ESBC NFLAnd Sports Betting Podcast Network

#MondayMotivation1) The great @JimCoventryNFL makes a great point ! I hate when I see Little League Coaches pump up 7 year olds before a game - then show anger issues when the kid drops the ball during the game Better to have emotional control and teach the kid athletic and emotional skills at same time! Disciple is stable success long term! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

James The Profit is 41 out 44 Weeks Profit This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

James The Profit is 41 out 44 Winning Weeks Of Profit This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

James The Profit is 40 out 43 Weeks Profit This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

James is 40 out 43 weeks profit This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

We start #BigWestBasketball 17-11=60.7 %How to bet #MarchMadness during a War "live betting"USC +5Irvin-4Colorado+13.5The Beach+14 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Crack The Code #UFC Guru James The "Profit" UFC Fight Night HoustonJames is 39 out of 41 weeks of profit ; makes picks on all the fights This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Hawthorne Effect Podcast : "The unexamined life is not worth living"Socrates, recorded in Plato's Apology (399 BCE), asserting that a life without self-reflection and critical inquiry into one’s beliefs and actions lacks true value #war #winstonchurchill #History This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

You what you are talking about if you have :”plus money bets consistently” That is what “James The Profit” does We have the receipts @ufc #UFCFights @UFC This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

#MotivationMondayWeekly #Motivation with the great@JimCoventryNFLexplains 1st step ! *95% of people cannot change *95% of people who tell you they have “changed” “ I am a changed man” are 1) Lying or 2) Delusional -but this should not stop you from putting the effort! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Weekly #Motivation the great@JimCoventryNFL explains 1st step ! 95% of people cannot change 95% of people who tell you they have "changed" " I am a changed man" are 1) Lying or 2) Delusional ...but this should not stop you from trying! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Thank you to everyone who tuned into my live video! Join me for my next live video in the app. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Pats +6 buy the points Under 46.5Sea 2nd half lineCharlie Puth 123sec ou4th quarter attempt in 1st quarter Patriots team total under 20.5 (-130) OR under 17.5 (+125)Darnold over 5.5 yards Kenneth Walker over 2.5 receptions (-125)Drake Maye under 39 rush yards (-109)Most Receptions - Super Bowl LX. - Hunter Henry NE +750 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

@therealjames_hJames "The Profit"is 38 out of 40 winning weeks - exceeding information that makes 50% on your money and we also get insight into our surroundings This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

238-155=39360.50%$71,00013-11 going into Super Bowl = 52.5% is breakeven in the playoffs This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

James is 35 out 37 weeks Of Profit This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

It’s about control.It is about knowing what you are doing throwing into the right coveragesAt this stage of the playoffs, games are decided by:who stays structurally sound when things tighten,who avoids self-inflicted chaos,and which quarterback can function when the picture changes after the snap.That is the lens I use every postseason — the same one that has produced 60%+ returns and over $70,000 in profit treating sports betting like portfolio management, not gambling.📊 ESBC Betting Philosophy (How We Attack These Games)I don’t bet narratives.I don’t bet vibes.I don’t bet “who wants it more.”I bet:Quarterback leverageDown-and-distance controlPersonnel mismatchesSituational footballWhere chaos is most likely to come fromExplosiveness is overrated in January.Discipline wins championships.Patriots at BroncosSunday, January 25 — 3:00 PM ETPatriots -5.5 | Total: 42.5Patriots Offense vs. Broncos DefenseThis is not a favorable rushing matchup for New England.The Patriots do not have the kind of overpowering offensive line that consistently stresses Denver’s front, and the Broncos are built with speed and discipline to limit early-down rushing efficiency. Rhamondre Stevenson is playing excellent football, and he should find some interior success, but this is his toughest matchup of the postseason.Perimeter runs offer the best chance for chunk gains, though Denver’s speed makes sustained outside success unlikely. Bottom line: New England should not expect to control this game on the ground.Where the Patriots can find value is through Stevenson in the passing game. Denver has been below average defending receiving backs, and Stevenson has quietly become a reliable outlet in that role.In the passing game, the Broncos’ pass rush holds a clear edge — especially on obvious passing downs. That puts pressure on Drake Maye to win early downs and use play action to attack matchups before pressure arrives.Stefon Diggs can move the chains.Kayshon Boutte has a chance to connect on a deep shot.Hunter Henry remains a steady middle-of-the-field presence.Denver’s plan will be straightforward: sell out against the run, force long passing downs, and trust coverage while unleashing the rush.Broncos Offense vs. Patriots DefenseEverything about Denver’s offense hinges on Jarrett Stidham, and that is a major problem.Stidham lacks recent game reps, has struggled with ball security, and may be operating with a depleted receiving corps. That severely limits Denver’s margin for error.New England should feel comfortable challenging Denver’s wideouts, especially if Pat Bryant (concussion) and Troy Franklin (hamstring) are limited or unavailable. This allows the Patriots to crowd the line of scrimmage, disguise coverages, and force Stidham to make tight-window throws.The Broncos’ rushing attack also faces an uphill climb. New England is strong against interior runs and should largely shut down early-down efficiency. Denver can find modest success with misdirection and using RJ Harvey as a receiver — likely their most functional offensive path.Screen passes and quick throws can help Stidham survive, and Evan Engram profiles as the logical safety valve. Still, the Patriots are well positioned to force Denver into uncomfortable situations all game long.Final WordDenver’s path to an upset is extremely narrow. It requires a dominant defensive performance that creates short fields and easy points.Otherwise, the quarterback gap is overwhelming.Drake Maye has shown he can generate offense even in difficult matchups. Stidham is unlikely to sustain drives against this defense over four quarters.But in the end the lack of depth might the bite the Pats in the assPrediction: Patriots 23, Broncos 10….But there is theory Broncos win 24-23 and the over ….you make the choice !Patriots at Broncos — PropsJarrett Stidham Under 199.5 Passing YardsEvan Engram Over 2.5 ReceptionsCourtland Sutton Under 50.5 Receiving YardsRams at SeahawksSunday, January 25 — 6:30 PM ETSeahawks -2.5 | Total: 47.5Rams Offense vs. Seahawks DefenseThe Rams’ offensive plan should be familiar by now: structure and deception, not chasing raw explosiveness.Seattle has struggled defending heavy tight end personnel, particularly when linebackers are forced into repeated run-pass conflict. Expect Los Angeles to lean early into three-tight-end sets, condensed formations, play action, and rollouts — opening the middle of the field for Puka Nacua on crossers and in-breakers.Matthew Stafford has been at his best in this matchup when the ball comes out on rhythm and misdirection slows Seattle’s rush. The goal is not constant deep shots, but efficient chunk gains that prevent Seattle from dialing up late pressure packages.Where the Rams can hurt themselves is forcing balance for balance’s sake. Seattle has held up better against downhill rushing when Los Angeles compresses formations too heavily. Kyren Williams has been more efficient in spread looks, not power football.Short-yardage situations ha

The ESBC Podcast focuses on sports betting insights, particularly in the realm of UFC analysis. Give a prospectus ; transparency that benefits the audience This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Our Podcast had business associate of the #MolsonBeer Family John Solleder - Business Speaker, Author, and Podcast Host*Molson Coors Beverage Company: The family maintains significant influence and ownership in this global company, which has a market capitalization of approximately $9.67 billion as of January 2026.*Montreal Canadiens (NHL): The family-led ownership group purchased the team, the Bell Centre, and an entertainment business in 2009 for $575 million. *By 2026, the franchise's valuation has grown significantly, estimated at approximately $1.85 billion. @JesseSchule Molson Coors Beverage Company: The family maintains significant influence and ownership in this global company, which has a market capitalization of approximately $9.67 billion as of January 2026.Montreal Canadiens (NHL): The family-led ownership group purchased the team, the Bell Centre, and an entertainment business in 2009 for $575 million. By 2026, the franchise's valuation has grown significantly, estimated at approximately $1.85 billion.WNBA Expansion: In 2024, Geoff Molson joined the ownership group for the Toronto Tempo, the WNBA’s first Canadian expansion team, further diversifying the family's sports portfolio. Individual Wealth & RankingsGeoff Molson: His individual net worth is estimated at approximately $1.75 billion, primarily attributed to his stake in the Montreal Canadiens and Molson Coors.Quebec Ranking: The Molson family is currently ranked as the 17th richest in Quebec. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Regular season 66% =$27,000 profit11-9 this bowl seasonToday (Sports Betting Film Breakdown) Miami+8O46 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

207-138=60%220-149=59.6%$70,000 Profit9=6 in the playoffs This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

UFC The Predictive Market Monetization 2026 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

We finish the year238-155=393 total Results at $1000 per investment 60.50%(52.5% is BreakEven)$71,000ish (IRS rulings Pending)Rams-10o46Packers -1o45Bills +1u52.549ers +6044Chargers +4u47Steelers +4 buy the number o38 "mini shoot out" This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

#MotivationalMonday Discipline Trumps "Motivation" "New Years Resolution" advice from the great @JimCoventryNFL Discipline breeds consistency it gives birth to an 80% chance of winning but 100% certainty you maximize-optimize your super powers @JimCoventryNFL This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

220-149=59.6%$69,000 profit (52.5% is breakeven)Saints +4o43Colts +11o39CIN -7o44Titans +13.5o47Vikings9-9u37Giants +4o50Jets+8o37DEN -13u37Wash +5o39Mia+12U46Rams -13o47Steelers +4o40 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

75-37=66% 9$27,000 ish ITS pending) Regular season 7-3 post season after a late start New Years day 2026Texas Tech and that "Texas Oil money" U51Alabama +8o48Georgia-6u565 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

207-138=60%$196,650-$126,000$70,000 Profit naiciaping the outcome of football This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Josh Abner Vizcay MBA-MBS (PHD In Common Sense)@josuevizcay#MotivationalMonday Emotional Complexity “Not Everyone Celebrates The Holidays” Especially if someone died during that time, But ...everyone should enjoy the triggers, create traditions of joy ! For me, it is #Football, music, Christmas Lights and Holiday Movies@JimCoventryNFL This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Especially if someone died during that time, But ...everyone should enjoy the triggers, create traditions of joy ! For me, it is #Football, music, Christmas Lights and Holiday Movies@JimCoventryNFL This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

194-126=60.6%$58,300 profit is the value of the content This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

@therealjames_h fight night UFC He is 35 out of 37 winning weeks* The Top 10 rules for anticipating the outcome of Sporting Events And Predictive Anomalies* josuevizcay.medium.com/top-10-rules-for-betting-the intricacies of sports betting, emphasizing the importance of decision science, situational intelligence, and collaboration.He shares insights on how to analyze betting strategies, track performance, and the significance of having a clear purpose and outcome in betting.The conversation also touches on the community aspect of betting and the long-term strategies for success This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Bucs -5-5Cards +11Eagles -11U38Jets+15o42Bears -7u38Bills EvenRavens $L-1250o51Chiefs-5u42Giants -135o45Seahawks 13o42Broncos +3/2ndu43Panthers -2o40Lions +6O5449ers-12u45Minn+6o47Tomlin$L-160u43 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Random Royval +225 Kevin Vallejos by finish +150 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Dunning–Kruger EffectThis is the best-known term.It refers to a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a domain overestimate their competence, often because they lack the knowledge to recognize their own mistakes.It doesn’t necessarily involve delusions, but it explains why someone might think they’re much more skilled at decision-making than they really are.Illusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias)Sometimes called the “better-than-average effect.”People consistently rate their own decision-making, intelligence, or skills as above average, even when objective measures show otherwise.3.Illusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias)Delusional Disorder / Grandiosity (Clinical Context)When the overestimation of ability moves beyond bias and into fixed false beliefs that resist contrary evidence, it becomes clinical.In psychiatry, this would be described as grandiose delusions, a symptom sometimes seen in bipolar disorder or schizophrenia.4.Over coming -Overconfidence Bias (Decision Science / Finance)In economics and behavioral finance, “overconfidence bias” is the specific term for people placing too much faith in their own judgments, leading to poor decisions and risky behavior.hawthorne Effective -✅ If you mean a psychological bias → Dunning–Kruger effect or overconfidence bias.✅ If you mean a clinical, delusional state → grandiose delusionThe Solution * Strategy* - Transparency* - Information flow* - Exploit market inefficiencies* - Return To the mean* -Arbitrage* -Common Sense * Collaboration* -Law of opposites This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

184-118=60.9% =$56,400 in profit bettng $1000 a gam,e This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

James insight, picks and a parlay at the end Watch this episode on the ⁠⁠ESBC NFL And SportsBetting Podcast YouTube channel⁠⁠.https://www.youtube.com/@ESBCNFLAndsportsbettingpodcastFollow us on Instagram https://www.instagram.com/josuevizcay/Follow us on TikTok at https://www.tiktok.com/@josuevizcay12?is_from_webapp=1&sender_device=pc This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

* The Hawthorne Effect can improve performance by 10 to 20%.* The ESPC Podcast is a business meeting with specific outcomes.* Josh has an MBA and a securities license.* Clients worth $50 million and above seek good information.* Business and financial concepts help predict outcomes.* Consistent prediction of outcomes leads to monetization. Like Elon Musk states you get to the truth, then you consistently predict outcoms then from a business standpoint can logically monetize those outcomes* The podcast ranks highly in sports and betting categories. 7th overall in the state florida and top 50 nationally per feedspot * Monetizing outcomes is a primary goal of the podcast.* but Top 10 Rules For Betting-Short Term Investing In NFL-CFB And College Basketball* medium.com/@josuevizcay/top-10…ketball-bdc7d132490* Learn From Mistakes “unexamined life is not worth living”* “You learn more from losses than you do from wins”* “An unexamined life is not worth living”This year we are The Problem Dunning–Kruger Effect* This is the best-known term.* It refers to a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a domain overestimate their competence, often because they lack the knowledge to recognize their own mistakes.* It doesn’t necessarily involve delusions, but it explains why someone might think they’re much more skilled at decision-making than they really are.* Discribe the problemIllusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias)* Sometimes called the “better-than-average effect.”* People consistently rate their own decision-making, intelligence, or skills as above average, even when objective measures show otherwise.3.Illusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias)Delusional Disorder / Grandiosity (Clinical Context)* When the overestimation of ability moves beyond bias and into fixed false beliefs that resist contrary evidence, it becomes clinical.* In psychiatry, this would be described as grandiose delusions, a symptom sometimes seen in bipolar disorder or schizophrenia.4. Describe the solution * Analyzing game dynamics can lead to better outcomes.* Takeaways* Decision Science used by fortune 500 companies * Continuous improvement is essential in sports betting.* Return To the Mean * Fundamenal analysis* Understanding team management is crucial for predictions.* Utilizing decision science enhances betting strategies.* Analyzing game dynamics can lead to better outcomes.* Long-term thinking is vital in sports betting.* Statistical analysis helps predict game outcomes.* As Robert Glazer writes “The concept of regression to the mean was first discovered by the statistician and sociologist Sir Francis Galton. As part of his research, Galton observed that tall parents tended to have children who were shorter than them, whereas short parents often had children who were taller than them.* Based on this, Galton developed the principle of regression to the mean, which states that in any series with complex phenomena that are dependent on many variables, where chance is involved, extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones. In other words, if something extremely unexpected happens, it is likely to be followed by something that’s more aligned with statistical projections or expectations.* We have a tendency to overreact to results in the short term and use those outcomes to make long term decisions, ignoring the reality of regression to the mean. In particular, we tend to ignore the role of luck and timing when evaluating extreme early outcomes. “* The importance of collaboration in sports betting.Over coming -Overconfidence Bias (Decision Science / Finance)* Analyzing game dynamics can lead to better outcomes.* In economics and behavioral finance, “overconfidence bias” is the specific term for people placing too much faith in their own judgments, leading to poor decisions and risky behavior.* If you are being self destructive doing what you are not supposed to do purpose that depression - or life time - why important to check you thinking and system to do so no matter how successful you are * Process is* 1)Research* 2) Use math (which is pattern recognition not calculation and statistics)* 3)Rigorously apply logic* behavioral finance* Fundamental Analysis h* highest level in probability is 80%/20% bad luck* As we think in probabilities to make money off of NFL Games* Rams- uncharacteristically turned - a pick 6 is z 14 point swing * Miami - shut down offense in 2nd half and they were arrogant that pathethic offense can not move on us - and they almost lost the game - I was wrong to think that would make a dumb mistake like that * Lions –3u48* Ravens –7- 5 turnovers * Eagles -7 (Read)* Thought the Steelers would score more points - wrong on the total f* Wrong total on the lord Commanders * 2 totals I got wrong - because of soft zone late in the game- not bad luck - both that Saints and Giants suck ...as result you have to determine their ability to score against soft zone late in the game to cover big numbers * Based on the sea

We start the Week158-93=62.9%$57,100Texans+5.5o43Bears -140U45.5Patriots –6o50Lions –10(Bet Weds)U50Packers-6o41jets +15o44Seahawks-13o40Jags $L-148O47Raiders $L205O36Boys+4o48Saints -2U40Bucs +7.5O4949ers -7U49 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

@therealjames_h fight night UFC He is 35 out of 37 winning weeks* The Top 10 rules for anticipating the outcome of Sporting Events And Predictive Anomalies* josuevizcay.medium.com/top-10-rules-for-betting-the intricacies of sports betting, emphasizing the importance of decision science, situational intelligence, and collaboration.He shares insights on how to analyze betting strategies, track performance, and the significance of having a clear purpose and outcome in betting.The conversation also touches on the community aspect of betting and the long-term strategies for success. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

* Dunning–Kruger Effect* This is the best-known term.* It refers to a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a domain overestimate their competence, often because they lack the knowledge to recognize their own mistakes.* It doesn’t necessarily involve delusions, but it explains why someone might think they’re much more skilled at decision-making than they really are.Illusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias)* Sometimes called the “better-than-average effect.”* People consistently rate their own decision-making, intelligence, or skills as above average, even when objective measures show otherwise.3.Illusion of Superiority (Optimism Bias)Delusional Disorder / Grandiosity (Clinical Context)* When the overestimation of ability moves beyond bias and into fixed false beliefs that resist contrary evidence, it becomes clinical.* In psychiatry, this would be described as grandiose delusions, a symptom sometimes seen in bipolar disorder or schizophrenia.4.Over coming -Overconfidence Bias (Decision Science / Finance)* In economics and behavioral finance, “overconfidence bias” is the specific term for people placing too much faith in their own judgments, leading to poor decisions and risky behavior.* hawthorne Effective - * ✅ If you mean a psychological bias → Dunning–Kruger effect or overconfidence bias.* ✅ If you mean a clinical, delusional state → grandiose delusions. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe