Bubble Trouble: Laying Out Inconvenient Truths About How Business and Financial Markets Really Work

This week we get into portfolio theory, or lack of, as for many the rush to big tech and wilful ignorance of everything else Wall Street has to offer seems to be the rule as opposed to the exception. Why is that, and is it sustainable?For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)The Magnificent Seven: Unpacking the Impact of Big US Tech StocksIn this episode, Richard Kramer and Will Page, analysts specializing in financial markets, discuss the 'Magnificent Seven', a term referring to the big US tech companies and their significant market impact. Kramer eloquently illustrates the concentration of wealth within these tech giants and their extensive media coverage, which contributes to their continual growth. They discuss the concept of long tail distributions and how it correlates with a constraint in attention leading to invested interest in just a few companies. They scrutinize the implications of concentrated wealth and potential future industry shifts, emphasizing the need for cautious investment strategies, despite the allure of being swept up in booming tech sectors.00:01 Introduction00:48 Part One00:48 The Role of Big US Tech in Portfolio Theory03:30 The Magnificent Seven: Who Are They?07:28 The Long Tail Effect in Financial Markets22:56 The Investment Thesis: Backing Big Tech23:13 Part Two23:25 The Geographic Disparity in Big Tech38:09 Smoke Signals: Indicators of Market Shifts41:41 Conclusion: The Future of Big Tech Investments41:54 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we’re going to keep on pricking bubbles with a fellow cynic of the sycophants and stenographers. Here to help us is David Trainer of New Constructs, whose company makes “robo-adjustments” to the reported accounts of 1000s of listed companies and tries to unearth the real financials behind the content marketing from company investor relations teams.For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)In this episode of Bubble Trouble, guest David Trainor, the founder of New Constructs, delves into his background in economics and statistics, his time at Credit Suisse, and his perspective on market bubbles and financial accountability. The discussion ranges from the detrimental effects of rapid, superficial analysis and reporting pervasive in today's investment industry, to the importance of rigorous fundamental analysis in discerning true business value. The conversation also touches on companies' strategic overstatement of profits, the ill-effects of unchecked capital allocation, and the role of artificial intelligence in future financial analytics. As the founder of New Constructs, David highlights how his company is helping investors uncover the real financial situation behind companies' reported accounts.00:00 Introduction00:57 Part One01:02 Guest Introduction: David Trainor01:26 Understanding New Constructs02:22 The Cynicism in Wall Street03:02 David's Backstory and the Tech Bubble04:11 The Role of Accounting in Business05:37 The Reality of Wall Street07:42 The Boy Who Cried Wolf: A Market Perspective08:27 The Intentionality of Market Bubbles15:44 The Impact of Algorithmic Trading18:28 The Difference Between Investing and Speculating23:49 The Challenge of Limited Company Disclosure26:12 Part Two27:34 Discussing the Spectrum of Corporate Ethics27:42 Highlighting Notorious Corporate Scandals28:05 Elon Musk: Genius or Snake Oil Salesman?28:46 The Reality of Earnings Distortion29:09 The Unsettling Truth About CFOs and Wall Street Analysts29:40 The Role of Investor Relations Firms30:37 The Problem with Superficial Analysis33:43 The Art of Investing: A Touchy Feely Approach35:55 The Role of AI in the Future of Financial Analysis47:18 The Dangers of Overstating Profits and Zombie Stocks50:57 Closing Thoughts and Future Predictions50:59 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Our guest this week is Hugh Hendry, a man who found fortunes walking the tightropes as booms turned to busts. Founder and CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, London, a Global Macro Hedge Fund, from 2002 to 2017, where its “high water mark” events were the early and successful identification of the gold bull market in 2003 and the housing debacle in the US in 2008. [Repeat from June, 2023.] Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

One of the giant iceberg industries - it's all around us but we don’t really see it - is advertising.  Frequently touted as the first to suffer, first to recover on the economic cycle, but also counter cyclical, since you need to sell harder in tougher times. Now we are seeing wobbles in economic data, some serious haircuts in tech exits and layoffs from the great and the good, it seems only right that we double down on a massive global ads market this week to see if it is suffering and if it is - might there be troubles ahead?For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)Bubble Trouble: Navigating the World of Digital AdvertisingIn this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page explore the state of digital advertising, its potential growth, the impact of technological trends, and the challenges it faces in terms of fraud and wasteful spending. They discuss the influence of AI in