From the New World

Tyler Cowen is a Professor of Economics at George Mason University and writer of the legendary blog Marginal Revolution alongside Alex Tabarrok. We discuss talent, Ontario, immigrants, institutional trust, power attractors, the Intellectual Dark Web, public health, the internet, generation Z, the significance of social change versus technology, upsides of wokeness, populism, imposter syndrome, self-deception, and corporate hiring.Marginal Revolutionhttps://marginalrevolution.com/Talent by Tyler Cowen and Daniel Grosshttps://www.amazon.ca/Talent-Identify-Energizers-Creatives-Winners/dp/1250275814Twitter:https://twitter.com/tylercowenFrom the New World Episode with Zvi Mowshowitz:https://cactus.substack.com/p/zvi-mowshowitz-how-the-worst-peopleFrom the New World Episode with Robin Hanson: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Zvi is a COVID forecaster, writer of thezvi blog, and game designer at emergents.We discuss Magic the Gathering, chess and computability, learning curves, COVID projections, the CDC banning testing, immoral mazes, selection effects, psychological malleability, Robin Hanson and medicine, institutional incentives, egalitarianism, civilizational collapse, populism, libertarianism, and pure math.Note: the timestamps are somewhat inaccurate due to editing and intro. 0:00 MTG19:00 chess, computability, and learning36:30 COVID projections49:00 CDC banning tests + immoral mazes57:15 narrative hedging1:14:05 selection vs. malleability1:21:20 Robin Hanson and medicine1:55:00 institution building2:00:05 egalitarianism and social competition2:13:30 were we in a golden age?2:15:30 decivilization2:18:50 economies of scale3:03:00 chaos and order3:14:05 pure mathZvi’s Blog:http://thezvi.wordpress.com/Zvi on Twitter:https://twitter.com/TheZviEpisode with Samo Burja:Episode with Robin Hanson:CDC banning COVID tests:https://www.science.org/content/article/united-states-badly-bungled-coronavirus-testing-things-may-soon-improveMoral Mazes book:https://www.amazon.ca/Moral-Mazes-Corporate-Managers-Updated/dp/0199729883 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Manny Rinconcruz is a financial historian, a member of the history working group at Standard Hoover Institution, an open source software developer buttonwood foundation (buttonwood.foundation), and the author of the thinking.farm newsletter. His views do not reflect those of his employer.Manny’s twitter:https://twitter.com/mrinconcruzHis newsletter:http://thinking.farm/Manny and Niall’s piece in the Wall Street Journal:https://www.wsj.com/articles/stablecoins-infect-financial-markets-janet-yellen-terra-luna-tether-crypto-run-risk-collapse-recession-investment-dollar-stability-inflation-11655057043?mod=article_inlineMy thread on populism: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Rob’s First Episode:His article on the University of Austin:https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/07/25/opinion/welcome-alternative-lack-academic-freedom-college-campuses/His substack:Jonathan Haidt’s article:https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2022/05/social-media-democracy-trust-babel/629369/My critiques of Haidt:My discussion with Malcom Kyeyune: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Alex Nowrasteh is an immigration research and director of economic and social policy studies at the Cato Institute, as well as the author of the book “Wretched Refuse?: The Political Economy of Immigration and Institutions”. We discuss immigration, the US legal immigration system, the immigration bureaucracy, appeals to chaos and order, libertarianism, populism, whether politics is driven by ideas or personalities, political violence, and electoral systems. Alex at Cato:https://www.cato.org/people/alex-nowrastehWretched Refuse?: The Political Economy of Immigration and Institutions:https://www.amazon.ca/Wretched-Refuse-Political-Immigration-Institutions/dp/1108702457Alex on the Fifth Column podcast:https://play.acast.com/s/5c3e264f78c059c75c5e8ccf/607995b1b1d7373173d667fbMy Conversation with Samo Burja: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Demetri Kofinas is the host of the Hidden Forces podcast. His insightful interviews and commentary on financial markets, commodities, supply chains, and media have been a part of my learning for several months. The Hidden Forces podcast:https://hiddenforces.io/His episode with Doomberg (the most recent out of many): https://hiddenforces.io/podcasts/food-shortages-energy-security-doomberg/ This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Freddie Deboer is a writer on substack and a contributor to many publications. He offers a unique perspective, coming from the economic left while seeing through a range of strategic and policy failures. We discuss progressive organizations, doomerism, the politics of recognition, state capacity, patronage systems, civil rights law, housing, monarchy, mental illness, distrust of institutions, and the relationship between the Bernie left and the media.Freddie on Substack:Extended bio by Bari Weiss:Ryan Grim on progressive institutions:https://theintercept.com/2022/06/13/progressive-organizing-infighting-callout-culture/ This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Bohan Lou is a colleague in the UATX summer program, a graduate of Yale University, and a product manager at Lyft. He has interests in religious studies and philosophy.Follow Bohan on twitter: https://twitter.com/loubohan This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Nils is the VP of programs at the Bergruen institute and deputy editor of Noema magazine.Issues and Timestamps:0:00 right-wing policy movement8:30 supreme court18:54 legitimacy29:12 right wing postmodernists32:50 state capacity52:00 fda and neuroticism1:39:00 populists right vs. libertarians153:30 aesthetic preferences223:00 problems of power analysis238:00 centralization vs. bureaucracy3:00:00 politics of recognitionRelevant links:Nils Gilman on twitter:https://twitter.com/nils_gilman?Noema magazine:https://www.noemamag.com/https://www.noemamag.com/author/nils-gilman/Institutionalized with Aaron Sibarium, Charles Fain Lehman, Nils Gilman:Ezra Klein and Alex Tabarrok on “Supply Side Leftism”:https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/18/podcasts/transcript-ezra-klein-interviews-alex-tabarrok.htmlEzra Klein and Patrick Deneen:https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/13/podcasts/transcript-ezra-klein-interviews-patrick-deneen.html This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

A Solo Discussion of the Podcast’s Past, Motivation, and Strategy. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Doomberg the green chicken is the publisher of the Doomberg newsletter, which covers energy, finance, food, and more. They are the second ranked paid newsletter after their first month of premium launch. Their team also runs a small consulting company / think tank, which analyzes similar issues. We discuss branding, consulting, the COVID downturn, inflation, money, rare earth metals, oil, ESG, polarization, bureaucracies, corporate America, W2 tax policies, sensationalism, PR and crisis management, propaganda, and nuclear energy.Doomberg on Substack:On Twitter:https://twitter.com/DoombergTSamo Burja Podcast:Doomberg on Cows:Grim Diesel:Starvation Diet:Atlantic Anti-People:https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/05/population-growth-housing-climate-change/629952/BJ Campbell Egregores: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Jacob is a senior writer for Tablet, writer of the scroll newsletter, and host of the Manifesto! Podcast with novellist Phil Klay. We discuss iconoclasm, curiosity, technology and centralization, Andrew Yang, postliberalism, Curtis Yarvin, bureaucracy, Bidenism, the secular and religious worlds, and the importance of quarrel. This is the first of three episodes in which I find myself with much greater disagreements with my guests. You may agree with my position, or you might agree with their’s. In any case, I hope you understand and seek to learn from our exchange, whether it’s on the topics of this episode or more controversial ones. Jacob and I discuss this explicitly near the end of the episode, and find great value in speaking with each other despite our disagreements. I hope you will too. Here’s Jacob Siegel. The Scroll:The Manifesto! Podcast:https://isi.org/modern-age/the-authentic-reactionary/https://mosaicmagazine.com/response/arts-culture/2020/12/my-quarrel-with-hersh-rasseyner/https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/the-post-liberal-politician This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Rob is a phD candidate at Cambridge university in moral psychology, the writer of the robkhenderson newsletter and the inventor of the term “luxury beliefs”. Topics include universities, dating markets, analyzing social situations, anxiety in Gen-z, luxury beliefs, signalling, wordcels, and informal networks. Rob Henderson on twitter: https://twitter.com/robkhendersonRob K Henderson Newsletter:Extended Bio on Bari Weiss’ podcast: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Samo Burja is the founder and president of the consulting company Bismarck Analysis, a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation and a Senior Research Fellow in Political Science at the Foresight Institute. He is also the writer of the Bismarck Brief newsletter, linked below.In this podcast, we discuss the life of Otto Von Bismarck, the political economy of institutions, narratives as a hedge against failure, the coming energy transition, differences between Europe and America, regulation as vengeance, live players, Elon Musk, and the global financial system.Bismarck Analysis:https://www.bismarckanalysis.com/#/Bismarck Brief: Samo Burja on Twitter:https://twitter.com/SamoBurjaThe Costs of European “Privacy” Regulation:https://www.nber.org/papers/w30028EU Artificial Intelligence law:https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/05/13/1052223/guide-ai-act-europe/Great founder theory:https://samoburja.com/great-founder-theory/ This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Richard Hanania is the president of the Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology (CSPI), author of Public Choice Theory and the Illusion of Grand Strategy, a visiting fellow at UT Austin, and the writer of richardhanania.substack.com. He is a brilliant analyst and policy thinker of social change, bureaucracy, civil rights law, and political institutions. We discuss those topics, five of his articles linked below, as well as how civil rights law made everything illegal, groomerism as right-wing wokeness, a foreign perspective on US foreign policy and propaganda, how activists disconnect policy from the public, the failure of expertise, the failure of “contrarians”, misuse of philosophy of science and Eric Weinstein, mental illness in Gen-Z, differences between neuroticism and feminization, and the effect of social media on policy. This week’s audio essay is a shorter one concerning extremists as saboteurs. Richard Hanania on Twitter:https://twitter.com/RichardHananiaRichard Hanania’s substack articles:David Shor on campaign ads:https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/10/09/david-shor-democrats-privileged-college-kid-problem-514992Pew Research Pollhttps://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/11/09/beyond-red-vs-blue-the-political-typology-2/Yuen Yuen Ang: China's Gilded Age: The Paradox of Economic Boom and Vast Corruptionhttps://www.amazon.ca/Chinas-Gilded-Age-Economic-Corruption/dp/1108478603My interview with Steve Hsu: fromthenew.worldRichard’s interview with Gail Hariot:Timestamps2:20 Audio essay6:42 Interview Start8:24 Cactus' Asch Conformity Simulation8:55 "People are Shockingly Dishonest"10:57 Late Blooming14:52 Foreign Policy Lying18:19 Democracy Narratives23:13 Tribal Beliefs26:40 Asian Vote28:47 Feminization33:05 Does Social Media Benefit Democrats or Republicans?41:56 Liberals Read, Conservatives Watch TV50:45 The Ideal Conservative Strategy54:25 Florida's School Bills56:27 Incentive-Aligned Corruption1:00:54 Demagogues1:04:58 Rising Conservative Activists1:07:03 Why Everything is Controlled By Activists (and Therefore Liberal)1:14:26 Why are obscure right-wing people better than obscure left-wing people?1:23:13 Moral Panics, and Why Cactus Distrusts the Right1:25:48 Stats tests violate disparate impact1:30:50 Is it Feminization or Neuroticism?1:40:23 Failure of "Expertise"1:47:02 Eric Weinstein and Philosophy of Science1:51:05 Too Much Order, Needs More Chaos1:53:48 Outro This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Steve Hsu is a professor of theoretical physics and professor of computational mathematics, science, and engineering at Michigan State University, as well as the former VP of Research. He was the founder of digital security companies Safeweb, acquired by Symantec, and Robot Genius, as well as genomics startups Othram and Genomic Prediction. He writes the blog Information Processing. In this podcast, we discuss the history and politics of academia, individual differences in intelligence and