Disconnect Between the Stock Market and the Economy?
Broken Pie Chart · Broken Pie Chart
Audio is streamed directly from the publisher (traffic.libsyn.com) as published in their RSS feed. Play Podcasts does not host this file. Rights-holders can request removal through the copyright & takedown page.
Show Notes
Why doesn't the stock market and economy both go up or down with one another at the same time? How is the market a forward-looking discounting mechanism? How do recessions and earnings expectations play into underlying price of the S&P 500 Index?
Atlanta Fed GDP Now
Comparing historical recessions by examining real GDP declines
Great Depression vs. Financial Crisis vs 2020 Covid19 Recession
Looking at consensus S&P 500 Index earnings forecasts 2020, 2021, and 2022
How the market does not go up or down equal to change in GDP
Are there times that companies write down or take charges to earnings during recessions
Uncertainty of S&P 500 Index earnings estimates
Intrinsic value of future earnings
How interest rates effect valuations
Mentioned in this Episode:
Atlanta Fed GDP Nowcast https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?panel=3
JP Morgan on the Markets Guide PDF https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/gim/protected/adv/insights/guide-to-the-markets
Percent Change Gross Domestic Product Quarterly https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPGDPAI
Free Chapter from my book Broken Pie Chart https://www.book2look.com/book/YcqUhbCrtN
Resource for S&P 500 Index consensus earnings estimates https://www.yardeni.com/pub/yriearningsforecast.pdf
Book Jeremy Seigel Stocks for the Long Run https://amzn.to/3el67tO
Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr
Contact Derek www.razorwealth.com