Exchanges

Government deficits, debt issuance and debt levels are set to surge as countries race to ease the economic impact of the coronacrisis. This raises many questions: who will finance this debt, will it force a market repricing and/or an eventual growth or inflation problem, and would greater use of negative rates help avoid any of these risks? At the same time, whether corporate bankruptcies could derail the economic recovery is a key concern. In short, how disruptive the recent, dramatic shift in debt dynamics might be is Top of Mind. In this episode, Allison Nathan consults Harvard professor Kenneth Rogoff, University of Pennsylvania’s David Skeel, and Goldman Sachs’ chief economist Jan Hatzius. Our key takeaways: the benefit of running large deficits today far outweighs any eventual costs; worries about distress in emerging markets and the Euro area are largely warranted; and a likely wave of corporate bankruptcies could prolong—but likely won’t derail—the economic recovery. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Michael Cassell of Global Markets gives a quick update on how investors are approaching market risks, from U.S.-China tensions to ongoing COVID-19 uncertainty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Heath Terry of Goldman Sachs Research explores clean energy and the advances in nuclear power technology as part of his team’s Venture Capital Horizon series. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Tony Pasquariello, global head of hedge fund coverage for Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division, provides an update on how investors are reacting to the gradual re-opening of the U.S. economy, historic government stimulus efforts, potential vaccine developments, and ongoing US-China tensions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Goldman Sachs has committed $500 million in lending capital to provide Paycheck Protection Program, or PPP, loans to small businesses suffering in this crisis. In this episode, Margaret Anadu, head of the firm’s Urban Investment Group, provides an update on the more than 8,000 small businesses across the country that the firm has reached through partnerships with community development financial institutions (CDFIs) and other mission-driven lenders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, leveraging a client call from Goldman Sachs Investment Banking, leaders from across the financial services industry discuss the pandemic’s impact on the ESG landscape, including how corporations and investors are responding. The conversation features Mark Wiedman, a senior managing director at BlackRock, Katherine Collins, head of Putnam Investment’s sustainable investing, Martin Whittaker, CEO of JUST Capital, and John Goldstein, head of Goldman Sachs’ Sustainable Finance Group. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Asahi Pompey, global head of Corporate Engagement and president of the Goldman Sachs Foundation, interviews three graduates of the Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses program to talk about their experiences with PPP loans, what’s keeping them up at night, and how they’re pivoting to adapt to changing industries and a changing society. The entrepreneurs are Khari Parker, co-founder of Connie’s Chicken and Waffles based in Baltimore, Dana White, founder and CEO of Paralee Boyd, a blow-dry salon in Detroit, and Jennie Ripps, founder and CEO of Owl’s Brew, a New York-based beverage company that specializes in teas and botanical-based drinks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jen Roth of Goldman Sachs' Global Markets Division provides an update on how COVID-19 is impacting investor sentiment in emerging markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In a recent client call held by Goldman Sachs Research, Brian Dodge, President of the Retail Industry Leaders Association, discusses how retailers will re-open. Dodge is joined by Goldman Sachs Research’s Kate McShane, Alex Walvis, and Jenna Giannelli, who all cover the retail sector. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Alex Blanchard of Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division shares an update on how global central banks are responding to liquidity concerns. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

With mitigation measures leading to an apparent leveling off of case growth globally at the same time that the economic costs of such measures continue to mount, several countries around the world have begun to plan for—or have already started to implement—economic reopening. But absent herd immunity or a vaccine, such reopenings increase the risk of a resurgence. With this in mind, what a safe reopening might look like, how well-positioned the US is to achieve one and how quickly reopening would really translate into economic recovery is Top of Mind. In this episode, we consult three experts on these questions: University of Pennsylvania’s Dr. Zeke Emanuel, Duke University’s Dr. Mark McClellan and Harvard University’s Dr. Barry Bloom. Finally, with more complete economic normalization only likely with an effective testing regime, treatments, or a widely available vaccine, we discuss where we are on all of the above. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Goldman Sachs CFO Stephen Scherr and other senior leaders across the firm discuss topics that are top of mind for CFOs in the current environment, from financing markets and liquidity concerns, to earnings guidance and economic outlooks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sarah Kiernan of Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division gives her quick take on the latest market volatility, including investors’ reactions to record-low oil prices. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

