Stock Market Predictions Are Wrong So Just Be Hedged
Broken Pie Chart · Broken Pie Chart
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Show Notes
Recently a JP Morgan analyst highlighted how wrong stock market predictions would have caused investors to lag the markets by up to 60%. What were some of the since disproven predictions? Why do people read and follow some of this stuff? Although analysts also have predictions that prove true, if you have a hedged portfolio strategy why should you even care what people are saying? Discussed in the episode are some calls by Elaine Garzarelli , Nouriel Roubini, Jeff Gundlach, Peter Schiff, Carl Icahn, Paul Krugman, Marc Faber and more.
Summarizing recent JP Morgan analyst report on Armageddonist Comments costing investor money
Why does the financial news media continuously offer up various expert predictions on market direction?
Prediction that Blockbuster would take market share from Netflix
Credit Default Swaps are low risk for AIG
1987 crash predicted by Elaine Garzarelli
In fairness, predictions were a point in time by their authors
Doomsday stock market predictions probably get mouse clicks
Historical lookback at actual annual return for S&P 500 despite 1987 crash
Reviewing various historical long-term cycles in the Dow Jones index
1982 to 1999 magical run for stocks
Instead of following every prediction just be long the market but be hedged
Hedgers opportunity to buy at market bottoms
Mentioned in this Episode:
Contact Derek www.razorwealth.com
Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr
Elaine Garzarelli calls 1987 crash https://www.garzarelli.com/downloads/WSJ-Crash.pdf
Marketwatch article showing doomsday predictions that were wrong and would have cost investors https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-the-price-to-be-paid-for-listening-to-armageddonist-predictions-2019-11-13
JP Morgan Guide to the Markets https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/gim/protected/adv/insights/guide-to-the-markets
Hilariously wrong predictions from Netflix to Credit Default Sways https://www.dividend.com/how-to-invest/10-hilariously-wrong-bullbear-calls/