Quadruple Witching: Markets Brace for Chaos
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Show Notes
Quadruple Witching Friday: A Massive Derivatives Expiration Event
Global markets brace for the quadruple witching event this Friday, where four types of derivatives expire simultaneously. This quarterly occurrence, happening on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December, often leads to a surge in trading volume and sharper price swings.
In the last event in March 2025, approximately $4.7 trillion in equity and index derivatives expired, resulting in the highest S&P 500 trading volume of the year. Markets are already on edge due to Middle East tensions, causing oil prices to soar and gold, bitcoin, and the VIX volatility index to fluctuate.
The event can impact crypto, as bitcoin often dips in the days or weeks following witching days. Traders should also note the crypto-specific quarterly expiry on March 27th, with $13.5 billion rolling off Deribit, indicating more bets on volatility than big directional moves.
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