While domestic production of light crude has increased significantly, U.S. refining capacity remains well-suited for heavier grades. This imbalance has contributed to a growing spread between oil prices and gasoline prices. While oil prices have declined sharply, gasoline prices have fallen far less, largely due to refining constraints. A potential reintroduction of Venezuelan heavy crude into U.S. markets, if geopolitical restrictions ease, could help narrow this spread. Lower fuel costs would have meaningful implications for consumers and the broader economy, particularly by easing cost-of-living pressures that weigh heavily on household budgets. W

Closing Out 2025: Setting the Stage for 2026 As 2025 comes to a close, the economic landscape offers both reassurance and reason for vigilance as we look ahead to 2026. Inflation has been the defining theme of the year, and recent data suggests meaningful progress. The latest CPI reading for November showed inflation at 2.7% year-over-year, below expectations of 3.1%. While this data should be interpreted cautiously due to missing October inflation and unemployment figures, the broader takeaway is clear: inflation remains below 3% and is not rebounding aggressively, even amid ongoing tariff concerns. This marks a productive year in the fight against inflation. However, history suggests the story may not be over. Inflation has often moved in waves, with pauses followed by renewed surges. Current trends indicate we may be in one of those pause periods. Previous inflationary eras, such as those beginning in 1910, 1939, and 1972, saw inflation reaccelerate after similar lulls. One underappreciated factor bears close watching: money supply growth. Currently expanding at roughly 4.6%, money supply has historically been a leading indicator of renewed inflationary pressure. Should inflation move higher in 2026, it would likely remain a central driver of market behavior and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty. This is a dynamic that will continue to shape economic headlines and investment decision-making in the year ahead. Lower Gas Prices and a Tailwind for Holiday Travel One encouraging contributor to easing inflation is the recent decline in gas prices, welcome news during the busiest travel season of the year. AAA estimates that approximately 122.4 million Americans will drive more than 50 miles from home between now and year-end. On a typical day, the U.S. consumes about 376 million gallons of gasoline, a figure expected to rise significantly during this peak travel period. Even small changes in gas prices have an outsized economic impact. A 10-cent decrease at the pump translates into roughly $40 million in daily savings for the U.S. economy. Over the past year, gas prices have fallen about 10%, while oil has dropped more than 30%. This gap suggests gas prices may have further room to decline as they catch up with oil’s sustained downward trend. Lower fuel costs provide a dual benefit: easing inflationary pressure heading into 2026 and giving consumers a financial tailwind during the holiday shopping season. For households and the broader economy alike, this trend is a timely and positive development. Market Rotation and the Santa Claus Rally As the year winds down, attention often turns to the so-called “Santa Claus rally,” a seasonal market pattern that spans the final five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next. This rally does not begin until Christmas Eve, meaning expectations should remain measured until that window arrives. Historically, markets have tended to post gains during this short period, though outcomes are never guaranteed. Still, performance during these days is often viewed as an indicator heading into the new year. Beyond seasonal trends, market rotation has been a notable feature of recent months. While headline indexes may appear to have stalled in November and December, the underlying story is more constructive. The top-performing 10% of stocks from January through October, leaders for much of the year, have recently underperformed, while previously lagging segments have begun to outperform. This broadening of leadership is a hallmark of a healthier market. Recent milestones underscore this rotation. Bank of America reached an all-time high for the first time since 2006, and Cisco achieved a new high for the first time since 2000, nearly 25 years. These examples are not about individual stock recommendations and are about illustrating how leadership is spreading across sectors and styles, reinforcing the durability of the broader market environment. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predict