To share Goldman Sachs’ latest analysis on record price declines in oil markets, this episode leverages a client call, featuring Jeff Currie, Damien Courvalin and Brian Singer of Goldman Sachs Research, and Anthony Dewell of EMEA Commodity Trading in Global Markets. The call was held the morning of April 21st, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Terry Hagerty, co-head of homebuilding & building products investment banking for Goldman Sachs, discusses how COVID-19 has impacted the outlook for housing and the broader building products sector. Despite the severity of the current slowdown, Hagerty points to favorable demographic tailwinds as reasons to expect a return to industry growth into 2021. Additionally, Hagerty explains why the sector may be poised to rebound more quickly from this crisis than that of 2008, driven by more favorable supply/demand dynamics, consumers’ relatively strong financial position, and healthy corporate balance sheets. “When I look at the balance sheets and liquidity positions of my clients, both in home building and building products, it’s quite strong,” Hagerty says. “Most of them have access to the capital markets, given some of the Fed action that we’ve seen, and generally they’re all positioned to weather what could potentially be a very extended downturn. So the outlook today is much different than 2008.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

As volatility continues in the public markets, Meena Flynn of Goldman Sachs’ Consumer and Investment Management Division gives her analysis on the latest swings and explains how investors with permanent capital are positioning themselves. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Ashok Varadhan, global co-head of Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division, talks about how financial trading has adapted to a primarily remote workforce and also shares takeaways from the division’s strong first quarter performance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon shares his views on the pandemic and the economic impact, alongside other of the firm’s senior leaders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Margaret Anadu, head of Goldman Sachs’ Urban Investment Group, talks about COVID-19’s impact on US small businesses and explains the firm’s recent announcement to commit $500 million in capital for emergency loans to small businesses. Then, three entrepreneurs and graduates of Goldman Sachs’ 10,000 Small Businesses program share their personal stories -- Erin Andrews of Indi Chocolate, a Seattle-based chocolate factory, Ellen McNulty-Brown of Lotuff Leather, a Rhode-Island based leather maker, and Matt Jozwiak of Rethink Food, a New York City-based nonprofit. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The global oil market is experiencing a massive demand shock, with demand for transportation fuels sitting in the crosshairs of the coronavirus crisis. At the same time, major oil producers have engaged in a war for oil market share, resulting in a sizable supply shock. The impact of these simultaneous shocks on oil prices, OPEC+, the oil industry, and credit and financial markets more broadly are Top of Mind. In this episode, Allison Nathan interviews three energy experts, Pulitzer Prize-winning author, Daniel Yergin, PIRA Energy Group Founder, Gary Ross, and our own head of Global Commodities Research, Jeff Currie. They discuss the enormity of the current oil shock, how we got here, and what’s in store—namely, sharply lower, and even negative, crude oil prices as oil infrastructure is overwhelmed by the supply surge. But they also argue that the sharper the price decline, the sharper the eventual rebound as oil production is shut in. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Anne Marie Darling of Goldman Sachs’ Global Markets Division analyzes the S&P 500 index’s historically fast fall into bear market territory and shares results of the April Marquee QuickPoll, a survey of institutional clients which found that about half of respondents don’t believe lows have been set yet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In an effort to provide timely and valuable updates regarding ongoing market volatility and potential economic impacts, we’re sharing a “Market Update” call hosted by our Investment Banking Division. In the conversation, Goldman Sachs President and COO John Waldron provides an update on the current environment, alongside other senior leaders across the firm. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Andrew Wilson of Goldman Sachs Asset Management explains how volatility in U.S. financial markets from the COVID-19 outbreak is playing out across Europe as well. “European markets have been very much in the eye of the storm,” Wilson says. “So the focus is on what policy responses are coming out of Europe, just as much as it is out of the U.S.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Coronavirus has pushed the global economy into a recession of historic proportions and halted the longest-lasting equity bull market on record. As infections spread globally, economic activity collapses, markets recoil and policymakers respond, the depth and duration of the economic and market downturn is Top of Mind. In this episode, Allison Nathan speaks with the former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Jason Furman, and Goldman Sachs’ Chief Economist, Jan Hatzius. Both agree that the near-term economic damage will be severe, but whether it proves longer-lasting will depend largely on the virus’ trajectory and somewhat on policymakers, who have done a lot, but may need to do more to sustain households, businesses and market functioning in this difficult period. To that end, we assess the risk that the global health crisis becomes a financial crisis. And we discuss how this might play out in markets, and what investors should do from here. For that, we draw on the wisdom of Oaktree Co-Chairman, Howard Marks. His advice? Buy things with solid fundamentals when they go on sale. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Goldman Sachs’ top economists and strategists discuss revised forecasts for the US economy and corporate earnings and the prospect of federal stimulus programs in the face of the COVID-19 outbreak. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Joe Montesano, head of Americas Equity Trading for Goldman Sachs, analyzes how the coronavirus pandemic continues to add volatility to markets. Montesano also talks about parallels and differences in today's market environment compared to that of the 2008 global financial crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Amid the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, Goldman Sachs’ global medical director Dr. Michael Rendel joins by phone to talk about what employees can do to stay healthy and productive while working remotely – from setting up comfortable work stations to taking time for meditation and exercise. Dr. Rendel also talks about the importance of managers supporting their teams’ physical and psychological well-being, as well as the firm’s strategy more broadly in terms of coordinating global offices. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Alex Blanchard of Goldman Sachs' Global Markets Division analyzes the Fed's recent decisions to increase liquidity amidst market volatility. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jeff Currie, global head of Commodities Research for Goldman Sachs, explains the latest on the price war in the oil market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Amelia Garnett of Goldman Sachs' Global Markets Division provides a quick update on how investors are responding to ongoing volatility around coronavirus concerns. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The latest episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs premieres a new monthly feature: An examination of a topic at the center of conversations in the venture-capital community. This week, Goldman Sachs Research’s Heath Terry explores the growing world of computational biology—using the power of big data to revolutionize drug discovery, disease prevention and cancer detection. Terry talked to VCs like Lux Capital’s Zavain Dar, who invests in emerging science and technology firms. “It feels like we’re at the precipice of what I think will be a multi-decade revolution in how biology and chemistry are fundamentally practiced,” explains Dar. Terry also spoke with James Field, CEO of computational-biology startup LabGenius, which is using machine learning to more easily identify useful proteins for the human body. “If we can deploy technology in building out some discovery platforms in a way that the learnings compound over time,” says Field, “then it will dramatically change the economics of discovering and developing drug molecules.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Amid many concerns heading into 2020, the event that no one expected was the outbreak of COVID-19—a coronavirus that first emerged in the populous city of Wuhan, China, and which is now proving to be both more infectious and virulent than the common flu. As China attempts to restart its economy after an unprecedented lockdown, the virus continues to spread globally, and data on the sizeable economic fallout starts to trickle in, coronavirus is Top of Mind. We feature expert interviews with Harvard’s Dr. Barry Bloom and University of Minnesota’s Dr. Michael Osterholm to better understand what we know—and don’t know—about the virus today. We also interview Goldman Sachs’ Chief Economist Jan Hatzius about the economic impact of the outbreak—both on global growth and actions of central banks around the world. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

