Analysts' vs The Market | Volatility | Kalshi Prediction Markets Arizona Lawsuit | Breakeven Rates
Broken Pie Chart · Derek Moore
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Show Notes
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner where they get into a discussion around the market moving lower, lowering the forward PE, and analysts haven't budged their estimates yet. So, who's right and who's wrong? Then they go through the volatility environment and whether this is a normal midterm year pullback reminding everyone this is pretty typical. Later, they get into Arizona suing Kalshi and whether prediction markets (or betting) belong under the CFTC.
Vix and VVIX
Volatility in markets
CFTC as regulator of prediction markets
Who needs prediction markets?
Arizona sues Kalshi
Forward PE multiples drop
While EPS forward estimates rise
When will analysts start adjusting their EPS estimates?
What are breakeven inflation rates
Why breakeven rates historically haven't been a great predictor of future inflation
Mentioned in this Episode
Podcast Explaining The Big Short Movie & Credit Default Swaps https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-big-short-movie-credit-default-swaps-explained/id1432836154?i=1000465683509
Margin Call Movie and VaR Value at Risk Explained https://open.spotify.com/episode/2XJ58KAoQKw2sdC48KHyPp
Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek [email protected]