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Robert Moody breaks down the latest updates to 529 plans, including new tax benefits, scholarship withdrawal flexibility, and even the ability to roll unused funds into a beneficiary’s Roth IRA. These changes give families more control than ever over education and retirement planning, with several little-known rules that could make a major financial difference. Don’t miss this quick breakdown of what’s new, what’s changing, and how to make the most of your 529. Watch to learn more. Robert Moody, CFP®, CEPA® Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Robert Moody here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post 529 Plans – Overview and Important Changes first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Corporate Earnings and a Broadening Market One of the most compelling themes as we transition from 2025 into 2026 is the continued strength of corporate earnings. Estimated 12-month S&P 500 operating margins have climbed to historically impressive levels, reinforcing the idea that Corporate America remains on solid financial footing. As has been noted, a recession accompanied by positive earnings growth would be unprecedented, and that matters. Strong earnings not only support near-term market stability but also create a longer runway for continued performance. Beyond earnings strength alone, another encouraging development is the broadening of market participation. Over the last several years, market returns have been dominated by a small group of large-cap technology stocks. That concentration has been a frequent concern for investors. Encouragingly, earnings growth among the remaining 493 companies in the S&P 500 is now expected to converge with that of the so-called “Magnificent Seven.” This shift suggests that market leadership may become more balanced in 2026. If that trend continues, it could represent one of the most important investment narratives of the coming year and a meaningful opportunity as portfolios are positioned for the future. The Federal Reserve and the Flow-Through to the Economy While earnings and market breadth tell one part of the story, monetary policy remains a critical variable. The Federal Reserve recently concluded its final meeting of the year with a 25-basis-point rate cut, placing the federal funds rate in a range of 3.5% to 3.75%. More significant than the cut itself was the language used by the Fed, signaling that rates are now within a plausible estimate of neutral. In practical terms, this suggests a likely pause in rate cuts in the near term. From our perspective, that pause is a positive development. It allows time for previously implemented cuts to work their way through the economy. Short-term rates affect savers, but long-term rates, where businesses and individuals borrow, are what truly drive economic activity. One area we are watching particularly closely is the spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year mortgage rate. While the U.S. government may borrow near 4%, many individuals are still borrowing at rates above 6%, creating a wider-than-average spread. Historically, that spread averages closer to 1.77%. Even without dramatic declines in Treasury yields, a return to historical norms could significantly lower mortgage rates and materially improve affordability for borrowers. A stable Fed, combined with time for rate cuts to flow through to long-term borrowing costs, could provide meaningful relief to households and businesses alike. Importantly, if the economy remains strong, with healthy earnings and resilient markets, the Fed does not need to act aggressively. In that context, a pause becomes a signal of confidence rather than concern. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post We’ve Never Seen… first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

The Fed’s Crucial Role and What Comes Next The Federal Reserve continues to dominate market conversations, and for good reason. Each decision the Fed makes, particularly regarding interest rates, carries direct implications for markets, borrowing, saving, and overall economic momentum. This week’s meeting is no exception. The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points, but the real story lies beyond the short-term benchmark rate. While the Fed controls the front end of the yield curve, long-term rates move largely on market forces. That distinction matters: savers benefit from high short-term yields, but it’s borrowers who depend on lower long-term rates. Recently, even as the Fed has cut rates, long-term yields have plateaued or drifted higher, reducing the intended impact of monetary easing. Whether long-term rates follow this next cut will be a critical signal for what comes next. This meeting also arrives at a transitional moment. It is likely the final meeting before a new Federal Reserve Chair is announced, with expectations centered around Kevin Hassett, though, as always, presidential decisions remain unpredictable. By the next meeting in late January, Chair Powell will be operating as a lame-duck leader, with his successor already named. Additionally, the Fed has recently halted its balance-sheet reduction, introducing more uncertainty into how they approach liquidity and money supply management going forward. With so many moving parts, rate cuts, balance sheet policy, and leadership changes, this week’s meeting is likely to spark notable market reaction. Global Equity Trends Strengthen the Outlook Alongside improving U.S. economic fundamentals, such as strong corporate earnings, moderating rates, and steady consumer resilience, global equity markets have been quietly building positive momentum. Nearly every major global index has shifted into a positive trend, a significant development after years of mixed or uneven global performance. Most global markets made this turn in 2025, signaling that equity strength is no longer isolated to the U.S. but is broadening worldwide. This synchronized uptrend is a constructive sign for investors and supports a healthier market environment heading into 2026. With global momentum now aligning with domestic