Debunking Economics - the podcast

Sweden is quickly moving towards a cashless economy. According to their central bank cash payments are now less than 2 percent of GDP and less than 15 percent of retail transactions. Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen whether we could eventually go cashless? He’s very sceptical. His fear is that the people who would control the monetary system probably wouldn’t understand how money works. And what if the IT systems fail? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

They’re having the best of times. They’re having the worst of times. The US economy seems to be going gangbusters whilst Europe’s growth has stalled and, possibly, is starting to wane. So why the disparity between the two? Prof Steve Keen says it is al to do with the contrasting economic policies – the expansionary approach of President Trump versus the austerity measures of Europe. Phil Dobbie asks whether this means the growth will continue, or could it all come crashing down for the US? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ask a conventional economist about household debt and they’ll say it’s not an issue. The money you spend on repayments won’t be spent on shopping, but whoever gets that money will spend it and keep it circulating. Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen whether, in that case, debt matters. Listen in to hear Steve’s explanation on why it does matter, and why high mortgage debt slows down the economy. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Western economies are struggling to see growth anywhere near the levels before the global financial crisis. Japan has been struggling with zero growth, or worse, for years. So, what’s the cause of the slowdown and will we ever see high growth ever again? More to the point, why the growth obsession. Are there better ways of measuring the health of an economy? And what’s the downside of being too focused on economic growth? Phil Dobbie puts all these questions to Prof Steve Keen in this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

A meltdown seems to be happening in the Italian economy. Steve Keen tells Phil Dobbie that it’s the failings of the Maastricht Treaty coming home to roost. Does this mean that Italy could be on the verge of pulling out of the Euro, if not the EU completely? Wouldn’t it make their country bankrupt? And what can the ECB do to try and resolve the situation. In this podcast we look through the potential outcomes in crisis evolving in Italy. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Joh Madden sent us a message saying he wants to understand, in simple terms, why the interest payments on public debt are not a problem. He points out how it is used to justify austerity because it intuitively makes sense to waste less money on paying interest. He wants to know why this interest is not a problem, and what if the money which the public owes keeps rising? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Economic theory is based on the blatantly false assumption that perfect competition can be achieved when everyone has access to perfect information. So, if we strive to get closer to that ideal can we assume that the economy will function better? That’s a question Phil Dobbie puts to Prof Steve Keen – and, without wishing to give away the entire answer – it would be correct if we were striving for a perfect view of the future. For that we need a time machine. Till then this basic concept of economics will forever be flawed. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Karl Marx got a lot right, but he was wrong about the need to a revolution. In this podcast Prof Steve Keen explains how, if Marx had followed his own theories, he would have realised that there wasn’t a need for a shift to socialism. In this free 36 minute podcast Phil Dobbie talks with Steve about the basis of Marx’s theory, from the Labour Theory of Value through to Use Value and Exchange Value. The conclusion, says Steve, is that “the increasing organic composition of capital (as Marx called it) has no implications for the rate of surplus, has no implications for the rate of profit”. So, no need for a revolution after all. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Central banks like to control inflation using monetary theory (managing the cost of borrowing) as their way to control inflation and unemployment and avoid recessions. Whereas Keynes argues that government spending is the way to avoid recessions – pump prime the economy and “she’ll be right mate”. In this week’s podcast Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen if monetary policies ever worked – and isn’t there a danger of fiscal policy racking up too much debt? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

With Mark Zuckerberg being probed by the US government recently, and similar hearings being held in the UK, there’s been a lot of discussion lately about whether the Internet giants wield too much power. In this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen why we don’t treat them as monopolies, and force their break-up into smaller, competing operators. Steve doesn’t agree. He says the problem is, such a move would force prices up, rather than down. But it’s not just a question of price, surely? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Land, is of course, heavily constrained. In this podcast Phil Dobbie asks Professor Steve Keen whether enough value is placed on it and the influence it has on the broader economy. Housing speculation is an obvious example of how land values distort the economy. If it was left to pure market forces what are the damaging impacts on broader society and just how far should the government intervene? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It’s hard to support everything Vladamir Putin does – he probably was involved in the attack in Salisbury. If not, there are lots of other violations of human rights we can point to. But he does have a lot support in Russia. To understand why, you need to understand the recent past, what Russia is trying to achieve and the role of foreign powers in distracting them from their path. Today on the Debunking Economics podcast, a quick history lesson of a country that has struggled through false theories and bad advice to arrive at a point where it could finally integrate with the rest of the world – that’s if someone doesn’t blow it up first. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this podcast series Prof Steve Keen has repeatedly argued the importance of keeping an economy in surplus. But, Alex Howlett, a regular listener and Patreon supporter, asks why this might be. He suggests a trade deficit is a good thing, because it suggests companies overseas are willing to accept your currency. The more currency you generate, the more you can buy. To a point. Phil Dobbie asks Steve, what’s wrong with Alex’s hypothesis? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

One of our podcast listeners, Arjen, asks the question, “Why don't you recommend a full-reserve banking system instead of fractional reserve? There would be much less debt in such a system and a smaller role for the central banks.” Phil Dobbie puts the question to Prof Steve Keen, and struggles to understand why the text book explanation of fractional reserve banking is wrong, wrong, wrong. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We’ve talked a lot on the Debunking Economics podcast about how energy is the only real driver of an economy, so the performance of an economy is driven by the availability of the resource and how efficiently it is captured. Phil Dobbie asks Professor Steve Keen if that means countries with the most energy resources should be the most effective producers of goods, with a healthy trade surplus. If that’s the case, why doesn’t Saudi Arabia make very much? And could nations embracing renewable energy efficiently become net exporters if their governments invested wisely? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Britain’s productivity levels are 17 percent lower than the rest of the G7. A French worker could take Friday off and still beat the output of a British worker. So, does that mean we mean a more educated workforce? Could we improve the productivity of the UK if everyone was just that little bit smarter? Phil Dobbie puts that question to Professor Steve Keen in a discussion that goes full circle – from the need to focus more on vocational topics, to the potential benefits of studying topics that have no vocational leaning at all. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Many people it seems have turned to cryptocurrencies as a way of side stepping banks – a technology that will challenge their dominance and democratise the supply of money. Others look to fintech as a means of cutting out the established finance sector, putting investors and borrowers together, cutting out the middleman. But are they kidding themselves? In this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen whether they’ve ignored some of the key roles banks perform. And what about the regulator? Isn’t there still a need for regulation? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We know there is growing discontent around the world about the distribution of wealth and, it seems, financial crises can make the problem worse. In this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast Phil Dobbie asks Prof. Steve Keen why the boom bust nature of capitalism accentuates the wealth divide and what can be done to remedy the problem. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Just how much control does a country have over its own economy? We’ve seen wage growth stifled by international competition and the decimation of manufacturing in the West. Yet Trump and Brexit voters are pushing an agenda to take control of their economies – will they win? Phil Dobbie asks Steve Keen what actually has to happen if we are to have control of our economic destiny – and our regulations - at a time of increasing international trade and the continued growth of major corporations. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We often hear the argument that house prices have risen so much because there’s a lack of supply. Politicians argue that if more land was released to developers more homes would be built and the affordability issue would be fixed. Prof Steve Keen, meanwhile, has argued that it is the willingness of banks to offer massive mortgages that has pushed prices to high. In this podcast Phil Dobbie asks whether supply is still an important factor in the equation. They also discuss how geography and land-use influences prices, who meets the external costs of housing and our appetite for bigger, better houses. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The Oxford Review of Economic Policy devoted its entire latest edition to rebuilding macroeconomic theory. That sounds like an acknowledgement that the theories that have guided the profession for decades might be flawed. Perhaps, you might think, it will explain why the global financial crisis happened, why growth has been so slow to pick up and why wages have stagnated. But, as Prof Steve Keen explains to Phil Dobbie, the papers do little other than tweak the edges of conventional theory. It’s far from a fundamental rethink, and some of the basic errors of economics – such as the assumption that the economy will always return to equilibrium – remain unchallenged. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Boris Johnson has, once again, argued that money saved in fees to the EU can be used to fund better healthcare in Britain. His argument assumes the government is run like a household budget, ignoring the ability to create money. Yet we are familiar with the idea of money creation, with central banks injecting millions, or billions in the US, into the economy through bond purchases. Phil Dobbie explores the disconnect between quantitative easing and government austerity programs. He asks Prof Steve Keen, if a central bank creates money, why not simply inject it into the government’s coffers? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Migration is often blamed for unemployment. The fear that there are too many migrants stealing jobs has almost certainly helped with the rise of UKIP and the election of President Trump. But is there any value in this far right rhetoric, or is conventional economy theory right for once – that migrants create demand that facilitates more jobs and adds to the economy. And are we getting so lost in the migration and employment debate that we’re missing a far bigger concern – the number of people on the planet. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The collapse of Carillion is down to poor management but, as Phil Dobbie discusses with Prof Steve Keen, it’s also down to a company that took risks because it was raking in so much money from the public sector. In this discussion they look at where you draw the line between government insourcing and outsourcing. The problem is, says Steve, governments have lost the expertise to know what to outsource and when. It’s the blind buying from the greedy. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We rely on GDP to measure the wealth of a country and it’s rate of growth, but is it the most meaningful measure? Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen whether it’s an accurate measure of happiness, for example. And Steve suggests its an incomplete measure if it doesn’t consider the return on the energy invested to provide growth. So how should we really go about measuring the health of an economy. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The Austrian School of Economics has been around since the 1870s, when Carl Menger wrote the Principles of Economics. They were a response to the conventional economic thought that prevails today. Phil Dobbie asks Professor Steve Keen whether there are elements of the Austrian school that we should take seriously – surely anyone who challenges traditional economics is worth listening to. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

President Trump is convinced that the high corporate tax rate in the US is damaging the prospects for domestic business and encouraging companies to hold their profits offshore. So will his plan to reduce the tax rate create the results he expects? Phil Dobbie talks to Professor Steve Keen about the role of tax in general, the influence of corporate tax and whether we can afford to get rid of it. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We often hear arguments that releasing land to foreign ownership is “selling the farm”. Similarly, foreign owned companies repatriate their profits rather than keeping profits within the local economy. Are these valid arguments? In this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast Phil Dobbie works through the pros and cons of foreign ownership with Professor Steve Keen. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Professor Steve Keen has often spoken of the need for a debt jubilee. If households can write off their ever expanding, mortgage driven, debt, then we reduce the risk of asset bubbles and consumer spending drying up leading to recession or depression. But, Phil Dobbie asks, how would it work in practice? Has it been tried anywhere and what are the possible side effects? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The UK government announced an industrial strategy this week to tackle the problem of weak productivity growth. Yet, as Prof Steve Keen discusses with Phil Dobbie, the issue isn’t one of investment, as much as who the beneficiaries are from money spent on equipment aimed at improving productivity. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The UK’s Chancellor of the Exchequer has a plan to make housing in the UK more affordable. Sadly, it won’t work. His idea of cutting stamp duty for first home buyers on the first £300,000 of their half a million pound homes, will only make matters worse. So, what’s the real answer? As Professor Steve Keen explains to Phil Dobbie, it’s not to increase supply. Why not? And what should Philip Hammond have put in his budget if he really wanted to make a difference. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In her book ‘Capitalism’s Toxic Assumption’ Eve Poole suggests competition can other be more destructive rather than a positive contributor to the economy. In this edition of The Debunking Economics Podcast Phil Dobbie talks to Prof. Steve Keen about scenarios where competition is more of a hinderance than a help. Can the competition regulator sometimes get in the way of initiatives that would be for the public good? Is there a mindset change required on how companies operate and work together? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Ever considered that the reason nobody has come up with an answer to how the EU border with Northern Ireland will work, is because there isn’t one. And that’s really bad news for the Republic of Ireland. In this podcast Phil Dobbie suggests that's the case. The choices of a frictionless border or North Ireland remaining within the EU are both unworkable. So what will happen if there’s a hard border? Phil discusses the issue with Prof Steve Keen, an ardent Brexiteer, who believes Britain’s exit will help towards the collapse of the EU and, in particular, the Euro. In the meantime, though, Ireland can expect to feel a lot of pain. Listen to find out why. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Currencies fluctuate so much that there’s a lot of money being made betting on their movements. But isn’t that bad for an economy, creating uncertainty in prices for exports and imports? David, a Debunking Economics podcast listener, asks what is the critical factor for ensuring a stable currency. Phil Dobbie puts the question to Professor Steve Keen, but also has the answer first off – he must be learning for these podcasts! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

