4. Market review – Wealthsteading Podcast

Episode 516 Watch the video at: https://www.youtube.com/live/jZXw0juKHks?si=aXQS6gA1I2Fdvkrs Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 515 Watch the video at: https://youtube.com/live/PnS9qE8Wtw0 Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe ——————————————————

Episode 514 00:00 Another panic selloff 00:46 Live YouTube Q&A session April 1, 4pm eastern 01:44 Realpolitik perspective on markets & life 03:11 Real Estate is just as unstable as the stock market 04:50 You’re not a serious investor… 04:43 Gloom & Doom always loses especially when correct 06:15 Three GENERATIONAL trends that favor the USA stock market Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 513 00:00 Introduction 01:04 Some of Mag7 on sale 01:54 Panic Trade 03:00 Why attack Iran now? 04:00 Oil going to $250/barrel? 05:01 Gold & Silver down but US$ up 06:52 Gold down 22% 07:06 Silver down 40% 7:40 Digitization Trade 9:15 Double digit earnings growth 11:42 Surprise Google look-a-like Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 510 00:00 Q4 Earnings & GDP 01:02 Silver down 30% from its recent high 02:12 2026 long term trends 02:52 Stocks starting out the year on a strong footing 04:41 Lam Research up over 150% past year 05:17 Ciena up 200% past year 05:27 Stupid ads on YouTube 07:25 SAAS software companies too beat up 07:50 Regional Banks are the early warning signal of the economy Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 504 If you’re paying attention you’re witnessing Adam Smith’s “invisible hand” of the economy playing out in the AI secular growth trend. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 501 The most recent Media driven stock market selloff resulted in the S&P 500 dropping only about 5% and dominantly bounding off its 100 day moving average. Did you panic or did you buy the dip? Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 496 The S&P 500 is just 2% from a record high but over 63% of stocks are in a correction, down by more than 10%. If you’re looking for bargains, you don’t have to wait for the market to tank, the bargains already exist. Don’t try to perfectly time the market. Early this year when the market was at a top, I bought and it worked out just fine. I’m not saying to rush out and buy, I’m currently sitting on over 20% cash. But I’m also not afraid to add to my positions because I have a long term perspective and stay diversified. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 495 Last Friday’ panic didn’t last long. I’ve been hoping for a pullback to buy the dip; but even if that doesn’t happen, that just reiterates the strength of this market. Bottom line, leadership remains strong and it’s mostly focused on the ancillary AI trade. What I call the convergence of Industrials and Tech. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 489 There are 3 reasons not to like Apple short term and none of them have anything to do with Warren Buffett. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 482 Use strategic diversification to create your own personal ETF. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 481 The stock market is getting frothy with FOMO and the rise of low quality stocks. In recent weeks, it’s been a real dash for trash. I personally have some cash on hand to buy the dip. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 472: The USA Industrial Technology growth narrative is evident by the fact that year-to-date the S&P 500 top performing sectors are Utilities and Industrials. Also, don’t despair about the 20 Year Treasury Bond negative Media narrative … it’s so insignificant it was discontinued for nearly 40 years. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 471: Market review and a list of stocks from my portfolio that are exhibiting long term strength and resilience. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 466: The USA stock market is in a double bottom correction. In this episode, I’ll use a market review to point out contrarian contractions that make me cynically optimistic. To include: Atlanta Fed GDPNow 25Q1 absurdity; German & European four critical economic weaknesses and key levels to watch in the S&P 500 … all that and more. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 465:  The stock market has been driven lower because of extremely negative investor sentiment.  But I think the reality is a much stronger economy.  The trauma is self inflicted by President Trump.  But like a magician creating an illusion to distract the audience, Trump uses chaos to advance his agenda.  Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 462: The Media is breathlessly reporting terrifying news about tariffs, executive orders, DeepSeek and anything else that can be detrimental to the stock market.  But you know what?  The Dow Jones Industrial average is up over 5% year to date.  And better than that, performance is expanding beyond the dozen stocks that had been driving the rally.  So far, the equal weight Tech index is outperforming the NASDAQ by nearly 2x.  Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 459: Inflation numbers keep coming in higher than “expected”.  The Fed will likely not cut rates as much as anticipated in 2025.  The Market hasn’t been happy about that.  Beyond inflation there are several issues which could impact the stock market early next year, expect a more business friendly environment with less antitrust actions and rolling back of the Chevron Doctrine. Listen to my recent appearance on The Disciplined Investor Podcast: https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/2024/12/08/tdi-podcast-the-robots-are-coming-898/ Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 456:   I think that McDonalds HomeDepot & Costco are good companies but overpriced stocks. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 454:   The economy is driven by energy and right now the energy sector is THRIVING. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 452:   US economy continues to grow…are you? Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 451:   Two weeks ago, the VIX volatility index spiked above 65; today everything is honky dory (: Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 450:   What started out as a quick commentary on current market conditions ended up digressing into rants and gems of wealth knowledge.  This is evergreen content, listen to it more than once. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 447:   Just listen to this episode… Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe ——————————————————