advertising, the philosophy behind programmatic advertising, and how economic cycles affect advertising spend. They also delve into the strategies employed by big companies like Google, YouTube, Facebook, and Instagram in the face of fraudulent activities. Richard points out marketers' inherent conflicts of interest and the ways AI could enhance ad targeting and testing. The hosts end with an insight into how poor economic periods could push companies to advertise harder to maintain their market presence.00:00 Introduction00:53 Part One01:41 Understanding the Imperfections of the Advertising Market01:57 The Size and Giants of the Advertising Market02:36 The Impact of Social Media and Retail Media on Advertising05:32 The Journey of Advertising: From Brand to Direct21:43 The Influence of AI on Advertising25:22 Addressing Ad Fraud in the Advertising Industry25:48 Part Two26:21 The Problem with Stream Fraud26:39 Understanding the Different Types of Ad Fraud27:20 The Impact of Fraud on the Music Industry28:25 The Role of Bots in Ad Fraud28:28 The Rise of Made-for-Advertising Sites29:16 The Challenges of Programmatic Advertising30:58 The Dangers of Malvertising32:33 The Fear of Outing Fraudsters37:49 The Future of Advertising on WhatsApp43:16 The Impact of Elections on Advertising47:26 The Role of AI in Improving Ad Targeting48:12 The Influence of Advertising on Economic Cycles48:27 Conclusion: The Imperfections and Opportunities in Advertising50:01 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

With 340-odd days ahead, what are the smoke signals - good and bad - that you need to be aware of? Today we look forward, and make sense of the madness ahead of us in 2024.For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)Bubble Trouble: A Look at 2024's Economic Pitfalls and OpportunitiesIn this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Will Page and Richard Kramer discuss their outlook for 2024, examining potential economic headwinds and tailwinds. They predict turbulence ahead, citing macroeconomic swings, cutbacks in sectors like luxury goods, upcoming global elections, and changes in the tech landscape. They consider the potential impact of AI, particularly in the public sector, with potential benefits in education, health, and law. The hosts also discuss the uptake of Duolingo, reflecting on the broader success of apps that can maintain usage frequency.00:00 Introduction01:01 Part One01:26 The Impact of Economic Headwinds03:01 The Role of AI and Technology in the Economy04:23 The Impact of Job Cuts and Unemployment05:01 The Influence of Tech Companies on the Economy08:43 The Impact of Macro Swings and Uncertainties14:12 The Influence of Political Cycles on Economic Cycles20:25 Part Two 20:25 The Potential of AI in Transforming Public Services31:31 The Role of Drama in Influencing Public Opinion Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we’re in conversation with a special guest, someone who The Independent argued that he may be “the most influential man in British television.” Sir Peter Bazalegette. The man who brought Big Brother to our screens during his tenure at Endemol, steered the Arts Council England through a period of austerity and was recently chairman of the board of ITV. No one is better placed to make sense of the creative industries and the bubbles they perennially produce. (Repeat from March, 2023) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, we turn our attention to a massive credit bubble that burst and dumped toxic sewage in the form of shell companies and endless debt on public utilities. A scandal is unfolding at Thames Water - London’s waterworks that’s frankly been drowned in debt by the private equity owners. To twist this up a notch, we’re joined by the Northern Irish former punk singer Feargal Sharkey has turned his legendary energy to a cause that's deeply dear to his fly fishing heart - that of England’s beleaguered and abused rivers and streams. It's a great reminder of how these financial bubbles impact all our lives, and Feargal's dogged pursuit of justice on behalf of all of us who like to swim, fish or just enjoy the sight of the UKs precious rivers. (Repeat from July, 2023) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we want to wrap up a stellar year of topics, guests and unimaginable bubbly behavior, and not just of the kind of champagne at holiday parties. For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)Bubble Trouble: 2023 in Review & Predictions for 2024Bubble Trouble: 2023 & Looking Ahead to 2024In this year-end episode of Bubble Trouble, co-hosts Will Page and Richard Kramer look back at the action-packed year of 2023 and the spectacular bubbles that burst within it. They discuss the turbulent direction of AI, the volatility in the podcast market, and address podcast topics including the integrity of financial statements and Britain's water crisis. The episode also features a reflection on past guests and their insights on different industry sectors. Looking forward to 2024, the hosts contemplate upcoming bubbles and the potential impact of global politics, elections, and interest rates.00:00 Introduction00:49 Part One01:00 Reflecting on the Journey of Bubble Trouble01:58 Reflection on the Bubbles that Burst02:11 The Metaverse, NFTs, and the Reality Check02:35 