fundamentals, the market backdrop continues to strengthen on multiple fronts. The Truth Behind Today’s AI Bubble Fears Concerns about a potential AI-driven market bubble have become increasingly common, both in financial news and in client conversations. However, current data suggests the sector’s growth is not speculative in the way many fear. Technology stocks have indeed rallied, but importantly, their valuations have not expanded beyond what earnings justify. Year-to-date, there has been no multiple expansion in the technology sector, meaning prices have risen because profits have risen, not because investors are blindly paying more for the same fundamentals. A comparison of current valuations to those seen during the dot-com bubble further underscores the difference. In March 2000, many companies traded at 100–150 times forward earnings. Today, nearly all major technology companies remain under 50 times earnings. While not “cheap,” these valuations are grounded in real profitability and genuine business strength. The landscape is nowhere near the speculative extremes of 2000. In short, while AI is a powerful long-term theme, the data does not support the idea that markets have entered an AI bubble, at least not yet. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Fed Up with the Fed and AI first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Ashley Page breaks down why America’s manufacturing sector has slipped from 25% of the GDP in the 1950s to just 9.7% today and why restoring it could be transformative. He highlights how boosting manufacturing back to even 15% could strengthen the middle class, enhance national security, fuel innovation, and revitalize communities across the country. Tune in to discover why a manufacturing revival could reshape our economy and create new opportunities for communities nationwide. Watch to learn more. Ashley Page, JD, MBA Senior Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ashley Page here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Manufacturing and the US GDP first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Market Volatility, Seasonal Strength, and Key Economic Signals After an uptick in volatility throughout November, attention is now turning to December to determine whether seasonal strength can help stabilize or lift the markets. Historically, Thanksgiving week has marked the beginning of one of the strongest seasonal periods of the year. Given the market’s uneasiness in recent weeks, this timing is especially significant. One of the most closely watched developments is the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Recent labor market weakness has increased the likelihood of a rate cut, with current expectations hovering around an 80% probability. If the Fed moves forward with cuts, small-cap stocks could see renewed momentum. These companies have traditionally benefited the most following rate reductions, and a broadening of market performance beyond large-cap names would be a welcome shift. Higher interest rates have weighed heavily on small-cap companies in recent years, largely because their debt structures tend to be shorter-term and more sensitive to rate fluctuations. In contrast, large-cap companies typically hold longer-dated debt, making interest expense a smaller factor in their overall performance. Additional rate cuts would therefore be a meaningful tailwind for smaller companies, an important item on this year’s holiday market wish list. Another key factor being monitored is consumer confidence. Recent readings have fallen short of expectations, reaching their lowest level since the tariff-related declines in early spring. Cost pressures, affordability concerns, and rising layoff announcements have all contributed to weaker sentiment. Surprisingly, however, corporate profitability has held up, with earnings growth continuing to diverge from consumer mood. The central question heading into 2026 is whether strong earnings can continue to support stock prices if consumer spending moderates. December will be a critical month for understanding the financial health of consumers during the holiday season and determining whether earnings expectations should be adjusted as the new year approaches. A variety of indicators, from market performance to rate decisions to consumer behavior, will help shape the outlook for 2026. Strengthening Communication Through Technology and Social Media With the holiday season being one of the busiest times of the year, effective communication becomes especially important. A key objective is to ensure clients and colleagues receive timely, accessible updates in ways that suit their preferences. To support this goal, content is shared across multiple platforms and formats, ranging from social media to email to the firm’s expanding series of podcasts and digital insights. Efforts continue to grow across channels including Instagram, Facebook, LinkedIn, X, and YouTube. These platforms allow for real-time outreach and make it easy for clients, colleagues, and followers to stay connected. The engagement and feedback received across these channels help guide future topics and ensure the content remains relevant and valuable./span> Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Holiday Market Wishlist first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