There are two drivers for capitalism – the desire to consume and the desire to accumulate. Whilst the first is as strong as ever, the rising price of assets is making it harder to accumulate. So does this influence how effective capitalism is – will we work as hard if we know we can’t afford to accumulate? Or if they can afford to accumulate do they do it at the cost of consuming? Phil Dobbie talks to Prof Steve Keen about how consumer behaviour is changing and the impact in the broader economy. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Has the Bank of England lost the plot? They have lifted interest rates as though the economy was booming. Yet, just two weeks ago the Financial Conduct Authority reported that many would struggle to pay £50 more each month on our mortgage, and real wages haven’t budged for over a decade. In this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast Phil Dobbie asks Professor Steve Keen what the central bank thinks it’s doing! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Dynamic, stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models are used by monetary policy analysts the world over. But, in this edition of the Debunking Economists podcasts, Prof. Steve Keen suggests to Phil Dobbie that the model is neither dynamic nor general that fail to recognise shocks and crises like the financial crisis or the great depression. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It seems common sense that we should keep a handle on the amount of money in circulation. Central banks, curiously, think they do. But, as Professor Steve Keen explains to Phil Dobbie in this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast there are lots of ways money is created. Unfortunately, all our not recognised by conventional economists, and until we realise where money is coming from we have no hope of controlling the supply of it, or ensuring its growth is applied in an equitable way. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Can centralised monetary policy work in federated states? The grand plan for the EU was to create a United States of Europe – a phrase coined by Sir Winston Churchill directly after the Second World War. In today’s podcast Phil Dobbie talks to Prof. Steve Keen about how central bank’s monetary policies might muddy Churchill’s vision. Is it possible to run a single policy across multiple countries – or federated states like in the US and Australia? Should monetary policy be centralised, even if it cuts across states and countries with their own economic policies and employment conditions? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

At their party conference last week the Tories were united on one thing – a Corbyn government would lead to Venezuelan style socialism. Free market thinking is the right and proper way to prosper. In this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast we look at how socialism has become a swear word and there’s no acknowledgement of the middle ground from either side of politics. As Phil Dobbie discusses with Professor Steve Keen, both extremes fail. But where is the middle ground of politics? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Earlier this year President Trump was complaining that China was guilty of currency manipulation. Cheap prices were giving the Chinese a competitive advantage, evidenced by a trade balance between the two nations that, last year, was $347 billion in favour of China. So what’s the best way of dealing with the strength of the Chinese economy. Prof Steve Keen suggests that the President was right at the onset – reindustrialise and wait for China’s main advantage, cheap labour, to diminish in importance. Sadly, his plans have gone by the wayside, so they’re stuck with Chinese imports for a long while yet. But could other nations follow China’s lead? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

UK inflation is now at 2.9% - the highest it’s been in five years – and well above the 2% target that the Bank of England has set for itself. It means we can expect an interest rate rise in the very near future. In the US the Federal Reserve is also looking to raise interest rates even though inflation has subsided lately. In this edition of The Debunking Economics podcast Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen if inflation is on the way back, how should central banks react and can we still have economic growth without it. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The US Federal Reserve is getting rid of it, the European Central Bank has talked about it and could go next. Quantitative Easing, it seems, is falling out of favour. But was it doing any good any way? In this podcast Phil Dobbie asks Professor Steve Keen whether QE helps the broader economy or just the financial elites? Vitor Constancio, the Vice President of the European Central Bank has said that QE reduces inequality because it creates jobs for low income workers. Is he right? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It’s 10 years since the start of the global financial crisis, when the UK saw a run on the Northern Rock Building Society. A year letter the contagion spread, with banks falling like flies on both sides of the Atlantic. So what went wrong and are we repeating the mistakes. Phil Dobbie talks to Professor Steve Keen, one of a handful of people who predicted the crisis the first-time round. In this podcast he suggests that, this time, we might not see banks collapsing, but the economic impact will be just as spectacular.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The UK Prime Minister has made noises about reining-in executive pay. Phil Dobbie asks Professor Steve Keen whether high executive salaries are really such a problem. If somebody can demand such a high salary shouldn’t we congratulate them and aspire to do the same ourselves. Isn’t it the politics of envy to think otherwise? Or are they distorting the economy – and perhaps the biggest influence on the value they add to the company doesn’t come from their expertise, but from elsewhere. These factors are all discussed in this half hour Debunking Economics podcast, that also examines ways of fixing the problem. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Funding retirement seems to be a global issue. Individual pensions often fall short of the required amount and governments struggle so much with the liability of future pension costs that they keep pushing back the age at which we can retire. Professor Steve Keen believes we have got the whole approach to retirement wrong in so many ways. For a start, by encouraging savings we are pulling money out of the economy. Secondly, pension funds are placing their money in the share market, pushing up the price of equities. In this podcast, with Phil Dobbie, he suggests we return to the idea of state pensions – or a universal basic income – with money created by the government. The problem is, we can’t use that money to buy imported goods to meet the demands of our ageing population. In short, we need to reindustrialise if we are to fix our retirement crisis.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Bitcoin was an interesting development in the history of money – a currency created from an algorithm. In this edition of the Debunking Economics podcast Professor Steve Keen explains to Phil Dobbie how Bitcoin works. They also discuss how other new currencies could be used to manage online transactions and the threat that could create for the banking sector. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In previous podcasts Professor Steve Keen has said the availability of energy is the key driver of growth. It fuelled the industrial revolution and inhibits growth in societies without sufficient access to it. In this podcast Phil Dobbie asks whether that justifies President Trump’s approach to energy policy – to make it cheaper, local and more readily available, with less controls on its production. Will lower cost fuel make America more productive? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Do we need population growth to enjoy economic growth? Phil Dobbie puts the question to Professor Steve Keen, who argues it’s not necessary and it’s a misnomer that cannot be sustained. Yet many countries see immigration as the only way of sustaining growth, including Kevin Rudd’s pitch for a Big Australia back in 2010. As he saw, and recent politics demonstrates, high immigration is not a popular policy and most people don’t equate it with economic prosperity. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

There’s an argument that economics can never be science because it involves the behaviour of humans. You can’t apply empirical rules in the way you do with physical sciences. In this episode of the Debunking Economics podcast Phil Dobbie asks Professor Steve Keen whether this means economics should never be seen as a science. Steve says economics can be a science, if economists behaved like scientists – that means recognising anomalies and adjusting their theories accordingly. To date, this isn’t happening. The response to the global financial crisis being a significant case in point. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.