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TOR:CON Forecast Guide for Tornado Risks

TOR:CON Forecast Guide for Tornado Risks

Fort Wayne News Today | 2 Min News | The Daily News Now! · The Daily News Now!

March 10, 20261m 25s

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Show Notes

TOR:CON: A Tornado Risk Forecasting Tool

Storm Team 55 in Fort Wayne uses TOR:CON, a Tornado Condition Index, to predict tornado risks. It scores the likelihood of a tornado within 50 miles on a scale of zero to ten. Meteorologists consider moisture, instability, wind shear, and lift to set the rating. A score of three to four indicates moderate odds, five suggests a fifty percent chance, six to seven points signify strong potential, and eight to ten warns of very high risk, possibly including powerful tornadoes. TOR:CON is a forecast guide, not an official alert. National Weather Service tornado watches signal favorable conditions, while warnings mean immediate action is needed as a tornado is spotted or on radar.

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