The Cost of Thanksgiving Comes Down Each year, the American Farm Bureau releases an estimate of what it costs to feed a family of ten for Thanksgiving, a lighthearted but useful snapshot of price trends for holiday staples. The latest estimate projects an average meal cost of $55.18, which is 5% lower than last year and well below the record high of $64.05 set in 2022. After several years of elevated prices, the continued decline offers consumers much-needed relief during the holiday season. However, the price movement isn’t uniform across the Thanksgiving table. Turkey leads the price drop, falling 16% to an average cost of $1.34 per pound. On the other end of the spectrum, weather disruptions have sent sweet potato prices soaring 37%, and even the often-neglected vegetable tray, the one that tends to be forgotten at many gatherings, is up a surprising 61% year-over-year. While this year’s data suggests the holiday feast is becoming more affordable overall, the mix of rising and falling costs highlights how specific factors continue to influence individual food categories. With three consecutive years of declining Thanksgiving costs, this trend reflects encouraging movement in food inflation. For families and friends preparing to celebrate together, the holiday table may look a little less expensive this year, even if it still pays to favor turkey over vegetables. Can AI Investments Deliver Real Productivity? While conversations around artificial intelligence may not seem like typical Thanksgiving fare, the recent market reaction to NVIDIA’s earnings highlights the broader impact of technology investment across the U.S. economy. One of the most notable developments is the rapid expansion of data center construction, a direct byproduct of the AI boom. Since 2020, data center development has surged dramatically, even as general office construction has sharply declined. In fact, data center spending is on track to surpass traditional office building for the first time. This shift is more than a construction trend; it reflects an open question that will shape corporate strategy and economic growth: Will heavy AI-related spending actually boost productivity? As labor supply tightens and payroll growth is expected to slow into 2025, the economy will rely more heavily on efficiency improvements to support expansion. Yet, recent data shows underwhelming productivity gains, raising concerns about whether technology investments are translating into meaningful output. As the U.S. moves toward 2026, much of the market’s confidence hinges on whether AI-driven advancements begin delivering tangible benefits to businesses. The scale of investment has been substantial; what remains to be seen is whether it will pay off through faster, smarter, more productive operations across corporate America. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Thanksgiving Table Topics first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

This week on Innovation Mavericks, we sat down with Jack Hernig, a standout leader known for bold innovation and creative strategy in the entrepreneurial world. From launching a business to future-focused planning and sharpening problem-solving skills, Jack reveals what it really takes to compete differently. His maverick mindset offers business owners and leaders a roadmap to break the mold and set themselves apart. Watch to learn more. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Innovation Starts with a Bold Mindset: Insights with Jack Hernig first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Corporate Earnings: A Powerful Undercurrent Despite recent worries, rising credit card delinquencies, increases in announced layoffs, and other soft spots across the economy, corporate earnings continue to deliver strong support for equity markets. In the third quarter, 82% of S&P 500 companies surpassed earnings expectations, handily beating the four-year average of 76.3%. Year-over-year earnings growth for the index reached 13.1% as of November 7th, on pace to mark the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings expansion. With analysts expecting record earnings in the coming quarters, valuation questions naturally follow. The S&P 500’s forward price-to-earnings ratio stood at 23.1 in late October, well above the 10-year average of 18.6. Whether these valuations represent overpricing or simply reflect confidence in consistent earnings growth remains an essential question as investors assess market durability. For now, strong fundamentals continue to underpin equity performance and will remain a critical factor to watch moving into the fourth quarter./span> Technical Signals: A Market Building Its Floor While earnings paint the fundamental picture, technical analysis helps interpret how investors are reacting in real time. The recent movement of the S&P 500 offers several key insights into short-term market behavior. A central indicator is the 50-day moving average, which represents the average entry point of recent buyers. Throughout the year, the index has repeatedly dipped to this level and bounced higher. These rebounds suggest that investors reaching breakeven levels are choosing to reinvest rather than exit, reinforcing confidence and helping form a “floor” in the market. The primary support level being monitored sits at 6,646 on the S&P 500. Should the index fall below that mark, the next significant support level appears near 6,344. These levels are not meant as day-trading