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High Valuation Ok? | Midterm Year Performance | Supreme Court Tariff Ruling | Google's Number 2 | Payrolls
Episode 359

High Valuation Ok? | Midterm Year Performance | Supreme Court Tariff Ruling | Google's Number 2 | Payrolls

Broken Pie Chart · Derek Moore

January 12, 20261h 11m

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Show Notes

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2 highest valued company in the S&P 500 Index, midterm election years performance vs other years, regression channels in the S&P 500 Index, payroll numbers, interest rates, and even copper prices.

Midterm year performance vs other presidential cycle years

Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs and what it means for markets

Copper prices are about to break out or break down?

Fed interest rates saying no cuts until after Powell leaves?

Semiconductor earnings estimates vs the S&P 500 Index as a whole

Polymarket sees only a 25% chance tariffs are upheld

Google (Alphabet) surpasses Apple to be world #2 behind Nvidia

Three-Month payroll contraction on nonfarm payrolls

Talking technical analysis with regression channels on the SPX

Free cash flow margins tech vs the rest

Valuation forward pe ration adjusted for net profit margins

S&P 500 companies' real revenue per worker highest going back to 1986

S&P 500 quarter EPS growth estimates Y/Y % change

Mentioned in this Episode

Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT

Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt

Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

Contact Derek [email protected]