The Impact of the Consumer Debt and the Bubbles Bursting02:58 Predictions for the Bubbles in 202404:40 The Role of AI in the Tech World06:42 The Impact of Interest Rates on the App Economy07:00 The Economic Climate and Spotify's Job Losses07:52 The Impact of a Normal Functioning Finance System21:45 Part Two21:56 The Podcast Bubble: An Analysis22:29 The Impact of AI on Music and Entertainment22:48 The Rise and Fall of Podcasts and NFTs23:07 The Truth about Audience Figures in Podcasting24:41 The Future of Podcast Advertising26:16 The Advertising Market in the Digital Age26:45 The Challenges of Media Advertising28:16 The Impact of Time Shifting on Podcast Advertising28:40 The Dilemma of Monetizing Podcasts28:55 The State of the Podcast Industry39:00 The Impact of AI on the Economy40:06 The Effects of Job Cuts43:44 Closing Remarks and Acknowledgements44:45 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Economics wont get you a lot of spicy dates… but we delve into a fantastically accessible book that compliments this podcast like gin and tonic. This week we’re going to be in conversation with the authors of "Boom and Bust: A Global History of Financial Bubbles," an engaging tour of the last 300 years of bubbles. (Repeat from May 2023).For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)In this intriguing episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page engage in a lively chat with the authors of 'Boom and Bust'- William Quinn and John Turner. They focus on the principles governing financial bubbles over the last 300 years. Along the way, they explore topics like the effects of quantitative easing, importance of marketability, and the benefits and drawbacks of certain economic policies. The conversation also touches upon the impact of speculation, implications of central bank independence, and the role of media in shaping economic perspectives. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week wrap up our conversation with Andy Fastow, the former CFO of Enron. [Part 2 of 2]For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)In this milestone 100th episode of Bubble Trouble podcast, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page converse with former Enron CFO, Andy Fastow, discussing the downfall of Enron, financial regulation, the financial crisis, and the manipulation of financial statements. Fastow delves into the fine line between legal and illegal practices in finance, highlighting how business leaders can inject more risk than they realize when operating within the 'gray areas' of business and finance. He also shares his insights into public pension liabilities, the potential tipping point for public finances, and how the perception of different companies can drastically change based on financial reporting and assumptions.0:00 BT 101 In Conversation with Former Enron CFO Andy Fastow Part Two00:00 Introduction to Bubble Trouble00:42 Part One19:03 Exploring the Role of Technology in Financial Crises22:20 Understanding the Impact of Government Accounting29:09 Enron's Advisory Board and Structured Finance Deals30:11 Reflections on Enron's Financial Practices30:41 Government's Financial Engineering30:58 Imputed Rent and Government Statistics32:25 Part Two32:25 Inflation and its Impact32:25 Inequality and Low Interest Rates32:40 The Role of Analysts and Ethics in Finance33:34 The University of Colorado Case Study49:29 Closing Thoughts on Ethics and Reciprocity in Finance52:59 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we take you back to one of the biggest bubble bursting in living memory, Enron, which went from Americas 7th largest company to bankrupt within a year at the turn of the millennium. How many booms, busts, frauds and financial irregularities have we witnessed since? Now, 100 episodes in, we get to sit down and LEARN from Andy Fastow, the former CFO of Enron. We’ve wanted this guest on the pod since, well, before the podcast began - buckle up for a conversation about what happened that fateful year, why it's continued to happen since and where and how, not if, the same will happen again.For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)In this 100th episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page discuss the inner workings of business and financial markets, shedding light on their truths via conversations with their guest, former CFO of Enron, Andy Fastow. They discuss the key factors that led to the downfall of Enron, including the exploitation of accounting 'loopholes' and the destructive impact of mark-to-market accounting and how it leads companies into a risk-laden gray area of business. They also cover the issues surrounding operating leases, addressing the ethical debate of 'genius' vs 'evil'. Furthermore, they delve into insightful examples of business mishaps and financial irregularities including the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank. Fastow expresses his regret and responsibility for Enron's downfall, highlighting the difference between technically following the accounting rules and creating misleading financial impressions of a company.0:00 BT 100 In Conversation with Former Enron CFO Andy Fastow Part One00:02 Introduction00:02 Introduction and Overview of Bubble Trouble00:15 Reflecting on Past Episodes and Topics00:41 Unpacking