signals, but rather as structural indicators of investor sentiment. When combined with robust earnings growth, these technical patterns suggest that the market is forming a stable foundation heading into year-end—one supported by both improving fundamentals and strengthening investor conviction. Government Policy & Business Confidence: Conditions Set for 2026 With the longest government shutdown in U.S. history now concluded, attention has shifted to broader economic conditions and what lies ahead in 2026. A combination of business and consumer tax cuts is expected to inject roughly $285 billion of additional stimulus into the economy that year. At the same time, a more accommodative Federal Reserve, characterized by rate cuts and an end-to-balance-sheet contraction, adds further tailwinds. Even during the shutdown, third-party surveys provided meaningful insights into executive sentiment. CEO confidence, measured by the Chief Executive Group, rose sharply in early November. Executives reported signs of strengthening demand, renewed capital projects, easing inflation pressures, and more clarity on tariffs. As confidence improves, companies are signaling plans to increase hiring, expand revenue, and pursue strategic growth initiatives in the coming 12 months. Deal-making activity reflects this shift in tone. Mergers and acquisitions are gaining steam, supported by a friendlier regulatory backdrop. Initial public offerings, which nearly disappeared in 2022 and remained sluggish through 2023, are also showing signs of revival as market conditions turn more favorable. These developments suggest a growing willingness among corporate leaders to deploy capital and pursue long-term opportunities, an encouraging sign for economic momentum heading into 2026. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment adv

This week on Innovation Mavericks, we sat down with Elliott Davis, Owner and Operator of Automatic Audio Video, to explore what it really takes to build a business at the cutting edge of audio and video technology. From identifying a simple need, “a guy who can make it all work,” to creating a thriving company that simplifies home tech for everyone, Elliott’s story is all about turning innovation into impact. Watch to learn more. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Innovation Meets Automation: Insights with Elliott Davis first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Understanding the Shutdown’s Economic Impact The surprise agreement over the weekend marks significant progress toward ending the shutdown. Lawmakers have reached the 60-vote threshold in the Senate to move forward with a “minibus” spending bill, which funds portions of the government, including the Department of Agriculture and food assistance programs, through September 30, the end of the federal fiscal year. The remaining sections of the budget will be funded through January 30 of next year, meaning another round of negotiations will likely resume in early 2026. This deal came together after eight Democratic senators joined Republicans to push forward the effort to reopen the government. While past shutdowns haven’t always had major effects on markets, this one had begun to weigh on economic activity. Consumer spending in travel and leisure started to decline, particularly ahead of the busy Thanksgiving travel period. One key data point that illustrates the shutdown’s economic drag is the U.S. Treasury General Account, effectively the government’s savings account. During the shutdown, the government continued to collect taxes and borrow money, but payments and spending were halted. As a result, the Treasury’s balance swelled from $819 billion to $953 billion, removing roughly $134 billion from circulation in the economy. This dynamic created a liquidity squeeze, slowing overall economic activity. With the shutdown now ending, those funds should begin flowing back into the economy, a trend our team will be watching closely in the weeks ahead. A Spike in Layoffs Raises Concern While the shutdown dominated headlines, another development emerged last week that investors should pay close attention to: a sharp increase in corporate layoffs. According to a report from consulting firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. companies announced 153,000 job cuts in October, nearly triple the 54,000 reported in September. This spike marked the worst October for layoffs in more than two decades and the highest single-month total for the fourth quarter since 2008. Companies cited both cost-cutting measures and the adoption of artificial intelligence as primary reasons for workforce reductions. Although official Labor Department data has been delayed by the shutdown, private-sector reports like this one give early signals about labor market health. A weakening job market often leads to slower consumer spending, which can in turn pressure corporate earnings, and ultimately, stock prices. As a result, Fi Plan Partners is watching employment data closely for signs of further deterioration or stabilization in the months ahead. How Markets Respond After Shutdowns It’s worth revisiting the underlying cause of this record-long shutdown: a dispute over Affordable Care Act subsidies. The cost of extending these subsidies was estimated at $30 billion for one year, but as the shutdown dragged on, federal employees stood to lose an estimated $252 billion in wages if it continued for a full year. The imbalance between political gridlock and real economic consequences ultimately helped drive both parties toward compromise. Looking forward, how do markets typically react once a shutdown ends? Historical data provides some encouragement. In most prior cases, the S&P 500 has posted positive returns in the months following the reopening of the government. One year after past shutdowns, the market has been higher 88% of the time, with an average gain of just over 15%. While past performance is no guarantee of future results, history suggests that markets often rebound once the uncertainty of a shutdown is removed, particularly if underlying fundamentals, such as corporate earnings, remain strong. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered i

AI is changing the game, and this week on Innovation Mavericks, Greg Powell sits down with Magna5’s Justin Cameron, Jacob Bever, and Jeff Jablonski to explore how businesses are turning AI into real-world results. From driving team adoption to keeping the conversation moving in a rapidly evolving landscape, their insights are not to be missed. As a trusted IT partner, Magna5 supports over 700 SMB, mid-market, and enterprise clients with cybersecurity, managed IT, compliance, cloud hosting, AI solutions, consulting, and cutting-edge technology services. Tune in for a conversation that explores the real-world impact of AI and what the future may hold. Watch to learn more. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post How Smart Businesses are Using AI to Level Up: Insights with Magna5 first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

On this week’s episode of Educational Insights, Trey Booth talks through why innovation can be disruptive, but it’s also a long-term engine for job creation. While new technologies can feel threatening in the moment, history shows they consistently spark new industries, new opportunities, and greater economic growth than they displace. Tune in to learn how creative destruction drives progress and what it means for investors positioning for the future. Watch to learn more. Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Creative Destruction first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

Credit Cards Flash a Warning Recent data highlights potential strain within the consumer sector. Three of the eight leading economic indicators we monitor are signaling concern, and one area drawing particular attention is credit card delinquencies. The percentage of Americans delinquent by 90 days or more has surpassed 12 percent, a level not seen since the Great Financial Crisis in 2009. Consumers have been a major engine for economic growth, supported by job strength and rising incomes. However, the question now is whether that momentum has come at the cost of greater debt stress. Rising delinquencies paired with potential increases in layoffs could signal pressure ahead. While layoff announcements surged earlier this year and have since stabilized, the underlying trend will be watched closely. Should credit challenges coincide with renewed job losses, the combination could pose a meaningful headwind for both the economy and the markets. A Shift Toward Monetary Easing On the policy front, the Federal Reserve has taken a significant step by preparing to end quantitative tightening on December 1. Since 2022, the Fed has reduced its balance sheet by allowing bonds to roll off without reinvestment. As this reverses, maturing bonds will once again be reinvested, adding liquidity back into the system. While not framed as a formal rate cut, the liquidity impact of this change is roughly equivalent to a 25-basis-point easing move. The shift marks a meaningful pivot from the aggressive tightening cycle aimed at battling inflation. Additionally, consumers are expected to feel a positive boost from tax policy. Average tax refunds for 2026 are estimated to be approximately $1,000 higher per filer than in 2025, a roughly 43 percent increase and the largest jump since the post-COVID period. These factors may help offset the rising credit stress noted earlier, offering a counterweight of monetary support and consumer stimulus. Confidence from Corporate Performance Alongside policy decisions, financial markets are navigating a temporary gap in federal economic reporting due to a government shutdown. While this limits macro data visibility, clarity remains strong at the corporate level. Roughly 62 percent of S&P 500 companies have reported third-quarter earnings, with growth exceeding expectations. Instead of the anticipated 9-10 percent earnings increase, companies are delivering above 14 percent growth. Ten of the eleven major sectors are outperforming forecasts, underscoring resilience across the business landscape. This solid corporate performance contrasts with mixed macroeconomic headlines and uncertainty about future Federal Reserve decisions. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell has noted that policy direction remains uncertain given the lack of current government data, the strength in corporate fundamentals provides a constructive backdrop for the broader economy and markets heading into 2026. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here   Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post How About Those Credit Cards? first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.