Episode 446:  Stubborn inflation & geopolitical instability are causing a stock market selloff.  That shouldn’t come as a surprise to Wealthsteading Podcast listeners.  So far, the decline is surprisingly mild.  In this episode I discuss my rationale for taking a concentrated position in the Utility sector.  LONG TERM Utility Stocks can offer a trifecta of benefits: Value-Growth-Defensive. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe ——————————————————

Episode 443:  Why are investors and Wall Street ignoring the clear and present danger of geopolitical instability and escalation of war? Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 441:  Small Cap stocks are the canary-in-the-coalmine early warning system of the stock market and right now they’re underperforming.  As an alternative to the IWM consider SPSM which screens for profitability.  Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 432: This past week Walmart stock climbed to a record high, then abruptly retreated, to close down more than 8%. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 431: In yesterday’s session the Market had an impressive breakout, in all aspects.  Price, volume and breadth were all superior.  We’ll see if it holds.  I’m skeptical of the foundation of all this enthusiasm- namely that rates are going lower and profits higher.  In today’s episode I’ll discuss the shell game of earnings estimate beats, with an example of Home Depot. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 430: The S&P 500 peaked in January 2022.  It’s worse for the RUSSELL2000, with a current price at below pre-Pandemic levels.  Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 429:  Corporate CEOs are becoming less optimistic about 2024 and recent IPOs are a disaster. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 427:  The Market has been down for two consecutive months…how bad will it get? Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 426:  Interest rates and monetary policy can’t solve the global supply conundrum. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 425:  The slowdown in Germany is characteristic of the general global malaise. But…German industrial giants have survived multiple world wars, they’ll survive this current situation. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 424:  The major indexes have regained their 50dma but global trade is slowing as evident by the decline in exports from China, Germany & Japan.  Short term markets are exuberant for peak interest rates but are ignoring the risk of structural shifts in the global economy. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 423:  If the handful of tech stocks that have been propping up the Market are starting to stall, then perhaps the S&P 500 is headed lower. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 422:  The Fitch downgrade of US debt caused almost all asset classes, including precious metals to go down…why? Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 421:  Listener question- why aren’t I investing in Small Cap stocks?  Headlines- FOMC, 2nd Qtr Earnings, Leading Economic Indicators, Grain Prices, Multiple Expansion, Chinese & Japanese stocks….all that and more. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 419:  Money Market Funds are paying yields at 15 year highs…that’s where most of my money is currently parked. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 417: The is the audio portion of a midyear economic presentation given on June 27 2023; the full video can be seen at: https://youtu.be/jm7LAbdbiHc Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 415:  “A lot of real estate isn’t so good any more…We have a lot of troubled office buildings, a lot of troubled shopping centers, a lot of troubled other properties. There’s a lot of agony out there.”   Charlie Munger, VC, Berkshire Hathaway Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 411:  The Economy & Stock Market are at an inflection point…they could break up or down…my bias is to the downside.  But either way, now is the time to prepare for the new company leadership that will eventually emerge. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 409:  The Market is seemingly complacent about declining corporate profits.  Did I mention that I’m ~ 90% in cash? Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 407:  To reiterate…we’re not yet seeing a Black Swan event or a failure of the system.  What’s happening in the economy is what should be anticipated during a Fed tightening cycle.  What you’re witnessing isn’t a failure of the system, it’s the way the system is designed to work (by the Central Planners). We’re currently in the contraction phase of the Business Cycle. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 406:  Panic is suddenly gripping the Stock Market with fears of bank failures.  Do you think Warren Buffett is scared?  Or do you think he’s plotting how to make a HUGE profit on this crisis?   Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 404:  Seasonal effect, short squeeze, relief rally, dead cat bounce, suckers rally, catching a falling knife…all that and more in this episode. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————

Episode 403:  I’m concerned about two issues with the stock market. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ——————————————————