After a volatile week in markets, Erin Riley of Goldman Sachs’ Consumer and Investment Management Division talks about how coronavirus is weighing on investor sentiment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sean Legister, a vice president in the Global Markets Division, talks about overcoming imposter syndrome on the Goldman Sachs trading floor and what led him to start Breakfast Bites, a monthly fireside chat connecting black colleagues with senior leaders. Legister tells podcast host Jake Siewert, “When I looked at the black population, particularly within the Global Markets Group, I thought, ‘I don’t think we lack the intellect. I don’t think we lack the hunger. I don’t think we lack ambition. I think sometimes where we may falter a little bit is culture, empowerment, access to resources.’ And so what could I do in my seat to be innovative or creative. Not just do what’s asked of me, but to give back?” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Michael Cassell of our Global Markets Division shares the top numbers he's watching in markets right now. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

From the 2020 Global Macro Conference in Hong Kong, Steve Strongin and Jan Hatzius of Goldman Sachs Research sat down for a discussion all about connections: why economic cycles and market cycles are increasingly independent, why economic volatility has declined while market volatility has largely remained the same, and how shocks like political surprises and climate change stand to radiate through each space. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jordan Meer of Goldman Sachs' Renewable Power Group gives his quick take on the five numbers he's watching in renewable energy markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, chief investment officer of Goldman Sachs’ Private Wealth Management Division, summarizes her team's 2020 investment outlook and explains why she's telling clients to stay invested in the stock market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Denis Coleman, co-head of Goldman Sachs' Global Financing Group in the Investment Banking Division, joins host Jake Siewert to talk about the business and financing environment in Europe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sarah Kiernan of Goldman Sachs' Global Markets Division gives her quick take on the five numbers she's watching in markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, we dig into what may be the most important issue of our time: climate change. On the heels of a climate-focused World Economic Forum in Davos, the unveiling of Europe’s new Green Deal, and increased attention on climate change by the world’s largest asset managers and banks, climate change is undoubtedly Top of Mind. We speak with Michael Greenstone of the University of Chicago, Nathaniel Keohane of the Environmental Defense Fund and Goldman Sachs’ Steve Strongin about the climate challenge, and what it will take to address it. We also discuss how capital markets and climate policy are driving transformational shifts in the energy industry, and what it means for sector returns. Finally, the head of the Goldman Sachs Sustainable Finance Group, John Goldstein, provides insight and advice on ESG investing and integration, and the growing implications of shareholders and clients increasingly demanding more accountability on climate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week, Goldman Sachs opened its doors for its first-ever Investor Day in its 150-year history. In this episode, Goldman Sachs CFO Stephen Scherr recaps the day and explains how leadership is trying to increase transparency with clients by releasing three-year financial targets, restructuring its business segments, and more. Scherr, who has been at Goldman Sachs for nearly 27 years and CFO since 2018, also talks about his transition into the role. To kick off the episode, Jen Roth of Global Markets gives her quick take on the five numbers she’s watching in markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Scott Rubner of Goldman Sachs Global Markets talks through the five numbers he’s watching in markets, from $671 billion of money market inflows to the 32% “January effect.” Then, Catie O’Brien, also of Global Markets, provides a deep dive into the airline industry, including how the Boeing 737 Max is impacting supply and profitability, and how airlines have been reinvesting back into the product, resulting in more options than just coach or business class. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