athleticism, our experiences with high level mathematics, statistics as an anti-meme, the tension between merit and ideology, math education, theory of mind, differences between the Midwestern and immigrant suburb schools where Steve and I grew up, respectively, and informal networks as alternative credentials.Steve Hsu on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hsu_steveInformation Processing: https://infoproc.blogspot.com/On wordcels: https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2022/02/annals-of-psychometry-wordcels-and.htmlBounded cognition (statistics and innumeracy): https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2007/10/bounded-cognition.htmlCreators and Rulers: https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2009/08/creators-and-rulers.htmlQuantum GDP: https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2014/12/quantum-gdp.htmlTerman studies:Volume 1-3: https://www.amazon.com/Genetic-Studies-Genius-Vol-III/dp/B001LD3MKAVolume 4: https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1947-15005-000Volume 5: https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1959-07905-000Wordcels and Shape Rotators:https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/cultures/wordcel-shape-rotator-mathcelDeath’s End, by Liu Cixin:https://www.amazon.ca/gp/product/0765377101?ref_=dbs_m_mng_rwt_calw_thcv_2&storeType=ebooksTimestamps:3:24 Interview Starts15:49 Cactus' Experience with High Math People19:49 High School Sports21:26 Comparison to Intelligence26:29 Is Lack of Understanding due to Denial or Ignorance?29:29 The Past and Present of Selection in Academia 37:02 How Universities Look from the Inside44:19 Informal Networks Replacing Credentials48:37 Capture of Research Positions50:24 Progressivism as Demagoguery Against the Self-Made55:31 Innumeracy is Common1:06:53 Understanding Innumerate People1:13:53 Skill Alignment at Cactus' High School1:18:12 Free Speech in Academia1:21:00 You Shouldn't Fire Exceptional People1:23:03 The Anti-Excellence Progressives1:28:42 Rawls, Nozick, and Technology1:34:00 Freedom = Variance = Inequality1:37:58 Dating Apps1:41:27 Jumping Into Social Problems From a Technical Background1:41:50 Steve's High School Pranks1:46:43 996 and Cactus' High School1:50:26 The Vietnam War and Social Change1:53:07 Are Podcasts the Future?1:59:37 The Power of New Things2:02:56 The Birth of Twitter2:07:27 Selection Creates Quality2:10:21 Incentives of University Departments2:16:29 Woke Bureaucrats2:27:59 Building a New University2:30:42 What needs more order?2:31:56 What needs more chaos? This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

Robin Hanson is a leading research of prediction markets, a professor of economics at George Mason University, author of the Elephant in the Brain and the Age of Em, and the writer of the blog Overcoming Bias.The audio essay of this show discusses the nature and enemies of “common sense” economic progress, as well as the cost-benefit analysis of going after said enemies. The topics discussed include prediction markets, market manipulation, game theory, global conformity, the timeline and strength of “wokeness”, innovation, internal selection, self-deception, hidden motives, and opportunities for young innovators.Robin Hanson’s website:https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/home.htmlhttps://twitter.com/robinhansonOpening Twitter poll:The Elephant in the Brain:https://www.amazon.ca/Elephant-Brain-Hidden-Motives-Everyday/dp/0190495995The Age of Em:https://www.amazon.ca/Age-Em-Work-Robots-Earth/dp/1536619590Pew Research Pollhttps://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/11/09/beyond-red-vs-blue-the-political-typology-2/Timestamps:2:27 Audio essay9:43 Interview Starts15:55 How People (Don't) Prioritize22:47 Academia vs. Industry Science24:39 Prediction Markets31:27 Manipulating the Market49:14 Working with DARPA55:01 Polymarket Ban58:00 Regulatory Environment of Futures1:06:03 Why Aren't Prediction Markets More Popular?1:15:02 Self-Deception1:29:24 Why People Have Conversations1:33:33 Institutions1:41:19 Why Do Institutions Rot?1:44:57 Midwits and the Bozo Explosion1:47:57 The World Mob2:01:38 Global Homogenization2:04:24 The Threat of Populism vs. Elitism2:13:32 The Peak of Wokeness2:18:51 Creating Competition2:23:52 Young Contrarians2:27:23 Outro This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe