NFL Divisional Round Picks + Sony Open Bets (Waialae) | Bills-Broncos, 49ers-Seahawks w/ Sam Wagman | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 192)

Stephie Smalls is joined by Sam Wagman to break down the NFL Divisional Round and then pivot into golf betting and futures.

They start with Bills at Broncos, discussing whether Bo Nix can keep pace with Josh Allen and where the matchup points to Buffalo controlling the game. Next is 49ers at Seahawks, diving into Brock Purdy vs Sam Darnold, the importance of Christian McCaffrey, and why Seattle’s run game with Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet could dictate the tempo. Then it’s Texans at Patriots, looking at CJ Stroud vs Drake Maye and how Houston’s defensive front featuring Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter could swing the game. Finally, they close the NFL slate with Rams at Bears, touching on Matthew Stafford’s outdoor splits, Caleb Williams’ late-game upside, a full debate on the total, and a DJ Moore receiving yards prop.

After the NFL, the conversation turns to golf betting, starting with a Sony Open at Waialae course breakdown, including what traits matter most: accuracy off the tee, iron play, par-4 scoring, and Bermuda putting. Sam shares outright and placement targets such as Nico, Matt McCarty, Johnny Kiefer, Harry Hall, and Sahith Theegala. The episode wraps with a quick look ahead at major championship futures, including Bryson DeChambeau, Scottie Scheffler, Ludvig Åberg, Tommy Fleetwood, and Jon Rahm.

A full episode of actionable bets, sharp insights, and crossover between NFL playoffs and PGA Tour betting.

0:00 – Intro
1:16 – Sam Wagman intro
2:48 – Eagles coaching talk
3:55 – Mike Tomlin futures
5:35 – Bills vs Broncos
6:40 – Broncos slot weakness
7:27 – Josh Allen path
8:32 – Bills tight ends
9:26 – 49ers vs Seahawks
10:26 – 49ers injuries
11:03 – Seahawks run game
11:51 – Spread disagreement
13:45 – Texans vs Patriots
14:26 – Texans moneyline
15:22 – Texans pass rush
16:43 – Best defense claim
17:27 – Rams vs Bears
17:47 – Stafford weather splits
18:34 – Bears spread
18:51 – Game total over
20:19 – DJ Moore prop
21:48 – Sony Open intro
22:04 – Waialae course fit
23:43 – Course metrics
24:06 – Nico pick
25:11 – Matt McCarty
26:37 – Johnny Kiefer
28:30 – Harry Hall
29:32 – Sahith Theegala
31:11 – Major winners

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