the Enron Scandal01:23 Part One01:25 Interview with Andy Fastow, Former CFO of Enron08:33 Understanding the Role of Auditors and Attorneys10:59 Exploring the Concept of Loopholes13:46 The Reality of Operating in the Gray Area25:46 The Distinction Between Different Types of Fraud27:19 The Conflict of Interest in Financial Analysis28:53 Part Two28:53 Continuation of Conversation with Andy Fastow30:43 Enron's Acquisition and Financing Strategy31:14 The Use of Operating Leases in Enron32:46 The Legal Hurdles and Creative Solutions35:56 The Impact of Financial Innovation38:11 The Dangers of Mark to Market Accounting41:53 The Role of Incentives in Financial Reporting46:56 The Case of Silicon Valley Bank53:42 The Role of Analysts and Banks in Financial Misrepresentation54:54 Closing Remarks and Preview of Part Two55:31 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we’re going to tap into a topic that’s been ignored to date - the excitement that surrounds the big three cloud services of Microsoft (Azure), Google (GCP) and the market leader Amazon AWS. Are we getting ahead of our skies about what is another form of storage, or is this a truly game changing way that organisations can transform everything that they do? We’re joined by Liam Maxwell and this conversation travels from the clouds above Amazon HQ in Seattle (where it rains all the time) to the rather different clouds above the Ukraine, where Liam played a pivotal role in securing their government’s data. For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)In this engaging episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page welcome Liam Maxwell, former Chief Technology Officer for the British government and current AWS Senior Advisor, to delve into the transformative potential of the cloud. Together, they break down how cloud-based technologies are revolutionizing different sectors, from governments to private enterprises. Exploring clear cases such as the Ukrainian war situation or the everyday banking experience in Singapore, they highlight the impressive efficiency, flexibility, and speed offered by the cloud. The discussion also touches on the major productivity gains the cloud provides, the importance of building services centered on user needs, and how the digital economy is captured by government indices.00:00 Introduction01:14 Part One01:32 Interview with Liam Maxwell01:54 Liam's Journey in Tech and Government02:25 The Impact of Cloud on Government Services06:40 The Transition from Traditional IT to Cloud15:25 The Role of AI in Cloud Adoption19:24 The Ukraine War and the Role of Cloud20:35 The Process of Moving Ukraine's Data to the Cloud27:56 Reflections on the Impact of Cloud Technology29:33 The Power of Decision Making in Amazon30:26 Reflections on the UK Government's Test and Trace App30:58 Part Two31:27 The Impact of Cloud Technology on Productivity32:01 The Economic Value of Cloud Technology33:33 The Paradox of Technological Efficiency and Economic Growth35:38 The Invisible Contributions of Transformative Technology37:04 The Role of Cloud Technology in Government Services39:00 The Challenges of Measuring the Impact of Tech Jobs39:19 The Potential of Cloud Technology in Enhancing Public Services51:57 The Impact of Tech Neologisms on Service Delivery55:23 Closing Remarks and Reflections56:25 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we turn to the unavoidable Mr Musk and his beached fail whale, X, formerly known as Twitter. Did he take something mediocre and make it worse? Was it deliverate sabotage, or willful ignorance? Blunder or bluster, megaphone or mega-fall from grace? Wiht us we have veteran tech journalist Alex Kantrowitz to help solve for X.For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.comYou can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.comIn this engaging episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page engage in an in-depth discussion with Alex Kantrowitz, veteran tech journalist and founder of Big Technology. The discussion provides insights on some of the issues and dilemmas facing Twitter (now called X) under the leadership of Elon Musk. Kantrowitz offers valuable perspectives on the changing dynamics in the tech world, touching on the rise of Reddit, problems with 'Threads', and the impact of new leadership on Twitter's performance and brand value. The conversation also delves into the principle of 'Effective Altruism' prevalent in Silicon Valley and what it signifies about tech leadership. Analysis of recent data reveals Twitter's shrinking user base and engagement, though it remains a highly popular app. The episode wraps with Kantrowitz sharing about his newsletter 'Big Technology', and its recent features.00:00 Intro00:00 Introduction and Welcome00:19 Discussing Twitter's Past and Present00:46 Part One00:52 Interview with Tech Journalist Alex Kantrowicz02:17 Exploring Twitter's History and Business Model06:52 Twitter's Influence and Impact on Journalism07:32 The Decline of Traditional Media and the Rise of Digital Platforms08:45 Twitter's Role in the Attention Economy09:54 Twitter's Popularity and Influence Despite Declining Numbers15:06 Analyzing Twitter's User Data and Trends28:47 Part Two32:37 The Future of Twitter: Cyclical or Structural Decline?36:26 Twitter's Competition: Reddit and Threads36:34 