To start the episode, Goldman Sachs' Oscar Ostlund talks through the five numbers he’s watching in markets, from China’s debt-to-GDP ratio to the Euro-USD exchange rate. Then, Michele Della Vigna of Goldman Sachs Research explains his latest “carbonomics” research and how climate change is reshaping the energy industry through technological innovation and capital markets pressure. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

David Kostin, chief US equity strategist for Goldman Sachs Research, discusses his team's forecasts for US stocks in the year ahead. But before that, Tony Pasquariello, global head of hedge fund coverage for Goldman Sachs Securities Division, walks through the five numbers he's watching in markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, John Goldstein, head of Goldman Sachs’ Sustainable Finance Group, talks about the firm’s recent sustainability announcement to invest or finance $750 billion of capital over the next 10 years across two themes–climate transition and inclusive growth. Goldstein highlights the commercial motivation behind the firm’s sustainability strategy. “This is grounded in a core view of where the world is going, a thesis, a research-driven view...almost a market call that fundamentally these questions of climate transition and inclusive growth are going to be central, secular themes for the economy for our clients and for ourselves,” he says. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Jake Siewert sits down with Jari Stehn of Goldman Sachs Research to discuss his team’s outlook for Europe’s economy in 2020. “We think 2020 is going to be a better year for Europe than 2019,” Stehn says. “We expect growth to be 1.1% next year, which is a bit above consensus, and is certainly notably above where the current numbers are running.” Stehn goes on to explain the drivers behind this growth pick-up as well as key risks that could derail estimates. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

With monetary policy, conducted by central banks, nearly exhausted in the major economies and low interest rates globally, whether fiscal policy, conducted by governments, should play a greater role from here is Top of Mind. In this episode, Goldman Sachs Research’s Allison Nathan interviews former IMF Chief Economist, Olivier Blanchard, Harvard professor, Alberto Alesina, and Goldman Sachs’ Chief Economist, Jan Hatzius. They discuss whether increased fiscal stimulus today would do more good than harm, and, even if it would, whether the economies that need it the most will pursue it. Our key takeaways: Germany should embrace a large fiscal expansion, but likely won’t; investors should expect some more fiscal stimulus in China, but only enough to avoid a sharp slowdown. Audio of former European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is courtesy of the European Central Bank YouTube channel via the Creative Commons Attribution license ⁠https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TjIaLD4I8go⁠). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Healthcare CEOs in the US are “trying to set course in an otherwise unpredictable, highly uncertain world,” according to this episode’s guest, Marshall Smith, global head of Goldman Sachs’ healthcare investment banking. The uncertainty, stemming from global growth concerns, trade policy risk and drug pricing debates, is a consistent theme across the healthcare industry, but that doesn’t mean corporations are sitting back and waiting. Growth strategies are top priorities for executives, Smith explains, with pharmaceutical companies turning to M&A–both to acquire smaller biotech companies for their drug portfolios and to merge with other large pharma companies. Smith also discusses how being the son of a doctor spurred an early interest in healthcare. “My dad would come home from the hospital [and] we’d have dinner together, all seven of us sitting around the table,” Smith recalled. “And so, invariably, we ended up talking about medical cases at dinner pretty much every night.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The latest episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs was recorded at the firm’s recent 2019 Builders + Innovators Summit, which convened nearly one hundred entrepreneurs from various industries to share their stories and learn from one another. Host Jake Siewert was joined by Investment Banking Division co-head Gregg Lemkau, as well as Brynn Putnam, founder of fitness startup Mirror, and Ryan Petersen of the logistics company Flexport. The group discussed today’s environment for entrepreneurship as well as the highs and lows of startup life. “The future of entrepreneurship is exciting,” Lemkau said. “And just being around people like [Putnam and Petersen], who started their own businesses, and the passion you feel for what they’re trying to build. I think the ability to start a business and scale it, given where technology is now, is phenomenal and only growing.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices