Deep Dish on Global Affairs

German voters prioritized stability in the first post-Merkel election—voting for the party who most emulated the former chancellor's approach to government, the Social Democrats (SPD), instead of Merkel's Christian Democratic Union (CDU). What does the narrow SPD victory tell us about the German political landscape and important Western trends like populism? Ulrike Franke and Sheri Berman join Deep Dish to explain how potential coalition governments could shape German foreign policy and the relationship with the United States.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau gambled on a snap election that left him in power, but without a majority in Parliament. With an election behind him, can he make progress on the critical foreign policy issues his government must tackle—from COVID-19 to multilateral engagement—during his third term? Canadian political scientists Roland Paris and Jennifer Welsh join Deep Dish to explain why it's time for a reset on Canadian foreign policy.

Years of underinvestment, politicization, and data on looming retention problems raise urgent questions about the need for change in the United States Department of State. Ambassador Marcie Ries and Charles B. Rangel International Affairs Fellow Constanza Castro Zúñiga join Deep Dish to explain why diplomacy is still critical for American foreign policy and offer solutions to reimagine the diplomatic service for a new generation.

The US military may have exited the conflict in Afghanistan, but thousands of those who helped during the war remain. What does the United States owe those we leave behind, and is there a better way to prevent chaos and loss of life after war? Virginia Tech's Amanda Demmer and the Council's Elizabeth Shackelford join Deep Dish to explore the lessons from past military evacuations in Vietnam and South Sudan and what they tell us about the coming days in Afghanistan.

Globalization promised us collaboration, peace, and prosperity. But did the connectivity that linked our world together increase conflict and drive our geopolitical priorities farther apart? The European Council on Foreign Relation's Mark Leonard joins Deep Dish to discuss his new book The Age of Unpeace and his proposal for policymakers navigating our connected future.

After weeks of finger-pointing and accusations about the catastrophic US retreat from Afghanistan, we're taking a step back to ask some big-picture questions. What if the problem isn't the exit, but the strategy that started the intervention in the first place: counterinsurgency? US Naval War College author Jacqueline Hazelton joins Deep Dish to explain what went wrong and why we're doomed to repeat our mistakes if we don't shift strategies.

What will the Taliban's Afghanistan takeover mean for Pakistan—a US ally, a nuclear power, and a country beset by its own terrorism threats—and will the government's decades-long support of the Taliban backfire? Brookings' Madiha Afzal and the Financial Times' Farhan Bokhari join Deep Dish to explain Pakistan's priorities, foreign policy, and options for the future.

Cryptocurrencies have moved away from their anarchic origins to spark political conversations that could shift national currencies and redefine the global economy. Former Chairman of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission Tim Massad and the Financial Times' Gillian Tett join Brian Hanson on Deep Dish to explore digital currencies and their effect on geopolitics.

China's massive investment in Africa through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has prompted concern over political influence—enough for the G-7 to form a rival initiative, the Build Back Better World (B3W). The Center for Global Development's Gyude Moore and the US Navy's Michele Lowe join Elizabeth Shackelford on Deep Dish to explore whether these programs are positive or negative and how African countries can take control of their futures.

This week a bipartisan group of US senators introduced a bill to reform the 48-year-old War Powers Act—the law intended to check a president's ability to declare war. Yale Law School's Oona Hathaway joins Deep Dish to explain why it's so important for Congress to revive its war powers and offer a potential solution.

Haiti is in political turmoil after President Moïse's assassination in his home last week. The Miami Herald's Jacqueline Charles and the University of Virginia's Robert Fatton Jr. join Deep Dish to assess the country's stability, how international interference factored into the hollowing out of democratic institutions, and what could tip the scales towards disaster or hope for the future.

Ten years after South Sudan's independence, Ambassador Susan D. Page joins the Council's Elizabeth Shackelford on Deep Dish to discuss their shared history in the country, what went wrong with statehood, and the lessons the international community must learn for the future.

A century after the founding of the Chinese Communist Party, Bruce Dickson, author of The Party and the People: Chinese Politics in the 21st Century, joins Deep Dish to examine how the party maintains its power and what influences will shape its future—and geopolitics.

After nearly 20 politically motivated arrests in the last month, Nicaraguan President Ortega's crackdown on his opposition could shake the country's democracy. Researcher Ryan Berg and journalist Cindy Regidor join Deep Dish to explain the field for November's presidential election and whether we're witnessing the rise of a "second dictatorship."

Underneath the public face of unity at this week's NATO meetings, potential disagreements and fissures between the United States and its European allies could significantly complicate the US' return to the global stage. Council President Ivo Daalder and the New York Times' Steve Erlanger join Deep Dish to analyze if President Biden has successfully reinvigorated the alliance and whether a shared agenda exists.

Researcher and practitioner Séverine Autesserre argues that traditional approaches to peacebuilding often fail because they follow a top-down formula: expert expatriates parachute in to solve a problem with big budgets, cut-and-paste solutions, and a return ticket home. She joins Deep Dish to explain why a new strategy is needed and how grassroots efforts offer hope for an end to violent conflict.

China announced families can now have three children as opposed to two — a reaction to new data showing shocking population growth slowdowns and mirroring global declines. Demographics expert Nicholas Eberstadt joins Deep Dish to explain why population size, capabilities, and characteristics matter more for competition between great powers than economic or military power.

US Secretary of State Blinken reaffirmed the United States' commitment to protecting American interests in the Arctic last week—but what does that mean, exactly? Arctic experts Eugene Rumer and Rebecca Pincus join Deep Dish to unpack the debate over the Arctic's potential as a geopolitical flashpoint and possibilities for a very cold new Cold War.

After a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas, former United States Special Envoy for Israeli-Palestinian Negotiations Martin Indyk joins Deep Dish to explain the pattern driving the latest violence, and implications for the peace process, regional stability, and President Biden's desire to pivot away from the Middle East.

Turkish President Erdoğan initially pursued "zero problems with neighbors" as a foreign policy strategy, but now relies on the country's military might to achieve political goals. Brookings' Kemal Kirişci and journalist Ayla Jean Yackley join Deep Dish to explain what Turkey's approach means for neighbors, allies, and foes.

Afghan President Ashraf Ghani called the United States' decision to leave Afghanistan by September 11 a "moment of both opportunity and risk" this week. The University of Texas at Austin's Aaron O'Connell and the International Crisis Group's Andrew Watkins join guest host Elizabeth Shackelford on Deep Dish to examine whether the United States can withdraw without undermining regional stability.

Vice President Kamala Harris urged world leaders at the United Nations this week to begin preparing for the next pandemic, even as COVID-19 case numbers continue to rise in some parts of the world. Abbott's Gavin Cloherty and the Cary Institute's Barbara Han join Deep Dish to explain their strategies for tracking infections and why collaboration is the key to preventing future outbreaks.

Twenty-three years after the Good Friday Accords, sectarian violence in Northern Ireland is once again making headlines. The European University Institute's Brigid Laffan and POLITICO Europe's Shawn Pogatchnik join Deep Dish to explain why the trade fallout from Brexit could destroy the fragile peace.

After failing to hold elections in February, Somalia's President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo passed legislation this week to extend his power for at least two more years, prompting global concern. Somali academic Abdi Aynte and former US diplomat Elizabeth Shackelford join Deep Dish to unpack the players in Somalia's politics and what role the international community should — or shouldn't— have in its future.

Brazil's daily COVID-19 deaths passed 4,000 for first time this week, while President Jair Bolsonaro focused on firing his defense minister; reshuffling congress to ward off impeachment; and replacing the top commanders of the army, navy, and air force. Oliver Stuenkel and Sarah Maslin join Deep Dish to examine whether the pandemic could cost Bolsonaro the 2022 presidential election—or if he will find another way to hold onto power.

For six days, a ship as tall as the Empire State Building, the Ever Given, was lodged in the Suez Canal – launching memes and delaying 10 percent of global trade. Flexport's Phil Levy and the Financial Times' Claire Jones join Deep Dish to discuss if crises like this and COVID-19 show it's time to rethink global supply chains.

For decades, the United States has ensured peace for Taiwan through strategic ambiguity, but last week's combative US-China meeting could be a signal to rethink that approach. Rand Corporation's Michael Mazarr and the Council's Commander Michele Lowe join Deep Dish to explore the options in a constructive debate on the benefits—and costs—of a shift in policy.

The changing security environment and decaying trust in the US nuclear guarantee could lead to nuclear proliferation among allies, a new report from a task force of defense and security experts argues. Task force cochairs and report authors Kevin Rudd, Malcolm Rifkind, Chuck Hagel, and Ivo Daalder join Deep Dish to discuss possible solutions and why this is so urgent.

New data shows women have borne the brunt of pandemic job losses, potentially undercutting decades of progress toward gender equality. To recognize Women's History Month, The Council on Foreign Relations' Jamille Bigio joins Deep Dish to explain why women's economic participation is not simply a matter of fairness—it's a global prosperity and security imperative.

President Biden halted US support for the conflict in Yemen, but "resolving the world's worst humanitarian crisis will require a larger paradigm shift in foreign policy," former World Food Programme head Ertharin Cousin writes for Foreign Policy. She joins Deep Dish to explain why hunger must be treated as an essential element of military and foreign policy, not just as a humanitarian issue.

Tens of thousands of farmers have been protesting agriculture reform in India since last November, drawing global attention and celebrity support. Sumit Ganguly and Surupa Gupta join Deep Dish to explain the economic and social impact of the movement and what it might mean for Prime Minister Modi's hold on political power.

Last week's military coup in Myanmar has undone nearly a decade of progress toward democratic reform: Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi has been jailed, the public is protesting martial law across the country, and the military's strategy to contain the situation is escalating. Christina Fink and Debra Eisenman join Deep Dish to explain Myanmar's complicated politics and why the country's transition toward democracy didn't go as the West expected.

Black History Month and recent US domestic political events highlight our historical struggles over freedom and race – how they have shaped our world and why they continue to influence our lives today. Historian Tyler Stovall joins Deep Dish to explain why our understanding of freedom has been fundamentally grounded in race and how understanding our past can give us the tools to move forward.

Last weekend, more than 40,000 Russians in 100 cities marched to protest opposition leader Alexei Navalny's arrest and signal a new era in Russian politics. The New Yorker's Joshua Yaffa joins Deep Dish to explain why Russians both resent and rely on the state, and what that means for Russia – and President Putin's – future.

Russia's massive cyber attack on SolarWinds put some 250 US government agencies, security firms, and companies in jeopardy and exposed the sophisticated nature of today's targeted hacks. Cyber risk expert Jody Westby joins Deep Dish to examine how the United States—and the world—can deter future attacks and prevent cyber escalation.

You may have missed it, but at the end of 2020, the European Union and China solidified an investment deal that will open EU access to China's markets while raising China's global profile. Former US trade negotiator Wendy Cutler and the Rhodium Group's Noah Barkin join Deep Dish to look at the geopolitical consequences of the deal and how President-elect Biden can work toward better relationships with both sides.

Last week's attack at the US Capitol could have long-term effects for the stability of the United States and the state of democracy around the world. In this bonus episode of Deep Dish, journalists Susan Glasser, James Harding, and Stefan Kornelius join Council President Ivo Daalder to discuss what happened on the Council's weekly news rundown World Review. Watch the full episode here or check out new episodes of World Review at 10:00 am CST each Friday at thechicagocouncil.org/worldreview.

Even as more people globally are vaccinated for COVID-19, a record-breaking number died from the pandemic this week in the United States. Physician and Partners in Health founder Paul Farmer joins Deep Dish to explain the lessons the 2014 Ebola outbreak taught him and what the world can learn from past infectious disease outbreaks to combat the current crisis.

Iran's president signaled he would rejoin the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) if President-Elect Biden signs on after taking office. The Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft's Trita Parsi and the Atlantic Council's Barbara Slavin join Deep Dish to explain why Biden must focus on improving relations between the two countries, not just renewing the agreement. Check out new Deep Dish episodes when we return on January 7, 2021.

The United States broke records for the number of COVID-19 deaths this week – more than Pearl Harbor – and the total number of cases now hovers around 1.4 million. As vaccine rollout starts around the world, the Financial Times' Hannah Kuchler and Johns Hopkins' Crystal Watson join Deep Dish to explain the science and politics behind the next phase of the pandemic.

Ethiopia rests on brink of a civil war after long-term tensions between the government and former power brokers, the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), exploded in November. Michelle Gavin joins Deep Dish to explain why Ethiopia's fate will affect the stability of the region and African influence on global affairs.

As COVID-19 continues to surge around the world, CNN's Fareed Zakaria joins Deep Dish to explain why today's crises are the product of the international system and how the quality, not quantity, of government is part of the solution. Tune in for the next episode of Deep Dish on December 3, 2020.

President-Elect Biden faces a divided country and a deadlocked Congress when he takes office on January 20, 2021. Author Rebecca Lissner joins Deep Dish to argue that while there are domestic challenges, Biden also has a unique opportunity to reimagine the US approach to foreign policy and focus on openness, rather than dominance.

Two days after Americans voted, it's still too close to call the 2020 election. As the world waits, American Enterprise Institute's Kori Schake joins Council President Ivo Daalder and Deep Dish host Brian Hanson to examine how the results – whenever they arrive – will affect US foreign policy, global relationships, and national security.

Last Sunday, an overwhelming 78 percent of Chileans voted to replace the country's existing constitution after a year of large-scale protests driven by social movements and economic inequality. Political scientist Claudia Heiss joins Deep Dish to explain what to watch for during the two-year drafting process and examine whether wide-spread change is possible for Chile.

Democrats and Republicans are in different worlds when it comes to evaluating critical threats facing the United States and preferred foreign policy approaches, according to findings of the 2020 Chicago Council Survey. Council polling experts Dina Smeltz and Craig Kafura join Deep Dish to examine how public opinion matches up with the candidates' perspectives and whether issues like China's rise, global cooperation, climate change, and trade are driving voter decision making.

From Iran in 1953 to Syria in 2011, the United States has relied on regime change as a core facet of Middle East policy -- with mixed results. Author and former White House Middle East advisor and expert Philip Gordon joins Deep Dish to explain that while regime change is a tempting policy option, in the long-term it leads to high costs, unintended consequences, and the spread of instability.

This week, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo met with new Japanese Premier Yoshihide Suga, signaling both Japan's importance to the United States and both sides' fear of a rising China, analysts argue. Stanford University's Michael Auslin and Teneo Intelligence's Tobias Harris join Deep Dish to explain how the 2020 election could influence US foreign policy towards Japan and whether Suga has the power to successfully continue former Prime Minister Abe's legacy.

Last weekend, fighting broke out in the contested Nagorno-Karabakh region, reigniting a frozen conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The New York Times' Andrew Kramer and Chatham House's Laurence Broers Join Deep Dish to examine what the conflict could mean for the region and Russia's broader competition with Turkey for power.

With just 10 years remaining to reach the United Nation's Sustainable Development Goals, COVID-19 has undermined much of the existing progress toward the ambitious targets. As the UN General Assembly takes place this week, BP's Trine Mong and McDonald's Francesca DeBiase join Deep Dish to explain how their companies are making strides towards sustainability to support the SDGs and revolutionize their industries.