The Struggles of Threads36:59 The Power of Network Effects38:17 The Limitations of Threads39:48 The Rise of Reddit40:04 The Role of Reddit in the Social Media Landscape40:54 The Impact of Pocket App on Twitter41:25 The Irrelevance of Threads and the Power of Meta44:20 The Challenges Twitter Faces45:50 Potential Strategies to Save Twitter49:32 The Future of Twitter Under Musk's Leadership54:51 The Role of Effective Altruism in Tech Companies58:57 The Danger of Singular Solutions59:27 The Value of Comments and the Future of Twitter01:01:38 Closing Remarks and Promotion of Big Technology01:02:34 Credits Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we look at that special "class" of investors who are busy raising their heads again to challenge management in a time of turmoil: the activist. Who are they, what gives them power and when they wield that power what’s the fall out. (Repeat) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we look at one of the noisiest self promoters on the VC carnival barker circuit, a man who famously said software eats the world when he has stocked his portfolio with software companies, with some wild claims about techno optimism. With our skeptical hat on we look at what's behind this and unpack the fears and hopes for the revolution to come. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we turn our attention back to private markets where Richard’s prior smoke signals may be bearing fruit. That is, we’re getting reports that private equity is playing pass the parcel: selling assets to themselves that they can’t exit and doing so at their own valuations. Marking your own homework? Delaying a bubble that’s sure to burst? Or is it simply remortgaging from one bank to another. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We know why you, our audience, listen to podcasts... to impress friends at dinner parties. Now waht about extending a 35 minute pod to a 15 hour audiobook? And that’s where we’re turning our attention to today, audiobooks have been in the news here in the UK (and Australia) with Spotify trying, a year after spending $135m buying a tiny company in Ohio, to get into that market. So listen up to a podcast about audiobooks and while you do, ask yourself what’s the difference in these two formats anyway? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week, its just Will quizzing Richard with an ocean separating their microphones, as Will squeezes that thirty year veteran of the markets like a sponge to get us all up to speed on whether those bubbles are building everywhere in financial markets. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Bubble Trouble has spent 90+ episodes in the studios exposing sycophants and stenographers. More recently, we went from the studio to the stage, with both of us top billing the Financial Times Weekend Festival at Kenwood House. Richard’s panel, aptly titled ‘The new goldrush: how to make money out of tech.' So this week we want to get back to the show title - ‘Bubbles’ and ask: Is the bubble back? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we turn to regulatory bubbles and the new buzz word: Gatekeepers! What are they, and what are they not and what gates do they actually keep? In forty five days, the European Commission drummed up an answer, while the US DoJ starts a court case about Google paying for search bar placements like Heinz beans play for shelf space in the grocery store. We’ve got 45 minutes with one of the best brains on the topic, Konstantina Bania, a Partner at the top firm Geradin Partners to understand all this. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week James Ashton joins us to talk about the complicated dance around the re-listing of ARM in the first tech IPO in some time. Few IPOs come this big, and few have had to revise down their target market price so quickly. All chips are on red, and we’re ready to spin the wheel and see where this UK tech darling lands on the US NASDAQ. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

You may have heard about the recent collaboration between Drake and The Weeknd that wasn't a real collaboration, but an AI-generated fake. This incident is a canary in the coalmine not just for the music industry, but any creator or rights holders across numberous industries. Joining us to discuss is Jessica Powell of AudioShake, an A.I. startup that builds sound separation software to help musicians make additional revenue for their work. (Repeat from May, 2023.) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week, the second of two episodes with Dan McCrum of the Financial Times about his investigative reporting into the massive fraud at the German financial firm Wirecard. (Repeat from October, 2022.) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we have the first of two episodes with Dan McCrum of the Financial Times about his investigative reporting into the massive fraud at the German financial firm Wirecard. (Repeat from September, 2022.) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We continue our exploration into the dinner party topic of converation on everyone’s lips: AI with the first of many very special guests on the topic, Professor Chris Speed. This week, we take a design lens to the problems (and the solutions) that AI presents us with. (Repeat from April, 2023). Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We don't do shameless plugs here on Bubble Trouble, but we're making an exception for our esteem co-host Will Page on the publication of the paperback edition of Tarzan Economics, renamed Pivot: Eight Principles for Transforming your Business in a Time of Disruption. (Repeat from January, 2023). Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We’ve talked to some of the biggest names in AI, - Audioshake, Stability and Boomy but this week, we’re going to Mayk.it with Stefán Heinrich Henriquez - and his new start up Mayk.it. His plans appear to be making all the world a stage and musicians of us all. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

When looking at today's issues of privacy, social media, and AI, we can draw a lot from the battles of the browsers over the past 30 years. To explore this, we welcome a close friend onto the show, the father of JavaScript and a Silicon Valley legend, Brendan Eich. Brendan left the CTO role of Mozilla firefox years ago and embarked on a journey to scale up a privacy-first browser and search business that would reward the sites you visit with a token reflecting your attention and value. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We’ve talked to some of the biggest names in AI, but today, we want to get behind the controversy over Boomy, with co-founder Alex Mitchell. To date, Boomy “artists” have created 16 million “original” AI-generated songs. That’s more music than the iTunes Music Store had at its peak. And most of the Boomy songs, apparently, are now on Spotify available to stream after a controversial takedown episode we’ll get into. Moreover this is AI in action, whether this is a dystopian future or the shape of things to come. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we have a distinguished guest with an estimable track record at calling out the machinations and malfeasance behind the numbers: Stephen Clapham, the driving force of Behind the Balance Sheet, a podcast of the same name and education company. Stephen helps teach fund managers and others the tricks of financial chicanery and magical massaging of the numbers. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, we turn our attention to a massive credit bubble that burst and dumped toxic sewage in the form of shell companies and endless debt on public utilities. A scandal is unfolding at Thames Water - London’s waterworks that’s frankly been drowned in debt by the private equity owners. To twist this up a notch, we’re joined by the Northern Irish former punk singer Feargal Sharkey has turned his legendary energy to a cause that's deeply dear to his fly fishing heart - that of England’s beleaguered and abused rivers and streams. It's a great reminder of how these financial bubbles impact all our lives, and Feargals dogged pursuit of justice on behalf of all of us who like to swim, fish or just enjoy the sight of the UKs precious rivers. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

One of the giant bubbles of the last decades has clearly been, in many regions of the world, real estate. For this week's episode, we're looking forward, not backward with Dror Poleg, an economic historian and inspirational thinker who's figuring out how we work, where we work, and what work we might be doing in this post pandemic world. (Repeat from December, 2022) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Our guest this week is Hugh Hendry, a man who found fortunes walking the tightropes as booms turned to busts. Founder and CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, London, a Global Macro Hedge Fund, from 2002 to 2017, where its “high water mark” events were the early and successful identification of the gold bull market in 2003 and the housing debacle in the US in 2008. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we want give a hat tip to the Financial Times, reporting on how the "Bank of England to review use of economic forecasts." As so often happens with the FT, the comments were even better than the article, which like us have been despairing for years about central bank economic models constantly getting wrongfooted by the real world. Asleep at the wheel or making the best of an impossible job? A second helping of Bailey’s many shortcomings as head of the regulator (the FCA) or victim of circumstance? We put the head of the BoE, Andrey Bailey and the economists and forecasters on the dock about the record of causing, not popping bubbles. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Economics wont get you a lot of spicy dates… but we delve into a fantastically accessible book that compliments this podcast like gin and tonic. This week we’re going to be in conversation with the authors of "Boom and Bust: A Global History of Financial Bubbles," an engaging tour of the last 300 years of bubbles. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we catch up with the subject that is near and dear to our hearts: the business of podcasting. Will is fresh from two days at the industry's leading event in London where thousands of people got together to figure out can they actually make money from podcasting, an emerging new medium that is yet to find its footing as a commercial enterprise. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In recent episodes we’ve been boasting ”if there’s a bubble that burst, we pricked it first” but events at SBV caught us off guard. This bubble burst before our eyes and now the one word on the market's lips is contagion. But we’ve been here before, AND we’ll be here again - banks are being bailed out for their incompetence and central banks are scrambling to respond . (Repeat from March, 2023) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We’ve been training our respective brains on the dinner table topic de jour, artificial intelligence, for three episodes now and we’ve generated views about banking analyst notes, academia, mixtape culture. This week, we land one of the most important voices there is - a founder who built the first generative AI company on the block - jukedeck - to ByteDance and now finds himself in the front line of AI trench warfare: Ed Newton Rex - one of the few who can say ‘been there done that’ as we grapple with what AI means for the rest of us further down the line. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week, we want to lay out the current theatrics of the market - blink and you’ll have missed banks avoiding collapse and earnings beats and misses. So with eyes wide open, take your seats in the stalls so we get up and personal. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

You may have heard about the recent collaboration between Drake and The Weeknd that wasn't a real collaboration, but an AI-generated fake. This incident is a canary in the coalmine not just for the music industry, but any creator or rights holders across numberous industries. Joining us to discuss is Jessica Powell of AudioShake, an A.I. startup that builds sound separation software to help musicians make additional revenue for their work. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Joining us this week is writer Kurt Andersen discussing his books Fantasyland and Evil Geniuses. (Repeat from March, 2022). Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We continue our exploration into the dinner party topic of converation on everyone’s lips: AI with the first of many very special guests on the topic, Professor Chris Speed. This week, we take a design lens to the problems (and the solutions) that AI presents us with. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, we're treading deep in some chicken sh*t with Propublica investigative journalist Jesse Eisenger. (repeat from May, 2023) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week, we dig into some of the hype around AI, with the announcement from financial markets data provider powerhouse Bloomberg’s BloombergGPT, a 50-billion parameter large language model, purpose-built from scratch for finance. Is this the needle mover AI has been waiting for? We’re bubbling on the use cases: sentiment analyst, news story summaries, bespoke research. What does this mean for our pen pals - the sycophants and stenographers in that echo chamber of Wall Street? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week: concert tickets. Recently The Cure announced a series of shows in the US where the band wanted to keep prices low. But when fans bought low priced tickets, the end price was much higher than they expected. What gets paid for in the ticket and who gets paid for what? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we’re in conversation with a special guest, someone who The Independent argued that he may be “the most influential man in British television.” Sir Peter Bazalegette. The man who brought Big Brother to our screens during his tenure at Endemol, steered the Arts Council England through a period of austerity and was recently chairman of the board of ITV. No one is better placed to make sense of the creative industries and the bubbles they perennially produce. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In recent episodes we’ve been boasting ”if there’s a bubble that burst, we pricked it first” but events at SBV caught us off guard. This bubble burst before our eyes and now the one word on the market's lips is contagion. But we’ve been here before, AND we’ll be here again - banks are being bailed out for their incompetence and central banks are scrambling to respond . Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week we free-ride off Richard’s travels, meaning he mingled with over 100,000 Telco executives so we didn’t have to. When you gather the population of a small city into a conference venue for a whole week, there’s got to be some bubble trouble brewing amongst the telecom delegates. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week, sucking on subsidies. Government grants, fat contracts, tax credits, state aid, all the cash a company didn't generate on its own. Does it help? Or does it stoke up problems for a future date? (Repeat from October, 2021.) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week,we’re going to be discussing - read arguing - if the price is right. We’re back to that topic of inflation, where Will has been a self-proclaimed dove over recent months. Well the doves need to fly off as the hawks are coming into land - the hope parade needs a serenade. Prices are up and, in Richard's view, they’re staying up. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.